IUPU Indianapolis vs. Illinois
College Basketball Betting Pick: Illinois -12 -110 odds (December 6th 2016)
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The Illinois Fighting Illini have been an undervalued commodity here of late. They are coming off their two most impressive wins of the season, and now they are only laying 12 points at home to an overmatched IUPUI squad tonight.
Illinois beat NC State 88-74 as 2-point favorites in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. It followed that up with an even more impressive 64-46 victory over VCU on a neutral court as 6.5-point dogs, covering the spread by a whopping 24.5 points in the process.
IUPUI is 1-5 on the road this season, losing five of those games by double-digits. It lost by 10 at Eastern Kentucky, by 23 at Marquette and by 14 at Illinois State. It also lost 58-61 at SIU-Edwardsville as 7-point favorites. Those four results alone show that Illinois is easily capable of covering this 12-point spread tonight.
Illinois is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the past three seasons. The Fighting Illini are 7-0 ATS when playing against a bad team with a win percentage between 20% and 40% over the past three seasons, winning these games by 20.7 points per game on average. The Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. The Fighting Illini are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Bet Illinois Tuesday.
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