Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
Football Betting Prediction: Baylor -3.5 points (October 29th 2016)
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I just don’t trust the Longhorns in this spot. I believe the books are being cautious with Baylor given their easy schedule. I know they struggled in their last road game at ISU, but they aren’t going to overlook Texas in this spot.
The Bears are going to come into this one with a chip on their shoulder after last year’s ugly loss. Keep in mind that Texas shutout Baylor 20-0 in the 1st half. It’s the only time the Bears failed to score in the 1st half of a game since 2011. What’s impressive is they almost came back and won, despite turning it over 4 times. Note they did finish with a 479-307 edge in total yards.
You also have to keep in mind that was the final game of the regular season. Oklahoma had already wrapped up the Big 12 title and there was nothing left for Baylor to play for.
Another key factor here is that the Bears catch Texas off a bye week. Their second bye in the last 3 weeks, as they also had one before playing Kansas. This team is fresh and well prepared for what Texas has to offer. Note that the Bears are 6-1 in their last 7 off a bye. At the same time, Texas is coming off a very physical game against Kansas State.
We have seen the Longhorns defense get torched on a regular basis this season. I’m not sure what makes anyone thing Baylor isn’t going to expose them as well. Texas enters with the 102nd ranked pass defense in the country, giving up 263.1 ypg. They are also allowing a staggering 8.7 yards/pass attempt. The Bears are averaging 266.3 ypg through the air and 8 yards per attempt.
Another thing I like with Baylor is the fact they aren’t getting any public attention. Despite the fact that they haven’t lost a game and are ranked in the Top 10. I think we see them come out 100% locked in and wouldn’t be surprised if this turned into a blowout. Take Baylor!
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