Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
The 2010 NCAA Football season kicks off this weekend, and here is a 4-Pack of against-the-spread selections to get your season off on the right foot. Visit Touthouse.com each week for more winning college football picks and NCAA football betting predictions from our team of sports betting experts.
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Miami-Ohio/Florida ‘under’ 52½: Miami-Ohio is coming off of a 1-11 season, and this is a team that had a terrible offensive line last season. That being the case, is it really a good thing that the undersized line returns all five starters, especially vs. the Florida defensive line? The Gators begin life without Tim Tebow, although they should still be very solid. Since the outcome of this game should never be in doubt, the Gators should be more concerned with working on their timing in a live-game situation than with meaninglessly running up the score.
Illinois/Missouri ‘under’ 54: This is another total that seems a tad high because only one team will be doing most of the scoring. Illinois underperformed a year ago like many Ron Zook teams normally do, and lost a lot and will be worse this season. There also seems to be a clash, with the pass-happy Paul Petrino brought in to be offensive coordinator for a team that’s lacking at the quarterback and receiver positions. Missouri could leap to elite status in the Big 12 this year if the defense improves, and the Tigers should have no problems with this Illini offense.
Kentucky -3 over Louisville: This game features two new head coaches, but Kentucky coach Joker Phillips has a lot more to work with here. Besides, Phillips has been the coach in waiting for several years now, as it was a forgone conclusion that he would take over once Rich Brooks retired, and Brooks’ entire coaching staff remains in tact, which should make for a smooth transition. Conversely, Louisville Coach Charlie Strong was left with a one dimensional offense and a horrible defense, and it will take a lot more than just home field to keep pace with this SEC opponent.
Navy -6 over Maryland: Sometimes, having a one-dimensional offense is a good thing, as Navy has been to seven straight bowl games while employing the option attack put in by Paul Johnson, who has since moved on the Georgia Tech. The Midshipmen averaged an impressive 280.5 rushing yards per game last year, which was fourth best in the nation. Now, it is not normally advisable to give this many points with a team that does not pass the ball, but Maryland had the worse defense in the ACC last year and returns just one starter on the defensive line. Thus, Navy should be able to run at will and name the score in this spot.
Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
College football is here, as the 2010 NCAA Football season kicks off this weekend. Underdogs are usually wise investment early in the year, and here are four underdogs we like to bark in Week 1. Visit Touthouse.com each weekend for more winning college football picks and NCAA football betting advice from our team of professional sports handicappers
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Colorado State +12 over Colorado: It is tough to give this many points in a rivalry game with a Colorado team that has uncertainty at the quarterback position. Coach Dan Hawkins has named Tyler Hansen as the starting QB for now over Cody Hawkins, who just happens to be the coach’s son. It may not matter who is under center if the running game is as pathetic as last season, when the Buffaloes averaged only 87.9 rushing yards per game on an abysmal 2.8 yards per carry. As for Colorado State, they have a solid and deep defensive front seven that can pressure Hansen if the Buffs can’t establish a running game to keep the Rams’ defense honest.
Akron +8½ over Syracuse: Both of these programs are coming off of disappointing seasons, but both are also heading in the right direction and should show some improvement this season. Syracuse may be a bit further along, but are they so much better than last year that they merit being favored by more than a touchdown on the road here? After all, this is still a team that was 4-8 last season is now starting an inexperienced sophomore quarterback and returns only two starters on the offensive line. Conversely, the offensive line is one of Akron’s strengths, and the Zips switching their defense to a 4-3 formation suits their personnel better.
Bowling Green +14 over Troy: This line is understandable when you consider this is a rebuilding year for Bowling Green, especially after losing record-breaking wide receiver Freddie Barnes, who set an NCAA mark last season with an amazing 155 receptions. That said, the Troy defense looks vulnerable, especially in the front seven, and their shaky run defense makes them a risky proposition laying two touchdowns. This is especially true since running back Willie Geter is the most experienced returnee to the BGSU offense, so the Falcons may actually establish a running game here after passing non-stop last season.
