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2008 Belmont Stakes Odds

Horse Betting PicksJune 5th, 2008

2008 BELMONT STAKES ODDS 

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2008 BELMONT STAKES ODDS
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Current Belmont Stakes Betting Odds, Post Positions and Horses
All Odds Subject to Change
Numbers Below are Expected Payout on a $100 Bet, With Big Brown returning $100 for every $300 Bet
.

Big Brown  -320
Guadalcanal +4000
Macho Again  +3000
Denis of Cork  +800
Casino Drive - Scratched
Da’Tara +3300
Take of Ekati  +1600
Anak Nakal  +4000
Ready’s Echo  +3500
Icabad Crane  +3500

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2008 Belmont Stakes: Betting the Winning Exacta & Trifecta

Horse Betting Picks, Sports Handicappers ArticlesMay 22nd, 2008

BELMONT STAKES EXACTA, TRIFECTA BETTINGBig Brown has a chance to make history this year in this years online betting 2008 Belmont Stakes event. No horse has won the Triple Crown, made up of the Kentucky Derby, the Preakness Stakes, and the Belmont Stakes, since Affirmed in 1979. That means folks betting on horses will have all eyes on Big Brown come June 7th.

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 So will all of the money. That means, of course, that Big Brown will almost undoubtedly go off as one of the shortest priced favorites in the history of the Belmont. Not only that, but for true BetUS online racebook betting fans Big Brown presents a very real problem. How will any real online racebook handicapper make any money on a short-priced favorite like Big Brown?

The answer is in the exotics. Big Brown’s win in the Kentucky Derby, when he went off as the 5 to 2 favorite, yielded a plus $3,000 trifecta. His win in the Preakness, when he went off the 1 to 5 favorite, yielded a trifecta over $300.

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What the above shows is that a very astute online handicapper can make money on a race like the Belmont Stakes even though the horse most likely to win will be going off at less then even money. How does a handicapper do this? And, more importantly, is it possible in this year’s rendition of the Belmont Stakes?

The answer to both questions is yes.

First, online handicappers must realize that placing money on a horse to win, place and/or show when that horse is going off at less then even money is useless. Some might even call it stupid. The idea in betting horses is to get the most out of you what you wager. In other words you are looking for good online betting wagers, not for the winner of the race.

An example would be the win wager on Big Brown to finish first in the Preakness Stakes. His odds were a paltry 1 to 5. Big Brown did win but returned 40 cents profit for every $2 dollars wagered on him. That’s a tremendous underlay in horse racing terms.

However, the exacta of over $36 for a $2 bet to Macho Again, who figured to finish no worse then fourth in the race, was actually very nice. If you had simply keyed Big Brown over four other horses in the Preakness, and Macho Again had been one of them, then you would have made a profit of $28. It would have cost you $8, the pay-out was $36, for a profit of $28. Even if you had gone for the “big money” and keyed those same four horses on top of Big Brown, you still would have yielded a profit of $20.

That’s not bad. The best thing about this year’s Belmont Stakes is that the same logic applies with an added twist.

Because most online racebook handicappers have pegged Casino Drive as the best chance to take down Big Brown, those brave enough to make some hard decisions when figuring out their Belmont Stakes online bets will not doubt put themselves into a position to make an absolute killing on the 2008 Belmont Stakes.

Again, the idea is to look for good wagers, not for the winner. Here’s the thing - - Big Brown is going to go off at 1 to 5. What will Casino Drive go off at? Probably 6 to 5. Because the public will see the Belmont Stakes as a two horse race, almost all of the exacta, trifecta, win and place pools will have both Casino Drive and Big Brown eating up close to 80% of the money.

What then does an astute online racebook handicapper do? He drops one of those horses from his exacta and trifecta wagers.

That’s it. The likeliest outcome, Big Brown winning and Casino Drive finishing second, will also yield the least profits. It will also take a lot of money to even make the bet worthwhile.

Why worry? Take limited funds and drop either Big Brown or Casino Drive from your exacta and trifecta wagers. Sure, both Big Brown and Casino Drive figure to run like awesome machines in the Belmont Stakes, but nobody really knows what will happen once the gates open. War Emblem fell to his knees in the 2002 Belmont. Smarty Jones was caught by Birdstone in the 2004 Belmont. Not even the brilliant Spectacular Bid, who would have crushed Big Brown by about fifteen lengths, could win the Belmont Stakes and sweep the Triple Crown races in 1980.

