Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays
MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners -111 odds (August 19th 2011)
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I really like the Mariners to bring home a win against the Rays on Friday. Seattle will have their ace Felix Hernandez on the mound, and anytime you can get someone with his ability at just -111, you have to like your chances of coming away with a win. Hernandez is 11-10 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.191 WHIP on the season, and should have a pretty easy time shutting down a Rays offense that averages just 3.5 runs per game at home. Hernandez is 3-1 with 2.29 ERA against the Rays, while the Mariners have won seven of his eight starts.

Seattle doesn’t have much of an offense, averaging just 3.4 runs per game on the season, but they come in having scored four or more in seven of their last eight games. They are going up against Wade Davis, who holds a 4.60 ERA on the season and a 5.40 ERA over his last three starts. Davis is 0-1 with a 4.82 ERA in three career starts against the Mariners.

Seattle is 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, and 36-17 in Hernandezs last 53 starts during game 1 of a series.