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Archive for the ‘NCAA Basketball Picks’ Category

Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio Basketball Point Spread Pick: January 16th 2018

Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio
College Basketball Point Spread Pick: BG +2.5 (January 16th 2018)
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Meeting one between Bowling Green and Miami-Ohio went to the RedHawks back on January 2nd 77-72 in a game that saw the Falcons miss 10 free throws and get out-rebounded by nine. Since then the RedHawks have lost two of three including a home contest against Western Michigan. I’m not a fan of their offense which has scored 70 points or less in three of their last five. Bowling Green has won two of their last three and has road wins at Eastern Michigan, Wisconsin Green Bay, Norfolk State, Drexel and Campbell with the only real road clunker being by 42 at ODU.

Balance is this team’s strength with five guys scoring 8.9 points per game or more. Bowling Green has covered in 11 of their last 18 at Miami-Ohio. I think they can win this one outright so the points are a gift.

Minnesota vs. Penn State Basketball Over-Under Prediction: January 15th 2018

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
College Basketball Pick: Under 148 points (January 15th 2018)
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I bet against the Gophers in their last game, and they lost by a whopping 34 points at home versus Purdue. Here is what I had to say prior to tip off: “The Gophers are coming off a home loss to Indiana, and they have lost two of three on the road so far. The Wildcats have won five of the last seven in this series, and they won their last home game against Minnesota by a whopping 24 points. The Gophers will miss two starters tonight, with guard Amir Coffey and center Reggie Lynch both out indefinitely. The pair have averaged over 24 points and 12 rebounds per game combined this season.” Granted that Penn State is a step down in competition from their previous two games against Northwestern and Purdue, the Gophers haven’t shown any evidence that they can compete in the BIG10 with their current roster.

Since the injury to Coffey, they have averaged less than 60 points per game. The total for tonight’s game looks a little high, it’s in fact higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between these two schools. Penn State has failed to reach the total in nine of it’s last 11 home games, while the Gophers have gone under in five straight overall.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Duke Blue Devils Basketball Prediction: January 13th 2018

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Duke Blue Devils
Basketball Prediction: Wake Forest +16 (January 13th 2018)
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I’ll gladly take my chances here with the Demon Deacons as a big road underdog against the Blue Devils. Wake Forest is just 1-4 in their last 5 and have dropped two straight, while Duke is fresh off a 35-point blowout win on the road against Pitt. I think that’s forced the oddsmakers hand into setting a drastically inflated number here. The Demon Deacons have been competitive in all 4 of their conference games, which includes a mere 4-point loss at UNC as a 14-point dog.

A blowout win over Pitt doesn’t exactly get me excited about Duke, as the Panthers are hands down the worst team in the ACC this year. Prior to that we saw the Blue Devils lose at NC State by 11 as a 12.5-point favorite. They also had their hands full at home against FSU, failing to cover as a 12-point favorite and started out ACC play with a 5-point loss as a 15-point favorite at BC.

Defense has been a major problem for Duke and that’s going to make it tough for them to blowout the Demon Deacons. Wake Forest can light it up, as they are averaging 77 ppg and are a dangerous 3-point shooting team, hitting 40% from behind the arc on the season. I think they do more than enough to keep this within the number. Give me the Demon Deacons +16!

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Rhode Island vs. St. Louis Basketball Prediction from Scott Spreitzer: January 9th 2018

Rhode Island vs. St. Louis
College Basketball Prediction: RI -8.5 points (January 9th 2018)
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I’m laying the points with Rhode Island on Tuesday.  Rhode Island has covered the spread against Saint Louis 10 times in a row, including a 34-point win on this court last year, which makes this game’s point spread look less daunting. The Rams are on a six-game winning streak straight up and have covered their last four, including an 81-60 blowout at George Washington on Saturday.  Rhode Island is 7-1-1 ATS its last nine road games and 15-5-1 ATS its last 21 games overall dating to last season.

The Rams are shooting 46.4 percent overall and 36.5 percent from 3-point range compared to 39.8 percent and 29.6 percent for the Billikens. Saint Louis is playing with only nine players due to injuries and arguably its best player, Jordan Goodwin, is doubtful with an ankle injury.  The Rams are 6-0 ATS their last six conference games and 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in St. Louis. We’re recommending a play on Rhode Island minus the points.  Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Arizona State vs. Utah Basketball Point Spread Pick from Jimmy Boyd: January 7th 2018

Arizona State vs. Utah
College Basketball Point Spread Pick: Utah +2.5 (January 7th 2018)
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I like the value here with the Utes catching points at home against the Sun Devils. The perception here is that Arizona State will rebound after watching their perfect 12-0 start come crashing to an end with a 78-84 loss at in-state rival Arizona and then a overtime loss at Colorado. I think the Sun Devils’ struggles are going to continue here on the road against Utah.

The Utes are a very difficult team to beat on their home floor and this is a less than ideal spot for Arizona State, who is playing their 3rd straight on the road and second road game in the last 4 days. The Sun Devils haven’t played on a their home floor since before Christmas, while Utah hasn’t left the comforts of Salt Lake City this new year. The Utes are 7-1 SU at home this season and are 30-15 ATS in their last 45 home games when listed as an underdog. Take Utah!

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Basketball Prediction from Jack Jones: January 6th 2018

Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss
College Basketball Prediction: Ole Miss -3.5 points (January 6th 2018)
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The Ole Miss Rebels will be highly motivated for a victory here today following a road loss at Georgia last time out.  Not to mention, they play their biggest rivals in the Mississippi State Bulldogs, so they should be max motivated here.

This is more of a play against Mississippi State, which I believe to be way overrated right now due to its 13-1 start.  That is evident with the fact that the Bulldogs are just 3-6 ATS, so they have been failing to meet expectations agains the spread, which is all that matters in our business.

What really stood out to me is that Mississippi State has only had to play one true road game all season.  And of course that was its loss, a 50-65 setback as 13-point underdogs at Cincinnati.  And the Bulldogs have played 12 of their first 14 games at home with only one neutral site game, which was an underwhelming 70-64 win as 14-point favorites against Southern Miss.

Ole Miss simply owns Mississippi State, too.  The Rebels are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  The home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.  The Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.  The Rebels are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 games following a loss.  Bet Ole Miss Saturday.