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UNDER 10 Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees:
Afternoon Holiday Baseball at Yankee Stadium is quite a tradition. Remember Dave Righetti’s no hitter in 1983? Here’s another chance at history as the Blue Jays come to town for the weekend. AJ Burnett (6-4, 3.93) has been lights out of late for the Yankees. He’s allowed just 1 run in his last 20 1/3 innings of work while striking out 26. After a slow start, he’s become the pitcher the Yankees had hoped he’d become. He’ll face a Toronto team who isn’t the most offensively effective team in the league. Brian Tallet (5-5, 4.47) has had a nice year in his first year of starting. He was forced into the rotation because of injuries to Dustin Mcgowan and Shaun Marcum, and answered the bell nicely. His recent efforts have been good, allowing 5 runs in his last 17 innings pitched. Expect a well pitched, low scoring game this afternoon at Yankee Stadium.

OVER 9.5 St. Louis Cardinals/Cincinnati Reds:
The aptly named Great American Ballpark hosts this weekend series between the Cardinals and the Reds. Game 1 tonight should be a high scoring affair as former phenom Homer Bailey (1-0, 8.68) takes the hill for the Reds against Joel Piniero (6-9, 3.44). Bailey has been awful so far this year and is quickly falling out of favor with the Reds. He’s started twice this season and has been rocked to the tune of 9 runs in 9 1.3 innings pitched. What’s more of a concern is the 13 walks in that small time frame. Facing the league’s best hitter in Albert Pujols normally isn’t best for what ails a starting pitcher, so look for Bailey to continue to struggle. Pineiro has done a nice job for the Cards this season, and in a strange stat, actually has a decision in all 15 of his starts this year. He normally keeps his team in the game, and has pitched into the seventh inning in each of his last 4 starts. In his only outing against the Reds in 2009 he allowed 5 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings, taking the loss on May 8.

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Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Free MLB Picks: Tampa Bay Rays -140 betting odds - July 3rd 2009
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Scott Kazmir shows a 4-4 record and a 7.28 ERA. He’s a lot better than those numbers indicate though and his first start since coming off the disabled list indicates that he’s ready to “return to normal.” Kazmir looked sharp in holding the Marlins to just two earned runs in his first start May 20th. Now Kazmir’s second start is also drawn up well for success, as the Rays southpaw is 4-0 (team is 7-0!) with an impressive 2.09 ERA and a .201 BAA in seven career starts against the Rangers.

Also, even though he pitched while hurt earlier this season, Kazmir still has managed to go 3-1 on the road with a 4.29 ERA so far this season. On grass Kazmir is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA this season. At Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, Kazmir is 2-0 in three starts with a 2.70 ERA.

While one thinks of Texas being the better offensive club, it’s Tampa Bay’s offense which is ranked #2 in the majors for both slugging percentage and batting average. The Rays lead the majors in runs scored. On the other hand, the Rangers offense has struggled recently and their .257 batting average is among the worst in the American League. The Rangers’ struggles at the plate are likely to continue against an old nemesis, Kazmir.

On the other hand, the Rays hot hitting should continue against Tommy Hunter. While he’s been respectable in two starst this season, Hunter is still 0-3 in his MLB career (five starts). Hunter has a 9.93 ERA and has a .356 BAA in his first five big league outings. Left-handers have been particularly troublesome, as he’s got more walks than strikeouts against lefties plus he has a .385 BAA versus left-handed hitters. Note that the Rays will have a few lefties and a few switch-hitters in their lineup on Friday night.

