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Patriots vs. Falcons Super Bowl LI Point Spread & Over-Under Betting Pick: February 5th 2017

New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons – Super Bowl LI – 6:30pm ET February 5th 2017

Point Spread: The New England Patriots are a 3 points favorite over the Atlanta Falcons in the 2017 Super Bowl. The over/under betting total for this game is 58 points.

Public Perception: 51% of the wagering public is betting that the Falcons cover the point spread over the Patriots. 63% believe that Super Bowl LI will go over the posted betting total of 58 points.

Past Performance: The last time these two squads took to the field was in 2013. New England was a 3 point underdog in that game and the over/under was 49 points. The Patriots covered the spread as an underdog and the game went over the posted total. Final Score: NE 30 ATL 23.

Side Betting Trends:
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Atlanta is 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 playoff games. New England is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. New England is 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. New England is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. New England is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Over/Under Betting Trends:
Over is 7-0-1 in Atlanta’s last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 5-0-1 in Atlanta’s last 6 games following a straight up win. Over is 4-0 in Atlanta’s last 4 playoff games. Over is 5-0 in New England’s last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Under is 4-0 in New England’s last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in New England’s last 7 playoff games.

Head-to-Head Betting Trends:
New England is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Betting Pick: New England Patriots -3
Over-Under Pick: Over 58 points

Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers Over-Under Playoffs Prediction: January 22nd 2017

Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers
NFL Playoffs Over-Under Prediction: Over 60 points (January 22nd 2017)
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Play On:  OVER 60 The Green Bay Packers travel to Atlanta to take on the Falcons on Sunday afternoon in the NFC Championship game.  Green Bay comes in with a 12-6 SU overall record this year while Atlanta is 12-5 SU overall this season.  Both teams have good offenses and great QB’s with Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan.  Green Bay is averaging 269.8 yards per game passing and 373.3 total yards per game while Atlanta defense is allowing 263.1 yards per game passing and 367.5 total yards per game.  Atlanta is averaging 296.9 yards per game passing and 416.2 total yards per game while Green Bay defense is allowing 263.1 yards per game passing and 367.5 total yards per game.  The OVER is 22-10 last 32 and 5-1 last 3 years when Green Bay faces the NFC South.  The OVER is 6-1 this year when Green Bay has won 2 or more consecutive games.  The OVER is 14-2 this year in all Atlanta games including 10-0 OVER when they are favored and 9-0 OVER at home.  Green Bay is scoring 28 points per game overall this year, 27.1 points per game on the road this season, 34.3 points per game their past 3 games overall and 25.7 points per game in domes this year.  Green Bay is allowing 28.6 points per game on the road this year and 24.7 points per game in domes this season.

Atlanta is scoring 33.9 points per game overall this year, 35.1 points per game at home this season, 35.7 points per game their past 3 games overall and 36.1 points per game in domes this year.  Atlanta is allowing 25.1 points per game overall this year, 26.9 points per game at home this season and 27.4 points per game in domes.  Last two games between these two teams they scored a combined 65 points and 80 points, with both going OVER the total easily.  Should be another shoot out.  We’ll recommend a small play on OVER THE TOTAL here today!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky Rocky Atkinson has his 6* NFL Game of the Week going Sunday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 67-45 60% NFL run over his last 116 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $18,500 since December 15, 2013!  Rocketman cashed 65% in the NFL regular season this year which was documented #2 in the world according to The Sports Monitor of Oklahoma City, OK!  Rocketman is 12-3 80% last 15 overall NFL plays!  Rocketman is 2-0 in the NFL playoffs so far this year! Rocky Atkinson has a TOP 8* CBB BEST BET and three 6* CBB plays for Sunday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 314-256 55% CBB run over his last 583 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $36,420 since December 02, 2009!  Get on board and WIN BIG with the Rocketman!  CBB Game of the Month cashes easily yesterday with Notre Dame!

