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Archive for July, 2011

MLB Picks: Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins Odds: July 30th 2011

Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins
MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves -142 odds (July 30th 2011)
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The Braves defeated the Marlins a fourth-straight time with Friday’s 5-0 win, and I expect them to have Florida’s number again Saturday.
 
The Marlins, who are just 8-23 in their last 31 games following a loss, haven’t been a good bounce back team. Plus, they have fallen well short against the league’s elite. Consider that Florida is only 5-22 in its last 27 games against clubs with a winning record. It is also worth noting that the Fish are 2-7 in scheduled starter Sanchez’s last 9 road starts versus a team with a winning record and 1-5 in his last 6 starts versus Braves.
 
The Braves, who are 15-4 in their last 19 home games, are in good hands with scheduled starter Hudson on the hill. The Braves are 5-0 in his last 5 Saturday starts and 13-6 in his last 19 starts versus the Marlins. We’ll bet the Braves.
 
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MLB Odds: Florida Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Pick: July 26th 2011

Florida Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
Pick: Washington Nationals -128 MLB odds (July 26th 2011)
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On Tuesday the MLB Free system play is on the Washington Nationals. Game 902 at 7:05 eastern. The Nationals apply to a solid system that has cashed 14 of 17 times and plays on certain home favorites off a road dog loss by 2 or more runs vs an opponent off a home favored win and scored 5 or more runs. Very simple and very effective. The Nationals are 10-3 with a day off and are scoring 5 runs per game the past week. They have J. Zimmernan going and they have won 7 of his last 9 starts. Florida counters with R. Nolasco and they have lost 12 of his last 15 starts. These two hooked up down in Florida on May 6th with Washington winning that one. Look for them to take game one of the series tonight. On Tuesday the lead play is from a 96% totals system that wins by over 5 runs per game + a 22-4 totals system. Monday card sweeps with both totals cashing over Texas and over St. Louis. Jump on now and cash out on Tuesday as bases stays hot. For the free play take Washington. RV

MLB Lines: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies Pick: July 25th 2011

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -110 MLB Line (July 25th 2011)
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Dodgers -115 (2* FREE PLAY) The Dodgers have been on a little roll winning 3 of 4 and are at home against the struggling Rockies whose starters have a 5.48 ERA in 11 games since the All Star break. It looks like we have two young starters going in this one and I’m backing the home starter in Rubby De La Rosa who has a 2.50 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Rubby has looked good and has some nice movement on his pitches in a couple starts I saw from him he’s looked good. He’s got a 8.70 K/9 ratio and a 3.35 xFIP while in AAA this year he had 11.70 K/9 so we know he can dominate a line up. His main issues have been control and with an anxious team in Colorado coming to town because they have struggled to hit I think he can take advantage. Rockies are 7-15 in their last 22 in LA and are 18-44 in their last 62 road games as an under dog.

Juan Nicasio has been one bright spot since the All Star break for the Rockies, but oddly enough he’s not getting it done on the road. In 4 road starts he has a 9.00 ERA and a 1.89 WHIP and although he’s facing a Dodgers line up that has not hit a bunch he has to still pitch to Matt Kemp who went 2-3 with a homer off him in his lone start vs. the Dodgers. Also the Dodgers seem to hit in this series for whatever reason as they are hitting .297 scoring 5.9 runs in the last 9 match ups. Also Dodgers bullpen is pitching well 1.82 over last 13 games while the Rockies have struggled 4.80 over last 10 which could be a major factor with two young pitchers who will not go deep into games.

MLB Baseball Predictions: Rockies vs. Dodgers Odds: July 25th 2011

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB Prediction: Colorado Rockies +108 odds (July 25th 2011)
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert MLB baseball predictions from Jimmy Boyd

Off back-to-back blowout defeats, expect Colorado to get back in the win column against an L.A. club playing below .500 ball at home. The Rockies have the edge on the mound with scheduled starter Juan Nicasio. He has had some issues on the road, but I don’t him to have much trouble against a Dodgers team that is scoring only 3.0 runs/game at home this season. The Rockies are 6-2 in Nicasio’s last 8 starts and he enters in top form. He’s allowed only 1 runs in his last 2 starts while going 7 innings in each. L.A. scheduled starter Rubby De La Rosa is 0-3 with an ERA of 4.94 in 4 home starts this season, and the Dodgers are 1-5 in his last 6 starts overall. The Dodgers squeaked out a pair of close wins against Washington in their last 2 games but are only 3-10 in home games after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. They are losing by an average score of 5.4 to 1.7 in this spot.  Also, the Rockies have won 8 of their last 11 series openers. Take Colorado.
 