The Rays are 31-20 (+7.7) units against right-handed starters this season and they’ve won 11 of their last 18 (+3.9) vs. Texas. Consider Tampa

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Florida Marlins
Free Pick: Florida Marlins (-150) - Fri July 3rd 2009 6:10p
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Pittsburgh comes in with a 36-43 overall record this year while Florida is 41-39 on the season. Florida has won 3 in a row and 8 of their last 11 games overall. Pittsburgh is only 14-26 on the road this year. Charlie Morton is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 home games. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass. Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite. Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. We’ll recommend a small play on Florida tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Free MLB Picks: Colorado Rockies (-125) - Fri Jul 3rd 2009 8:10p
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The Rockies return home to host Arizona after a nine game road trip thru California. Going for the Rockies is Jorge De La Rosa who is 4-7 with a 5.64 ERA this season. De La Rosa is coming off a solid effort in Oakland going six innings and giving up two runs on five hits, while striking out five and walking only two hitters. De La Rosa is 1-2 with a 3.08 ERA all time against Arizona, having lost to them 2-0 in April on the road. In that game he gave up just two runs and six hits in 6.7 innings pitched. Arizona hits .224 against De La Rosa with Chris Snyder (2-11), Stephen Drew (2-10), Chris Young (2-9), Chad Tracy (1-6) and Mark Reynolds (1-6) struggling the most. Arizona is 8-14 against lefties this season averaging just 3.6 runs per game and hitting only .224.

Arizona will send Max Scherzer to the hill where he’s 5-5 with a 3.67 ERA. In his last three starts he’s given up 7 earned runs in 16.3 innings pitched going 2-1 in that span. He’s faced Colorado once losing 3-2 to them in Colorado. In that game he gave up three runs and seven hits in six innings. Garrett Atkins (2-3), Clint Barmes (1-3), Chris Ianetta (1-3) and Brad Hawpe (1-2) had the most success against him in that game. At home Colorado averages 5.8 runs per game and hit .279 as a team. The Rockies are also a fantastic 21-5 SU in their past 26 games.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds u9.5 (-110) - Fri July 3rd 2009 7:10p
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Joel Pineiro of the St. Louis Cardinals has been pitching well all season with very little to show for it, but the key to this Under could very well be Homer Bailey of the Cincinnati Reds.

Bailey was a highly regarded prospect in the Cincinnati system, and he showed some flashes of brilliance when he was first called two years ago. However, he regressed badly last season and found himself back in the minors until finally being recalled again to take his first 2009 Major League start on May 23, when he was bombed again.

However, after a brief return to the minors, he looked decent in his second start upon his recall vs. the Cleveland Indians last week, when he got the win while allowing three runs on only three hits in five innings. Now, he has the advantage of facing a struggling St. Louis offense that is averaging just 2.30 runs per game over the last 10 games while batting a horrific .213 as a team during this time.

As for Pineiro, he is probably the most unfortunate 6-9 pitcher in baseball, given his 3.44 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. In fact, Pineiro has now allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts, and yet he has gotten so little support for the quite Cardinal bats that they are only 2-6 as a team in those games. Naturally, that has made him a great Under pitcher, as it is 10-4-1 in all of his starts this year.

Tonight could be more of the same, especially if Bailey builds on his improved start the last time out, making for yet another Under.

MLB Free Pick: Cardinals, Reds Under 9.5 (-110)

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels
Free Pick: Los Angeles Angels (-147) - Fri July 3rd 2009 10:05p
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The last place Baltimore Orioles continue to struggle on the road. The Birds are now 11-24 away from Camden Yards following a 5-2 loss to the Angels on Thursday night.

Just about everywhere you look the numbers are bad for Baltimore. They’re 0-3 against the Halos this season and 7-21 in the last 28 meetings. The Orioles are just 3-7 in their last ten outings and are hitting just .236 on the road while posting an ERA of 6.01 as a visitor.

Tonight Baltimore will face Ervin Santana who has had two stints on the DL this season. It’s amazing how things can change in a year. In 2008 Santana was a member of the AL All-Star team. This season he’s had more stints on the disabled list than he has wins. Santana has been on the 15-day disabled list since June 23rd. He experienced stiffness in his throwing arm following a start in Tampa Bay. He’ll take the mound this evening with a 1-3 record and an ERA of 7.47 in six starts.