The best thing to do, the best way to make the most money in this year’s Belmont Stakes, is to take a stand against one of the two favorites - - Big Brown or Casino Drive - - and then take a few bucks and go for a home-run.

It makes a lot more sense then putting $1,000 on Big Brown’s nose and hoping for over two minutes that he can pull something off that no other horse has done in thirty years or putting the win money on Casino Drive and hoping, almost beyond hope, that he could win a 1 ½ mile race in only his third lifetime start.

Sometimes the smartest online wagers are the ones that cost the least.

Article Courtesy of D.S. Williamson, A Professional Horse Handicappers at Betus Online Racebook

Can Casino Drive Beat Big Brown in the 2008 Belmont Stakes?

Horse Betting Picks, Sports Handicappers ArticlesMay 22nd, 2008

CASINO DRIVE 2008 BELMONT STAKES PICKS ODDSAlready BetUS online racebook enthusiasts are looking forward to the supposed horse wagering matchup and online betting opportunity between Big Brown and Casino Drive at this years prestigious Belmont Stakes. Big Brown, the winner of both the 2008 Kentucky Derby and the 2008 Preakness Stakes, and arguably one of the best horses to attempt the Triple Crown, if not the best, since Spectacular Bid in 1980, is a verifiable monster.

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Big Brown’s past performances are breathtaking. He broke his maiden going 1 1/16th mile on the Saratoga turf course by 11 ½ lengths. He came off the shelf and won an allowance race by 12 ¾ lengths. He then absolutely dominated his peers in the Florida Derby by 5 ½ lengths. If you are a BetUS online sportsbook horse racing fan and haven’t seen what he did in this year’s Kentucky Derby and this year’s Preakness Stakes, then you’d better find those races on-line. Big Brown was terrific. He dominated from beginning to end and ran by his fellow 3-year olds like they were standing still.

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Why then does any online betting fan believe that Casino Drive has a chance against Big Brown in the Belmont Stakes?

Maybe online wagering fans shouldn’t. The truth about Casino Drive is that the Belmont Stakes, run at 1 ½ miles, will be only the third start of his life. That’s a tall order for any horse. He also will have Yutaka Take on his back. Take, perhaps the greatest Japanese jockey of all time, has never done well stateside. That’s another knock against the son of Mineshaft. Finally, Casino Drive just might not be as good as Big Brown - - no 3-year old in the world may be - - and there is a good chance that no matter what Take does on him, he won’t touch Richard Dutrow’s charge in the Belmont Stakes.

But there are reasons to like Casino Drive as well. In fact there’s a reason to believe that Casino Drive should beat Big Brown. Yes, I just wrote that. Not only should Casino Drive challenge Big Brown, but he should probably beat Big Brown in the Belmont Stakes. Now, I’m not ready to go out on a limb in all of my exotics wagers just yet, but there is a specific piece of information that tells me as an online betting racebook fan that Casino Drive might be in better position to win the Belmont Stakes then Big Brown.

 I’ll get to that in a moment. First, here are some of the other reasons that a lot of punters are all over Casino Drive in the 2008 Belmont Stakes.

Casino Drive is a half brother to Belmont Stakes Winners Jazil and Rags to Riches. The key with this angle is understanding that Jazil and Rags to Riches have the same mother as Casino Drive. A lot of turf breeders believe that a horse’s stamina comes from his or her mother’s side. Speed comes from his or her father’s side. The fact that Casino Drive comes out of Mineshaft (that’s his daddy) and the mare Better Than Honour says that he should have no trouble negotiating the 1 ½ miles distance of the Belmont Stakes if his two lifetime races have given him enough of a bottom.

Casino Drive ran faster in the Peter Pan Stakes then Big Brown did in the Preakness Stakes. It depends on the speed rating that you adhere to, but the ones I use tell me that Casino Drive ran much faster in the Peter Pan Stakes then Big Brown ran in the Preakness Stakes. Granted, Kent Desormeaux was pretty much galloping Big Brown before the horse crossed the finish line first in the Preakness Stakes, but I still believe that Casino Drive was more impressive in his Peter Pan win.