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MLB Picks: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds: July 22nd 2011

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves -113 odds (July 22nd 2011)
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Jair Jurrjens is coming off easily his worst start of the season as he allowed six runs in five innings against Washington which makes this a perfect time to back him. He came into that game with a 1.87 ERA which shows how dominant he has been all season so one game cannot dictate what will take place going forward. On the road he has a 1.96 ERA in eight starts, all of which have been quality outings. He has not fared well in his career against the Reds but allowed one run in eight innings in his start this season.

Bronson Arroyo heads to the bump for Cincinnati and he is in the midst of a rough stretch. He has tossed four straight non-quality starts, posting an 8.25 ERA in the process. Only nine of his 19 starts on the season have been quality games and while he has been a little better at home, he is 3-7 with 5.35 ERA. He has been awesome during the day but at night, it is a different story as he has posted a 7.15 ERA in 13 starts under the lights. In his career against the Braves, Arroyo has a 5.70 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in 13 starts. 3* (909) Atlanta Braves

2011 Green Bay Packers Predictions & Odds To Win The Super Bowl

2011 Green Bay Packers Predictions
Odds to win the Super Bowl: 7-1
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Can the Green Bay Packers Repeat – and Break the Bank While Doing So?

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers and the Green bay Packers will look to pull off the rare feat of winning consecutive Super Bowls when they take the field for the 2011 NFL campaign but what NFL gamblers everywhere need to know is whether or not the Packers will break the bank in doing so.

This mini-preview on the Packers upcoming 2011 campaign and their betting possibilities will help avid NFL gridiron gamblers everywhere (10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS, 6-10 O/U) as they try to get a handle on the Packers.

The Packers won 10 games and finished with a solid 9-7 ATS mark that included five road ATS wins and I believe NFL bettors can almost certainly expect the Pack to do so again with a road schedule in 2011 that doesn’t look that daunting, particularly outside the division, (San Diego, New York Giants, Oakland, Denver) if you ask me.

I think the Packers could be better in 2011 if for no other reason than the fact that they likely won’t have to battle as many injuries as they did during their injury-plagued 2010 campaign.

Green Bay battled multiple injuries to many of their key players including two concussions to Rodgers, but somehow managed to finish with a 10-6 record in the regular season and 4-2 mark in the NFC North.

The Packers finished ninth in total offense and fifth in passing, but finished just 24th in rushing. Luckily, the Packers found their new starting running back late in the regular season in surprising second-year back James Starks.

The overpowering rookie became a focal point of the Packers’ offense on multiple occasions in the postseason.

Another thing I think NFL gamblers can bank on concerning the Packers in 2011 is the fact that their strong defense will help them to play Under the Over/Under Total more often than not.

Green Bay ranked second in the league in points allowed (15.0) per game to finish with 10 Under outcomes during the regular season and I believe more of the same is in store for 2011.

Defensively, Green Bay finished fifth in total yards and passing yards despite finishing 18th against the run.

With linebackers Clay Matthews and A.J. Hawk, space-eating defensive tackle B.J. Raji and the Packers stellar defensive backfield, led by Hall of Famer Charles Woodson, I am full expecting Green Bay’s defense to be above average at the least.

NFL gamblers should know that the Packers’ injuries likely caused them to get off to a uninspiring 2-4 ATS starts after a half-dozen games before they picked up the pace to go 7-3 ATS over their last 10 regular season games.

Rodgers helped the Packers cash in against the spread in all four of the Packers’ postseason games, including twice as a road underdog.

Outlook: If they can keep Rodgers upright and in good health – while not losing any other significant starters, I think it’s quite possible the Packers can surpass last season’s 10-win total by at least two games.

I’m going to pencil in the defending champs for 12 wins right now and another winning 9-7 ATS mark that looks even better when you consider the fact that they won’t be getting a lot of favorable odds.

The fact of the matter is that the Green Bay Packers are just too talented to not succeed in 2011. Equaling their success of last season will take a big effort, but clearly, a repeat performance is not out of the question for the still-loaded Green Bay Packers. -By Eric Williams

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