Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Point Spread Pick: Baylor -16.5 points (October 1st 2016)
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Baylor despite of a summer of dealing with scandals has shown that the talent base on the field is still of a very high quality and must be respected, as was evident in a DD victory vs Oklahoma State last week. The Bears have won their first four games by an average of 28.5 points per game. Meanwhile, Iowa State despite of being perceived as much improved over last season, and off a win of their own last week, are still quite literally over matched in all the key aspects of this game. Baylor defense is allowing just 310.0 total yards per game this season ranking 22nd in FBS. Baylor secondary is allowing just 142.5 yards per game through the air this season, seventh best ranking in the FBS and should make Iowa State QB duo of Joel Lanning and Jacob Park afternoon a living nightmare.
Iowa State in their L/79 games against a top level team with a .750 win percentage or better like Baylor have seen their games decided by an average of 39.6 -18 score.
The last time Baylor visited Iowa State they took a 49-28 decision in 2014, and I am betting on a similar result this time around.
Projected score: Baylor 47 Iowa State 20
Play and lay it with Baylor
Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiers
College Football Prediction: Indiana +7.5 points (October 1st 2016)
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #200 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Michigan State Spartans (Saturday 8 pm BTN) Most experts believed that this would be a rebuilding year for Michigan State and in two months that will be evident to all. They had fool’s gold beating Notre Dame two weeks ago but came crashing down in a big way last Saturday at home against Wisconsin. As we also observed that win over Notre Dame is not that impressive since the Irish have already lost three times this season. Indiana is coming off a disappointing loss to Wake Forest last week but expect them to bounce back in a big way this Saturday since this is the opening of Big 10 Conference play. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by our Mountain West Game of the Year. Doc’s Sports is a perfect 4-0 on Top Plays this season in College Football. Sign-up now and let 45 years of handicapping experience work for you.
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
MLB Betting Prediction: Rays -113 odds (September 26th 2016)
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The Tampa Bay Rays have lost six of their last seven games, and they’ll be hungry for a win after getting swept by the Red Sox at home over the weekend. They travel to Chicago to take on the White Sox Monday night, and this looks like a good spot to back the visitors.
The White Sox are coming off back-to-back wins at Cleveland, but they’re 2-7 in the last nine meetings with the Rays. James Shields (5-18, 5.98) is a terrible 0-6 with a 9.46 ERA over the last two months, and I liked what I saw from the Rays in Sunday’s 3-2 extra inning loss to the Red Sox, a game they just as easily could have won.
Drew Smyly (7-11, 4.86 ERA) takes the ball for Tampa Bay, and he’s an unbeaten 5-0 behind a 3.60 ERA in his last 11 games. The Rays are 7-3 in Smyly’s last 10 starts and the White Sox are 2-5 in their last seven games vs. a left-handed starter.
The Rays are still putting up a fight, and I like the price we get on the visitors with this significant edge on the mound tonight.
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Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
MLB Over-Under Pick: Over 8.5 runs -110 odds (September 26th 2016)
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My selection is on the ‘over’ between Oakland and Los Angeles at 10:05 pm et on Monday.
The A’s offense bounced back following back-to-back shutout losses at the hands of the Rangers with a 7-1 victory yesterday afternoon. I look for the bats to pick up where that effort left off on Monday night, as the A’s head to Anaheim to face the Angels.
Keep in mind, on the A’s most recent road trip they scored a whopping 65 runs over the course of seven games.
Sean Manaea will take the ball for Oakland on Monday. He hasn’t allowed a single earned run over his last two starts but worked just 11 innings total. His strikeout numbers have started to creep up again but I don’t always see that as a positive, particularly for a young pitcher late in the season. Note that Manaea was ripped for five runs, four of them earned over 5 2/3 innings when he last pitched here in Anaheim in early August.
Jered Weaver will counter for Los Angeles. He continues to get hit fairly hard and like Manaea, his strikeout totals have crept up here in the latter stages of the season but so have the walks. Opponents haven’t had much trouble putting the ball in play, nor have they had issues getting men on base and scoring runs for that matter against Weaver this season as he checks in with an ERA well north of five.
We don’t need a slugfest to cash this ticket on Monday night. I feel that the total will prove to be too low in this matchup. Take the over (8*).
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San Diego Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts
NFL Pick: Chargers +2.5 points (September 25th 2016)
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The 1-1 San Diego Chargers will visit the winless Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon, and this looks like a great spot to take the points on the visitors.
The Colts are struggling big time on the defensive side of the ball as they’ve surrendered 34 and 39 points in defeats to Detroit and Denver to start the season They’re 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Chargers.
San Diego’s QB Philip Rivers threw for four TDs in last week’s 38-14 blowout win against Jacksonville and he has a 70.0% completion rate with his passes on the season, a number which can be compared to Andrew Luck’s 58.8 percent. Luck completed only 21 of 40 attempts for 197 yards with one TD and one INT against Denver last week, and running back Frank Gore is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry.
The Colts need their offense to bail out their subpar D, and that’s not happening at the moment. Take the points on the Chargers, but we might not even need them as San Diego has a great chance to win this game outright.
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Oakland Raiders vs. Tennessee Titans
Week 3 NFL Point Spread Pick: Titans +1.5 (September 25th 2016)
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I’m backing the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. We like what we have seen from Marcus Mariota now that the former Oregon signal-call has a HC who understands you actually have to pass block. Mariota has completed 68% of his passes thus far with 4 TDs and 2 INTs. We are getting what we expected a season ago from TE Delanie Walker (questionable), while Tajae Sharpe & DeMarco Murray have 11 and 12 receptions, respectively. Murray has also averaged over 5 yards per carry. Yes, the Titans started just 2-9 SU in 2015, but they were just 15 points away from a 7-4 SU record through 11 games. They’re healthier this season and have made quality moves to shore-up some of what plagued them last season. Oakland has been a public darling since Over/Under win totals and odds to win the Super Bowl were posted months ago. The defense, however, has not held-up thus far. The Raider defense is dead-last, 32nd in the NFL in yards passing allowed and total yards allowed per game, and they’re 31st in ppg allowed. Oakland won here last year, 24-21. Despite a plus-two turnover margin and Titan injuries, the Raiders still needed a game-winning TD in the closing 90-seconds of the game. I expect Tennessee to gain a measure of revenge and I’m backing the Titans on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.