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Browns vs. Ravens Point Spread: Week 3 NFL Picks: September 26th 2010


M&T Bank Stadium will be the host to Week 3 AFC North NFL betting action on Sunday, September 26th when the Baltimore Ravens play host to the division rival Cleveland Browns. The L/4 meetings have been dominated by the Ravens with them outscoring the Browns 115-40 since 2008. Last season saw the Ravens win and cover both games winning the first meeting in Baltimore 34-3 as 13.5-point favorites and taking the second game 16-0 as 10.5-point chalk.

Point Spread: Oddsmakers have the Ravens currently listed as 10.5-point favorites with the game ‘total’ set at 37.5; kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Cleveland comes into this division matchup with the 13th passing attack and the 22nd ranked ground game in the NFL. Patrick Hillis led the pretty non-existent ground attack with 35 of the 55 rushing yards accumulated during the game and added a TD run. The Browns gained 229 yards and a TD through the air. Josh Cribbs shined through during a pretty lousy game with a TD catch and 74 yards. The offense converted 4-of-13 third down attempts and got 13 first downs. They had two turnovers and lost the time of possession battle by nearly seven minutes. The defense allowed 176 yards passing and 140 yards rushing and forced a pair of turnovers.

If Baltimore wants any hope of getting to the Super Bowl it needs to take a big look at its offense that ranks 21st in passing and 26th in rushing while only scoring an average of 10 PPG the first two weeks. Joe Flacco passed for only 154 yards and a TD while tossing an unacceptable four interceptions. The rushing attack ran for 104 yards including Ray Rice’s 87 yards. They converted only 4-of-15 third down attempts and 14 first downs. They had four turnovers with a T.O.P. of 25:44. The ‘D’ recorded one sack, INT and fumble recovery.

Cleveland has cashed six of its L/7 pointspread battles against AFC opposition, while against the AFC North, it is 4-1 ATS in its L/5 games, and 0-5 ATS its L/5 September games. Baltimore has been a $$$-maker against teams with a losing record cashing 11 of its L/13 tries ATS, while during the month of September it’s gone 7-1 ATS in its L/8 tries. They have struggled against the AFC North winning only one of their L/6 tries (1-4-1 ATS).

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