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College Football Picks: USC vs. California Odds: October 16th 2010

California vs. USC
Pick: Over 53 points -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert college football picks from Scott Spreitzer

I’m playing the Over between California and USC on Saturday night. Cal shutdown the UCLA attack on Saturday, but I’m not sold on Norm Chow’s Bruin offense, anyway. So while I respect what the Golden Bears did, I believe the Bears will have a much tougher time slowing down USC’s offense this week. After all, although the Trojans have lost two of their six games, the offense has looked like a well-oiled machine more often than not. USC has scored at least 31 points in five of their six games, averaging 35.7 ppg. But the Trojans’ defense has plenty of holes and should be exploited again. USC has been lit-up for 32 points or more on three occasions, half their games. They’re allowing an un-Trojan-like, 26 ppg on the season, a number that would likely be higher if not for the mediocre offenses of Virginia, Minnesota, and Washington State. They’re a young defense without much quality depth from an experience standpoint. While the Under has been the way to go in this series, I believe the total has been set too low, despite the fact it was set higher than in recent meetings. This is obviously not the same USC defense we saw under Pete Carroll. Over tickets are on a 10-1 run when USC hosts a team with a winning road record and I believe that stat will be 11-1 after this one. I’m playing the Over between Cal and USC on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Central Florida vs. Marshall Point Spread, Pick & Betting Trends: October 13th 2010

CENTRAL FLORIDA VS. MARSHALL POINT SPREADCENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS VS. MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD
Point Spread: UCF is currently set as a 5.5 point favorite against Marshall with the games over/under betting total posted at 44 points.

In their last game, Central Florida won by a score of 42-7 against UAB at home. They covered the point spread as 12 point favorites and the combined score of 49 points went over the posted total. Marshall lost their last outing by a score of 41-16 when they matched up with Southern Mississippi on the road. They did not cover the spread as 9 point underdogs and the combined 57 points went over the posted college football betting total.

 

ATS Trends
Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Knights are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite.
Knights are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Knights are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.
Thundering Herd are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Thundering Herd are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Thundering Herd are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Thundering Herd are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends
Over is 3-1-1 in Knights last 5 games following a bye week.
Over is 6-2-1 in Knights last 9 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Knights last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 5-2-1 in Knights last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Under is 8-1 in Thundering Herd last 9 games in October.
Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 11-2 in Thundering Herd last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head Trends
Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Marshall.
Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

North Carolina State vs. East Carolina Pick & Odds: October 16th 2010

North Carolina State vs. East Carolina
Pick: North Carolina State -7 -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert college football picks and NCAA football betting information from Doc’s Sports

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #9 Take North Carolina State over East Carolina (Saturday 12 pm CBS CSN) This battle of Carolina features two teams that will likely be going bowling come January. We will side with the BCS team as they will be on the road playing a team from Conference USA. The schools are under 100 miles apart and thus you can expect lots of Wolfpack fans to make the trip to support their 5-1 team. NC State has won the last two meetings between these schools and both times they were the underdog. That will not be the case today, as the Pirates have played well despite losing a ton of talent to graduation. East Carolina has been blown out twice by ACC teams this season and expect NC State to complete the trifecta on Saturday. In fact, the Pirates are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against ACC teams. NC State has done well as a favorite winning four straight games and this will make it five in a row. Do not miss Doc’s Sports weekend football card, as it features strong selections on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Jump on board this action now or you can save a bunch of money with a 1 week or 1 month package and still receiving all of our picks. Doc has been handicapping football since 1971 and is one of the few selections services that have withstood the test of time.

College Football Picks: Big 12 Betting Report for October 16th 2010

The Big 12 College Football Betting Report
By Tony George

A KEY week in the Big 12 in terms of setting the stage for a season ending showdown, the last of it’s kind for the Nebraska Cornhuskers as they move to the Big 10 next year. I honestly feel if NU can get over on Texas in Lincoln, they will end up seeing Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship. The old rivalry renewed with OU and NU both in the Top 10 and vieing for a national title. It very well could happen.

Some real KEY games this weekend and some excellent macthups that really have season long implications. Mizzou takes to the road for the first time this week and the Wildcats and Jayhawks hook up early in the week.

Lets get right to it boys, my takes and leans for this weeks action in the Big 12

Texas @ Nebraska -9.5 – The Huskers have had this one circled since their spring game, the Big 12 championship score on the scoreboard all week in Lincoln and replays from last years game stick in the minds of the rerturners, all 18 of them for NU who lost a last second heartbreaker to Colt McCoy and the Longhorns last year, a game they dominated. Texas back on their heels and reeling, staring at 3 losses after this one if they cannot beat NU.
Nebraska has a new ace in the hole with all world speedster QB Martinez making national headlines and Nebraska off a complete butt kicking of K State on ESPN last week for all the world to see. You think NU is ready for this one? Texas cannot run the ball, but can throw it, and with NU’s pass rush solid and their secondary in the top 2 or 3 in the nation, at home, expect Nebraska to compete here. Bo Pelini has been waiting for this one since last December, and Texas needs this win to save their season. Texas gave OU all they wanted and then some, can they get over on NU in Lincoln and is near 10 points too many?

BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK – Look for it now! Click here for Tony George’s college football picks

Kansas St -2.5 @ KansasTHURSDAY NIGHT SELECTION. In State rivalry, Kansas is struggling and K Satte is licking their wounds and now on a back to back ESPN Thursday games. Can Kansas stop RB Thomas and play like they did against Georgia Tech at home, or does K State get it going again after that Nebraska debacle? I have the answer.

Mizzou @ Texas AM -2.5 – Not sure about Mizzou in this one as they begin a brutal stretch of games and have OU on deck at home, the line opened at Texas AM -1.5 and is climbing, and word is in my line of work many big time players love AM here. I am not sold on either team, and QB Gabbert is banged up for Mizzou with a bad hip but is likely to play. Texas AM is a disappointment to date and their offense has struggled and they have been a turnover machine. This one could go either way and home field is huge for the Aggies here, and this is the Tigers true first road game after playing weak sisters all season with the exception of Illinois. Texas AM off 2 brutal games, while Mizzou buried the Buffs last week. Tough spot however for Mizzou without a running game. Very small lean to the host. I am not as confident as allot of the sharps pounding Texas AM in this one, they have only shown me how to lose all season and the Tigers are undefeated and ranked.

Okie State @ Texas Tech -3 – WOW, a 3 point line move on Texas Tech right out of the gate in this one. A tough win over a fiesty Baylor bunch last week in the Cotton Bowl for Texas Tech. Okie State can move the ball and so can Texas Tech. This is going to be a old fashion Texas Shootout in my opinion, lean to the over 69. The QB’s in this game have 35 TDs combined on the year, and neither team cares about running it, although Okie State should with RB Hunter, but they refuse to. Probably cost them the game here if they dont. Lean to the Over.

Baylor @ Colorado +1 – The Baylor Bears stand at 4-2 and Colorado is reeling after a pounding in Columbia last week. QB Griffen for Baylor the real deal and is a major danger for the Buffs. Yes, Colorado beat Georgia in here, but Baylor a different animal who is VERY well coached by Art Briles, and hungry for a win after a near miss in the Cotton Bowl against Tech last week, a game they could have won. I look for Baylor to avenge a home loss last year when Griffen was out with injury and claw the Buffs in this one. Lean to the visitor.

Iowa State @ Oklahoma -23.5 – After the Cyclones allowed 68 at home against Utah last week, I cannot make a case for them here in this one as OU has a winnable game at home before traveling to Mizzou next week. Mizzou not a team this year that is a really a look ahead game as in the past few years so OU should have full attention on ISU who they barely beat last year 17-7 in Ames in a struggle. Iowa State was exposed on defense last week and OU will expose them again with QB Jones who has nearly 1500 yards and 11 TDs already. I do not like laying this many points in any conference game this time of year, but ISU comes in here deflated and beat up, OU rolls.

Best of luck and check out my action this week and weekend, curently 6-4-1 ATS in Big 12 premiums and looking to add 2-0 to that number this weekend. www.sportsaudioshows.com

2010 Week 7 College Football Point Spreads: October 16th 2010

2010 WEEK 7 COLLEGE FOOTBALL POINT SPREADSWeek 6 of the 2010-11 college football betting season saw some of the mighty fall for the first time this season. Top ranked Alabama got its clocked clean by the ‘ol ball coach and his Gamecocks, “Shoelace” and the Wolverines suffered a tough loss to in-state rival Michigan State in the “Big House,” and Florida State served up a good old fashioned beating of the Hurricanes. Both TCU & Boise State posted impressive victories to move up in the polls, while Auburn, Arkansas, LSU, and Stanford survived by the skin of their teeth.

Without further ado, here’s a look at some of the more appealing Week 7 college football gridiron battles for the weekend of October 16th 2010:

#21 Missouri vs. Texas A&M – What looks to be Nebraska’s only competition in the B12 North embarks on its first true road game of the season to take on an ornery Texas A&M squad in College Station.

Texas vs. #5 Nebraska – The Huskers could hand the longhorns their first three-game losing streak of the Mack Brown era on Saturday; oddsmakers believe they pull off the feat tagging them nearly double digit home favorites.

