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Archive for the ‘NCAA Football Picks’ Category

UL Monroe vs. New Mexico Point Spread Pick from Bryan Leonard: October 22nd 2016

UL MONROE VS. NEW MEXICOUL Monroe vs. New Mexico
Point Spread Pick: UL Monroe +17.5 points (October 22nd 2016)

The Warhawks enter play at 1-4 on the season against FBS opposition. Last week the team got its first win by beating Texas State. While the final scores show a 1-4 team when looking at yards per play ULM should be 2-3 on the season. Against Idaho the team beat the Vandals 6.9 ypp to 5.8 but a negative four turnover margin cost them the win.

This is a major sandwich game for the Lobos after knocking off fellow option offense Air Force last week in Dallas, and flying to the islands to take on Hawaii next week. While New Mexico 2-3 on the season against FBS opposition, it’s also 2-3 in yards per play. And take a look at the schedule this team has faced. New Mexico State, Rutgers, San Jose State, Boise State and Air Force. The first three opponents could be considered the very bottom 10 of a lot of peoples power ratings. Boise State is the only very good team the Lobos have played and it lost by 28 at home in that contest. ULM on the other hand has faced both Oklahoma and Auburn on the road. Simply put these two teams are much closer to even than this line dictates. In fact, when analyzing explosive plays per game the Warhawks are the better club. We are aware of the quarterback situation for the Warhawks and it has been figured into our handicap. This one is decided late.

Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave Football Spread Pick from Dave Price: October 14th 2016

MEMPHIS VS. TULANE FOOTBALL BETTINGMemphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave
Point Spread Pick: Memphis -11 points (October 14th 2016)

This game between Memphis and Tulane is certainly a mismatch in class. Memphis is a legitimate AAC title contender once again this season. It is off to a 4-1 start this season with its only loss coming on the road against Ole Miss from the SEC. The Tigers are scoring 43.4 points per game and only giving up 20.4, outscoring opponents by 23.0 points per contest. Tulane is 3-2 but has benefited from an easy schedule as the 3 wins have come against Southern, LA Lafayette and UMass. Memphis is 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS in its last 9 meetings with Tulane. A whopping 8 of those wins have come by 14 points or more. Take Memphis.

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Brandon Lee betting the Aztecs -17 points over the Bulldogs on October 14th 2016

SAN DIEGO STATE VS. FRESNO STATE BETTINGSan Diego State Aztecs vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
College Football Point Spread Pick: San Diego State -17 points (October 14th 2016)

I have no problem laying this big number on the road with the Aztecs against a bad Fresno State team. You have to pick your spots taking road favorites in these weekday games and this is one I really like. I just don’t see the Bulldogs’ fans getting up for this game. Their team is 1-5 and has shown no signs of turning this thing around. This is also a great matchup for San Diego State. The Aztecs have the No. 22 ranked rushing offense in the country, averaging 236.8 ypg. A big part of that is star running back Donnel Pumphrey, who has already rushed for 891 yards. Pumphrey and the Aztecs will be facing a Bulldogs defense that ranks a miserable 126th against the run, allowing 272.0 ypg. On the flip side of things, San Diego State’s defense is ranked 15th in the country in total defense and will be facing a Fresno State offense that ranks a mere 96th. Keep in mind the Aztecs were embarrassed in their last road game, losing 24-42 as a 19.5-point favorite at South Alabama. That should have them 100% locked in on not only winning this game but doing so in blowout fashion. Give me San Diego State -17!

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Iowa vs. Purdue Football Prediction from Bryan Leonard: October 15th 2016

IOWA VS. PURDUE FOOTBALLIowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers
College Football Prediction: Purdue +12.5 points (October 15th 2016)

The Hawkeyes have an extremely easy schedule this year and still have underperformed. The only time this club looked impressive all year was a 42-3 home win over instate rival Iowa State. The last three games the Hawkeyes beat Rutgers in yards per play 5.8 to 5.0, lost to Northwestern 5.0 to 4.2 and outlasted Minnesota 4.5 to 4.3. This team doesn’t deserve to be double digit road favorites.

Purdue started the year very badly as it had a turnover disadvantage of -9 combined against Cincinnati and Nevada. But the last two weeks the team has busted out of its turnover situation and are off a nice road win at Illinois. Now back home for homecoming we will back the positive momentum of the Boilermakers.

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers Football Point Spread Pick: October 15th 2016

CORNHUSKERS VS. HOOSIERS BETTINGNebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers
Football Point Spread Pick: Nebraska -3 (October 15th 2016)

I’m recommending a play on Nebraska minus the points over Indiana. A lot of folks are calling for a Hoosier upset and the line has dropped from 6 1/2 down the as low as 3 at the time of this post. I believe the number has dropped too far. Bye weeks can be momentum killers, but in Nebraska’s case, it was a chance for the 5-0 squad to get a little healthier. Tommy Armstrong’s ankle looks fine and the team welcomes back WR Alonzo Moore and OL Tanner Farmer, who’re both expected to play this week. They won’t have WR Jordan Westerkamp (back) or TE Cethan Carter (elbow) in all likelihood, but they’ll have known that for 12 days by the time this one kicks off. In other words, they’ll have prepared for the loss of those two players. Nebraska has been quite balanced, passing for 238 yards per game, while running for 234 yards per game. Indiana’s defense played well last week against Ohio State, but may not have a full tank of gas after that emotional & physical matchup. IU was in a similar spot last season getting 3 1/2 points from Penn State after losing a hard-fought game to the Buckeyes. The Hoosiers were obviously gassed and lost 29-7 to the Nittany Lions, falling 18 1/2 points short of the spread. The IU offense was held to 234 total yards, while the defense allowed 420. This year’s version doesn’t run the ball well, which means the passing game will have to face a Nebraska defense holding opponents to 195 yards passing per game, allowing just 3 passing TDs, with 9 INTs on the season. The Cornhuskers enter on an 11-4 ATS run on the road and we’ll recommend them here. Nebraska, minus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Georgia State vs. Troy Football Point Spread Pick from Dennis Macklin: October 15th 2016

College Football Point Spread Pick: Troy -17 (October 15th 2016)

Love this spot for the revenge minded Trojans. Troy is 4-1 (SU and ATS) with the spread loss coming in their opener when they were hooked in a game they won by 40. The straight up loss was a six-point loss to Clemson in a game they were in the whole way. Georgia State (1-4 SU and 3-2 ATS) has had it’s moments against a tough non-conference schedule (touchdown loss at Wisconsin). GS got fat vs. Texas State is last but faces a top flight non-Power Five defense here that allows less than six yards a play and has come up with 14 turnover in their last four games. Add to the mix the Trojans having extra time off their bye, in revenge mode from a 31-21 road loss last year and HC crowd …. we have a solid reason to back Troy here.

At the start of the week and as of this writing, the Mack Attack is 34-16 in college football, No1 on the network. Combined football No.1 by better than 10 units. Looking at a big weekend with a very strong card. Do yourself a favor and get a one week sub and get EVERY play in EVERY sport. Bases 6-2 in the playoffs too. Check the leader boards all of them. No1. L30 days, No.1 L60 days. We will have a big week.