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NCAA Basketball Picks: Long Beach State vs. Syracuse: December 6th 2012

NCAA Basketball Picks: December 6th 2012
Long Beach State vs. Syracuse
Prediction: Long Beach State +20

Long Beach State has been one of the most underrated teams in the country over the last few years under head coach Dan Monson. This is a school that loads its schedule with a very tough non-conference games, which gets it prepared to dominate during the regular season. It has beaten some very good teams over the last few seasons.

The 49ers are just 3-4 this season, but their four losses came against North Carolina, Arizona, USC and Fresno State. All four of those losses came by 22 points or less, and I look for them to stay within 20 points of overvalued Syracuse tonight.

The reason the Orange are overvalued right now is because they have opened the season 6-0 against a relatively soft schedule. They’ve also gone 4-0 ATS in all of their lined games, so there’s no question this team is getting a lot of backing from the betting public right now, which in turn forces the oddsmakers to set the spread higher than it should be.

Syracuse is 30-52 ATS in home games after a win by 15 points or more since 1997. The Orange are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Long Beach State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU. loss. The 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Bet Long Beach State Thursday.

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