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Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick & Odds from Scott Spreitzer: March 15th 2014

Scott Spreitzer - College Basketball PickDenver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks
Betting Pick: Atlanta Hawks -6 -110 odds (March 15th 2014)

I’m recommending a play on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points on Saturday. While Miami has been struggling, beating the Heat is still a big deal and can be distracting if playing the following night. That’s the case for a Denver team that won in Miami last night. And besides the emotional victory, Denver has been a team that has struggled in the second of back-to-back nights, anyway, covering just 2 of their last 12 in this situation. They have also covered just 1 of their last 7 following a SU win. The Hawks are in the thick of things in the Eastern Conference playoff race, 3 1/2 games ahead of the Knicks and Cavaliers for the final spot. The Hawks recently suffered a 1-14 SU stretch, but have bounced back with back-to-back wins. And while Denver was playing the defending champions last night, the Hawks were off after beating Milwaukee the previous night. Atlanta is still in the top-10 in both FG shooting and 3-point accuracy, while Denver is allowing over 105 ppg. A less than intense effort is likely out of the Nuggets tonight and they can ill-afford to play without total focus on the defensive end. I believe the Hawks are catching the Nuggets at the right time and I’m recommending a play on Atlanta minus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Scott Spreitzer cashed another winning card last night and now rocks the books with his CBB CONF TOURNEY TAPOUT GAME OF THE YEAR! Scott’s side owns a major matchup advantage in this one and backed by a couple red-hot spots. Scott looks to extend his 33-18 CBB run and his overall 64-34 winning run!

New Mexico vs. San Diego State Basketball Betting Pick & Odds from Patrick Webb: March 15th 2014

Patrick Webb - College Basketball PickNew Mexico vs. San Diego State
Betting Pick: Under 125.5 -110 odds (March 15th 2014)

The Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two clubs and wasn’t even close in the two meetings this season as the total finished at least 27 points below the number. This game features two teams that feature low possession games and stifling defense. SDSU held opponents to a 46.4% eFG% in conference play this season, but allowed New Mexico to shoot 51% in the two meetings this season, but the Lobos still only scored 106 points combined in the two meetings by owning the defensive glass and forcing 29 turnovers.

New Mexico needs to get to the line to be effective offensively, but SDSU has an outstanding defensive free throw rate (30%) in conference play. New Mexico also does a good job of not allowing opponents to get to the line and SDSU is a poor perimeter shooting team. I look for a low tempo, low offensive efficiency game from these teams featuring a lot of long possessions, few threes and fewer offensive rebounds.

St. Bonaventure vs. St. Joseph’s Betting Odds & Pick from Tom Grassi: March 15th 2014

Tom Grassi - College Basketball PickSt. Bonaventure vs. St. Joseph’s
College Basketball Pick: St. Bonaventure +3 -110 odds (March 15th 2014)

The Atlantic 10 Tournament moves to the semifinal round with the St. Bonaventure Bonnies suddenly on a roll, after finishing the regular season with four consecutive straight up losses. The Bonnies have won their first two games in the tourney, the last of which was an outright upset of top seed St. Louis yesterday afternoon on a last-second three-pointer.

Their opponent, the Hawks of St. Joseph’s stopped Dayton yesterday on a late three-pointer of their own, putting an end to their two-game losing skid versus the line. However, with this game being played in Brooklyn, St. Bonaventure’s roll also includes eight covers for them their last nine neutral site matchups.

The Bonnies can presumably remember back just two weeks ago, when St. Joe’s came to Buffalo as a three-point dog and knocked off the host by nine. That loss was the first time they failed to beat the pointspread in the last four games of this series.

When it comes to early money, the squares are solidly backing the Hawks, though that’s not reflected in the current line. That’s dropped a half-point, which means that Sharp action is being placed on St. Bonaventure. Given their momentum and the reverse line movement, we’re inclined also go with the dog here, so take the points.

Tennessee vs. Florida Basketball Betting Odds & Pick from Rob Vinciletti: March 15th 2014

Rob Vinciletti College Basketball PickTennessee vs. Florida
Basketball Betting Pick: Florida -6 -110 odds (March 15th 2014)

The Free NCAAB Play is on Florida. Game 520 at 1:00 eastern. Both Florida and Tennessee come in off double digit wins. However, the Gators have the better numbers and the line is reasonable today. Florida has won 8 of 10 vs top 50 teams while the Volunteers have faltered against TOP 50 RPI Ranked teams losing 6 of 9. Florida has covered 9 of 12 in the Semi Finals round and has won and covered 4 of 5 vs teams who allow less than 65 points. They took both games vs Tennessee, including the last one where they managed to win on the road despite shooting just 36% from the field. Tennessee has failed to cover 19 of the last 27 Conference tourney games and is 0-12 straight up going 3-9 to the spread with home loss revenge. In games vs teams who play good defense and allow less than 65 points per game, the Vols have lost and failed to cover in all 3 tries this year. Look for Florida to win and cover. The Highest Rated Conference Tournament play this season is on tap tonight from a Huge Finals system. There are also 2 More Powerful Conference Tournament system sides and 2 Never lost NBA System plays a Side and a total. Jump on and Roll your book big on Saturday and be there Saturday night for another Top rated winner. For the Free SEC Play take Florida. RV

UConn vs. Cincinnati Basketball Betting Odds & Pick from Joe Duffy: March 14th 2014

Joe Duffy - NCAA Basketball PicksUConn vs. Cincinnati
Basketball Betting Pick: Under 122 points -110 odds (March 14th 2014)

Both teams have been on huge under runs. For newbies, we are not referring to mere trends, which can be deceptive but also to “margin of cover” or so-called “sweat barometer” which measures how far behind a team the oddsmakers are.

UConn has gone under 11-of-12, with all 11 going under by at least seven points. Five, yes five of the last seven have gone under by at least 14. Admittedly, the Bearcats have had a bizarre feast or famine over/under run lately, where the games are either going way under or way over. Still, on average their games have gone under by (-7.5), one of the largest in the nation. And when the games have gone over, it’s been to teams that were able to control the pace. Both of these teams like to have fewer possessions, so the pace will be fine.

Connecticut is holding teams a fantastic 6.2 percentage points below their normal shooting average. Cincinnati is an almost as impressive 5.5 below. Neither squad is a very good shooting team.

Both meetings saw unders, slow-paced including just 96 combined points in the previous meeting.

Joe Duffy’s Picks UNDER

Nuggets vs. Heat NBA Betting Odds & Pick from Doc’s Sports: March 14th 2014

Doc's Sports - NBA PickDenver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat
NBA Betting Pick: Under 214 -110 odds (March 14th 2014)

We think that this total is a few points too high to begin with, and we also think that Miami will be primed for a blowout here, so the under is the only way to go with this game. The last two times these teams met, including once in December, the total reached only 191. Denver had a much better team in both of those matchups, and they are just one of those teams that seems to have given up on the season. They are able to beat bad teams and get an occasional quality win, but mostly they have struggled. The Heat have played strong defense lately, and we just don’t see the Nuggets having any offensive success tonight. We expect Denver to finish under 100 here for team points with a chance that they really struggle and put up a low team total. And we think Miami can get their points tonight without this one going over, but even the Heat have not been scoring in the 110+ range with any regularity lately, and unless they go off for a huge 120-type game we think that the under is a pretty safe bet here.