Cincinnati +2½ over Fresno State: Some people consider the fact that Coach Brian Kelly jumped ship for the greener pastures at Notre Dame after guiding Cincinnati to a perfect 12-0 regular season as a catastrophe, but remember that his replacement Butch Jones led Central Michigan to two MAC titles and three bowl games in three years there, and the Bearcats still have the best offense in the Big East. As much respect as we have for Pat Hill and the Fresno State program, they will have a tough time replacing running back Ryan Mathews, who is an immediate starter in the NFL with the Chargers, and the Bulldogs’ shaky secondary should get exposed often by the potent Cats.
Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
UCLA vs. Kansas State
Pick: Kansas State -1.5 -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert college football picks from Ted Sevransky
UCLA has won five consecutive season openers, beating some pretty darn good teams in the process (Utah, Tennessee and Stanford, to name three). But the Bruins won’t have it easy as they travel to Manhattan to take on Bill Snyder’s Kansas State Wildcats to open up their 2010 campaign.
Rick Neuheisel’s squad was besieged with injuries in each of the last two seasons, and so far, this year is no exception. In fact, you could make an argument that no team in all of college football has been besieged with injuries and attrition more than UCLA has since the start of fall camp.
Starting quarterback Kevin Prince has been limited since the first day of practice, suffering from a slightly torn back muscle. There are legitimate concerns about Prince’s ability to shake off the rust, and throw tight, accurate passes against a live defense, without the full complement of practice time in recent weeks. And with UCLA looking to incorporate elements of the ‘Pistol’ offense in 2010 (called the ‘Revolver’ in UCLA terminology), Prince’s lack of practice time isn’t going to help their offensive efficiency here.
Prince’s injury is just the tip of the iceberg for the Bruins, with significant injury concerns on both sides of the line of scrimmage. The Bruins will be missing Xavier Su’a Filo (mission), Jeff Baca (academics), Nik Abele (neck) and Kai Maiava (ankle). Tackle Mike Harris has been suspended for the opener and Stanley Hasiek flunked out of school. Eddie Williams has missed a bunch of practice time with concussion issues, although he is expected to suit up.
The injuries and attrition don’t end there. Star DE Datone Jones – their only returning starter on the defensive line – broke his foot in practice. That’s bad news against a Kansas State offense that averaged 179 yards per game on the ground last year and returns star running back Daniel Thomas for his senior year.
Last year, when UCLA beat Kansas State 23-9 in Bill Snyder’s first test against a BCS opponent, star kicker Kai Forbath was the hero, nailing three long field goals. The 2009 Lou Groza Award winner (best kicker in college), Forbath has been unable to practice with a groin injury and may not be able to suit up here either.
Kansas State senior QB Carson Coffman won the starting job in camp, but his gameplay last year left much to be desired. The Wildcats suffered major graduation losses to their receiving corps as well – expect plenty of hand-offs to Thomas here. K-State went 5-1 at home last year (only loss to Missouri), and they have the capacity to get past this depleted UCLA roster on Saturday. 2* Take Kansas State (#172).
