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Jesse Schule betting Texas -170 odds over Texas Tech on November 5th 2016

TEXAS VS. TEXAS TECH Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
College Football Prediction: Texas -170 odds (November 5th 2016)

As bad as things have been for Charlie Strong and the Longhorns, they come into this week’s game at Texas Tech as winners of two of their last three, fresh off an upset win over #8 Baylor last week. Junior D’Onta Foreman ran all over the Bears defense, picking up 250 yards and two TDs on 32 carries. He should be looking forward to facing the Red Raiders, who rank among the worst in the country in defending the run. Opponents are averaging 213 rushing yards per game, and 5.4 yards per carry against Texas Tech.

Red Raiders quarterback Patrick Mahomes leads the country in passing, but he’s been battling a shoulder injury the last few weeks. He threw for just 206 yards with 2 TDs and an INT on 24-of-39 passing against TCU last week. That likely won’t be good enough against a Texas team that can score points with the best of them. There is also a revenge angle here, as the Red Raiders beat the Horns in Texas 48-45 last season. The Longhorns had won the previous six meetings, and they had covered the spread in five of those games.

Baylor vs. Texas Football Betting Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: October 29th 2016

BAYLOR VS. TEXAS BETTINGBaylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
Football Betting Prediction: Baylor -3.5 points (October 29th 2016)

I just don’t trust the Longhorns in this spot. I believe the books are being cautious with Baylor given their easy schedule. I know they struggled in their last road game at ISU, but they aren’t going to overlook Texas in this spot.

The Bears are going to come into this one with a chip on their shoulder after last year’s ugly loss. Keep in mind that Texas shutout Baylor 20-0 in the 1st half. It’s the only time the Bears failed to score in the 1st half of a game since 2011. What’s impressive is they almost came back and won, despite turning it over 4 times. Note they did finish with a 479-307 edge in total yards.

You also have to keep in mind that was the final game of the regular season. Oklahoma had already wrapped up the Big 12 title and there was nothing left for Baylor to play for.

Another key factor here is that the Bears catch Texas off a bye week. Their second bye in the last 3 weeks, as they also had one before playing Kansas. This team is fresh and well prepared for what Texas has to offer. Note that the Bears are 6-1 in their last 7 off a bye. At the same time, Texas is coming off a very physical game against Kansas State.

We have seen the Longhorns defense get torched on a regular basis this season. I’m not sure what makes anyone thing Baylor isn’t going to expose them as well. Texas enters with the 102nd ranked pass defense in the country, giving up 263.1 ypg. They are also allowing a staggering 8.7 yards/pass attempt. The Bears are averaging 266.3 ypg through the air and 8 yards per attempt.

Another thing I like with Baylor is the fact they aren’t getting any public attention. Despite the fact that they haven’t lost a game and are ranked in the Top 10. I think we see them come out 100% locked in and wouldn’t be surprised if this turned into a blowout. Take Baylor!

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Middle Tennessee State vs. Florida International Football Prediction: October 29th 2016

MIDDLE TENN VS. FLORIDA INTERNATIONALMiddle Tennessee State vs. Florida International
Betting Prediction: Florida Int. +17 points (October 29th 2016)

I will take FIU in this game as Middle Tennessee is coming off their biggest win in the history of their program on the road against Missouri.  There is no doubt that has moved the line here quite a bit.  I believe MTSU got a bit of a misleading victory considering they were +3 in TO margin.  On the other side FIU was just -16 yards in total offense against La Tech, a similar opponent.  They were actually 24-18 in first downs and converted 47% on third down.  A late kickoff return for TD took away their cover and give us line value this week.

FIU has been much better since they fired their head coach and have bene better vs. the pass in conference play than Middle Tennessee with a 117 QB rating allowed compared to a 141 QB rating allowed which is key since both of these teams like to pass more than run.  This is a tough spot for Middle Tennessee in back to back road games after a huge win.  I wouldn’t be shocked to see FIU pull the upset.

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California Golden Bears vs. USC Trojans Football Point Spread Pick from Jack Jones: October 27th 2016

CAL VS. USC POINT SPREAD PICKCalifornia Golden Bears vs. USC Trojans
Football Point Spread Pick: USC -16 points (October 27th 2016)

The USC Trojans have a huge scheduling advantage in this game. They have had nearly two full weeks to prepare for this game after having last week off. And they couldn’t be playing any better coming in.

