East Tennessee State vs. Citadel
College Basketball Pick: East Tennnessee St. -14.5 (January 5th 2017)
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I like East Tennessee State to run away with this game. While this spread appears to be fairly large, with a total in 180’s, this spread is more like a -7 or -8 in a ‘regular game’ where the total would be in the 140 range. I hope that makes a bit of sense. I am saying this is expected to be a higher scoring game so this double digit spread is not too much to ask East Tenn State as they should get close, or top 100 points here.
East Tennessee State is a very good team, but not a lot of ‘folks’ have heard about them. They received a nice addition of D-1 transfers this year and have a solid backcourt, that can shoot the jumpers or slash to the basket. The real key in covering this spread though is the East Tennessee State defense, which ranks 64th in adjusted defensive efficiency. They are forcing turnovers on 22.4% of possessions.
Defensively, Citadel is one of the worst in the country. They like to run at a very high pace, but they don’t like to play defense. Their preferred style is to try and outscore their opponent. That won’t work against East Tennessee State. East Tennessee shoots a high percentage from the 3 point line and Citadel doesn’t defend it. East Tennessee State also goes to the foul line quite often and Citadel loves to foul.
Citadel is off a rare road win at Wofford. A Wofford team that is several grades below East Tennessee State offensively and defensively. East Tennessee State has a game on deck vs Mercer. That is not a big game for them, so they have nothing in their way here and I see them cruising by about 19-21 points. (1* East Tennessee State)
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James Madison vs. Hofstra
College Basketball Pick: Hofstra -7.5 points (January 5th 2017)
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Hofstra is coming off a tough loss at home against William & Mary on Monday which snapped a three-game winning streak and dropped the Pride to 1-1 in the early going in the CAA. It was just the second home loss of the season for Hofstra which is one of four teams that is expected to challenge UNC-Wilmington in the conference. The overtime loss against the Tribe was even worst after blowing a late lead by watching a 35-foot shot drop as time expired so they will be out for some retribution. On top of that, Hofstra will be out to avenge a pair of overtime losses to James Madison last season, two of only four regular season conference losses all year. The Dukes are 2-0 in the conference following a pair of wins at home which capped off a five-game homestand. They are just 1-6 on the road with the lone win coming at Longwood and the current three-game winning streak comes on the heels of a 1-11 start which shows the recent winning streak could be an illusion. The Pride are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss while the Dukes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Play (724) Hofstra Pride.
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Minnesota Wild vs. San Jose Sharks
NHL Betting Pick: Sharks -135 odds (January 5th 2017)
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The Minnesota Wild had recorded 12 consecutive victories before running into the even hotter Columbus Blue Jackets on New Year’s Eve. This will be the Wild’s first game since the defeat, and we can note that they’re 2-11 in their last 13 games when playing on three or more days rest and they’ve struggled with the Sharks in recent season’s, particularly at SAP Center where they’ve won just three of the last 18 encounters. San Jose is coming off back-to-back losses to Los Angeles, so the Sharks will be desperate to get back in the win column.
Goaltending advantage San Jose as Devan Dubnyk is 5-8-2 with a 3.07 GAA against the Sharks while Martin Jones is 2-1-0 with a fantastic 1.38 career GAA against the Wild. Great price on the Sharks to take a big bite of the Wild at home.
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