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Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Rebels Football Prediction: October 21st 2017

Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Rebels
College Football Prediction: Utah State +4 (October 21st 2017)

This line was quickly bet up from +2.5 to +4 earlier this week as the public wanted nothing to do with Utah State after back-to-back SU/ATS home losses. However, this line is starting to come back down and is still too high as my power ratings make this game a Pick’em. This road trip might actually help the Aggies refocus and Utah State was excellent in their most recent road game four weeks ago; an easy 61-10 win at San Jose State. UNLV blew a 27-0 lead at Air Force last week and lost 30-34. A hangover is definitely possible this week, and UNLV is just 1-2 SU/ATS at home this season which includes the biggest upset loss in history when Howard won 43-40 as a 44-point underdog at UNLV in September. The Rebels’ defense has struggled this season, allowing 33.5 points per game on 6.1 yards per play.

College Football Picks: Bet California and Arizona State on October 21st 2017

College Football Picks: October 21st 2017

Pick: California +3 (Bryan Leonard)
The Wildcats are off back to back straight up upset wins over UCLA and Colorado. But this club is just 2-7 SU on the road as of yet, with one of those victories coming at UTEP. Simply can’t trust this club to win by a margin on the road against a decent team. Arizona is +8 explosive plays this season, while Cal sits at +11. The difference is that the Bears have played a 34 spot tougher schedule. Cal has only permitted 16 explosive plays in six FBS games this year. Only one team has managed more than 17 points at the half. The Bears are on the rise and the markets are slow to adjust. With an extra day to prepare off a positive upset of Washington State, we back the host on Saturday.

Pick: Arizona State +9 (Dennis Macklin)
Don’t look now but the Arizona State Sun Devils look like they are playing to save Todd Graham’s job. After a slow 1-2 start, ASU has beaten Oregon and Washington at home as a double-digit dog and gave Stanford all it wanted in Palo Alto, easily covering the 17 point spread in a 10-point loss. The Pitchforks will never be more confident then they are here coming off 13-7 upset of No.5 UWub in a game where the defense held the Huskies to 36 points and 202 yards below their season average. Granted, Utah is 6-0 ATS this year, and has won and covered four straight in the series but … last year’s game was 28-26 late second half before the Utes pulled away with three gimme late scores. State not fat and happy after the Washington win and Utah really shouldn’t be laying double-digits to anyone with their LACK OF EXPLODICITY on offense. Let’s grab the points and say Utah 28-24.

Colorado vs. Washington State Football Prediction from Ben Burns: October 21st 2017

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Washington State Cougars
College Football Prediction: Colorado +10.5 (October 21st 2017)

Some of you will recall that I successfully played against the Cougars, at Cal, last week, the start of a 14-4 Fri/Sat/Sun streak. Washington State was “riding high,” entering that game. The 6-0 Cougs had a top-ten ranking and were coming off victories over USC and Oregon. They’d close as -16.5 point favorites.

Then, Friday The 13th got them. Something did, anyway. The Cougs didn’t show up and the Bears came away with a convincing 37-3 victory. Thats right. They beat the closing line by 50 points.

Off that rude awakening, I’m not sure that the Cougs are ready to be laying double-digits here.

Colorado, which beat WSU by 14 points last season, is 9-4 ATS its last 13 true road games. Both this season’s road games have been close, each decided by four or fewer points. Take a look at the visitors here.

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Florida Gators Football Prediction from Larry Ness: October 14th 2017

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Florida Gators
College Football Prediction: Texas A&M +3 (October 14th 2017)

The Texas A&M Aggies played Alabama tough last Saturday before falling 27-19 (not a bad effort for a team which was almost a 4-TD underdog!). It was A&M’s first SEC loss (2-1) and the Aggies take an overall 4-2 record into Saturday’s game in “the Swamp” against the Florida Gators (3-2, 3-1 in SEC play). The Gators beat Tennessee 26-20 when QB Franks connected on a 63-yard TD pass as time expired. The following game at Kentucky, the Gators rallied from a 27-14 deficit when backup QB Luke Del Rio connected on a short TD pass with 43 seconds remaining to cap Florida’s rally. The Gators won 28-27, extended their winning streak over the Wildcats to 31 games, the nation’s longest FBS streak. However, Florida’s “good fortune” ran out in its last outing,m falling 17-16 at home to LSU, when Eddy Pineiro missed the first extra point of his career in the third quarter and never got a chance to atone for it. He had made 46 in a row before that.

The Aggies played well defensively against Alabama, holding the Tide to 355 yards and a turnover while blocking a punt out of the end zone for a safety. However, cracking the ‘Bama defense was another story.  A&M managed a modest 308 yards and had three turnovers. While A&M struggled to run the ball vs. Alabama (like all teams), QB  Kellen Mond connected on 19-29 for 237 yards and a touchdown and interception while also running for a score. That said, led by Williams (422 yards) and Ford (321), A&M has averaged 224.8 YPG on the ground (22), so I expect them to greatly improve here vs the Gators.

Florida owns a quality defense but the offense continues to struggle. Head coach Jim McElwain has used both Feleipe Franks and Luke Del Rio at QB but both have their weaknesses. The Gators were not happy with their offensive production last Saturday, when they went 2-for-9 on third downs, totaled 302 yards and completed only 10 passes all game. “The expectation, I would say at this point, is to play at a faster pace,” told reporters this week. “Not every play is going to be perfect, but we need to be perfect on those ‘got to have it’ downs.” Bottom line is, after averaging just 23.2 and 23.9 PPG in McElwain’s first two seasons, the Gators are averaging 25.0 PPG in 2017, ranking 94th in the nation. Wasn’t McElwain brought in to “IMPROVE” the offense?

I realize that the Gators are 13-2 SU at home under McElwain and the Aggies aren’t “getting much help” from the oddsmakers in this one but I don’t like anything about this current Florida team. Take however many points you can with A&M.

Texas State vs. UL-Lafayette NCAAF Over-Under Pick from Doug Upstone: October 12th 2017

Texas State vs. UL-Lafayette
NCAAF Over-Under Pick: Over 54.5 points (October 12th 2017)

With Georgia Tech and Miami moved to Saturday because of Hurricane Irma, we get a double dose of Sun Belt football on prime time. The total in this SBC bash has collapsed from 58 to 55. Texas State is only scoring 14.5 PPG, yet, I think this total is incorrect.

The Bobcats defense is not holding anyone in check in allowing 33.7 PPG and last week against a team similar to Louisiana, their main rival UL-Monroe, they tallied 27 points. The Ragin’ Cajuns are putting up 37 PPG and though they have played tougher schedule, against Monroe they gave up 56 points (43 in regulation) and 48 to S.E. Louisiana. I will back the OVER. 

Boise State vs. BYU Football Point Spread Pick from Cappers Club: October 6th 2017

Boise State Broncos vs. BYU Cougars
Point Spread Pick: BYU +8.5 (October 6th 2017)

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Boise State Broncos and the BYU Cougars face off on Friday night, and the Cougars at this line have some value.

In years past people would think you were crazy to bet  against the Broncos, but this isn’t the same Boise State team as in years past.

The offense isn’t as crisp and the defense has really struggled and that has led to a 2-2 record. They are coming into this game off a really disappointing loss to the University of Virginia. They were only 13.5 point underdogs but ended up losing by 19 points.

On the other side of this match up is the Cougars who’s main problem this year has been on the offensive side of the ball.

Against the Broncos though they should be able to get the offense clicking early and at least have some success through the air.

Some trends to note.  BSU are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

Back the Cougars