Casino Drive will be a fresher horse in the Belmont Stakes while Big Brown will be tired after having to run in the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes in the span of four weeks. This one I will argue until the cows come home. No matter what you think of Big Brown there is no way for a horse not named Secretariat to not be tired after running two races in the span of four weeks then coming back a week later and running 1 ½ miles on the Belmont Park dirt strip. Big Brown is not Secretariat. He may not look tired and he may not act tired, but he’s tired.

Now I want to write about the key reason why I think Casino Drive should probably win the Belmont Stakes. It has to do with pace. While Big Brown’s pace ratings tell me that he is a traditional hang around the pace-setters then run then run them into the ground horse, Casino Drive is different. Big Brown attends to a fast pace, then he gets past the leaders, then he olds off the closers. More often then not Big Brown will run fast early and then slower late. This is the classic way that truly great horses win races. Think about Tiznow in your earlier years as an online racebook fan.

Casino Drive is different. What he did in the Peter Pan was remarkable not because he won by 5 ¾ lengths but because he did by getting faster as the race went on. That’s remarkable considering the fact that Casino Drive didn’t break all that well in the Peter Pan.

By the 1st call Casino Drive was only two lengths behind the front-runners in the Peter Pan. By the 2nd call, Casino Drive was still only 2 lengths behind the frontrunners. By the top of the stretch Casino Drive was a full 2 ½ lengths in front of everybody else. He increased his advantage in the lane.

The key is to understand that Casino Drive ran the last 16th of a mile in the Peter Pan in 12 seconds. That’s what superior turf horses do. He did this while, like Big Brown, attending a very fast pace. The six furlongs in the Peter Pan was run in 1:10 and change. That’s fast sprinter’s speed at Belmont.

When you put it altogether, Casino Drive might be the better horse just based on pace ratings than Big Brown.

That means that Casino Drive might be the horse to beat in the Belmont Stakes and not Big Brown.

Article Courtesy of D.S. Williamson, A Professional Horse Handicappers at Betus Racebook

Will Big Brown Win the 2008 Belmont Stakes & Triple Crown?

Horse Betting Picks, Sports Handicappers ArticlesMay 22nd, 2008

2008 BIG BROWN BELMONT STAKES ODDSEighteen times since World War II horses went into the Belmont Stakes and a possible date with destiny to become a Triple Crown champion.

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That always reminds me of the 1942 pop hit that rings true today: “I’ve Heard That Song Before.” It was featured in the film appropriately entitled “Youth on Parade” — the year after Whirlaway became the fifth 3-year-old to perform the feat since Sir Barton in ’19.

Eighteen times the racing gods crushed Triple Crown horse race betting dreams since ’44 when Pensive lost by a half-length to Bounding Home. Actually, Belmont Park has been the Graveyard of Champions, even more so than Saratoga.

Close but no cigar has never been so telling: 0-8-5. In addition, five off-the-board runners in the Belmont included three fourth-place finishes.

Since Affirmed edged Alydar in ’78, I’ve had my fingers crossed 10 times that we’d see a Triple Crown champ.

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In ’79, Spectacular Bid, the 1-5 favorite in a field of eight, looked unbeatable riding a 12-race winning streak that including seven straight victories as a sophomore.

The son of Bold Bidder, attempting to become the fourth Triple Crown champ during the ’70s, was bumped at the break and fell behind early. However, by the time he hit the stretch he was in command.

But Spectacular Bid weakened in the drive and wound up third. After the race, trainer Doug Delp revealed a safety pin had been found in one of his hooves the morning of the race. That caused a serious infection and the colt was sidelined for a while.

Big Brown is the seventh horse in the past dozen years with eyes focused on America’s most treasured racing record I’m hoping the son of Boundary has better luck that the past six. Let’s return to those June afternoons of yesteryear:

June 7, 1997: Silver Charm gave Bob Baffert three chances in six years to saddle a Triple Crown winner. The colt fought for the lead several times in the seven-horse field before getting in front of Free House during the drive. Then Touch Gold appeared on the far outside in deep stretch and rocketed to the wire first by three-quarters of a length.

June 6, 1998: Baffert sent out Real Quiet against 10 challengers. Up by four lengths at the eighth pole, the Kentucky Derby-Preakness Stakes winner began to shorten stride and bear out, which some experts said would have disqualified him if Victory Gallop hadn’t got his nose in front.

