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Murray State vs. Austin Peay College Basketball Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: January 31st 2014

Jimmy Boyd: College Basketball PickMurray State vs. Austin Peay
College Basketball Prediction: Murray State -3.5 (January 31st 2014)
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The Murray State Racers are the best team in the Ohio Valley Conference. They have a 7-1 record in conference play, and they are facing an Austin Peay team that has posted a 9-12 overall record and a 3-4 record against Ohio Valley opponents. The Racers should have no problem putting a big number on the scoreboard against the Governors soft defense. Austin Peay has surrendered 75.9 points per game this season.

We are getting a lot of value on Murray State thanks to an anomaly performance from the Governors in their last outing. Austin Peay shot 67.6 percent from the field while holding Tennessee Tech to just 37.3 percent shooting. That is unlikely to take place again, especially against a team that is considered top tier in the Ohio Valley. Murray State is an outstanding offensive team averaging 73.7 points per game. The defense has played well holding opponents with a scoring average over 72 points per game to a mere 69.9 points per game. The Racers are the better team, and it will show in this matchup against the Governors.

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Providence vs. Marquette Betting Odds & Pick from Steve Janus: January 30th 2014

Steve Janus - College Basketball PickProvidence vs. Marquette
Betting Pick: Marquette -5 -110 odds (January 30th 2014)
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There’s a pretty strong indication that the sharps are on Marquette in this game. I’m showing over 75% of the bets coming in on Providence, yet we have seen the line move from Marquette -4 to -5.

The Golden Eagles are just 11-9 overall, but could just as easily have a much stronger record and be ranked inside the Top 25. 7 of their 9 losses have come by single digits and each of their last two defeats have come in overtime. The most recent being a 85-94 overtime loss to then No. 4 Villanova. The same Villanova team that embarrassed Providence 91-61 earlier this season.

Marquette is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games with a total of 130 to 134.5, while Providence is just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games vs teams who are outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games vs teams who are committing 14 or fewer turnovers.

We also finding a strong system in play favoring Marquette.Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARQUETTE) – after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 64-25 (72%) ATS since 1997. BET THE GOLDEN EAGLES -5!

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College Basketball Pick from Joe Gavazzi: St. Mary’s vs. San Diego: January 30th 2014

Joe Gavazzi - College Basketball PickCollege Basketball Picks: January 30th 2014
St. Mary’s vs. San Diego
Prediction: St. Mary’s -4.5
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This matchup has historically favored St. Mary’s/Bennett vs. San Diego/Grier. Such was the case last year, when the Gaels beat the Torreros by scores of 33, 10 and 3 points. Some may kneejerk to the current form of San Diego as the Torreros return home from a 4-0 ATS road trip in which they went 2-2 SU (all games decided by 3 or less points), including wins at Portland and Santa Clara. But after 5 consecutive games decided by 4 or less points, it is no surprise to this bureau if San Diego exhales at home. For under Grier, this team is just 27-26 SU, 3+Y at the Jenny Craig Pavilion. Far prefer the visiting Gaels (5 straight series wins), who are in ideal roles under 13th year HC Bennett. Those include 37-17 ATS as road chalk L7+Y and 36-9 ATS following a home win in which they scored 85 or more points (defeated LOY-Mary 89-61, Saturday night). Looks like another series win for the visitor.

UCLA vs. Oregon Basketball Point Spread & Prediction: January 30th 2014

UCLA Bruins vs. Oregon Ducks
Point Spread: Oregon -2 Over/Under 163 (January 30th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Ducks are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. Ducks are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Ducks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Ducks are 0-4-2 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Ducks are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pacific-12.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 home games. Over is 7-1 in Ducks last 8 games following a ATS win. Over is 11-2 in Ducks last 13 games following a S.U. win. Over is 8-2 in Ducks last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Bruins last 6 games following a ATS win. Under is 15-5-1 in Bruins last 21 road games. Under is 6-2 in Bruins last 8 games following a S.U. win. Under is 9-3-1 in Bruins last 13 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oregon. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bruins are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Recent Meetings
Date Home/Away Line M/L Home FG Away FG Reb
03/16/13 UCLA 69 – ORE 78 ORE -1.5 O 137.5 25/56 29/61 27-35
01/19/13 UCLA 67 – ORE 76 ORE 5.0 U 146.5 27/58 27/60 28-37
01/21/12 ORE 75 – UCLA 68 ORE 2.5 O 135 20/57 27/61 33-36
03/10/11 UCLA 59 – ORE 76 ORE 7.5 O 132.5 19/54 27/55 34-29
02/10/11 UCLA 64 – ORE 54 UCLA -8.5 U 138.5 24/54 21/53 39-24

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Purdue vs. Michigan Basketball Point Spread & Prediction: January 30th 2014

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Point Spread: Michigan -11 Over/Under 139 (January 30th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten. Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Wolverines are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 Thursday games. Boilermakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. Boilermakers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 Thursday games. Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 overall. Over is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 vs. Big Ten. Over is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 10-3 in Wolverines last 13 Thursday games. Under is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Under is 5-2 in Boilermakers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Boilermakers last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 7-3 in Boilermakers last 10 Thursday games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Boilermakers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Boilermakers are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Michigan. Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Recent Meetings
Date Home/Away Line M/L Home FG Away FG Reb
03/06/13 PUR 75 – MICH 80 PUR 6 O 134.5 26/60 25/59 38-25
01/24/13 MICH 68 – PUR 53 Push -15 U 134 27/55 21/54 32-25
02/25/12 MICH 61 – PUR 75 PUR 5.0 O 128.5 25/60 27/54 27-28
01/24/12 PUR 64 – MICH 66 MICH 5.0 O 127 23/52 27/50 21-30
12/28/10 MICH 57 – PUR 80 PUR -4.0 O 122.5 21/55 29/59 26-33

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Florida vs. Mississippi State Basketball Point Spread & Prediction: January 30th 2014

Florida Gators vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Point Spread: Florida -13 Over/Under 131 (January 30th 2014)
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ATS Trends:
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southeastern. Gators are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Gators are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 vs. Southeastern. Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a ATS loss. Over is 6-2-1 in Bulldogs last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 3-1-1 in Bulldogs last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 16-5 in Gators last 21 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Under is 6-2 in Gators last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Under is 20-7-1 in Gators last 28 overall. Under is 16-6 in Gators last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 15-6-1 in Gators last 22 games following a S.U. win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Gators are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Gators are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Mississippi St.

Recent Meetings
Date Home/Away Line M/L Home FG Away FG Reb
02/09/13 FLA 83 – MSST 58 MSST 27.5 O 128 31/59 23/54 33-27
01/26/13 MSST 47 – FLA 82 FLA -20.0 O 125.5 17/52 31/56 17-40
01/28/12 FLA 69 – MSST 57 FLA -8.5 U 143.5 27/56 21/48 25-30
01/29/11 MSST 71 – FLA 64 MSST 6 U 137.5 22/54 25/63 34-42
03/12/10 MSST 75 – FLA 69 MSST -1.5 O 132 28/49 24/56 20-33

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