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Eagles vs. Giants Week 15 NFL Pick from AAA Sports: December 17th 2017

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants
Week 15 NFL Pick: Giants +9 (December 17th 2017)
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Eli Manning and the Giants are playing for pride the rest of the way. Last week New York fell 30-10 to Dallas. Injuries and other issues led to the Giants miserable season, but they won’t be going down without a fight. They also play with revenge after falling to the Eagles 27-24 earlier in the year.

Philadelphia comes in off a 43-35 win at the Rams, but the victory came at a major cost, as starting QB Carson Wentz has now been lost for the remainder of the season to injury. Note that Philadelphia is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 played on “turf,” while New York is 2-1 ATS this year off a division game, 2-1 ATS after a loss to a division rival and 4-3 ATS after two or more consecutive losses. Consider the GIANTS in this one.

Jaguars vs. Seahawks Week 14 NFL Point Spread Pick from John Martin: December 10th 2017

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Seattle Seahawks
Week 14 NFL Pick: Jaguars -2.5 (December 10th 2017)
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I think price is right to pull the trigger on the Jacksonville Jaguars as only 2.5-point home favorites over the Seattle Seahawks.  The Jaguars just get no love despite winning five of their last six games with four of those wins coming by 12 points or more.  They have the best defense in the NFL, and they lead the league in pass defense and sacks.  That makes this a brutal matchup for the Seahawks, who have no running game and one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL.  And this is an awful spot for the Seahawks. They are coming off a massive home win over the Eagles, and now they have to travel East to face the Jaguars in a letdown spot.  We just need the Jaguars to win by a field goal to get the cover Sunday, and I think they show they are one of the best teams in the NFL and get the job done.  Give me the Jaguars.

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Cowboys vs. Giants Week 14 NFL Over-Under Pick from Dennis Macklin: December 10th 2017

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
Week 14 NFL Over-Under Pick: Over 41.5 (December 10th 2017)
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McAdoo and Reece are gone and Eli is back but that doesn’t affect the product the Giants put on the field which at this point is pretty poor. At 6-6, the Cowboys are on a respirator for the playoffs and have the toughest schedule down the stretch of any of the peripheral teams. Sean Lee is back to anchor the defense and a win here and at Oakland next week would put Dallas as 8-6 with a home game vs. Seattle and at Philly to finish the season. Zeke is reliable in the Christmas EVE game against Seattle.

Regardless, the Cowboys need help and lot of it. Pokes here have had extra time and face Giant offense that turns the ball over regardless of who is quarterbacking and is just 10-41 on third down the last three games. Big Blue defense is worn down and tired and has just been on the field too long. Giants won in Week One 19-3 but that was with just 16 points in four visits to the red zone. They’ll hit paydirt several time here. Putting the Cowboys on 30+ and will count on Eli getting 10+ to put us over the total.

Raiders vs. Giants Week 13 Prediction from John Martin: December 3rd 2017

Oakland Raiders vs. New York Giants
Week 13 Prediction: Raiders -7.5 points (December 3rd 2017)
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The Oakland Raiders have won three of their last five to get to 5-6 on the season.  Their outlook is a bright one right now as they are just one game back of the reeling Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West, and they own the head-to-head tiebreaker.  The Giants have clearly waved the white flag.  They are starting Geno Smith and benching Eli Manning this week, and that was not a popular decision among players on the team and the media.  The Giants are more concerned about getting a high draft pick now likely to select their quarterback of the future.  I don’t expect them to offer much resistance against the motivated Raiders this week.  The Raiders are actually 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. New York is 0-6 ATS after allowing 3 points or fewer in the first half of last game over the last two seasons.  Give me the Raiders.

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Check out Larry Ness’ Giants vs. Raiders point spread pick at Handicapperspicks.com

Week 13 NFL Pick: Teddy Covers betting the Patriots -8.5 points on December 3rd 2017

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
Week 13 NFL Betting Pick: NE -8.5 (December 3rd 2017)
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For the second consecutive season, the New England Patriots are, incredibly, an UNDER-valued commodity in the betting markets.  Last year, despite their ‘public’ nature and their Super Bowl winning caliber roster, the wiseguys faded New England (and lost fading New England) week after week.  The Pats finished the season with a truly remarkable 15-3-1 ATS record, including an 8-1 ATS mark on the highway.

It’s been more of the same here in 2017.  The Patriots statistical profile hasn’t been pretty from Day 1, when New England got slapped around on their home field against Kansas City.  Their full, season long numbers show a mediocre ballclub that allows 6.1 yards per play on defense (tied with Tampa for dead last in the NFL), unable to stop the run (4.9 yards per carry allowed, also tied for last in the NFL) and mediocre against the pass.

Those numbers are flat out lying, and that’s what the public sees that the wiseguys are missing.  Since Week 5, the Patriots have allowed the fewest points in the NFL – the #1 points allowed defense.  Remember, wiseguys are looking at this defense like it’s among the worst in the league.  That’s a pretty sharp disparity!  It shows why money comes in against the Patriots almost every week.  And it shows why that money continues to lose, with New England 100% perfect ATS since mid-October.

The Bills are an easy team to handicap this year when we consider one factor.  Buffalo is 6-1 SU, 5-1-1 ATS when they win the turnover battle.  They are 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS when turnovers were even or the Bills had a negative turnover margin.  That’s another VERY sharp dichotomy, which doesn’t bode well for Buffalo in this matchup.  Because the Patriots do one thing better than any other team in the NFL – they don’t turn the ball over.

In 2014, the Patriots ranked #1 in the NFL in fewest turnovers committed on offense.  In 2015, the Patriots ranked #1 in the NFL in fewest turnovers committed on offense.   In 2016, the Patriots ranked #1 in the NFL in fewest turnovers committed on offense.  And here we are entering Week 13 of the campaign, and New England is, once again, ranked #1 for the fewest turnovers committed in the NFL.  Given the Bills SU and ATS stats above, the Pats ability to avoid turnovers is clearly a problem for the home underdog.

New England won here 41-25 last year, 40-32 the year before and 37-22 the year before; a very one sided series in recent seasons.  At 6-5, the Bills have been outyarded, out-first downed and outgained by 0.6 yards per play for the season – they have, quite simply, lived off their turnover margin.  But this is one game where the Bills cannot be expected to win the turnover battle; bad news for Bills fans and backers.  Take the Patriots.

Browns vs. Chargers Week 13 NFL Over-Under Pick from Dennis Macklin: December 3rd 2017

Cleveland Browns vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Week 13 NFL Over-Under Pick: Over 41.5 points (December 3rd 2017)
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Despite favorites going 37-15-4 in November and that the Browns are 8-29-1 ATS in their L38 game overall, still not interested giving or taking here but still interested in the total. The suddenly raging Chargers need just one more win to get to .500 and are right in the mix with the Chiefs and Raiders for the AFC West or a wildcard spot. They’re also in a rare revenge spot vs. Cleveland in that if you remember, it was the Chargers who saved Cleveland the ignominy of being only the second winless team of the modern era by losing to the Browns 20-17 on Christmas Eve.

In the end, though, we don’t think it will be doing the job and getting the win. Philip Rivers was near perfect in his near surgical dissection of the Dallas defense producing 500 yards and without question (kicker lost 1st Q) at least 10 more points. He’ll be facing a Browns defense that has hit the wall and given up 30 plus to any jersey but Tennessee and Jacksonville the last seven games. If we put the Chargers on 30+, Cleveland won’t need to do much heavy lifting to have this one flying over the total. Play the Over.