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Archive for the ‘NCAA Football Picks’ Category

College Football Prediction: Washington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks: October 8th 2016

HUSKIES VS. DUCKS BETTINGWashington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks
College Football Prediction: Washington -9.5 points (October 8th 2016)

It would be easy to fade the Huskies in this spot off the huge prime time win over Stanford but we’re thinking that Chris Petersen and the DUB are made of sterner stuff. There’s no way Petersen takes the reeling Quack Attack lightly as a win here would complete most the Huskies conference heavy lifting and put a Pac12 championship game spot and the FBS playoffs firmly in their grasp. Things are coming apart at the seams for Helfrich and a fourth straight loss here with at Cal and at USC in two of his next three games, Oregon is looking down the barrel of a losing season. Talk is that Helfrich has decided to change QBs regardless of result here and will use his upcoming bye week to acclimate the new freshman gunslinger. Not a ringing endorsement of current squad. Can definitely see the Huskies possibly coming out somewhat slow but then again you know what Mike Tyson says about “once you get punched in the face”. Washington with too much on the line and rolls late here. Huskies 45-21.

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Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos Football Point Spread Pick: October 7th 2016

BOISE STATE VS. NEW MEXICO POINT SPREAD PICKBoise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos
Point Spread Pick: New Mexico +17.5 points (October 7th 2016)

Tricky spot for Boise State here. The Broncos haven’t had an easy time against the Lobos over the years, most recently getting stunned on the blue turf as 31-point favorites last year. While I’m not ready to call for the outright upset from the Lobos here, I am confident they can hang in for four quarters.

While Boise State checks in a perfect 4-0 SU this season, it has only managed to post a 1-3 ATS mark. That’s an identical ATS record to that of the Lobos, who do come in with some positive momentum following a wild 48-41 win over San Jose State last week.

New Mexico isn’t known for its offense – this is a run-heavy attack that rarely blows the door off anyone. But this year has proven to be a little different so far, with the Lobos scoring at least 28 points in all four games so far. They’ve put up a whopping 48 points in both home games to date.

I don’t believe there’s any real intimidation factor at play here. The Lobos know they can hang with, and even beat the Broncos, and Boise State will certainly have their full attention thanks to that flawless record. Look for the Lobos to effectively shorten this game and ultimately stay inside the inflated number. Take New Mexico (8*).

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Stanford Cardinal vs. Washington Huskies Point Spread Prediction: September 30th 2016

STANFORD VS. WASHINGTONStanford Cardinal vs. Washington Huskies
Point Spread Prediction: Stanford +3.5 points (September 30th 2016)

Both of these teams enter this Pac-12 showdown sporting flawless records. However, Stanford has also managed to go a perfect 3-0 ATS while Washington checks in just 2-2 ATS.

I do feel that the Cardinal are the superior team in this matchup, even if they have shown some chinks in their armor through their first three contests.

It’s not as if Washington has been on cruise control. Note that the Huskies needed overtime to beat Arizona last week (we cashed with the Wildcats in that one). Washington has been favored by at least 16 points in all four games so far, laying at least 25 points in three of those.

Stanford is the more battle-tested team having faced Kansas State, USC and UCLA so far this season. The Cardinal have been stout defensively and opportunistic offensively, and here I look for them to put forth a more efficient performance than we’ve seen here in 2016.

The underdog is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings in this series, with only Stanford covering as a favorite over that stretch – a 31-14 win over Washington last year. Take Stanford (8*).

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Teddy Covers betting Central Florida +4 over East Carolina on October 1st 2016

Football Point Spread Prediction: Central Florida +4 (October 1st 2016)

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UCF went 0-12 last year. 10 of their losses came by two touchdowns or more, as they should have – George O’Leary’s final season was a complete disaster. That included a late November 44-7 home loss at the hands of East Carolina. That was then, this is now.

New UCF Coach Scott Frost has made it very clear what he wants to install for the Golden Knights. The former Oregon Ducks offensive coordinator wants Central Florida to become “The Oregon of the East”. Frost found his starting QB two weeks ago when previous starter Justin Holman got hurt. In two games behind center, frosh McKenzie Milton; a dual threat dynamo against both Maryland and FIU.

