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MLB Pick: Will Rogers betting the Orioles +130 odds on June 20th 2017

Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles
MLB Pick: Baltimore +130 odds (June 20th 2017)
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The set-up: The Indians surged into first place in the AL Central with a four-game sweep of the Twins in Minnesota, where they outscored them 28-8. The Indians then opened a four-game road series at Baltimore last night with a 12-0 pasting of the Orioles. Cleveland has now ripped off six consecutive victories while scoring a total of 52 runs (8.67 per), to move a season-high six games over .500 at 37-31. The Orioles were coming off wins Saturday and Sunday (had nine HRs!) but their pitching staff was ravaged for double-digit runs for the fifth time in 10 games. Baltimore also set an AL record by allowing at least five runs in 16 consecutive games (Orioles are 5-11 in that span). Baltimore was once 22-10 (in games played through May 9) but is now 34-35, having lost 25 of its last 37 games.

The pitching matchup: Two struggling starters take the mound Tuesday night, Josh Tomlin (4-8 & 5.83 ERA) for Cleveland and Chris Tillman (1-5 & 8.07 ERA) for Baltimore. Tomlin was victorious last time out versus the Los Angeles Dodgers but he was hardly impressive in allowing four runs on seven hits over five innings. The Indians are 5-8 in Tomlin’s starts this season (he’s failed to complete three innings three different times) and on the season, opponents are batting .314 against him. Tomlin is 3-3 with a 5.29 ERA in his career vs. Orioles. Tillman takes the mound mired in a five-start losing streak. He was roughed up for five runs and a season-high 11 hits over 5 1/3 innings at the White Sox last time, which came on the heels of him allowing nine runs in just 1 1/3 innings against the Yankees in his previous outing. Tillman is 5-2 with a 4.17 ERA in eight career starts against the Indians (Baltimore is 5-3).

The pick: Can the Orioles really be this bad? No faith in either of tonight’s starters but I’m going to give the home team a shot in this one.

Brandon Lee betting the Nationals -109 odds over the Marlins on June 19th 2017

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
MLB Pick: Nationals -109 odds (June 19th 2017)
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This is a great price to back Washington on the road against division rival Miami. The Nationals come in off a loss, but took 3 of 4 on the road against the Mets in the series. Washington is now an impressive 21-13 against division opponents this season and are also a solid 24-13 on the road. I believe we are getting some value here with the Nats because of the poor overall numbers for starter Tanner Roark, but he’s a solid 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 6 road starts and has not allowed more than 2 earned runs in each of his last 4 starts against the Marlins. Miami will give the ball to Justin Nicolino, who is 0-3 with an 8.62 ERA in 3 career starts against the Nationals. Give me Washington -109!

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Blue Jays vs. Rangers MLB Betting Pick from Larry Ness: June 19th 2017

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers
MLB Betting Pick: Toronto -121 odds (June 19th 2017)
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The Texas Rangers have won seven of their last nine, working their way back to .500 (34-34). Strong starting pitching has been the key, as Texas allowed only 2.4 runs in those seven wins. Toronto won eight of nine to end May at 26-27 but just seem to not be able to get over the .500 hump. The Blue Jays were one game under .500 at 32-33 after a 7-6 win over Tampa Bay on Wednesday but the lost two of three to the Chicago White Sox over the weekend to fall to 33-35. Toronto opens a seven-game road trip strong on Monday at Texas, the first of a four-game series.

Marco Estrada (4-5, 4.54 ERA) heads to the mound on Monday vs the Rangers and rookie Austin Bibens-Dirkx (2-0, 3.28 ERA). Estrada will look to snap a string of three straight losses, including a setback against Tampa Bay on Tuesday in which he was knocked around for six runs on 12 hits in just 3.1 innings. Estrada’s last win came against Texas on May 27, when he allowed one run and struck out eight over six innings. He’s 4-1 with a 2.02 ERA in seven career starts vs the Rangers (Jays are 5-2). Bibens-Dirkx recorded his first win as a starter at Washington on June 11, when he held the Nationals to one run on three hits in seven frames. He’s made just two starts in his seven 2017 appearances but this marks his third start in his last four. He owns a 1.01 WHIP and .200 opponents BA to go along with his 3.28 ERA.

Estrada has not pitched more than 5.2 innings in any of his last three starts (all losses), while posting a 12.08 ERA. However, he’s shown himself to be a credible major league starter these last few years, as opposed to Bibens-Dirkx, who is making his major league debut here in 2017, at the age of 32. Take the Blue Jays.


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