San Diego Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts
NFL Pick: Chargers +2.5 points (September 25th 2016)
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The 1-1 San Diego Chargers will visit the winless Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon, and this looks like a great spot to take the points on the visitors.
The Colts are struggling big time on the defensive side of the ball as they’ve surrendered 34 and 39 points in defeats to Detroit and Denver to start the season They’re 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Chargers.
San Diego’s QB Philip Rivers threw for four TDs in last week’s 38-14 blowout win against Jacksonville and he has a 70.0% completion rate with his passes on the season, a number which can be compared to Andrew Luck’s 58.8 percent. Luck completed only 21 of 40 attempts for 197 yards with one TD and one INT against Denver last week, and running back Frank Gore is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry.
The Colts need their offense to bail out their subpar D, and that’s not happening at the moment. Take the points on the Chargers, but we might not even need them as San Diego has a great chance to win this game outright.
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Oakland Raiders vs. Tennessee Titans
Week 3 NFL Point Spread Pick: Titans +1.5 (September 25th 2016)
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I’m backing the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. We like what we have seen from Marcus Mariota now that the former Oregon signal-call has a HC who understands you actually have to pass block. Mariota has completed 68% of his passes thus far with 4 TDs and 2 INTs. We are getting what we expected a season ago from TE Delanie Walker (questionable), while Tajae Sharpe & DeMarco Murray have 11 and 12 receptions, respectively. Murray has also averaged over 5 yards per carry. Yes, the Titans started just 2-9 SU in 2015, but they were just 15 points away from a 7-4 SU record through 11 games. They’re healthier this season and have made quality moves to shore-up some of what plagued them last season. Oakland has been a public darling since Over/Under win totals and odds to win the Super Bowl were posted months ago. The defense, however, has not held-up thus far. The Raider defense is dead-last, 32nd in the NFL in yards passing allowed and total yards allowed per game, and they’re 31st in ppg allowed. Oakland won here last year, 24-21. Despite a plus-two turnover margin and Titan injuries, the Raiders still needed a game-winning TD in the closing 90-seconds of the game. I expect Tennessee to gain a measure of revenge and I’m backing the Titans on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants
Week 3 Football Prediction: Giants -4.5 points (September 25th 2016)
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In my humble opinion there is an obvious lack of cohesion in the Washington Redskins locker room and on the sidelines and most noticeably on the field. Losing your first two home games of the season, does not do alot for a teams confidence. Yes, I know QB Cousins has thrown for a big chunk yards through two games (693) but he has only 1 touchdown and three interceptions to show for it in his one man flying circus. Meanwhile the Gmen are performing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum with a 2-0 record. With QB Manning doing just enough , in between some top tier play from the Giants D, the home side looked poised to start their season 3-0. It must noted that NYG allowed the Saints just 3 /3rd down conversions in 13 tries in their last game a 16-13 win.
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- Redskins are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 3.Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Redskins are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in New York. Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
Week 3 NFL Pick: Patriots +1.5 points -110 odds (September 22nd 2016)
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The Texans have only allowed 2 touchdowns in their last 2 games. The books are giving way to much credit to the road team. The Patriots faced a major challenge against a solid Panthers team, and beat them outright! Coaching is key in winning games. Expect the Patriots to be very run-heavy and rely on short passes against Houston.
New England is 6-1 all-time vs. the Texans and won in Houston 27-6 in Week 14 last year. The Patriots have won 28 straight games there against AFC foes outside New England’s East Division. The Patroits also haven’t lost a home prime-time game to any AFC team since 2008. But rookie quarterbacks are 0-6 against Houston since Coach Bill O’Brien took over and the Texans have won those games by an average of 14 points. According to my analysis, I have the Patriots winning 17-13
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 2 NFL Point Spread Pick: Bengals +3.5 points (September 18th 2016)
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The road team has actually won 4 of the last 5 in this AFC North rivalry and we give the Bengals a great shot to win this one. Cincy went into New York and beat the Jets which became even more impressive after watching the flyboys dominate Buffalo on the road Thursday night (game was not as close as the final score indicated). The Steelers also got a win (we were on them) but beating a Washington team that didn’t beat a single team with a winning record last year was not as impressive. However, with that game being on Monday Night and the entire country watching, people will definitely head to the windows to jump on Pitt. That’s why this line is higher than it should be. Last year the Steelers were a pick-em at home vs Bengals (Cincy won). This number (currently -3.5) is the highest it’s been for Pitt as a favorite vs Cincy since 2011. That doesn’t equate as the Bengals are just as good, if not better, than they have been in recent years. Also a little extra juice is added to this game as Cincy blew a lead in last year’s playoff and gave the Steelers a win with some a few boneheaded hits that led to personal fouls. Bengal QB Andy Dalton didn’t play in that game due to injury but when he’s the starter, the Bengals are 11-2 their last 13 games overall. This one stays tight and we like Cincinnati and the points.
Click here for the Bengals vs. Steelers Over-Under pick from Stephen Nover.
Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys
NFL Prediction: Cowboys +3 points (September 18th 2016)
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The Dallas Cowboys have been an awful bet at home, but for whatever reason they seem to bring it on the road. They should have beaten the Giants last week as they outgained them but had to settle for 4 field goals. I look for them to bounce back in Week 2 against a Washington Redskins team that was blasted 38-16 by Pittsburgh, and now they are on a short week after playing on Monday night. Home-field advantage has been a bad thing in this series as the road team is 5-0 SU in the last 5 meetings. The underdog is 27-9 ATS in the last 36 meetings. The Redskins are 8-25-2 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is 13-29 ATS in its last 42 September home games. The Redskins are 37-65 ATS in their last 102 games as a home favorite. Take Dallas.
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See why Tony George is betting the favorite in the Cowboys vs. Redskins game