#12 Arkansas vs. #7 Auburn – The SEC West is now wide open with Alabama getting scalped last week. With the Hogs already falling to the Tide, they would best be served to go into Jordan Hare and snag this victory. We’ll see what Cam Newton and the Tigers offense has to say about that!

#15 Iowa vs. Michigan – What a difference one loss makes! The Wolverines dropped out of the Top 25 with last week’s loss to Sparty. It was around this time last year that Michigan fell off the map. Will the same occur this time around, or will Rich Rod secure what could be a job saving victory in Ann Arbor? Oddsmakers don’t think so…

#1 Ohio State vs. #18 Wisconsin – One of the best ATS teams squares off against one of the worst when the top ranked Buckeyes storm Camp Randall to battle the Badgers. OSU’s won and covered three straight in this series, but only won by a FG its last trip to Madison.

#19 Nevada vs. Hawaii – The chase game of the night will have a ton of action with Chris Ault’s “Pistol Offense” firing off on the island against a pesky and potent Hawaii Warriors outfit. Oddsmakers expect a shoot-out reminiscent from the one at the O.K. Corral with one of the highest posted totals of the season.

Week 6 College Football Expert Picks

WEEK 6 EXPERT COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKSAccuScore – Week 6 College Football Expert Picks
By Zach Rosenfield and Jonathan Lee, AccuScore – Featured on Touthouse.com

Four picks this week spanning the ACC, SEC, Pac-10, and one future Pac-12 member.

ZACH’S PICKS
Tennessee +11 at Georgia

Last week’s bizarre finish against LSU was a heartbreaker for Tennessee, but an easy win for those who took the 16.5 points. Vegas oddsmakers continue to disrespect Tennessee and are giving away a generous number for the second straight week. Despite losing to Florida and LSU, the Volunteers have showed a lot of fight and a strong defensive will. Getting 11-points is huge number and Tennessee is covering that number in 55.5% of our simulations. The Georgia Bulldogs are a tough sell to anyone and Mark Richt is on the hot seat. Most will tell you that now Georgia will focus, but the bottom line is they just don’t have the talent. A.J. Green is a superstar, but Colorado showed that Georgia does not have enough weapons around him to really make a big difference. Also note that AccuScore is 5-3 this season ATS in games involving Tennessee and Georgia.

Virginia Tech –21.5 over Central Michigan
It’s easy to write off Virginia Tech after their losses to Boise State and James Madison, but the Hokies are rounding into form. They are 2-0 in the ACC and finally starting to hit their stride. The storyline for me with last week’s victory at North Carolina State was the 41 points Virginia Tech scored. The game against Central Michigan is a great match-up stylistically for the Hokies. Two weeks ago, Central Michigan had all sorts of trouble with Northwestern, who features a mobile quarterback who often runs away from trouble (like Tyrod Taylor). While the score of that game was close, Central Michigan was dominated throughout and had no answer for the mobile Persa. AccuScore is 3-1 this season ATS in games Virginia Tech plays in and is hitting at 55% ATS in forecasts where the home team is favored by 14 or more points.

JON’S PICKS
Utah -6 @ Iowa St.
Utah is a strong on-the-field performer as well as in the computers. The Utes are projected to win this game by 9 points by AccuScore simulations with a 55% chance to cover the 6 point line. Iowa State put up a shocking performance last week scoring 52 points against Texas Tech. But plenty of that had to with luck and sloppy play as the Red Raiders had three turnovers and allowed the Cyclones to score off an onside kick. One of Utah’s hallmarks under Kyle Wittingham has been sound, disciplined play. To beat the Utes you actually have to make plays rather than wait for mistakes. Despite losing 8 defensive starters, Utah has bounced back to rank 7th nationally in scoring defense and 17th in pass efficiency defense meaning their strengths match-up well with Austen Arnaud and the Iowa St. passing game. Not only that, Utah is 3-0 ATS this season, and AccuScore has picked against the line correctly in all three games as well.

Oregon St. +7.5 @ Arizona
The nation seems to have finally caught on to Arizona being a top team this season, but it seems to have forgotten that Oregon State plays it’s best football after September ends. You can see the evolution again this year as the Beavers stayed competitive with Boise and TCU despite a new quarterback in Ryan Katz. Katz struggled early, but he’s growing each week as evidenced by a 260 yard, 2 TD (0 INT) performance against a good Arizona State defense. The Beavers also get James Rodgers back this week from a concussion. This pick is less of a knock on Arizona as it is more of a faith in Oregon State, and his team’s ability to improve dramatically year after year. The extra half point on the line is the reason I like this pick. One key thing to watch will be when Arizona punts as the Wildcats rank 95th in the nation in net punting while Oregon State has one of the absolute best return men in Rodgers.

Follow Zach on Twitter @accuscorezach
Follow Jon on Twitter @thejonlee
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