Meanwhile, the Cal Golden Bears are working on a short week after playing last Friday against Oregon. I certainly have to question the Golden Bears’ stamina, especially since they needed double-overtime to beat Oregon 52-49. That was the ultimate shootout and will have taken a lot out of Cal.

USC started 1-3 against a brutal schedule and was way undervalued because of it. All three losses came on the road as underdogs against Alabama, Stanford and Utah, and they really should have beaten Utah. But then the schedule lightened up a bit, and the Trojans’ true colors have shown over their past three games.

Following the Utah loss, USC came back and beat Arizona State 41-20. This was a 41-6 game until the Sun Devils scored 14 points in garbage time in the fourth quarter. The Trojans outgained the Sun Devils 523 to 303 for the game, or by 220 total yards.

USC then beat a very good Colorado team 21-17 at home in a game that was a much bigger blowout than the final score showed. The Trojans outgained the Buffaloes 539 to 371 for the game, or by 168 total yards.

Then last time out USC went to Arizona and won 48-14 as 14-point favorites. The Trojans racked up 574 total yards and limited the Wildcats to 343 yards, outgaining them by 231 yards for the game.

I believe Cal is similar to USC’s last three opponents talent-wise. That’s important because the Trojans are outscoring their last three foes by 19.7 points per game and outgaining them by 206.3 yards per game.

There’s no question that the Trojans have been improved defensively of late, but the biggest reason for their turnaround is the play of freshman QB Sam Darnold. He is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,334 yards with 13 touchdowns and two interceptions this season in basically only four games.

Both teams obviously have elite offenses, but the difference in this game is going to be defense. Cal gives up 41.3 points and 488 yards per game against teams that average 32.5 points and 424 yards per game. USC only gives up 24.0 points and 371 yards per game against opponents that average 30.5 points and 419 yards per game.

And keep in mind that USC has played a much tougher schedule than Cal to this point. The Golden Bears are 0-3 in true road games this season with losses to San Diego State, Arizona State and Oregon State, which is the worst team in the Pac-12. USC is 3-0 at home this season and winning by 21.0 points per game.

USC is 12-0 straight up in its last 12 meetings with Cal. The Trojans are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. The Trojans are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better. The Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.

Plays on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (USC) – after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points are 44-17 (72.1%) ATS since 1992.  Bet USC Thursday.

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Ohio Bobcats vs. Toledo Rockets Football Prediction from Tony George: October 27th 2016

OHIO VS. TOLEDO BETTINGOhio Bobcats vs. Toledo Rockets
College Football Prediction: Ohio +17 points (October 27th 2016)

Frank Solich is a great coach, and I have banked on him all year with the Ohio Bobcats.  I have faded Ohio once as well and cashed on them as favs twice.  Toledo is beat up with injury issues on the OL and off a huge emotional win where they got lucky with a key turnover by Central Michigan in that game.  Ohio U full healthy in backfield on offense, QB Maxwell playing smart ball and RB Brown a big boost since returning to the lineup.  Solich is always good in big games as well.  Ohio struggled against Kent, had -3 in turnovers and could not convert a first down to save their life in a game they overlooked, it will not happen again under Solich in this game.  The sharps in Vegas hit this at 17 and now it dropped a point, I am still on them at this number to cover it, and it is climbing back up.
While Toledo is an offensive high octane machine, their OL injury issues concern me.  Toledo is also a cover machine going 17-5 ATS their last 22 games overall, but I sense a spot here that gets tight for them.  Ohio’s strength is their defense, and they are #1 team in the MAC in points allowed on defense.  While I think Toledo gets the win, it will not come easy against a team who aggressively pursues the QB and has 29 QB sacks YTD.  Going with the Big Dog in this one.
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Temple Owls vs. South Florida Bulls Football Betting Prediction: October 21st 2016

TEMPLE OWLS VS. SOUTH FLORIDA BULLSTemple Owls vs. South Florida Bulls
Football Betting Prediction: Temple +6.5 (October 21st 2016)

The South Florida Bulls are getting a lot of love from oddsmakers due to their 6-1 start this season.  But they’ve been favored in all six of their wins, and lost by 20 to Florida State in their only game as an underdog.  Temple is the best team that USF will have played outside of FSU.  After outgaining Memphis by 204 yards in a 27-34 loss in a game they should have won, the Owls came back last week with a 26-25 road win at UCF as dogs, covering the spread in both of those contests.  Temple is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games as an underdog and 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall.  Take Temple.

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