Steelers vs. Patriots Playoffs Over-Under Betting Prediction from AAA Sports: January 22nd 2017

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New England Patriots
NFL Playoffs Over-Under Prediction: Under 51 points (January 22nd 2017)
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What more can be said about these two teams which hasn’t literally been said a million times at this point. The Steelers and Patriots are both very familiar to the postseason over the last ten years. New England is led by QB Tom Brady and Pittsburgh is led by Ben Roethlisberger. These are two of the most capable QB’s in NFL history. Last week the Steelers held on for an 18-16 road win in Kansas City. Roethlisberger had 224 yards and zero TD’s. RB Le’Veon Bell had 170 rushing yards. Note that Pittsburgh scored an average of 24.9 PPG in the regular season to rank the team 11th overall. Pittsburgh looked great defensively in the win over the Chiefs, holding them to just 227 total yards.

The Patriots pulled away for a 34-16 win over the Texans last weekend. While New England was third overall on offense with an average of 27.6 PPG, it was its defense which was the difference maker this year, finishing No. 1 in allowing 15.6 PPG. The bottom line is, we’re expecting more of a “chess match,” where field position ends up playing a big part in the final outcome. The Steelers had a difficult time against the Chiefs on the road, but now face the top defense in the league. This number is just a little bit high in our opinion, consider a second look at the UNDER in the AFC Championship game.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Playoffs Prediction from Jack Jones: January 15th 2017

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Playoffs Prediction: Steelers +2 points -110 odds (January 15th 2017)
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The Pittsburgh Steelers are playing as well as anyone in the NFL right now. They went on a four-game losing streak midseason, but they have reeled off eight straight victories since. They key has been getting their Big 3 on the field all at the same time in Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown.

In fact, last week’s game against Miami was the first time that Big Ben, Bell and Brown have all been available at the same time for a playoff game. And the result was a good one. The Steelers thumped the Dolphins 30-12. Brown caught two touchdowns from Roethlisberger in the first quarter to give the Steelers a 14-0 lead that they wouldn’t relinquish. Bell tacked on two rushing touchdowns later on to seal it.

Not only are the Steelers winning on the scoreboard, they are also dominating the box scores, which is the true sign of a good team. They have actually outgained 10 of their last 11 opponents. The only exception was in Week 17 when they rested their Big 3 and had nothing to play for against the Cleveland Browns. They still managed to win that game to keep their momentum going, and this team feels like they are unbeatable right now.

Kansas City may be 12-4, but it has the numbers of a 7-9 team and one that is clearly not one of the best teams in the NFL. In fact, the Chiefs rank 28th in the league in yardage differential, getting outgained by an average of 25.5 yards per game on the season. Only the Dolphins, Rams, Browns and 49ers have been worse, so they are in some pretty poor company.

Kansas City has been winning with smoke and mirrors this season. The Chiefs lead the NFL in turnover differential, which has been the biggest key. They also have more points scored from their defense and special teams than any other team in the league. While that kind of stuff can happen during the regular season, it doesn’t happen against elite teams like the Steelers.

We saw that first-hand earlier this season when the Steelers stomped the Chiefs 43-14 at Heinz Field. I was all over the Steelers in that game as one of my biggest bets of the season. Roethlisberger finished 22-of-27 passing for 300 yards with five touchdowns and zero interceptions, while Bell rushed for 144 yards on only 18 carries in the win.  The Chiefs trailed 36-0 after three quarters and scored all 14 of their points in garbage time in the 4th.

Plays against favorites (KANSAS CITY) – revenging a loss against opponent, after two consecutive covers as a favorite are 34-12 (73.9%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. If this were a regular season game, then I’d think more of the revenge factor working in favor of the Chiefs. But the Steelers will be just as motivated to win this game, and they have the tools to do it now that almost everyone is healthy.

Pittsburgh is 8-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams that allow 350 or more yards per game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. The Steelers are 9-1 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards per play in their previous game over the last two seasons. Kansas City is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 playoff games. The Steelers are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pittsburgh is 12-3-3 ATS in its last 18 January games. Kansas City is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games, and 0-4 ATS in its last four playoff home games.  Bet the Steelers Sunday.

Get more Pittsburgh Steelers and Kansas City Chiefs predictions from our handicappers at Touthouse.com

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NFL Playoffs: Jack Jones betting the Seahawks -8 points over the Lions on January 7th 2017

Detroit Lions vs. Seattle Seahawks
NFL Playoffs Prediction: Seahawks -8 points (January 7th 2017)
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The Seahawks have certainly been hit-or-miss with their results down the stretch. But I think that has them flying under the radar a bit heading into the playoffs. This line would certainly be higher than 8 had they finished stronger, but I think we are actually getting a little bit of value here now that they didn’t close well.