The Orioles will counter with David Hernandez who is 1-2 on the season with a 4.19 ERA. In his last three starts he?s had as many walks as strikeouts and his ERA is just a smidge under 5.

After a slow start with the bats, the Angels have come to life offensively. Los Halos have scored 34 runs in their last five games and Bobby Abreu has been a big reason for the increased production. Abreu, who homered twice on Thursday night, has driven in 27 runs since the start of June. The only hitter in the Al who has matched Abreu’s production is teammate Juan Rivera.

The Angels have somehow kept things together in a season where lesser teams would have unraveled. Even with a rusty Santana on the mound tonight, I like the Angels to keep things rolling.

Here is a rundown of today’s baseball betting odds and MLB lines from ATS Consultants for July 3rd 2009. If you are looking for free MLB baseball betting picks on a daily basis be sure to sign-up for the ATS newsletter, featuring unmatched sports wagering information, free picks and expert analysis.

Big weekend of Baseball for the Holiday gets off to a huge start with a full day of action. Big game at Wrigley this afternoon between the Brewers and Cubs, and the Mets go to Philadelphia to try to make up some ground in the NL East.

MLB Baseball Betting Odds: July 3rd 2009
Click Here for Current MLB Baseball Odds

Date # Team Money Spread Total
07/03/09 301 Brewers(Milwaukee) Suppan +150 Over 9
14:20 ET 302 Cubs(Chicago) Zambrano -170 Under 9

07/03/09 303 Pirates(Pittsburgh) Morton +140 Over 8.5
18:10 ET 304 Marlins(Florida) Volstad -160 Under 8.5

07/03/09 305 Braves(Atlanta) Kawakami -135 Over 9.5 (even)
18:35 ET 306 Nationals(Washington) Detwiler +115 Under 9.5 (-120)

07/03/09 307 Mets(NY) Hernandez +125 Over 10 (even)
19:05 ET 308 Phillies(Philadelphia) Lopez -145 Under 10 (-120)

07/03/09 309 Cardinals(StLouis) Pineiro -125 Over 9.5
19:10 ET 310 Reds(Cincinnati) Bailey +105 Under 9.5

07/03/09 311 Diamondbacks(Arizona) Scherzer +110 Over 9.5
20:10 ET 312 Rockies(Colorado) DeLaRosa -130 Under 9.5

07/03/09 313 Dodgers(LA) Kuroda -145 Over 7 (-125)
22:05 ET 314 Padres(SanDiego) Gaudin +125 Under 7 (+105)

07/03/09 315 Astros(Houston) Paulino +105 Over 8.5 (-105)
22:15 ET 316 Giants(SanFrancisco) Sadowski -125 Under 8.5 (-115)

07/03/09 317 BlueJays(Toronto) Tallet +165 Over 9.5 (-105)
13:05 ET 318 Yankees(NewYork) Burnett -185 Under 9.5 (-115)

07/03/09 319 Athletics(Oakland) Cahill even Over 9 (-115)
19:05 ET 320 Indians(Cleveland) Huff -120 Under 9 (-105)

07/03/09 321 Mariners(Seattle) Hernandez eOFF Over 8.5 (-120)
19:10 ET 322 RedSox(Boston) Wakefield -120 Under 8.5 (even)

07/03/09 323 Rays(TampaBay) Kazmir -135 Over 10.5 (-115)
20:05 ET 324 Rangers(Texas) Hunter +115 Under 10.5 (-105)

07/03/09 325 WhiteSox(Chicago) Danks +120 Over 7.5 (even)
20:10 ET 326 Royals(KansasCity) Greinke -140 Under 7.5 (-120)

07/03/09 327 Tigers(Detroit) French +140 Over 9 (-120)
20:10 ET 328 Twins(Minnesota) Slowey -160 Under 9 (even)

07/03/09 329 Orioles(Baltimore) Hernandez +135 Over 10 (-115)
22:05 ET 330 Angels(LAA) Santana -155 Under 10 (-105)

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2009 Mountain West College Football Predictions

