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Memphis vs. Western Kentucky Boca Raton Bowl Over-Under & Spread Pick: December 20th 2016

Memphis Tigers vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers – 7:00pm ET December 20th 2016

Point Spread: Western Kentucky is a 7 point favorite against Memphis in tonights Boca Raton Bowl. The over/under betting total for this game is set at 80 points. (Note: total opened at 77)

Public Perception: 55% of the wagering public is betting that the Hilltoppers will cover the point spread against the Tigers. 57% believe that this game will be a high scoring affair and go over the posted total of 80 points.

Recent Performance: Memphis finished out the season with wins over Houston and Cincinnati. The Tigers were a six point underdog against Houston and won by a score of 48-44. Prior to that, they came off the field with an easy win against Cincinnati by a score of 34-7 as a 7 point favorite. Western Kentucky played LT in their last game of the season and won by a score of 58-44 as a 12 point favorite, this was one week after a decisive victory over Marshall by a score of 60-6 as a 28 point chalk.

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Side Betting Trends: Western Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Western Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Memphis is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Memphis is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Memphis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

Over/Under Betting Trends: Over is 12-3-1 in Hilltoppers last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-2 in Hilltoppers last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in Hilltoppers last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Hilltoppers last 8 games overall. Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Over is 12-4 in Tigers last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in Tigers last 11 games on grass.

Head-to-Head Betting Trends: None Available

Betting Pick: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -7
Over-Under Pick: Over 80 points

Jack Jones betting Central Michigan +13 points in the 2016 Miami Beach Bowl

Central Michigan vs. Tulsa
Miami Beach Bowl Point Spread Pick: Central Michigan +13 points (December 19th 2016)
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This is one of the biggest spreads of the bowl season. I think there is value with Central Michigan because of it, and I have no doubt they will show up for this game and give Tulsa a run for its money. Big underdogs this early in the bowl season have done well historically as well.

The betting public wants nothing to do with the Chippewas after they went 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their final five games to close out the season. That has created some artificial line value here. But they have been competitive all season as their only real blowout loss came to Western Michigan, which went 13-0 this season.

Let’s not forget what the Chippewas are capable of. They beat Oklahoma State 30-27 as 17-point dogs in the second game of the season. That’s a Cowboys team that went on to finish second in the Big 12 to Oklahoma. That is a better win than anything that Tulsa has this season.

Conversely, the Golden Hurricane come in overvalued due to going 6-1 ATS in their final seven games of the season. We saw them laying too many points in their season finale, needing overtime to beat Cincinnati 40-37 as 22.5-point home favorites. This is a quality squad, but I don’t think they should be laying double-digits here.

I think the Chippewas want to be in the Miami Beach Bowl more than the Golden Hurricane do. Central Michigan coach John Bonamego was special teams coordinator for the Dolphins from 2008-10. “It’s got to be in the top five in destinations for a bowl game,” Bonamego told reporters. “There’s a tremendous amount of culture down there. It’s a great destination … a lot of good people, a lot of good friends.”

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Senior quarterback Cooper Rush wants to go out a winner. He has thrown for 3,299 yards and 23 touchdowns this season. Wideout Corey Willis is his favorite target with 1,028 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. Devon Spalding rushed for 737 yards and six scores on only 131 carries while missing two games.

I think the Chippewas will always be in this game because of Rush’s ability to take apart Tulsa’s defense. The weakness of the Golden Hurricane is clearly their stop unit, which gives up 31.5 points and 434 yards per game this season. And the Chippewas average nearly 34 possession minutes per game on offense, so they should be able to play a little bit of keep-away here from Tulsa’s offense. The Chippewas are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.  Bet Central Michigan Monday.
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Appalachian State vs. Toledo Bowl Game Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: December 17th 2016

Appalachian State vs. Toledo
College Bowl Game Prediction: Toledo -110 odds (December 17th 2016)
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I believe this Rockets team is getting overlooked due to all the attention that Western Michigan has got, who is in the same division as Toledo and needed to beat them at home in their final game just to make the MAC Championship Game. Appalachian State on the other hand is a team that most are familiar with due to their impressive showing against Tennessee on the road early in the season in a nationally televised game. I think it has the Mountaineers getting way to much respect in a game that I think they should be at least a 3-point dog.

There’s a couple of key things we can point to here that certainly favor Toledo. Appalachian State finished tied with Arkansas State on top the Sun Belt standings at 7-1. The lone loss was at Troy, who Arkansas State crushed 35-3, so there’s reason to believe those are two evenly matched teams (didn’t play each other). Toledo played Arkansas State and beat them 31-10 on the road, outgaining the Red Wolves 556 to 266. Both teams also played at Akron and won. However, Appalachian State squeaked out a 45-38 win, while the Rockets destroyed the Zips 48-17.