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Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
Minnesota vs. Middle Tennessee State
Pick: Minnesota -1.5 -115 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert college football picks from Tony George
The bottom line in this game, a Big 10 team playing a Sun Belt team should always be a favorite, and Minny is 6-2 ATS their last 8 versus the Sun Belt conference. The KEY in this game is that Middle Tennessee who is a GOOD football team, has lost the services of all world QB Dwight Dasher to suspension. We was the 7th ranked offensive player in total yard production in 2009 and will be sorely missed. I liken it to the San Fran 49ers losing Joe Montana right before the Super Bowl. Minnesota has some issues on defense, but their offense is led by Adam Weber making his 39th start at QB and the guy can flat out get it done. Minnesota also has been known to be a bankable team over the years in their openers going 7-1 the last 8 years SU. Without Dasher at QB for MTSU in this one, and a JUCO transfer starting his first division I game against a BCS school, I like Minnys chances here to outscore MTSU on the road and win by 8 to 10 points. Get more college football betting picks from Tony George at Touthouse
Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
Washington State vs. Oklahoma State
Pick: Washington State +16.5 -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert college football picks from Bryan Leonard
Make no bones about it this Washington State team has been horrendous the past two seasons posting a 3-22 record. They were 9-15 ATS and the linesmaker knows he has to increase the tariff in order to get action on the Cougars. That said, this is the third year of Paul Wulff’s system and there is a light at the end of the tunnel. There are 15 returning starters including the quarterback and the line play is really improving. For those that follow football closely you are well aware that the game is won and lost in the trenches and this team is getting better and better on the lines. In fact, the defensive line has been the strength of the team in camp.
While we like the improvement of the Cougars the real reason we look to take the underdog here is that Oklahoma State lost a ton of talent in the offseason. They return just eight starters and 11 players will be making their very first starts of their college careers. As many as 10 true freshmen could see action Saturday for the Cowboys. In addition to the huge graduation losses Oklahoma State has lost three defensive players in the two deep to season ending injuries. They have also lost three middle linebackers for the season. After improving from 28.1 ppg allowed in 2008 to 21.7 ppg permitted last season we expect a huge jump in points allowed this year. The Cowboys were a combined 18-8 the last two seasons but you can argue that no other team in the country can match the Cowboy losses.
With so many new faces on the roster it’s virtually impossible for head coach Mike Gundy to have his team hitting on all cylinders this early in the season. Last year the Cowboys were double digit favorites four times posting a 1-3 spread record, the only spread win was against non-FBS squad Grambling State. Not only did the Cowboys struggle to put away the opposition, but they lost outright hosting Houston as a 15 point favorite. In fact, against regularly lined teams Oklahoma State lost to the spread when favored by double digits by a combined 56 points! Gundy will be looking to play a lot of players in this game to get a better idea of what he has before hosting a solid Troy team next week. Does that sound like a team worthy of laying more that two touchdowns with? PLAY WASHINGTON STATE. Get more college football picks picks from Bryan Leonard at Touthouse
Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics
MLB Pick: Over 8 Runs -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert MLB betting picks from Big Al McMordie
At 1:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the New York Yankees and Oakland Athletics ‘over’ the total. What should be a great match-up of two quality lefthanders is skewed a bit by the fact that the Yanks have been so incredibly dominant at home against this Oakland club. Not a bad time to be playing a team that you’re 10-1 against at your home ball park in the last 11 meetings there. There is also some interesting recent history here as Oakland’s Dallas Braden and the Yanks’ Alex Rodriguez engaged in a war of words on April 22 after Braden criticized Rodriguez for crossing over the mound on his way back to first base following a foul ball. The two have since made amends and A-Rod will not be facing Braden tonight because the All-Star third baseman is on the DL with an injured calf muscle which fortunately hasn’t hurt the team too much as the Yanks have won four straight games heading into Wednesday night’s action. It’s rare that CC Sabathia doesn’t put up a quality start for his team, and even when he doesn’t, the Yanks can still find a way to win the game, as was the case in his last start as the big southpaw threw in a clunker in Chicago against the White Sox last Saturday but New York still came out victorious. It hasn’t hurt Sabathia’s chances that his team is scoring runs in bunches when he goes out there (28 runs in his last three starts). Take the ‘over.’ As always, good luck…Al McMordie. Get more baseball betting picks from Al at Touthouse.comm
