California Golden Bears vs. Oregon Ducks
Point Spread Pick: Oregon +3 points (October 21st 2016)
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The betting public sees Cal laying just a field goal at home against an Oregon team that has been crushed in their last two games by Washington State (33-51) and Washington (21-70) and is jumping all over the Golden Bears. I think this is a huge trap line by the books, as I see the value with the Ducks. Oregon has won 7 straight in the series and are 2-4 because of a brutal schedule. Cal’s two best offensive players are dealing with injuries and without the offense scoring 40+ points/game this Bears team is not very good. This is a statement game for the Ducks and they have had two weeks to prepare for this contest. Let’s also not forget the defense wasn’t great last year and they held Cal to just 28-points in a 16-point win as a mere 3-point home favorite. They were undervalued in this matchup last year and I believe are again this time around. Give me Oregon +3!
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Click here for Jack Jones’ Oregon vs. California pick at Handicapperspicks.com
South Florida Bulls vs. Temple Owls
Point Spread Pick: South Florida -6.5 points (October 21st 2016)
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The South Florida Bulls visit Philadelphia to take on the Temple Owls in key American Athletic Conference tilt. Kick-off is set for 7 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field.
USF (6-1, 5-2 ATS, 3-0AAC) boasts one of the top offense’s in the country averaging a league best 44 points per game overall and 45 ppg on the road. The Bulls will attempt to extend their record of at least 35 points for the 12th straight game against an Owls team that ranks second in the league in total offense. QB Quinton Flowers had three rushing touchdowns in Saturday’s 42-27 victory over Connecticut last Saturday, pushing his season total to 20 TDs. He also leads USF in rushing with 655 yards. Aside from the 55-point debacle against Florida State in USF’s only loss, the Bulls’ defense has given up 21 per game
Temple (4-3, 6-1 ATS, 2-1 ACC) relies on its ground game which is spearheaded by Ryquell Armstead and Jahad Thomas. That duo has combined for 760 yards and 14 touchdowns season while QB Phillip Walker has thrown for 10 scores.
- Temple dropped a 44-23 decision against USF in Tampa last season, which started the Bulls’ scoring streak of 35 or more.
- The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last four games while the Owls have covered in six straight games.
- The weather forecast is calling for temps in the 50’s with 17 MPH winds and a 20% chance of rain.
UTEP Miners vs. Texas San Antonio Roadrunners
Football Point Spread Pick: Texas SA -9.5 points (October 22nd 2016)
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The Miners had a bye week last week which couldn’t have come at a better time after five straight double-digit losses. The UTEP season is circling the drain and they run into a surging UTSA team that suddenly has Bowl aspirations. The Roadrunners got an important road win over Rice on the road in last. Last two here were a mauling of Southern Miss and a close loss to a then healthy and 100% Arizona State team. UTSA has circled the wagons for HC Frank Wilson and to take the next step, need to beat downtrodden teams playing out the string like this UTEP squad. USTA 38-14.
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South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans
Football Betting Pick: South Alabama +9 points (October 20th 2016)
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All you need to do is look at two games to find what South Alabama is capable of. The Jaguars beat Mississippi State 21-20 on the road as 28-point underdogs in their opener. They also beat San Diego State 42-24 as 19.5-point home dogs a few weeks back, handing the Aztecs their only loss of the season. Troy is getting a lot of respect due to its 5-1 start this season, but its 5 wins have come against Austin Peay, Southern Miss, New Mexico State, Idaho and Georgia State. I would argue that South Alabama is the second-toughest team that it will have played this season. The Jaguars won 24-18 on the road at Troy last year, and 27-13 at home against Troy in 2014. Even if they don’t win 3 in a row over the Trojans tonight, I like their chances of keeping this one close and staying within this 9-point spread. Take South Alabama.
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Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars
Point Spread Pick: Troy -8 points (October 20th 2016)
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Free Pick – Rickenbach CFB Game #305 Thursday – Troy Trojans (-) @ South Alabama Jaguars @ 7:30 ET – The Trojans run the ball very well and the Jaguars struggle to stop the run. That is the biggest key to this game as there is a mismatch in this one with Troy averaging 200 yards per game on the ground and South Alabama allowing an average of 220 rushing yards per game. The Trojans are certainly highly motivated here as they have lost their match-up with the Jags each of the past two seasons.
Troy is already 5-1 this season and building on the improvement they showed in the 2nd half of last season when they went 3-3 and averaged 36 points per game after starting out 1-5 and averaging only 20 points per game under head coach Neal Brown. Now in his 2nd season here, Brown has the Trojans playing very well and they should get revenge in a big way here against a South Alabama team that is on a 1-4 ATS run in Sun Belt Conference games when they are a home dog. The visitor in games between South Alabama and Troy has gotten the cash 4 straight times and I look for a 5th straight road cover here. When playing with 6 days of rest or less between games, the Trojans are on a 14-6 ATS run including 4-0 ATS this season!
The Jaguars are off of another loss in Sun Belt action and they are 4-15 ATS including 0-2 ATS this season when off of a loss against a conference foe. Look for the Trojans to get their revenge as this is a classic case of a team on the rise against a team who is regressing. South Alabama’s drop-off from the 2014 season (made it to a bowl) continues. Free Pick on TROY minus the points Thursday evening. Best of luck, Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach
UL Monroe vs. New Mexico
Point Spread Pick: UL Monroe +17.5 points (October 22nd 2016)
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The Warhawks enter play at 1-4 on the season against FBS opposition. Last week the team got its first win by beating Texas State. While the final scores show a 1-4 team when looking at yards per play ULM should be 2-3 on the season. Against Idaho the team beat the Vandals 6.9 ypp to 5.8 but a negative four turnover margin cost them the win.
This is a major sandwich game for the Lobos after knocking off fellow option offense Air Force last week in Dallas, and flying to the islands to take on Hawaii next week. While New Mexico 2-3 on the season against FBS opposition, it’s also 2-3 in yards per play. And take a look at the schedule this team has faced. New Mexico State, Rutgers, San Jose State, Boise State and Air Force. The first three opponents could be considered the very bottom 10 of a lot of peoples power ratings. Boise State is the only very good team the Lobos have played and it lost by 28 at home in that contest. ULM on the other hand has faced both Oklahoma and Auburn on the road. Simply put these two teams are much closer to even than this line dictates. In fact, when analyzing explosive plays per game the Warhawks are the better club. We are aware of the quarterback situation for the Warhawks and it has been figured into our handicap. This one is decided late.