Toledo’s offense can beat you with both the run and the pass, which I believe is huge, as a balanced attack is difficult to stop regardless of how much time you have to prepare. When Appalachian State’s defense struggled this season, it was against teams who could spread it out and attack them through the air. Toledo QB Logan Woodside finished the regular season completing 69.1% of his attempts with 43 touchdowns to 9 interceptions. They also have a dynamic back in Kareem Hunt, who rushed for 1,355 yards.

Offensively, the Mountaineers are one-dimensional, which I think is much easier to prepare for in bowl games. App St ranked 13th in rushing (247.1 ypg), compared to 104th in passing (184.0 ypg). If they fall behind at all in this game, they could be in serious trouble, as you have to be able to make plays in the passing game to play catch up. I have a lot more confidence in the Rockets offense showing up, making them an easy play at a pick’em. Take Toledo!

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Scott Rickenbach betting the Hokies +11 points over the Tigers on December 3rd 2016

VIRGINIA TECH VS. CLEMSONVirginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers
Betting Pick: Virginia Tech +11 -110 odds (December 3rd 2016)
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  • (Editor’s Note: Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach has had 4 straight winning Saturdays (every Saturday in November!) with his CFB Premium Picks. He brought a 14-5, 74% CFB run with all Saturday CFB selections into this week’s action. His premium picks in CFB today include a 3:30 ET start, a 7:30 ET start and his Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR @ 8 ET. This is his 2nd Free Pick for Saturday – Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach

CFB Game #331 Saturday – Virginia Tech Hokies (+) vs Clemson Tigers in ACC Championship Game @ 8 ET – With this this line moving up to and holding at +11, I have decided to go with a 2nd Free Pick today. Keep in mind, this is to be played just as you played the first free pick today but, as always, these picks are not assigned a star rating like my premium and guaranteed picks are. However, every pick I release is important and certainly I won’t release any game unless I like it well enough to play it. In this case, it is “go time” with the Hokies.

Clemson is a little over-valued here because of the shellacking they just handed to South Carolina. Virginia Tech is under-valued because the public looks at this team and still sees a football program that won only 6 regular season games in 3 of the past 4 seasons. However, head coach Justin Fuente has breathed new life into this program once he stepped into the top spot and the Hokies offense has been very nearly as potent as the Tigers. Keep in mind that the Virginia Tech defense also has bounced back after having their worst season last year in a long, long time. The fact is that the Hokies D has nearly matched Clemson’s performance this season. The point is that this is a very large pointspread on this game when you consider how closely matched these two programs truly are this season. Couple that with the fact that all the pressure (playoff pressure!) is on Clemson here and you have the makings of a potential upset in this one in my opinion. I’ll certainly grab the generous points being offered here. 2nd Free Pick for Saturday on VIRGINIA TECH plus the big points. Best of luck, Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Wyoming Cowboys Betting Prediction: December 3rd 2016

AZTECS VS. COWBOYS FOOTBALLSan Diego State Aztecs vs. Wyoming Cowboys
College Football Prediction: Wyoming +7 (December 3rd 2016)
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Oddsmakers made a mistake when they made San Diego State a 10-point favorite in their first meeting this season.  The Cowboys won that contest 34-33 and outgained the Aztecs by nearly 100 yards.  The only reason it was even close was because SDSU had two kickoff return touchdowns.  Now the books have made SDSU a 7-point road favorite again in the rematch, and I think the Cowboys are going to win outright.  The Aztecs are worn out right now, and head coach Rocky Long admitted it.  That was evident last week when they lost 31-63 at home to Colorado State.  I don’t think they’ll be recovered in time here.  Wyoming clearly didn’t care about the game against New Mexico on the road last week because they had already punched their tickets to the MWC title game.  I’ll give them a pass for that effort.  One factor I love about this game is that it’s going to be played in 20-degree weather in Laramie, Wyoming.  The Aztecs are used to the warm confines of San Diego, and they won’t be ready for this cold weather contest in the altitude.  The Cowboys are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 375 or more rushing yards in their previous game.  Look for the Cowboys to cap off a tremendous turnaround season with a MWC title.  Take Wyoming.

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Sooners vs. Cowboys Football Point Spread Pick from Alex Smart: December 3rd 2016

OKLAHOMA STATE VS. OKLAHOMAOklahoma Sooners vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Point Spread Pick: Oklahoma State +11.5 (December 3rd 2016)
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The Bedlam rivalry game between seventh-ranked Oklahoma Sooners (9-2, 8-0 Big 12) and their instate rivals Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-2, 7-1) goes this Saturday afternoon .It marks the second straight year that the Bedlam game will determine the Big 12 championship. The Sooners won 58-23 in last year’s regular-season finale in Stillwater and now the Cowboys will be out for revenge .The road team has won each of the last three Bedlam games and the last two in Norman have gone to overtime, and Im expecting another rinse and repeat performance here with the points proving to be golden.

OKLAHOMA is 9-2 ATS L/11 when playing against a team with a winning record and have covered 9 of their L/11 vs teams that outcore their opponents by 10 points or more like the Sooners have. Oklahoma State is 20-8 ATS L/28 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63.

Click here for Ben Burns’ Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma over/under pick