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Archive for the ‘NCAA Football Picks’ Category

Colorado vs. Alabama: Independence Bowl Free Pick: Sunday, December 30th, 2007

INDEPENDENCE BOWL PICKS AND ODDSIndependence Bowl Free Pick: Colorado +3.5 (-110)
Sunday Dec 30 ’07 8:00p
If your appetite for football wasn’t taken care of with the NFL’s Week 17 slate, we’ve got a bowl game going tonight as the Colorado Buffaloes and Alabama Crimson Tide collide for just the third time in each program’s existence.

Colorado enters this game off a big win over the Nebraska Cornhuskers their last time out. The win was their sixth of the season, and it allowed the team to become bowl eligible. The Buffaloes regular season didn’t go quite as planned in the second season of the Dan Hawkins era, but there were some memorable moments. The comeback win over the then ranked #3 Oklahoma Sooners at home was unbelievable, and they went into Lubbock and handed the Texas Tech Red Raiders their only home loss of the season. HC Dan Hawkins son, Cody, got better as the season progressed and ended up throwing for 2686 yards with a TD/INT ratio of 19/15. RB Hugh Charles led the Buffs on the ground amassing 989 yards and 8 TDs while averaging 5.3 YPC.

Alabama closed out their regular season schedule with a tough loss in the “Iron Bowl” to Auburn. The Tide didn’t close out the last month of the season the way HC Nick Saban had envisioned. After the shocking drubbing they dished out to Tennessee at home, the Tide went on to lose to LSU, Mississippi State, Auburn, and most alarmingly, UL Monroe at home. This is a club that went into a tailspin at the end of the season, and that doesn’t bode well for them in this spot.

However, oddsmakers have tagged the SEC members as 3.5-point favorites with the ‘Total’ set at 52. Alabama went a combined 1-6 ATS this season when playing the role of favorite, and they lost 3 of those 7 games SU. As for the Buffs, they went 2-4 ATS when in the role of underdog this season, but they had a pair of huge wins as mentioned earlier over Oklahoma and Texas Tech. These teams are very even in a number of respects, so grab the points with the Buffaloes who should have a more positive psyched after finishing off the regular season on a high note.

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Florida State vs. Kentucky: Music City Bowl Free Pick – Monday, December 31st, 2007

MUSIC CITY BOWL PICKS AND ODDSFlorida State +4.5 (-110)
Mon Dec 31 ’07 4:00p

Much has been made of the fact that the Florida State Seminoles have 36 players that are suspended for the Music City Bowl vs. the Kentucky Wildcats, but most of the suspended players are reserves, so this line move looks like an overreaction.

Sure, the Noles now have practically zero depth, but that is more of a concern over several games than it is for one bowl game at the end of the year. They did have one key suspension on defense in cornerback Patrick Robinson, who had six interceptions this season, but the other 10 starters remain in tact, and the only notable suspension on offense is that of backup quarterback Xavier Lee, who has been coming in for a few situational plays each game. That just means that starting quarterback Drew Weatherford won’t get any relief this game, but truth be told, he has actually been steady if not spectacular, with just one interception in 10 games.

Kentucky was having a dream season, and the were actually ranked in the top 10 at 6-1 after upsetting LSU, but the Wildcats promptly went out and lost four of their last five games to finish at 7-5. The problem down the stretch was the Kentucky defense, which allowed 45, 31, 24 and 52 points respectively in the four late-season losses.

Also in Florida State’s favor is the fact that ACC underdogs have been surprisingly excellent bets in bowl games, going a stunning 19-6, 76.0 percent against the spread since 2000!

Music City Bowl Free Pick: Florida State +4.5 – CLICK HERE FOR EXPERT BOWL GAME PICKS

California vs. Air Force: Armed Forces Bowl Free Picks: Monday, December 31st

ARMED FORCES BOWL PICKS AND ODDSAir Force +3.5 (-110)
Monday Dec 31 ’07 12:30p
The California Golden Bears were a train-wreck coming down the stretch, losing six of their last seven games while going 0-7 against the spread, and they cannot be too thrilled about facing a disciplined Air Force Falcons team in the Armed Forces Bowl.

It is hard to believe that the Golden Bears were poised to become the top ranked team in the country two months ago, when they were ranked number two and gave away a home game to Oregon State on the same day that number one lost. California never did recover from that loss, and more disturbingly, it looked as if they just threw in the towel, losing to the likes of Stanford and Washington. In fact, their only win in the last seven games was by just three points at home vs. lowly Washington State.

Air Force quietly had a very nice season going 9-3 straight up, and they were very nice to their supporters going a scintillating 9-2 ATS. Oddly, while California lost its last seven games ATS, Air Force ended the season with a 7-0 ATS run! Now normally, that combination would give value to the Cal side, but that does not appear to be the case here, as the Golden Bears still appear to be getting a little too much respect from the oddsmakers.

Finally, while Pac-10 underdogs have been great bets in bowl games lately, Pac-10 bowl favorites are just 9-16 ATS since 2000.

Armed Forces Bowl Free Pick: Air Force +3.5CLICK HERE FOR MORE FREE BOWL GAME PICKS

Penn State vs. Texas A&M: Alamo Bowl Free Picks: December 29th

ALAMO BOWL PICKS AND ODDSTexas A&M +6.0 (-110)
Saturday Dec 29 ’07 8:00p

The Big Ten has struggled as Bowl favorites in recent years, and the Penn State Nittany Lions will put that trend to the test when they face the Texas A&M Aggies in the Aggies’ home state in the Alamo Bowl.