TCU: TCU won 11 games last season and doesn’t seem to get the national respect. They face Virginia and Clemson on the road along with home games against Texas State and SMU. They take on BYU on the road and Utah at home. The big issue will be replacing six starters on defense, including two of the three safeties. 2009 TCU College Football Predictions

Utah: Utah hosts Utah State, then takes on San Jose State, Oregon on the road and Louisville at home. They beefed up their schedule somewhat from last season, though they couldn’t help that a road win against Michigan last season, meant a lot less than it used. Taking on BYU and TCU on the road will be very difficult. 2009 Utah College Football Predictions

BYU: The Cougars usually put up points on the board, but it will be difficult to match last year’s total of 34.2 with just four starters returning. They open with Oklahoma in Arlington, Texas, and then face Tulane on the road and Florida State as well as Utah State at home. It doesn’t get much tougher than that schedule and their biggest advantage is that they host Utah in the season finale. With Hall at the helm, the Cougars do have a legit shot at the MWC title. 2009 BYU College Football Predictions

Air Force: The schedule is pretty pedestrian, as they take on rivals Army at home and Navy on the road, along with Nicholls State at home and Minnesota on the road. Unfortunately, they also have to face BYU and Utah on the road. While they doesn’t look a top-three team, they could certainly make a minor bowl game and this might finally be the year they beat Navy on the road. 2009 Air Force College Football Predictions

Colorado State: CSU takes on their rival Colorado on the road to open, and then faces Weber State and Nevada at home. They face BYU and TCU on the road along with Utah at home. Unless they can find a quarterback, this will be a tough season though games against Idaho, Weber State, Nevada, Air Force, San Diego State and Wyoming at home, are certainly winnable and could be enough to put them over the top. 2009 Colorado State College Football Predictions

UNLV: Sanford is beginning to turn this thing around and a soft schedule doesn’t hurt. They open with Sacramento State at home, then face Oregon State and Hawaii at home. They also face rival Nevada on the road, along with TCU on the road and BYU and Utah, at home. This is a team that appears to be a year or two away from competing for a title. They could sneak in to get a minor bowl based on their soft schedule. 2009 UNLV College Football Predictions

New Mexico: The Lobos will be rebuilding this season, playing for a new coaching staff with a new system. They could have used an easier schedule, but instead, they have to face Texas A&M on the road to start the season. They also host Tulsa, New Mexico State and face Texas Tech on the road. Porterie should make this team very competitive, but give Locksley another year or two to get his recruits in and they will be a bowl team. 2009 New Mexico College Football Predictions

San Diego State: The Aztecs open at UCLA, but it gets easier after facing Southern Utah at home and Idaho on the road. They also have to face BYU and TCU at home, along with Utah on the road. It won’t matter as there are not many winnable games on the schedule unless they completely turn the defense around in one season, which is not realistic. 2009 San Diego State College Football Predictions

Wyoming: The Cowboys face Weber State at home, but then it gets rough after facing Texas at home and Colorado on the road. A road game against Florida Atlanta is winnable, but after that, they also face TCU and BYU at home, along with Utah on the road. This will be a learning curve for the Cowboys, who have to find the right players for the new system. 2009 Wyoming College Football Predictions

2009 Odds to Win Mountain West
(Odds Subject to Change - Estimated Payout for $100 Wager)
Click Here for Current College Football Odds
Note: The odds listed below are to win the National Championship. Stay tuned for updates on conference odds……

TCU +10000
Utah +12500
BYU +15000

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2009 Wyoming Cowboys Predictions
2008 Record: (4-8, 1-7)
Coach: Dave Christensen, 1st year (0-0)
Off. Coordinator: Marcus Arroyo (1st year)
Def. Coordinator: Bill Young (1st year)
Returning Starters: 17 (7 offense, 8 defense, kicker, punter)
Ret. Starting Quarterback: No