June 5, 1999: D. Wayne Lukas saddled Charismatic in a 12-horse field. After dueling with Silverbulletday much of the way, he tried to hold off Lemon Drop Kid and Vision and Verse, who hit the wire heads apart in that order. Sensing a bad step after Charismastic finished third, Chris Antley pulled him up and held the left foreleg to prevent further injury. Successful surgery sent the horse to stud.

June 8, 2002: Baffert’s War Emblem, facing 10 rivals, stumbled and nearly fell to his knees leaving the gate. After working his way from fifth to the lead after six furlongs, he dropped out of contention at the top of the stretch and ran eighth – the worst finish of any Derby-Preakness winner.

June 7, 2003: Funny Cide was only opposed by five challengers, the smallest field since ’94 when Preakness winner Tabasco Cat defeated Derby champ Go for Gin. Empire Maker, who skipped the Preakness after running second in the Derby, defeated third-place finisher Funny Cide in the slop as Ten Most Wanted ran second.

June 5, 2004: Smarty Jones entered the race hoping to join Seattle Slew (’77) as the only undefeated winners of the Triple Crown. Breaking from the outside post against eight foes, he took over after a mile and increased his lead to 3 ½ lengths with a quarter-mile to go. Birdstone, making up ground in the stretch, closed steadily to win by a length.

Article Courtesy of Grek Melikov, A Professional Horse Handicapper featured at Betus Racebook

2008 Preakness Stakes Picks: Winning Horse, Winning Exacta, Winning Trifecta

Horse Betting PicksMay 14th, 2008

2008 PREAKNESS STAKES WINNING PICKSClick Here To Purchase The Winning Horse, Exacta and Trifecta for the 2008 Preakness Stakes
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2008 Preakness Odds, Horses & Post Positions

Horse Betting PicksMay 8th, 2008

2008 PREAKNESS ODDS POST POSITIONS

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2008 PREAKNESS STAKES
Current Preakness Stakes Post Positions, Horses and Odds

1. Macho Again (Julien Leparoux, 20-1 Odds)
2. Tres Borrachos (Tyler Baze, 30-1 Odds)
3. Icabad Crane (Jeremy Rose, 30-1 Odds)
4. Yankee Bravo (Alex Solis, 15-1 Odds)
5. Behindatthebar (David Flores, 10-1 Odds)
6. Racecar Rhapsody (Robby Albarado, 30-1 Odds)
7. Big Brown (Kent Desormeaux, 1-2 Odds)
8. Kentucky Bear (Jamie Theriot, 15-1 Odds)
9. Stevil (John Velazquez, 30-1 Odds)
10. Riley Tucker (Edgar Prado, 30-1 Odds)
11. Giant Moon (Ramon Dominguez, 30-1 Odds)
12. Gayego (Mike Smith, 8-1 Odds)
13. Hey Byrn (Charles Lopez, 20-1 Odds)

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Can Anyone Beat Big Brown? 2008 Preakness Stakes Preview

Horse Betting PicksMay 8th, 2008

2008 PREAKNESS STAKES BIG BROWN

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Some might say that Big Brown’s performance this past online horse wagering Saturday in the Kentucky Derby is the sign that he is indeed a super-horse. After all, he attended a quick pace from the 20 hole and pretty much ran a lot of his other 3-year old counterparts into the ground.

A lot of very good horsemen, with a lot more knowledge regarding horse racing then me, have pegged Big Brown as the 2008 winner of the Triple Crown. He’s the only one who has a shot as the winner of the Kentucky Derby, and the Preakness Stakes, the second leg of the Triple Crown, looks like a shoo-in for him…but I’m not sold.

Not yet. Maybe, it’s the fact that horse racing has changed to the point that I just can’t believe in a horse with soft feet like Big Brown. Maybe, it’s the fact that I checked out his Kentucky Derby run again and realized that he didn’t run as fast as it looked during the actual running. Brown finished the Kentucky Derby with a winning time of 2:01. That’s about what Street Sense did last year. The question now becomes is there a new shooter out there who can take Big Brown down?

 I think that there is. We need to remember the hype regarding Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000. FuPeg was the undisputed Triple Crown winner until Red Bullet beat him down in the Preakness. It can happen again with my upset special horse. Whether he makes the Preakness or not depends on a work this weekend, but I do believe that if trainer Todd Pletcher puts my number one ranked Derby prospect into the race, there will be no winner of the Triple Crown this year.