Here’s Frost’s quote:

“One of the things that drew me to the job is I knew I could run a version of our offense that was practically identical to Oregon’s because we can recruit that type of player here. I don’t think you could run Oregon’s offense at Wisconsin; I don’t know if you would get enough guys that can run well enough to do it. In Orlando, Florida, there’s fast guys in high schools in every direction in close proximity that are already running systems in high school that are similar to this and should want to play in it.”

When a formerly dismal team starts to play competitive football, then starts to win, it becomes contagious – these are ‘bet-on’ teams week after week, until the markets show that they’ve caught up. Considering that UCF has covered the spread (in regulation) by double digit margins in each of the last two weeks, I’m not convinced in the slightest that the markets have caught up with their improvement.

East Carolina has faced two solid offensive teams; NC State and Virginia Tech. The Wolfpack gained more than 200 yards on the ground AND through the air against East Carolina, and could have scored far more than the 30 points that they did. Last week, Virginia Tech hung 54 on this stop unit, another balanced attack, and the defense didn’t create a turnover. Expect East Carolina to have a tough time getting stops here; bad news for any favorite.

The Pirates are coming off back-2-back physical, demoralizing losses, and they’ve yet to beat a FBS team by more than a field goal this year. A program in transition following the shocking firing of Ruffin McNeill last December has no business laying more than a field goal to a ‘bet-on’ UCF squad on Saturday. Take Central Florida.

Kansas vs. Texas Tech Football: Sean Murphy betting the Raiders -28.5 on September 29th 2016

KANSAS VS. TEXAS TECH FOOTBALL BETTINGKansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Point Spread Pick: TT -28.5 points (September 29th 2016)

My selection is on Texas Tech minus the points over Kansas at 8:30 pm et on Thursday.

I’ll lay the points with the Red Raiders on Thursday night.

Texas Tech will undoubtedly be eager to get after it defensively in this one as they face a manageable matchup after giving up a boatload of points against Arizona State and Louisiana Tech in its last two games – a whopping 113 points to be exact.

Kansas has just one win to its credit this season, that coming in its opener against FCS squad Rhode Island. Since that win, the Jayhawks have been outscored 80-28 in losses to Ohio and Memphis. Staying on the road for the second consecutive game, this is by no means a favorable matchup.

The Jayhawks know that in order to win this game, they’re likely going to have to find the end zone on virtually every drive. That’s obviously just not a feasible gameplan for a squad that lacks explosive personnel on offense.

Again, the x-factor here will be the Red Raiders defense. Texas Tech is below average in that department but I’m not convinced Kansas can take advantage of that weakness.

Look for the Red Raiders to get off to a fast start and never let their foot off the gas as they ultimately pull away for a blowout victory. Take Texas Tech (8*).

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Football Pick: Baylor vs. Iowa State Point Spread Pick from Alex Smart: October 1st 2016

BAYLOR VS. IOWA STATE BETTINGBaylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Point Spread Pick: Baylor -16.5 points (October 1st 2016)

Baylor despite of a summer of dealing with scandals has shown that the talent base on the field is still of a very high quality and must be respected, as was evident in a DD victory vs Oklahoma State last week. The Bears have won their first four games by an average of 28.5 points per game. Meanwhile, Iowa State despite of being perceived as much improved over last season, and off a win of their own last week, are still quite literally over matched in all the key aspects of this game. Baylor defense is allowing just 310.0 total yards per game this season ranking 22nd in FBS. Baylor secondary is allowing just 142.5 yards per game through the air this season, seventh best ranking in the FBS and should make Iowa State QB duo of Joel Lanning and Jacob Park afternoon a living nightmare.

Iowa State in their L/79 games against a top level team with a .750 win percentage or better like Baylor have seen their games decided by an average of 39.6 -18 score.

The last time Baylor visited Iowa State they took a 49-28 decision in 2014, and I am betting on a similar result this time around.

Projected score: Baylor 47 Iowa State 20

Play and lay it with Baylor