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Offense: The Cowboys have completely fallen off the map in MVC and hope to return under new coach Dave Christensen. The former offensive coordinator at Missouri needs to find a quarterback-and an offense. They averaged just 12.7ppg last season (119th, last in the nation) and 296 yards per game. It appears that juniors Karsten Sween (6-2, 229) and Dax Crum (6-4, 206) are the top candidates coming out of the spring. Crum is a juco transfer and originally an Arizona State signed, but struggled last season, throwing for 429 yards and was suspended for the spring game. They also brought in juco transfer Robert Benjamin and freshman Austyn Carta-Samuels. At running back, they lost Devin Moore and Wynel Seldon, who combined for nearly 2,000 yards. Junior Darius Terry (5-11, 209), who had a big spring, is the likely candidate. They return all three receivers, who will get a lot more action in the spread offense. Up front, they return three starters including both tackles.

Defense: The defense returns eight starters from a unit that allowed 27.8ppg (73rd in the nation) and 329.7 yards per game (38th in the nation). The unit has some talent, led by second-team All-MWC tackle John Fletcher (6-6, 272) and senior DE Mitch Unrein (6-4, 270). In the 3-4 scheme, they return two of the four starters, including sophomore LB Gabe Knapton (6-3, 238), who led the team in tackles with 92. In the secondary, brothers Marcell and Tashaun Gibpson will man both cornerback spots.

Outlook: The Cowboys face Weber State at home, but then it gets rough after facing Texas at home and Colorado on the road. A road game against Florida Atlanta is winnable, but after that, they also face TCU and BYU at home, along with Utah on the road. This will be a learning curve for the Cowboys, who have to find the right players for the new system.

This Mountain West conference prediction is courtesy of the ATS Sports Blog. If you are looking for winning college football betting picks be sure to choose ATS Consultants this year, A featured sports handicapping service on Touthouse.com

2009 San Diego State Aztecs Predictions
2008 Record: (2-10, 1-7)
Coach: Brady Hoke, 1st year (34-38 overall)
Off. Coordinator: Al Borges (1st year)
Def. Coordinator: Rocky Long (1st year)
Returning Starters: 18 (9 offense, 7 defense, punter, kicker)
Ret. Starting Quarterback: Yes (Ryan Lindley)

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Offense: Brady Hoke takes over a program that finished 2-10 last year and hasn’t won a league title since 1986 (WAC). The cupboard is not bare for Hoke as the Aztecs return sophomore QB Ryan Lindley (6-3, 205), who threw for 2,653 yards and 16 TDs as a freshman. They also return senior WR DeMarco Sampson (6-2, 210), who was hampered by injuries in his career, but was a standout in the spring, catching six passes for 181 yards. The leading returning receiver, Vincent Brown (631 yards), also returns along with Jon Toledo. The running game has got to be overhauled. Senior Atiyyah Henderson and junior Brandon Sullivan combined for less than 700 yards last season. The offensive line returns three starters from a line that allowed 21 sacks last year.

Defense: The defense returns seven starters from a unit that allowed a whopping 37.2ppg (113th in the nation) and 460.8 yards per game (113th). The only way to go is up and bringing in former New Mexico head coach Rocky Long to coach the defense was a strong move (3-3-5 scheme). Senior LB Luke Laolagi (6-1, 230) leads the defense with 99 tackles and three forced fumbles in 2008. They have to get some pressure on the quarter as they recorded just 13 sacks last year, led by 3.5 from returning end B.J. Williams (6-3, 250). The secondary returns just one starter in CB Aaron Moore, and will have to employ three new safeties including the LOBO position.

Outlook: The Aztecs open at UCLA, but it gets easier after facing Southern Utah at home and Idaho on the road. They also have to face BYU and TCU at home, along with Utah on the road. It won’t matter as there are not many winnable games on the schedule unless they completely turn the defense around in one season, which is not realistic.

This Mountain West conference prediction is courtesy of the ATS Sports Blog. If you are looking for winning college football betting picks be sure to choose ATS Consultants this year, A featured sports handicapping service on Touthouse.com