2008 Preakness Stakes Preview

1. Harlem Rocker - - His BetUS online racebook odds are currently 9 to 2. Since there shouldn’t be more then six or seven horses in the Preakness field, this guy is easily the top pick to upset Big Brown and to win the Preakness stakes. He’s bred to be a runner. He is undefeated, had to check at the break in his last race which shows he can overcome trouble, and trains super fast. He runs for Todd Pletcher which means you know that he is a quality horse.

2. Big Brown - - BetUS online racebook odds of 1 to 3 actually make the Kentucky Derby winner an overlay. If you think I’m full of it with Harlem Rocker, then please log onto the BetUS online racebook site and bet this guy to win right now! His odds will be 1 to 9 in the Preakness. So, 1 to 3 are excellent odds.

3. Recapturetheglory - - Here’s hoping that Louis Roussell III puts his speedster into the Preakness. Recapturetheglory is a quality enough animal to stick it to Big Brown on the lead. He also will find the 1 3/16th miles of the Preakness much more to his liking. If he gets the lead, Big Brown will have to go with him - - or not. If not, then Recapturetheglory could pull an upset. He would be hard to run down in the lane at Pimlico.

4. Riley Tucker - - Like Louis Roussell III, the trainer of this one, Bill Mott, hasn’t committed to the Derby. Trust me, he should. This horse is moving in the right direction for Mott and the Preakness is a much easier race for turf trainers, like Mott, to switch their horses to the dirt then the Kentucky Derby is. The BetUS online racebook hasn’t released odds on this guy yet. No worries. Once Mott commits we’ll be staring at 50 to 1. Article Courtesy of D.S. Willaimson of BetUs

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2008 Kentucky Derby Odds, Picks & Predictions

Horse Betting Picks, Free Sports PicksMay 2nd, 2008

2008 DERBY PICKS ODDSOddsmaker Keith Glantz breaks down every horse for this weekend’s 2008 Kentucky Derby and gives you his picks & predictions. Glantz has been one of the sharpest sports betting minds in Las Vegas for over 25 years and he knows his ponies.

1. Cool Coal Man (20-1 Odds) – Toss out his last, the Blue Grass, as it came over the synthetic surface at Keeneland. However even in his best efforts, winning the Fountain of Youth and the two Allowance races, it’s questionable whether he’s quick enough to capture the $1,240,000.

2. Tale of Ekati (15-1 Odds) – One of six horses with only two starts this year - Court Vision, Colonel John, Monba, Recapturetheglory and Big Brown are the others. Ekati’s Wood Memorial victory certainly gives him a shot although he received a perfect trip in that one. He flattened out in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last year finishing 13 lengths back of Pyro.

3. Anak Nakal (30-1 Odds) – This one’s effort in the Wood actually was better than his 5th place finish but his Louisiana Derby and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile races left much to be desired. Anak will need a reversal of form here and his 46 and change work last week was a step in the right direction.

4. Court Vision (20-1 Odds) – Closed well for 3rd in the Fountain of Youth and then again in the Wood so the added distance here can only help. That closing kick can’t be ignored and I would expect it’ll show up on the tote board. Can’t ignore.

5. Eight Belles (20-1 Odds) – The only filly in the race and she’s never run against the boys. Belles has won four straight and her grandpappy is Unbridled but I doubt that’s enough to hit the board.

6. Z Fortune (15-1 Odds) – Achieved a 102 Beyer in his last, 2nd behind Gayego in the Arkansas Derby, and split Pyro and Visionaire after taking the lead at the top of the stretch in the Risen Star at the Fairgrounds earlier in the year. Bears consideration.

7. Big Truck (50-1 Odds) – Another that didn’t take well to the synthetic surface at Keeneland but other than that Tampa Derby win, not much can be said about this one.

8. Visionaire (20-1 Odds) – Ran 3rd to Pyro and Z Fortune in his first attempt at a Stakes race (Grade 3. He then won the Gotham in the fog at New York before going 10 wide to close six lengths back in the Grade 1 Blue Grass. Watch the tote board on Visionaire. He’s a tough one to figure with works that have been rather uneventful.
 
