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Toledo vs. Utah State Idaho Potato Bowl Pick & Point Spread: December 15th 2012

Toledo Rockets vs. Utah State Aggies
Point Spread: Utah State -10 Over/Under 58 (December 15th 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Aggies are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aggies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Aggies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Aggies are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Aggies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Rockets are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss. Rockets are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Rockets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Rockets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 6-0 in Aggies last 6 non-conference games. Under is 10-2 in Aggies last 12 games following a S.U. win. Under is 9-2 in Aggies last 11 games on fieldturf. Under is 12-3-1 in Aggies last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 11-3 in Aggies last 14 games overall. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 games overall. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 games on fieldturf. Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 games following a ATS loss. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

UTAH STATE LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
11/24/12 IDAHO W 45-9 L -37 U 57 40 -25 65 1.5 0.9 2.5
11/17/12 @LTECH W 48-41 x W -3 O 72.5 17 73 -56 2.4 1.8 3.5
11/03/12 TEXST W 38-7 W -26 U 53 435 186 249 5.0 3.1 8.3
10/27/12 @TXSA W 48-17 W -23.5 O 52.5 223 77 146 1.9 1.6 2.5
10/20/12 NMXST W 41-7 W -30 U 56.5 195 124 71 3.7 3.2 4.7
TOLEDO LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
11/20/12 AKR W 35-23 L -17.5 U 62.5 127 65 62 2.3 1.6 3.6
11/14/12 @NOILL L 24-31 W 10 U 69 -200 -58 -142 -2.1 -1.1 -3.3
11/06/12 BALST L 27-34 L -6 U 70.5 80 145 -65 0.8 1.1 1.3
10/27/12 @BUFF W 25-20 L -7.5 U 61.5 40 71 -31 0.3 0.9 -0.4
10/20/12 CIN W 29-23 W 5.5 U 65.5 -123 -22 -101 -1.3 -1.8 -0.9

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Nevada vs. Arizona New Mexico Bowl Pick & Point Spread: December 15th 2012

Nevada Wolfpack vs. Arizona Wildcats
Point Spread: Arizona -9 Over/Under 75 (December 15th 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Wildcats are 6-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wildcats are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Wildcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. MWC. Wolf Pack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in December. Wolf Pack are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Wolf Pack are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Wolf Pack are 1-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 Bowl games. Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 bowl games. Over is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-1 in Wildcats last 9 games in December. Under is 5-1 in Wolf Pack last 6 Bowl games. Under is 5-1 in Wolf Pack last 6 bowl games. Under is 4-1 in Wolf Pack last 5 games in December. Over is 4-1 in Wolf Pack last 5 vs. Pac-12. Under is 8-2 in Wolf Pack last 10 games following a ATS win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

ARIZONA LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
11/23/12 ARZST L 34-41 L -2.5 O 72 62 23 39 -0.0 0.2 -0.7
11/17/12 @UTAH W 34-24 W 3 U 63 31 184 -153 0.7 3.2 -1.7
11/10/12 COL W 56-31 L -29 O 65.5 137 214 -77 5.3 7.5 -0.9
11/03/12 @UCLA L 10-66 L 2.5 O 72 -354 -187 -167 -2.9 -1.9 -5.6
10/27/12 USC W 39-36 W 5.5 O 69 -30 94 -124 -2.0 0.3 -2.8
NEVADA LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/01/12 BOIST L 21-27 W 7.5 U 55 -4 12 -16 0.2 -0.3 2.3
11/17/12 @NMEX W 31-24 L -10.5 U 63.5 139 6 133 -0.4 0.1 4.9
11/10/12 FRSST L 36-52 L 3 O 69.5 -96 -90 -6 -1.8 -2.6 -0.8
10/26/12 @AIRFC L 31-48 L -3.5 O 67.5 -220 -292 72 -1.1 -1.4 -12.0
10/20/12 SDST L 38-39 x L -7 O 66.5 131 24 107 0.7 0.3 0.6

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Navy vs. Army College Football Pick, Point Spread & Odds: December 7th 2012

Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights
Point Spread: Navy -7 -110 odds Over/Under 56 (December 8th 2012)
College Football Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S PREMIUM PICKS

ATS Trends:
Black Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. Black Knights are 8-20-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Black Knights are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games. Black Knights are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games following a bye week. Midshipmen are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Midshipmen are 68-32 ATS in their last 100 road games. Midshipmen are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Midshipmen are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Midshipmen are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Black Knights last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 7-0 in Black Knights last 7 games in December. Under is 9-0 in Black Knights last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-0 in Black Knights last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-0 in Black Knights last 8 conference games. Under is 5-0 in Midshipmen last 5 games in December. Under is 8-0 in Midshipmen last 8 games on fieldturf. Under is 8-1 in Midshipmen last 9 games following a bye week. Under is 8-1 in Midshipmen last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-1 in Midshipmen last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Army. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Favorite is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Midshipmen are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

RECENT MEETINGS NAVY ARMY
DATE AWAY/HOME LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/10/11 ARMY 21 – NAVY 27 ARMY 7 U 55 309 296 13 375 298 77
12/11/10 NAVY 31 – ARMY 17 NAVY -7.5 U 52.5 325 139 186 337 209 128
12/12/09 ARMY 3 – NAVY 17 ARMY 14.5 U 41 247 186 61 187 110 77
12/06/08 NAVY 34 – ARMY 0 NAVY -10.5 U 43 430 368 62 154 102 52
12/01/07 ARMY 3 – NAVY 38 NAVY -14 U 64.5 294 287 7 217 100 117
12/02/06 ARMY 14 – NAVY 26 ARMY 19 U 50 275 264 11 253 102 151
12/03/05 ARMY 23 – NAVY 42 NAVY -5.5 O 50.5 531 490 41 337 82 255
12/04/04 ARMY 13 – NAVY 42 NAVY -13 O 54.5 405 305 100 319 149 170
12/06/03 NAVY 34 – ARMY 6 NAVY -22.5 U 52 414 359 55 198 83 115
12/07/02 ARMY 12 – NAVY 58 NAVY -4 O 54.5 508 421 87 241 56 185

