Illinois vs. Northwestern
College Basketball Pick: Illinois +6 (February 7th 2017)
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The Fighting Illini are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Wildcats. The public is all over Northwestern in this spot, as they see a short line at home with a team that has a much better record. The key here is that Northwestern is not the same team as it was just a week ago. The Wildcats lost talented junior guard Scottie Lindsey to mono prior to their last game at Purdue and they lost 59-80. Lindsey not only leads the team in scoring (15.4 ppg), but he’s someone who does a little bit of everything (4.3 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.1 spg). It’s a much bigger loss than people think and it’s going to take some time for the Wildcats to adjust. I know Illinois has been struggling, but I think they keep this one close and I wouldn’t be shocked if they won outright. Give me the Fighting Illini +6!
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San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Point Spread Pick: Memphis +2.5 points (February 6th 2017)
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The rodeo comes to San Antonio every year at this time and for the last 14 years, the Spurs have turned a negative into a positive. San Antonio began with an 8-1 trip back in 2003 and check in at 82-35 overall, experiencing just one losing trip in that span, two years ago when the team went 4-5 (Spurs bounced back to go 7-1 last season!). This year’s trip will encompass 7,378 miles and three time zones.
The Spurs have been great on the road so far this season, kicking off their latest “Rockin’ Rodeo Road Trip” (as coined in the team’s game notes) with a 20-4 SU & 15-8-1 ATS record in road games, so far this season. However, this marks the first time the Spurs will be going on this trip without Tim Duncan. As for Parker and Ginobili, they are now more role players than stars, as Parker averages 11.1 PPG and 4.7 APG in about 25 MPG (37 games) and Ginobili 8.1-2.4-2.4 in just under 19 minutes in playing 43 games. SF Leonard (25.3 & 5.8) and PF Aldridge (17.5 & 7.2) are now the stars. Yes the Spurs still own great depth but they miss center Gasol (11.7 & 7.9), who won’t be back until late February or early March.
The Grizzlies were able to cap a six-game road trip at 4-2 by rallying from an 18-point deficit for a 107-99 victory in Minnesota on Saturday. Memphis averaged 109.0 PPG on 47.9 percent shooting on their trip and are well-aware of the Spurs ability to win on the road (or anywhere for that matter), as the Grizzlies return home. In fact, San Antonio has won five straight meetings with Memphis and 16 of the last 20.
However, All-Star center Marc Gasol (21.0 & 6.0) and guard Tony Allen (9.4 PPG and the team’s best perimeter defender) were held out of Saturday’s game, so both will be fresh for this one. PF Randolph asked for more “PT” and he responded by averaging 16.1 & 9.5 in January. PG Conley didn’t make the All Star squad but he’s averaging a career-best 19.7 PPG. Never really totally comfortable going against the Spurs but I will take the home team in this one.
Clemson Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles
College Basketball Pick: Florida State -7 (February 5th 2017)
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The Florida State Seminoles have enjoyed a tremendous home-court advantage this season. They take a lot of pride in the fact that they are 14-0 at home this season. Not only are they winning, they are dominating, outscoring opponents by nearly 19 points per game on average. They have been basically unstoppable offensively at home with an average of 90.1 points per game on 50.6% shooting. Once the schedule has gotten tougher, Clemson has not played well. The Tigers are 3-6 SU & 3-6 ATS in ACC play this season with their three wins coming against below-average teams in Wake Forest, Pitt and Georgia Tech. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Seminoles are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. teams that average 21 or more 3-point attempts per game. Take Florida State.
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