Just looking at final scores would suggest that the Seahawks didn’t play well down the stretch. But if you look at the box scores, they actually weren’t bad at all. The Seahawks outgained seven of their final eight opponents, including four of them by 116 yards or more. They had the six-turnover debacle against the Packers to give that game away, and they had little to play for in their narrow win over the 49ers last week and actually rested starters in the second half.

The Seahawks are still one of the best teams in the NFL, period. They rank 5th in yardage differential, outgaining teams by an average of 38.5 yards per game on the season. They are 2nd in yards per play differential, outgaining teams by 0.6 yards per play as they average 5.6 per play on offense and give up 5.0 per play on defense.

The Lions are the real frauds here. There’s no way they should even be in the playoffs. They trailed in the 4th quarter in 15 of their 16 games this season, but managed to actually win eight of those, giving Matthew Stafford the record for 4th quarter comebacks in a season. But the Lions’ true colors showed down the stretch.

If not for a hail mary at the end of the Packers’ game last week, the Lions would have lost their final three games all by double-digits. It started with a 6-17 road loss to the Giants as 4-point dogs in Week 15. Then they went on the road and lost 21-42 to the Cowboys as 6.5-point road dogs. The Lions had everything to play for in Week 17, and blew it with a 24-31 home loss to the Packers as 3.5-point dogs.

Matthew Stafford has clearly been bothered by his finger injury suffered in Week 14 against the Bears, a game in which he threw two interceptions in the second half and was fortunate to pull out a 20-17 home victory after trailing once again late. Stafford has exactly ONE career road victory against a team that finished the season with a winning record. He is 1-24 in such games.  Stafford is now 5-45 lifetime in all games against teams that finished the season with a winning record.

And the raw numbers expose the Lions as well. They rank 24th in yardage differential, getting outgained by 16.0 yards per game. They are 25th in yards per play differential, getting outgained by 0.4 yards per play. They average 5.5 per play on offense and give up 5.9 per play on defense.

The Lions’ defense ranks 32nd in total defense, 32nd against the pass and 25th against the run according to Football Outsiders. They have allowed 73% completions and 33 touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks. They rank 30th in sacks (26), so the pass rush has been a big problem.

The Lions are in a tough travel spot here, too.  They had to play Dallas on Monday Night Football in Week 16, Green Bay on Sunday Night Football in Week 17, and now they’re on another short week having to travel across the country to the west coast.  This will be their 3rd game in a span of 12 days.  The Lions haven’t won a playoff game since the 1991 season, and they have 10 straight playoff road losses coming in.

The Seahawks still have one of the best home-field advantages in the NFL as they are 7-1 SU at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 11.4 points per game.  Seattle is a perfect 9-0 straight up in its last nine playoff home games, outscoring opponents by an average of 10 points per game in the process.

Seattle is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. poor passing defenses that allow 7.0 or more yards per attempt in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. The Lions are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.  Bet the Seahawks Saturday.

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Raiders vs. Texans NFL Playoffs Point Spread Prediction: January 7th 2017

Oakland Raiders vs. Houston Texans
NFL Playoffs Prediction: Texans -3.5 points (January 7th 2017)
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The Oakland Raiders travel to Houston to take on the Texans on Saturday afternoon.  Oakland comes in with a 12-4 SU overall record this year while Houston comes in with a 9-7 SU overall record on the season.  Oakland was rolling right along until star QB Derek Carr went out.  Oakland is allowing 257.5 passing yards per game and 375.1 total yards per game this season.  Houston is 18-2 SU and 14-5 ATS last 3 years as a favorite.  Houston is solid at home with a 7-1 SU record this season.  Oakland was playing well enough to challenge for the Super Bowl but without their star QB their hopes are gone.  We’ll recommend a small play on Houston today!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocky Atkinson has a 6* NFL Playoff Game of the Week Winner for Saturday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 65-45 59% NFL run over his last 114 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $16,500 since December 15, 2013! Rocketman finished the regular season documented #2 at The Sports Monitor hitting 65% for the entire season!  Rocketman was 10-3 77% last 13 NFL plays!