9. Pyro (6-1 Odds) – The early favorite before that Blue Grass disaster, but again, another that couldn’t handle the synthetic surface. Couldn’t seem to get by War Pass last year but doesn’t have to worry about that one here. He certainly can’t be overlooked especially since he was clearly the best in his two wins this year; the Risen Star and Louisiana Derby. Pyro is the top money earner in this race.

10. Colonel John (4-1 Odds) – Morning line 2nd choice with four wins and two seconds in his six lifetime races. The Colonels backers boast that he’s the best from the West after his Santa Anita Derby win and pointing out that Gayego won the Arkansas Derby after all his previous races were in the West on the synthetic surfaces. Others will say that he’s never been tested on the dirt (all six races on the West Coast version of the synthetic surface). Has served notice especially after that five furlong bullet drill Sunday (57&4).

11. Z Humor (30-1 Odds) – This “Z” finished 19-plus lengths back in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and hasn’t been very impressive in his efforts this year. His 3rd in the Illinois Derby was his best. Would need to improve dramatically to capture a part.

12. Smooth Air (20-1 Odds) – Was no match for Big Brown finishing 2nd, five lengths back in the Florida Derby and only has two races over a mile in his seven starts. However, don’t think that the added distance here will be a major problem but may be asking much to top his last effort.

13. Bob Black Jack (20-1 Odds) – One more West Coast horse that hasn’t ventured a trip on the dirt but showed good in the Santa Anita Derby, 2nd by a half-length behind Colonel John. Another horse with only two races over a mile but handled those two well. Should be close up, if not on top, in the early going.

14. Monba (15-1 Odds) – Big effort in winning the Blue Grass after a disastrous last place finish in the Fountain of Youth. While Monba broke his maiden (plus Blue Grass win) at Keeneland and won an allowance contest at Churchill, still can’t forgive that 39-plus length loss at Gulfstream.

15. Adriano (30-1 Odds) - Hasn’t raced since his Grade 2 victory in the Lanes End on March 22. Plus in his only race on the dirt (two on synthetic and four on the turf) this one finished 9th, 17 lengths back in the Fountain of Youth. Good luck.

16. Denis of Cork (20-1 Odds) – Won his first three races but didn’t fire in the Illinois Derby after going off as the even money favorite. You might want to consider that he’s off the Grade 2 Southwest Stakes victory at Oaklawn but the step up to the Grade 2 Illinois Derby was a disappointment.

17. Cowboy Cal (20-1 Odds) – Consistent sort after 3 wins and 2 seconds following his first maiden effort (7th by 11 ¼) but those 5 consisted of 4 turf races and 1 synthetic surface race. Yes, that garbage maiden race was on the dirt.

18. Recapturetheglory (20-1 Odds) – Clearly the best in the Grade 2 Illinois Derby with a 102 Beyer and 100 speed rating in his initial Stakes race. Likes to run on or near the front but doesn’t really have that much speed. Still, he certainly prefers the dirt to either the turf or the synthetic stuff.

19. Gayego (15-1 Odds) – Proved that a horse can make the transition from the synthetic surface to the dirt with his Arkansas Derby victory after two wins and two 2nds on the synthetic out West. Owns a 102 Beyer at Santa Anita and a 103 Beyer on the dirt (Oaklawn). Must be respected.

20. Big Brown (3-1 Odds) – The morning line favorite even with only three lifetime races. Of course all three were monster efforts, won by 11-plus breaking his maiden then by 12-plus in his only Allowance try and finally by his five-length drawing away win in the Florida Derby. But are three lifetime races enough? Remember Curlin last year? A front runner from the 20 post? Still, the one to beat according to Churchill’s Battaglia.

Kentucky Derby Picks:
1. Colonel John
2. Court Vision
3. Pyro
4. Big Brown

Good Luck and remember, everyone has an excuse for losing a horse race but the truth is that most lose because their horse runs too long in the same spot.

