MLB Picks: July 16th 2012
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals
Pick: Seattle Mariners -103
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The Seattle Mariners have a big edge on the mound tonight, yet we’re still getting them at nearly even money against the Kansas City Royals. I’ll gladly back the underrated Jason Vargas over Jonathan Sanchez in Game 1 of this series Monday.

Vargas is 8-7 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.52 ERA and 0.845 WHIP in his last three outings. In his last two starts against Kansas City, Vargas is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA, allowing just two earned runs over 12 innings.

Sanchez has been one of the worst starters in all of baseball this season. The left-hander is 1-5 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.942 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-1 with an 8.43 ERA and 2.109 WHIP in five home outings.

Seattle is 12-4 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. The Mariners are 8-2 after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival this season. The Royals are 0-7 in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. The Mariners are 5-1 in Vargas’ last 6 starts vs. American League Central. Kansas City is 0-5 in Sanchez’s last 5 starts as an underdog. Bet Seattle Monday.

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