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Ohio State vs. Michigan State Basketball Pick from Brandon Lee: February 14th 2017

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans
College Basketball Pick: Michigan State -6.5 (February 14th 2017)

I was on the Spartans in their win and over over the Hawkeyes on Saturday and I see a very similar outcome here against the Buckeyes. I actually think Michigan State is a bit undervalued right now. Despite their record not being what you would expect, this is still a very talented team and it’s no secret that Izzo coached teams keep getting better as the season progresses. Not that the Spartans need extra motivation, I like they they will be out for revenge from a 67-72 loss at Ohio State. Big difference in home/away splits here. Michigan State is 11-2 at home compared to 4-8 on the road, while the Buckeyes are 3-7 on the road compared to 12-4 at home. Give me the Spartans -6.5!

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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Utah Jazz NBA Over-Under Prediction: February 13th 2017

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Utah Jazz
NBA Over-Under Prediction: Under 206.5 points (February 13th 2017)

Anytime I see a Utah game on their homecourt with a total over 202 points, I will look closer. After handicapping this game, I do like it ‘Under’ tonight. The posted total is higher than what it normally would be because, 1) the Jazz are on a 5-0 OVER run, and 2) the Clippers have the worst defensive rating in the NBA the last 10 games.

The Jazz are more of a ‘under’ team and trends and statistics support that. It’s not often you will find them go ‘over’ 6 straight games. The Jazz play at a very slow pace and also play very good defense. The Jazz are the slowest paced team in the NBA the last 10 games. Since 2010, the Jazz have played six consecutive games to the ‘Over only once! There were 6 other times where they were on a 5-0 ‘Over’ run and the 6th game went ‘Under’ by an average of 9.7 points. Now is an opportune time to take the Jazz ‘Under’.

The Clippers started off their road trip slow, but have won their last 2 and are headed back towards home after this stop in Utah. The Clippers are a better defensive team than what they have shown as of late. And Doc Rivers does not like to be known as a bad defensive team. He is having his guys play better and harder as of late. They locked down Kemba Walker vs Charlotte and held the Hornets to 43% shooting, which included only 30% in the 3rd quarter.

Utah is 1-16 SU the last 17 meetings vs the Clippers. The last 3 home meetings when the total was 200 or higher, the Jazz only scored 87, 89, and 96 points. Utah is coming off two losses and this is a game they definitely want to win. I expect them to want to do that with their usual hard nosed defensive style and slow pace on offense. This year as a home favorite and coming off a home loss, the Jazz have given up only 84, 88, 85, and 98 points the following game. The UNDER is 15-6 since 2012 when the Jazz are a home favorite and coming off a home loss. Bring the opponent in off a win, and the UNDER is 7-2 since 2012. I think we see a tough fought game with a final score in the 101-94 range. (1* UNDER)

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Pistons vs. Raptors NBA Point Spread Pick from Larry Ness: February 12th 2017

Detroit Pistons vs. Toronto Raptors
NBA Point Spread Pick: Toronto -6.5 points (February 12th 2017)

The Raptors reached the Eastern Conference finals last year and were actually tied at two-all with the Cavs, before losing. However, the Cavs were blown out in the final two games of the series and any serious thought that the Raptors were somehow in Cleveland’s class should be dismissed quickly by noting that Cleveland’s four wins over the Toronto in that series came by margins of 31, 19, 38 and 26 points!

Toronto plays host to the Pistons on Sunday at Air Canada Centre. The Pistons come in off a 103-92 home loss to the Spurs on Friday. Detroit has a formidable frontcourt led by center Andre Drummond (14.7-13.8) plus three quality players in Harris (16.4-5.1), Morris (14.2-4.5) and Leuer (11.1-5.6). Harris is the team’s leading scorer but recently, Leuer has been starting. The backcourt features PG Jackson (15.5-5.6 APG), SG Caldwell-Pope (14.1) and Ish Smith (8.4-4.9 APG) coming off the bench. Despite this solid seven-man rotation, the Pistons rank only 24th in points scored at 101.5 PPG, a clear indication that there is little or no depth on the bench.

Depth is an issue often for Toronto, as outside of an All Star starting backcourt featuring DeRozan (27.9-5.3) and Lowry (23.0-4.7-7.0) plus center Valanciunas (12.3-9.9), head coach Casey really can’t count on the remainder of his roster to do much. Making matters worse, DeRozan has fought nagging injuries throughout the year (he recently missed four games with an ankle injury) and as we saw often in last year’s playoffs, shooting slumps appear all too often with Lowry. He’s a workhorse (37.7 MPG is tied for the most) but he’s shooting just 33.3 percent over the past four contests!

Toronto was 22-8 through Dec 26 but is just 10-12 since. The 32-22 Raptors have fallen three games behind the Celtics in the Atlantic Division and are now also behind the surging Wizards, leaving them with just the No. 4 seed. The winner of the 4 vs 5 matchup gets the Cavs in t shecond round, something Toronto can’t afford! The good news here is that the Pistons are a poor road team (9-18 SU & 10-17 ATS) and don’t figure to be able to match the Raptors basket-for-basket here on their homecourt, where Toronto averages 112.7 PPG. An added bonus is that the Raptors have not played since Wednesday (a disappointing 112-109 loss at Minnesota), their first three-day break of the season. Lay the points with Toronto.

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