Not only will the Aggies have most of the crowd support, but they also discovered their offense late in the season. They saved the best for last, as they rolled up a whopping 533 yards of offense in their 38-30 upset of Texas. They showed some nice balance against the Longhorns, as the running of sophomore Mike Goodson opened up the airways for quarterback Stephen McGee via play action passes. If that game was not a mirage, we feel that the Aggies will be a tough team for Penn State to defend here.

Yes, the Nittany Lions only allowed 17.6 points per game, ranking them eight in the nation in scoring defense, but they are not accustomed to facing teams with the speed that A&M possesses. It is no secret that the Big Ten is full of plodding teams, and PSU played a very soft non-conference slate.

All things considered, we give the Aggies an excellent chance to win the game on the field, and do not forget that Big Ten favorites are just 2-14 against the spread in bowls since 2000!

2007 Alamo Bowl Free Pick: Texas A&M +6 – CLICK HERE FOR MORE FREE BOWL GAME PICKS

Maryland vs. Oregon State Picks & Odds: Emerald Bowl Odds

EMERALD BOWL PICKSEMERALD BOWL PICKS: MARYLAND VS. OREGON STATE PICKS & ODDS

If you bet on college bowls, this is one game you’re going to love watching. Maryland head coach Ralph Friedgen is known for his trick plays and his ability to mix things up. Sometimes his offense is pas-happy and entirely vertical, while at other times, his team relies on the option attack. As this Emerald Bowl game has given him and his squad loads of time to prepare, look for more exciting plays from the Terrapins as they try not only to cover this six-point football betting spread, but to win the game outright.

Maryland Terrapins +6 vs. Oregon State Beavers –6

While certainly not known as explosive, Maryland’s offense has been getting their act together as of late. They will continue to rely more on the running game, led by running backs Keon Lattimore and Lance Ball, more than on the passing game. The offensive line has been hit by the injury bug through the season, but that has not stopped these two impressive backs from combining for 1,552 yards and a stunning 25 touchdowns this season. Helping things if the fact that right offensive guard Andrew Crumney will be back in the lineup again; he returned for the final game of the regular season after missing five games with a broken leg. They will all have their work cut out for them against this tough and stingy Beavers run defense that gives up just 2.1 yards per carry.

 Emerald Bowl @ AT&T Park: 8:30 PM, Friday, December 28, 2007

The Terrapins passing game is more of an afterthought at this point. Quarterback Chris Turner has only thrown five INTs all season, but the problem is that he also has just five TDs to go along with those. While he is tough in the pocket, he hangs on to the ball too long and that could be the difference in this game, as the Beavers pass rush is among the tops in the nation. Maryland will have to keep a back or a tight end in pass protection schemes when Turner drops back. If they are successful in protection, Turner will try to find wide receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey downfield. One big key to success for the Terps will be Heyward-Bey’s relative success against Beavers corner Keenen Lewis.

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Michigan State vs. Boston College Picks & Odds: Champs Sports Bowl Odds

CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL PICKSCHAMPS SPORTS BOWL PICS: MICHIGAN STATE VS. BOSTON COLLEGE PICKS & ODDS

For those of us who love college football betting, this Champs Sports Bowl between the Boston College Eagles and the Michigan State Spartans provides ample opportunity for tons of excitement. The Spartans secondary has been eaten up at times by passing games, but Boston College simply does not have the receiving corps to take advantage of this weak spot. The Spartans, meanwhile, do have the weapons both in the backfield and in their receiving corps to possibly give fits to Boston College’s defense. So, can they cover the 4.5-point football betting spread that pegs them as dogs to the Eagles? Quite possibly, yes.

Michigan State Spartans +4.5 vs. Boston College Eagles –4.5

The Spartans running back tandem of Javon Ringer and Jehuu Caulcrick are both very effective between the tackles, but Ringer is the faster back and is very dangerous if he can find a space. Caulcrick can move a pile and break tackles, picking up good yardage after contact; he has 21 rushing TDs this season. When Caulcrick comes into the game, the Eagles will have to adjust, stuff the middle and try to force the back to the outside where they have a better chance at containment. The run defense of the Eagles is very tough, despite some injuries, and will not lay back in this game.

 Champs Sports Bowl @ Citrus Bowl: 5 PM, Friday, December 28, 2007

With cornerback DeJuan Tribble expected back from being out with a knee injury, BCs pass defense should receive a boost and put on a better show than what they did against Virginia Tech in the ACC championship game. The Spartans will try to have wide receiver Devin Thomas beat the secondary with quarterback Brian Hoyer throwing him the ball. Hoyer is an accurate thrower with a good arm who can get the ball deep quickly if Thomas can break away. In the red zone, Michigan State will look to use tight end Kellen Davis, who can make catches even when he knows he’s going to have to sacrifice his body to do so.

The Spartans will have to get a few key third down stops in this game, as the Eagles game plan will revolve around long, clock-eating drives. They will have to tire out the Boston College defense and remain strong themselves when the Eagles try running the ball in the fourth quarter.

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