2008 Kentucky Derby Odds, Horses & Post Positions

Horse Betting PicksMay 1st, 2008

2008 KENTUCKY DERBY HORSES ODDS

134TH RUNNING OF THE KENTUCKY DERBY
Current 2008 Kentucky Derby Post Positions, Horses and Odds

1. Cool Coal Man - 50/1
2. Tale of Ekati - 25/1
3. Anak Nakal - 100/1
4. Court Vision - 20/1
5. Eight Belles - 16/1
6. Z Fortune - 12/1
7. Big Truck - 25/1
8. Visionaire - 20/1
9. Pyro - 7/1
10. Colonel John - 4/1
11. Z Humor - 50/1
12. Smooth Air - 25/1
13. Bob Black Jack - 50/1
14. Monba - 25/1
15. Adriano - 20/1
16. Denis of Cork - 14/1
17. Cowboy Cal - 50/1
18. Recapturetheglory - 25/1
19. Gayego - 25/1
20. Big Brown - 4/1

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2008 Kentucky Derby: Winning Exacta and Trifecta Betting Picks

Horse Betting PicksMay 1st, 2008

2008 KENTUCKY DERBY TRIFECTA EXACTA PICKSIn deciding on the winner of the 2008 Kentucky Derby BetUS online betting horseplayers should take the time to figure out potentially lucrative exacta and trifecta wagers. The reason is that, simply put, the huge pools for both the exacta and the trifecta in the Derby requires online horse betting gamblers to concentrate some of their bankroll on each of these bets.

No other race of the year demands online sportsbook betting horseplayers to utilize the “box” technique when creating wagers then the Kentucky Derby. The Derby will have 20 horses in it. After maybe two or three of those horses, every single other horse in the field will be going off at double-digit odds.

You could literally go one two three in terms of odds in your trifecta on the Derby and still come out with a huge, lucrative payout. That’s how large the Derby pools will be.

Take into account last years’ trifecta that paid a whopping $440 for a two dollar bet. Who were the first three finishers in last year’s Kentucky Derby? The three favorites on the board - - Street Sense, Hard Spun and Curlin.

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 It pays to play the trifecta and exacta on Kentucky Derby Day.

The key, of course, is structuring your wagers. A lot of very capable, very smart online bettors shy away from the box technique. The reason is because putting horses in boxes creates high front-end online wagers.

For instance, a $2 trifecta box with five horses in it will cost you $120 on the BetUS online racebook. A $2 exacta box with five horses will cost you $40 on the BetUS online racebook. If you had bet the trifecta and exacta in last year’s Kentucky Derby like what’s above and won, you would have yielded a profit of $62 on your exacta bet, and $320 on your trifecta bet. This is important to understand as it will help you construct your wagers this Saturday.

Okay, let’s take a closer look at the 134th Kentucky Derby and try to find clues as to how we should construct our exacta and trifecta wagers. Should we go ahead and use the box technique?

Maybe. The key with this year’s Kentucky Derby is how good you really feel about Big Brown. If he doesn’t win the race, then he may not finish in one of the top two spots. In that scenario it would make sense to use “key” horses over some long-shots in your exacta wagers. Of course, you will want to have a strong opinion on two of the horses. Let’s say that you like both Pyro and Colonel John. Then you would choose to play Colonel John and Pyro on top of some long-shots (designated below as L1, L2, L3, L4, L5).

Colonel John + Pyro (L1, L2, L3, L4, L5)

The above online wager would cost you $20.

If you like Big Brown, and really believe that he could just destroy the field this Saturday, then use Big Brown on top of some of your other favorite horses in higher-priced Exactas and then on long-shots in another exacta bet.

$10 Exacta Big Brown + (Pyro, Colonel John)
$2 Exacta Big Brown + (L1, L2, L3, L4, L5)

The first wager above would cost you $20.
The second wager above would cost you $10.

If you think that there are a lot of horses that could win the Derby this weekend, not just either Colonel John, Big Brown, or Pyro, then bet the five horse $2 exacta box with the five long-shots that you like.

[L1, L2, L3, L4, L5]

Again, that’s only a $40 wager.

The same strategy above applies to your trifecta wagers. The cost, of course, could be different.

$2 Tri- Colonel John + Pyro (L1, L2, L3, L4, L5) = $80
$10 Tri - Big Brown + (Pyro, Colonel John) = $20
$2 Tri - Big Brown + (L1, L2, L3, L4, L5) = $40
$2 Tri - [L1, L2, L3, L4, L5] = $120

There are a number of ways to structure your BetUS online wagers on the Kentucky Derby. By sticking with some basic rules regarding your feelings about the horses in the race, you could definitely come out on top this Saturday.

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