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Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Betting Odds & Pick: May 27th 2017

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants
MLB Betting Pick: SF -127 odds (May 27th 2017)

The set-up: The Giants were expected to challenge the Dodgers in the NL West in 2017 but opened the season 12-24! They looked to be coming out of their slump by winning eight of 10 from May 10 through May 22 but after Friday’s 2-0 loss at home to the Braves, have lost four in a row while scoring a puny six runs! The Giants are back to 10 games under .500 at 20-30 and continue a three-game home series with the Braves tonight. Atlanta has now won 10 of its last 15 games and at 21-25, is actually in second place in the NL East. However, they are 7 1/2 games back of the first-place Nats but also find themselves closer to the last-place Phillies, who trail the Braves by five games.

The pitching matchup: Mike Foltynewicz (3-4 & 3.86 ERA) will get the nod for Atlanta and Ty Blach (2-2 & 4.10 ERA) for San Francisco. Foltynewicz won his third straight start on Monday, allowing two runs (one earned) on eight hits over five innings in a 5-2 victory over Pittsburgh. The 25-year-old has a 2.65 ERA in those three wins, which is quite an improvement over his first five starst of 2017 in whiuich he was 0-4 with a a 4.23 ERA (Braves were 0-5). That said, he’s 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA in two career starts versus San Francisco. Blach will be making his seventh start of the season in place of ace Madison Bumgarner, who is out indefinitely with a left shoulder sprain. The 26-year-old Blach posted his second straight victory on Monday, holding the Chicago Cubs to three ERs over seven-plus innings. “I had the same mindset I took into starts last year,” Blach told reporters. “Be aggressive, dictate the game and let guys make plays on the ground.” This marks his first career start against Atlanta.

The pick: Foltynewicz comes in off three solid outings but the Braves have lost nine of their last 14 games at AT&T Park. Blach should take the mound with confidence here, as he has pitched well in all four of his home starts this season, allowing just five ERs on 17 hits over 26 innings (1.73 ERA). Factoring in Blach’s three relief 2017 outings at home and his 1.59 home ERA is the fifth-best in baseball this season among pitchers who have made at least four home starts. Take the Giants.

Orioles vs. Astros Betting Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: May 26th 2017

Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros
MLB Betting Pick: Houston -155 odds (May 26th 2017)

The set-up: The Orioles began their six-game homestand with a pair of wins over Toronto but dropped the series finale and then got swept in a three-game series by the visiting Twins. Baltimore is now 25-20 (2 1/2 back of New York)), as it makes a quick three-game visit to Houston, before returning home to begin a nine-game homestand, which includes three games with the Yankees and four with the Red Sox. The road hasn’t been kind to Baltimore of late (Orioles have lost eight of their last 10 away from home) and it won’t go unnoticed that Houston owns MLB’s best record at 32-16, as well as MLB’s second-best moneyline mark (plus-$1115). However, Houston hasn’t thrived during its recent 10-game homestand (which concludes with these three games against the Orioles), having gone only 3-4 through seven games.

The pitching matchup: Kevin Gausman (2-3 & 6.65 ERA) will start for Baltimore and Joe Musgrove (3-4 & 5.63 ERA) for Houston. Gausman surrendered a season-high 10 hits in six innings against Toronto this past Saturday but allowed only two runs to escape with a no-decision. Fact is, he has won only one of his last seven outings (team is 2-5), allowing five or more runs four times in that span. Gausman has split his two career starts against Houston, allowing nine runs (eight earned) over 11 2/3 Innings ((6.17 ERA) Musgrove was tagged for seven runs on eight hits and three walks in three innings of an 8-6 loss to Cleveland on Sunday. That’s come a fall-off as he had allowed a total of seven runs in his previous three starts combined (won two of the three). Musgrove lost his only career start against the Orioles on Aug. 18 of last season, when he surrendered eight runs on 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings at Baltimore (OUCH!).

The pick: The Orioles may be third in the majors this season batting .311 with runners in scoring position but the team is just 4-for-20 (.200) in that situation over the past four games, all losses. Musgrove recorded only nine outs in that 8-6 loss to the Indians on Sunday and that follows a pattern that has seen no Houston starter record more than 15 outs in any of the last five games. The good news for Houston is, Musgrove should be fresh and his “opposite number” (Gausman) has only one win over his past seven starts, posting an 8.04 ERA during that stretch. On the season, Gausman owns a 1.86 WHIP with opponents hitting a robust .328 against him. I’ll take the Astros.

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros MLB Over-Under Odds & Pick: May 25th 2017

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
MLB Over-Under Pick: Under 9 runs -110 odds (May 25th 2017)

I’ll take my chances here on this one staying UNDER the total of 9. I believe we are getting some value here with this number because of the poor road numbers for Tigers starter Justin Verlander. It’s not like this is a backend of the rotation guy. Verlander arguably should have won the AL Cy Young last year and he’s been throwing better of late and most importantly has owned the Astros, going 4-0 with a 2.05 ERA in 7 career starts against them. Houston will send out Michael Fiers who has a 5.14 ERA in 8 starts overall, but has a strong 3.50 ERA over 3 home starts and a 2.35 ERA over 4 career starts against Detroit. Give me the UNDER 9!

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