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MLB Pick: Matt Fargo betting the D’Backs +115 odds on August 9th 2017

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Prediction: Arizona +115 odds (August 9th 2017)
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Arizona cooled off the Dodgers, at least for one day, as it took Game One of this series by turning a 3-2 deficit into a 6-3 thanks to a four-run seventh inning. The Diamondbacks snapped a two-game slide with the victory and improved to 37-18 at home while also ending a four-game skid to the Dodgers. It was a big win for standings purposes as they leapfrogged Colorado in the National League Wild Card standings. Los Angeles had a four-game winning streak snapped and we all know the how far back the success has been over the last couple months so no need to delve into that but there is a point that needs to be brought up. The Dodgers have been just as strong on the road as they have been at home but since this streak started June 7, there have been only 23 road games played and they are 2-2 against teams with a winning record. The highlight of this game is the pitching matchup with Alex Wood taking on Zack Greinke. Wood has been outstanding this season and was 11-0 at one point and now sits at 13-1 after going 2-1 over his last three starts. It has been a rough stretch though and going back the Dodgers are 2-5 in his last seven road starts against teams with a winning record. While he is 5-0 on the highway, Greinke is 10-0 at home with Arizona winning 11 of 12 at Chase Field. He has a 2.39 home ERA which is incredible considering Chase Field is considered a hitter-friendly park. He has dominated the dodgers at home in two starts, allowing three runs over 13 innings while Wood has allowed 10 runs in 6.1 innings in two starts here since joining the Dodgers. Play (960) Arizona Diamondbacks.

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Padres vs. Reds Betting Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: August 7th 2017

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Betting Pick: Cincy -114 odds (August 7th 2017)
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The set-up: Cincy’s Joey Votto needs just one more HR to reach 30 in a season for the first time since his 2010 MVP campaign but so many of his dingers have gone to waste on this last-place club. The Reds have lost 17 of 23 since the All-Star break and get set to open a four-game series with the visiting San Diego Padres on Monday, as the lone team in the NL Central to have lost touch with the other four teams. The Red are 45-66, 13 1/2 games out of first, while their four division rivals are all with 4 1/2 games of each other. The Padres have the misfortune of playing in the NL West, where the Dodgers own MLB’s best record at 79-32. The Padres are 49-61, 4 1/2 games better than the Reds, but a whopping 29 1/2 games back of the Dodgers! San Diego swept three from Cincinnati at home by a combined score of 19-7 earlier this year and would need just one victory in this four-game set to clinch the season series for the fourth consecutive campaign.

The pitching matchup: Jhoulys Chacin (11-7 & 3.99 ERA) will take the ball for San Diego, opposed by Tim Adleman (5-9 & 5.42 ERA) of Cincinnati. Chacin’s 11 victories on a 49-win team are impressive and he comes into this contest 7-2 with a 2.30 ERA over his last 10 starts, including a win and seven solid innings pitched against the Reds at home June 14. That gives him a 2-2 record (3.06 ERA) in five career starts vs. the Reds (teams are 2-3). In a stark contrast to Chacin as of late, Adleman has only one quality start in his last eight appearances and finished July at 0-5 with a 7.34 ERA in six starts (Reds were 1-5). He has never faced San Diego.

The pick: Sure, Chacin is the pitching much better right now but let’s not ignore the fact that he owns a 7.35 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in 10 road starts in 2017. Meanwhile, Adleman is a respectable 7-5 in his career at home (Reds are 9-8 in his 17 home starts since 2016). I’ll back the Reds in this one.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants MLB Odds & Pick from Scott Spreitzer: August 5th 2017

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
MLB Pick: Diamondbacks -129 odds (August 5th 2017)
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I’m backing the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday with Walker over Stratton.  The Diamondbacks have dropped four straight Taijuan Walker starts, but they certainly weren’t all his fault and I believe he and they are getting “just what the doctor ordered” to land in the win column on Saturday.  Walker has a 3.05 ERA & 0.90 WHIP in his last three starts, but he’s received little help from his offense.  We expect that to change tonight when the D-backs step-in against young Chris Stratton.

The righthander has allowed 12 earned runs and 23 base runners in his last three appearances, spanning just 11 innings. His lone start did not go well, getting knocked all over the park by Detroit. Arizona has dominated righthanders this season, nearly 20 games over .500, while averaging over 5 rpg.  Meanwhile, the Giants are averaging just 3.84 rpg at home against righties this season. Arizona enters on a 9-1 run against teams playing less than .400 baseball, while the Giants have won just 8 of their last 26 against teams with a winning record.  I’m backing the Diamondbacks on Saturday.  Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.


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