Free Sports Picks, NFL Football PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
New York Jets vs. Philadelphia Eagles
NFL preseason pick: New York Jets +1.5 -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NFL football picks from Rob Vinciletti
On Thursday the free play in the NFL is on the New York Jets. Game 107 at 7:30 eastern. While there are no specific systems that apply to the game its worth noting that The Jets have won this game between these 2 teams the last eight times they have met. The Jets always make a point of covering in the last preseason road game covering in 9 of the last 10 seasons. Coach Andy Reid on the other hand does not put much stock into the last game of the preseason as he has lost 9 of the last 11 times. With both teams resting key personnel we will back the Jets to get the win. On Thursday I have a Big Triple pack of plays led by a 5* MLB Diamond Cutter that has cashed 94% of the time as well as a Triple system NFLX side and a Big Power Play in College Football. For the free play take the Jets to soar past the Eagles. RV. Get more football betting picks at Touthouse.com
Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
Hawaii Warriors vs. USC Trojans
Prediction: Hawaii Warriors +21.5 betting line
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert college football picks from Mike Rose
Last we saw the Warriors, they were getting smeared on their own turf by a finely tuned Wisconsin team that went on to secure a Champs Sports Bowl victory against Miami. The Warriors closed as 12-point home underdogs in that aforementioned game, ultimately losing by a 51-10 final tally. With 12 starters back from last year’s 6-7 team, the Warriors now find themselves three TD underdogs in their home opener against the mighty USC Trojans. Are they still really that mighty though? The defense faltered dramatically in ‘09, while the offense looked to be a shell of its former self. Throw all the NCAA Sanctions drama into the mix along with new HC Lane Kiffin and the gang, and I simply have no answer as to why JQP has bet this line up from the opener of 18. On principal alone I must fade Kiffin in his first go round as head coach of the Trojans after he left Knoxville high and dry. Serves him right to be forced to deal with the carnage left from the Carroll regime. Hawaii will have problems containing the Trojans ground attack, but I foresee them hanging in against the passing game since they boast an experienced and chippy secondary. USC survives its trip to the island, but the Warriors represent well and hang within this absurd pointspread.
Rose enters the 2010-11 college football season off a very lucrative ‘09 campaign that saw him go an insane 55-33 ATS and Cash in at a documented 62.5%. No Joke! Though seasons like that don’t come around very often, he plans on being in the green at season’s end once again. Ride him Week 1 all the way to the BCS Championship Game – SLAM YOUR MAN! Visit Touthouse.com for more football betting picks from Mike Rose
Free Sports Picks, NCAA Football PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
San Jose State vs. Alabama
Pick: Alabaa -37 -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert college football picks from Joseph D’Amico
National Champion and pre-season #1, Alabama is touted as taking it all once again this season. They have QB McElroy, Heisman winner RB Ingram, and WR Jones all back. Despite having a meeting with Penn State upcoming, ‘Bama usually takes one game at a time. HC Nick Saban loves having SJ State as his first game of the year. They get to blow out a nobody and show the nation how good they are. On both sides of the ball, the Tide will devour the Spartan’s. San Jose State gave up an average of 37.0 PPG a season ago, including 62 points to Nevada and 55 to Louisiana Tech. For State, it goes from bad to worse as they lost their top WR in Avery who is ruled ineligible. The Spartan’s are 5-16 ATS their L21 overall and 0-8 ATS their L8 games played on the road. The Tide is 6-1 ATS their L7 games played in September. Alabama will crush San Jose State. Thank you. Get more NCAA football betting picks at Touthouse.com
Free Sports Picks, NFL Football PicksSeptember 2nd, 2010
Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals
NFL preseason pick: Under 37 points -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NFL picks from Jim Feist
Redskins/Cardinals Under the total. Washington makes their longest road trip of the entire season here, and many starters won’t even make the trip. Mike Shanahan said Donovan McNabb is out and won’t play, so we have a QB rotation of Rex Grossman, John Beck and Richard Bartel - not exactly Earl Morrall and Norm Van Brocklin off the pine! Arizona rookies Max Hall and John Skelton will take most of the snaps, plus the Cardinals’ WRs have been thin all preseason. Play the Redskins/Cardinals Under the total. Get more NFL betting selections from Jim Feist at Touthouse.com
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