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College Football Picks: Boise State vs. Nevada Prediction: December 1st 2012

College Football Picks: December 1st 2012
Boise State vs. Nevada
Prediction: Nevada +8.5
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Nevada has played Boise State as tough as anyone in recent years. The Wolf Pack won 34-31 the last time they hosted the Broncos. Nevada has won or lost by seven points or less in three of the last five meetings and has gone 4-1 against the spread in these games.

The Wolf Pack have lost three home games this season but two of the losses came by a single point. One of those narrow defeats came against San Diego State, which also defeated Boise State 21-19 Nov. 3.

Nevada played San Diego State tougher than Boise State. The Wolf Pack put up 38 points on the Aztecs and outgained them 480-349. The Broncos only managed 276 yards of offense in their meeting with the Aztecs.

Boise State is one of the top defensive teams in the country, but it will have its work cut out for itself as it goes up against one of the most explosive offenses in the nation. The Wolf Pack rank 10th in total offense with 509.5 yards per game and 16th in scoring with 38.5 points per game.

Boise State will have a tough time coming back if it falls behind early. That’s because it ranks 81st in total offense with 386.0 yards per game and 50th in scoring with 30.7 points per contest.

It is significant that Nevada ranks seventh in the country in rushing offense with 263.0 yards per game. That’s because the Broncos are 0-6 against the spread versus good rushing teams that average 200.0 rushing yards or more per game over the last two seasons. Take Nevada and the points.

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Northern Illinois vs. Kent State Prediction & Odds: November 30th 2012

Northern Illinois vs. Kent State
Prediction: Kent State +7.5 -110 odds (November 30th 2012)
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The winner of this game has a possible shot at a BCS bowl so a lot is on the line. All they need is to be in the Top 16 and have one of the three lose Nebraska, UCLA, or Florida State. Northern Illinois has been on fire for 3 years now in the MAC thanks to Jordan Lynch who is 3rd in the nation in total yards. Kent State has their own star in Dri Archer who averaged over 9 yards per carry. Northern Illinois has had plenty of close calls this year and ironically they were all against top 50 rushing offenses vs. Army they only won by 1 they have the 6th ranked rushing attack behind Kent State which is #1 with over 6 yards per carry.

Kent State also has been solid at stopping the run in that respect these two teams are pretty even. Northern Illinois has more of a balanced attack, but Kent State has not been that bad vs. the pass stiffening in the red zone allowing just 38% TD’s in conference play. Kent State has 16 interceptions on the road and are +20 in turnover margin on the year which could be a major advantage in this game if they can stop the run which they have been very good at doing. All in all I think this will be a chess match, Dri Archer will have his moments and so will Jordan Lynch. The story of the MAC Championship has been the under dog covering the spread the last three years and there is enough talent and value on Kent State here as you can easily see them winning this game. Northern Illinois struggled with Toledo at home and were lucky to win that game. Toledo has one of the worst defenses in the nation.

Nebraska vs. Wisconsin College Football Pick & Point Spread: December 1st 2012

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Point Spread: Nebraska -3 Over/Under 49 (December 1st 2012)
College Football Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S PREMIUM PICKS

ATS Trends:
Badgers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Cornhuskers are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cornhuskers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Cornhuskers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Cornhuskers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Cornhuskers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Badgers last 4 games following a ATS loss. Over is 7-1 in Badgers last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 19-7-1 in Badgers last 27 games on fieldturf. Over is 39-16-1 in Badgers last 56 conference games. Under is 5-0 in Cornhuskers last 5 games in December. Under is 8-0 in Cornhuskers last 8 neutral site games. Under is 6-1 in Cornhuskers last 7 games following a ATS loss. Over is 6-2 in Cornhuskers last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 5-2-1 in Cornhuskers last 8 games following a S.U. win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
No Trends

WISCONSIN LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
11/24/12 @PENST L 21-24 x L 1 O 44.5 -14 -5 -9 0.7 0.1 2.2
11/17/12 OHIST L 14-21 x L -1 U 51.5 123 66 57 0.3 0.2 0.3
11/10/12 @IND W 62-14 W -7.5 O 55.5 311 503 -192 4.3 6.2 0.9
10/27/12 MCHST L 13-16 x L -4.5 U 40 -87 -42 -45 -0.9 -1.7 2.2
10/20/12 MINN W 38-13 W -17 O 46 198 241 -43 1.9 3.0 0.9
NEBRASKA LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
11/23/12 @IOWA W 13-7 L -14.5 U 48.5 63 92 -29 0.8 1.0 0.7
11/17/12 MINN W 38-14 W -21 P 52 267 46 221 2.4 -0.2 6.2
11/10/12 PENST W 32-23 P -9 O 51 47 116 -69 0.2 0.2 2.1
11/03/12 @MCHST W 28-24 W 1 O 44.5 112 75 37 1.1 2.3 -0.1
10/27/12 MICH W 23-9 W -1 U 58.5 138 65 73 2.1 1.3 3.5

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