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Alabama vs. Georgia NCAAF Championship Game Point Spread Pick: January 8th 2018

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs
NCAA Championship Game Point Spread Pick: Georgia +5 (January 8th 2018)

This play just missed out on our premium card. Alabama and Georgia face off in the National title game, and in this game, the Bulldogs have the value.

The Bulldogs offense seems to clicking at the right time, putting up 54 points in the last game against Oklahoma.

For Alabama they have a good defense, but they have had trouble in a few games on the defensive side. Against Mississippi State they gave up 24, and against Auburn they gave up 26.

I would expect the Bulldogs to score right around 24 points in this game, and that will be enough to have them cover the spread.

Some trends to note. Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in January. Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.
Back the Bulldogs.

Crimson Tide vs. Tigers NCAA Bowl Game Over-Under Pick from Jimmy Boyd: January 1st 2018

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Clemson Tigers
NCAAF Over-Under Pick: Under 48 points (January 1st 2018)

I like the value here here with the UNDER in the semifinal showdown between Alabama and Clemson. These two teams have faced off in the championship game each of the last two years and both were much higher scoring than expected. Two years ago the combined for 85 with a total of 50.5 and last year they combined for 66 with a total of 51.

Needless to say the public is going to be on the OVER big time here and the books know it, yet they have set the total even lower. That tells you what kind of game they are expecting and I couldn’t agree more. What people will overlook is the difference in time these two teams will have to prepare for the opposing side. You only get a week to prepare for the opponent in the title game, while you get around a month to gameplan for the opponent in the semifinal matchup.

All you have to do is look at the semifinal matchups the last two years for both of these teams. Two years ago Alabama held shutout Michigan State and Clemson held Oklahoma to just 17 points. Last year the Crimson Tide limited Washington to just 7 points, while the Tigers shutout the Buckeyes.

UNDER is 11-1 in Clemson’s last 12 games played in a dome and a perfect 9-0 in their last 9 neutral site games with a total of 42.5 to 49. UNDER is also 11-3 in Alabama’s last 14 vs teams who average 200+ rushing yards/game and 7-2 in their last 9 non-conference games. Take the UNDER!

Boston College vs. Iowa Pinstripe Bowl Over-Under Prediction: December 27th 2017

Boston College Eagles vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Pinstripe Bowls Over-Under Prediction: Under 45 points (December 27th 2017)

I’m expecting a low-scoring game in the Pinstripe Bowl between Iowa and Boston College. The Hawkeyes are a team built around their defense. Iowa finished the season a mere 109th in the country, averaging just 340.2 ypg. They really don’t do anything great, as they were 92nd in rushing (142.4 ypg) and 89th in passing (197.8 ypg). While they scored 56 in their finale at Nebraska and had that 55-piont outburst against Ohio State that every remembers, they also scored fewer than 20 points in 6 of their final 8 games.

Boston College’s defense wasn’t up to the standards as previous seasons under head coach Steve Addazio, but it’s still a formidable unit that finished strong, allowing 17 or fewer in each of their final 5 games.

As for the Eagles offense, they rely heavily on their running game. BC was 24th in rushing (224.2 ypg) compared to 115th in passing (162.8 ypg). Lining up and trying to run the ball right at the Hawkeyes is not a recipe for success. This Iowa defense has a ton of talent on their front 7, including one of the best middle linebackers in the country in Josey Jewell. With all this time to prepare, I expect the Hawkeyes to be more than ready to shut down this BC rushing attack.

UNDER is 5-1 in the Hawkeyes last 6 non-conference games and 9-3 in their last 12 games played on a neutral site. UNDER is also 31-12 in the eagles last 43 non-conference games and 35-16-2 in their last 53 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER!

Southern Miss vs. Florida State Bowl Game Point Spread Prediction: December 27th 2017

Southern Miss vs. Florida State
Bowl Game Point Spread Prediction: Southern Miss +16.5 (December 27th 2017)

Florida State’s HC Jimbo Fisher after a crap season, dodged town for a better paying gig at  Texas A&M. Now the Seminoles have a group of kids that he recruited feeling abandoned and a coaching staff trying to deal with the havoc of transition.  It was a frustrating season in Tallahassee overall and it cannot all be blamed on starting QB Deondre Francois getting injured. the team as a whole, despite of being jam packed full of 4 and 5 star recruits just didn’t have any oomph.  On the Season the Noles were jus 0-7 ATS vs above .500 opposition and I’m betting they finish a ugly campaign on a down note vs a Southern Miss side that will play a motivated game vs a disinterested discombobulated group.

Bowl favorites of 16 or more points are 2-8 ATS L/21 seasons.

CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (FLORIDA ST) – after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Akron vs. Florida Atlantic Boca Raton Bowl Point Spread Pick from Doc’s Sports: December 19th 2017

Akron vs. Florida Atlantic
College Football Boca Raton Bowl Pick: Akron +23 (December 19th 2017)

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #211 Take Akron Zips over Florida Atlantic Owls (Boca Raton Bowl, Tuesday, 12/19 7 pm ESPN) What a season Lane Kiffin had at Florida Atlanta this season. He won 10 games to go along with a Conference USA Championship. But unfortunately Florida Atlantic may be the end of the line for him, as he was not considered for a coaching promotion due to the bridges he has burned in the past. I just do not see them running over an Akron team that is thrilled to be in this bowl game.

Toledo is a very similar team to Florida Atlantic and I expect a similar result in this game, a 15-18 point victory for FAU. Akron is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. FAU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 nonconference games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring bowl and pro games. 11-2 run on NFL Top Plays so sign-up now and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you.

Fresno State vs. Boise State Football Point Spread Pick: December 2nd 2017

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos
Football Point Spread Pick: Fresno +9.5 (December 2nd 2017)

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #323 Take Fresno State Bulldogs over Boise State Broncos (Saturday 7:45 pm ESPN) We used Fresno State as our free play last week facing Boise State and we will do so again as these team battle for a second straight week. The MWC rigged the location site of this game to sell more tickets and thus this game is being played in Boise instead of Fresno. That being said, you just cannot trust Boise State anymore.

Their slim chances of a New Year’s Six Bowl Game went out the window by losing last week and I just do not know who motivated the players are to win the conference championship and receive a bowl bid to Las Vegas. Fresno State is one of the most improved teams in the country and they want to win the MWC. I do not believe they will get run off the field in this championship game. Do not miss Doc’s Sports selections in football, basketball, and hockey.