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Braves vs. Blue Jays MLB Odds & Pick from Brandon Lee: May 16th 2017

Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays
MLB Pick: Blue Jays -138 odds (May 16th 2017)

Toronto lost the series opener last night by a final of 6-10, in large part because of a bad showing from starter Mike Bolsinger, who gave up 6 runs on 8 hits and 2 walks in less than 5 innings of work. I just don’t see Atlanta getting that same kind of offensive production today against Marco Estrada, who has allowed 2 earned runs (0.95 ERA) in 3 home starts this season. As for the Blue Jays offense, they continued to swing a hot bat in defeat yesterday and shouldn’t have much problem keeping it going against a struggling Jaime Garcia, who is 1-2 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.415 WHIP (10 walks L2 starts combined) in 6 starts this season. Toronto is 7-2 over their last 9 and finally starting to play up to their potential, but are still be undervalued by the books after that slow start. Give me the Blue Jays -138!

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MLB Pick: Mike Lundin betting the Tigers -123 over the Orioles on May 16th 2017

Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
MLB Betting Pick: Tigers -123 odds (May 16th 2017)

The Baltimore are coming off four straight losses, and I don’t like their chances of ending their losing streak when they visit the Detroit Tigers Tuesday night.

Detroit hands the ball to left-hander Matthew Boyd (2-3, 3.89 ERA). He’s been dominant in four starts home at Comerica Park this season, allowing just six runs on 13 hits and seven walks through 20 2/3 innings of work, holding opponents to a .178 batting average. The Orioles turn to a left-hander of their own in Wade Miley (1-1, 2.45 ERA). Miley may not have surrendered a lot of runs, but he’s struggled with his control all season and he’s issued a total of 15 walks in 17 2/3 innings over his last four outings.

The Tigers will play their first home game in almost two weeks and are a solid 7-1 in their last eight home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Both teams had Monday off and Detroit is 14-3 in its last 17 games following an off day while the Orioles are 0-4 in their last four games following an off day.

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Celtics vs. Wizards NBA Over-Under Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: May 15th 2017

Boston Celtics vs. Washington Wizards
Over-Under Pick: Over 209.5 points (May 15th 2017)

The set-up: Two of the four second round series ended in four-game sweeps (Cavs and Warriors) while the Spurs took out the Rockets in six games, but this Washington/Boston series will need all seven games to be decided. That should come as no surprise as the home team won all four matchups during the regular season and through six games of this playoff series, has come out on top each time. The first five games saw the home team also cover but then in Game 6, the Wizards eked out a 92-91 win over the Celtics. Boston squandered a five-point lead in the final minute of Game 6, saw John Wall nail a three-pointer with 3.5 seconds left on the clock to give Washington the lead and then got victimized by some fuzzy clock management in the final seconds of the contest. After Wall’s three-pointer, Kelly Oubre Jr. used Washington’s foul to give with 2.7 seconds remaining, according to the NBA’s Last Two Minute report,but Boston only got 1.7 seconds left on its final chance as Isaiah Thomas heaved up a three-point attempt that missed the mark. On to Game 7.

Washington: Wall is averaging 26.3 points and 10.2 assists in the series and combines with Bradley Beal to form a backcourt that is not afraid to take the big shots. Beal scored a series-best 33 points in Friday’s win but is still trying to find his shot from long range while shooting 26.3 percent from beyond the arc in the series. Washington’s frontcourt continues to give uneven efforts. Gortat has rebounded well all series (11.7 per) but in the last three games, has scored a total of just 17 points. SF Otto Porter Jr. averaged 15.8 points on 60 percent shooting in the first five games of the series but went scoreless on 0-of-5 shooting in Game 6. PF Morris was a “no-show” in Games 1 and 5 (both Boston home wins) but in Washington’s three home games (all wins), he’s averaged 14.0 & 8.7. Sixth man Bogdanovich has shot erratically, scoring 32 points in Games 3 and 4 (on 11 of 19 shooting) but averaging just 5.0 PPG in the other four games on 6 of 20 shooting.

Boston: Isaiah Thomas is not complaining about Monday’s situation. “To have Game 7 back in Boston in the Garden,” Thomas told reporters after the game 6 loss. “If you had said that back in October, that there’d be a Game 7 in the second round, a lot of people probably wouldn’t even believe that. So we’re excited. I mean, it hurts right now because we just lost. We have nothing to hold our heads down about, we’re going to take a few days to figure out our adjustments and win Game 7.”Thomas had 33 points in Game 1 and then exploded for 53 points in Game 2. However, he is averaging just 19.3 points on 39 percent shooting in the four games since. Then again, Thomas is getting plenty of help the last two games from SG Avery Bradley, who followed up a playoff career-high 29 points in Game 5 with 27 in Game 6 and is 22-of-37 from the floor in that span. Center Al Horford was in line to be the “hero” in Game 6 (his ‘bank’ shot gave Boston a two-point lead with 10 seconds left) but Wall’s three-point shot ruined that scenario. Still, Horford has been very good for Boston this postseason, averaging 16.2-7.6-5.8 while shooting 64.2% from the floor.

The pick: It’s another Game 7 at the legendary Boston Garden (now the TD Garden) and the Celtics sure have history behind them (Celtics are 18-3 all-time at home in Game 7s). However, all those banners in the rafters won’t help this team, which has no connection to the past. Washington’s history doesn’t bode well, as the Wizards will be trying to reach the conference finals for the first time since 1979. Forget ancient history (and for a minute about the Game 7 winner). Looking at this series until Game 6, the first five games had averaged 226.8 PPG. Boston has averaged 110.0 PPG at home this year (regular and postseason), while Washington has averaged 107.9 PPG on the road, while also allowing 110.2 PPG. Play the Over.

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