MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Florida Marlins Odds: April 21st 2011
Florida has taken the first two games of this series with the Pirates by identical 6-0 scores and it looks for the series sweep tonight. The Marlins are 10-6 and trail the Phillies by just a half-game in the National League East so they are playing very well and not letting Philadelphia run away with things. The Marlins have won five of their last six games and this is a great opportunity to keep the run going as they have two more home series on deck. The Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record.
The Pirates have played exceptional on the road this season, this is prior to this series. They came into Florida with a 7-3 record on the road but they have dropped the last two games while not scoring a single run. Pittsburgh is now hitting just .229 on the season and its 3.6 rpg is tied for 25th in baseball. Last night’s loss was the eighth in the last nine meetings against the Marlins and momentum is not on its side as Pittsburgh is a dreadful 17-50 in its last 67 games after losing the first two games of a series.
Chris Volstad was good in his first start this season as he allowed one run in five innings against the Nationals at home. He was roughed up next time out by the Braves as he gave up five runs in 4.2 innings on the road but we should see a bounceback tonight. He was a much better pitcher at home than on the road last season, posting a 3.57 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 15 home starts compared to a 5.73 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 15 road starts. It worked that way against the Pirates last year as he tossed a quality outing at home.
The Pirates counter with James McDonald who has progressively gotten worse as the season moves along. He allowed two runs in his first start but then gave up five runs in his second and then six runs in his last outing. He pitched very well last season in 11 starts with Pittsburgh after being sent over by the Dodgers but this year he has an ugly 7.47 and 9:9 K:BB ratio in 15.2 innings. His velocity is way down so there is a concern and until it is found, he is a good fade. 3* (960) Florida Marlins
Matt is coming off a Wednesday MLB split but the Winner was his TOP PLAY on the Angeles! For Thursday he has uncovered another PRIME SITUATION that requires TOP PLAY status! He has been very selective with his TOP PLAYS but it has paid off as they are hitting a SMOKING 4-1 (80%) on the year! He adds to the MASSIVE run with a MONSTER! Do not even think about missing this!