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Posts Tagged ‘Boise State Broncos Predictions’

Boise State vs. BYU Football Point Spread Pick from Cappers Club: October 6th 2017

Boise State Broncos vs. BYU Cougars
Point Spread Pick: BYU +8.5 (October 6th 2017)

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Boise State Broncos and the BYU Cougars face off on Friday night, and the Cougars at this line have some value.

In years past people would think you were crazy to bet  against the Broncos, but this isn’t the same Boise State team as in years past.

The offense isn’t as crisp and the defense has really struggled and that has led to a 2-2 record. They are coming into this game off a really disappointing loss to the University of Virginia. They were only 13.5 point underdogs but ended up losing by 19 points.

On the other side of this match up is the Cougars who’s main problem this year has been on the offensive side of the ball.

Against the Broncos though they should be able to get the offense clicking early and at least have some success through the air.

Some trends to note.  BSU are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

Back the Cougars

New Mexico vs. Boise State Football Point Spread Pick from Doug Upstone: September 14th 2017

New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncos
College Football Point Spread Pick: New Mexico +15.5 points (September 14th 2017)

These MWC rivals are also off defeats and both in rather bizarre fashion. New Mexico was down 30-5 entering the fourth quarter at home and scored 23 straight points in coming up just short versus in-state rival New Mexico State as 7.5-point favorites. Boise State led Washington 31-10 in the last stanza, but mind-boggling errors and lost 47-44 in 3 OT’s. The Broncos opened at -16.5, largely due to 12-26 ATS mark on the blue turf. Lobos find a way to hang around.

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NCAA Basketball: Jesse Schule betting Boise State -4.5 on February 28th 2017

Fresno State vs. Boise State
NCAA Basketball Pick: Boise State -4.5 (February 28th 2017)

Boise State will play it’s final home game versus the Fresno State Bulldogs Tuesday, and a win will bring the Broncos within a half a game of first place in the Mountain West. The Bulldogs are a few games back in the standings, and might be looking ahead to their final home game versus UNLV this weekend. Home court has been key in this series, as the road team has picked up just one win in the last 10 meetings. That was a 72-63 win for the Broncos at Fresno State in 2013. The Bulldogs have lost five straight trips to Boise, by an average margin of more than 10 points. The Broncos are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5, while the Bulldogs have failed to cover in five of their last seven on the road. Boise State hasn’t had any trouble scoring points lately, averaging 80.4 points on 45 percent shooting over it’s last five games.

Motel 6 Cactus Bowl: Baylor vs. Boise State Point Spread Pick: December 27th 2016

Baylor Bears vs. Boise State Broncos
Bowl Game Betting Pick: Baylor +7.5 points (December 27th 2016)

The betting public wants nothing to do with the Baylor Bears right now. They have lost six straight games coming into the postseason. Jim Grobe is coaching his last game here as he is a lame duck. It will be Matt Rhule coming in from Temple to try and turn the program around next year. I think this awful public perception of this team is providing us some line value with this 7.5-point spread.

Player for player, Baylor is the more talented team in this matchup. And while they lost their final six games, the schedule was extremely tough, and they weren’t overwhelmed aside from the loss to TCU. They also lost to the likes of West Virginia, Texas Tech, Kansas State, Oklahoma and Texas during that six-game skid with four of the losses coming on the road.

But Baylor actually outgained two of those six opponents, and they were outgained by only 32 yards by Texas Tech, by 46 yards by Kansas State and by 49 yards by Oklahoma. That game against Oklahoma was much closer than the 24-45 final score, and it showed they could play with a top team. The 14-17 loss to WVU as 17-point road dogs in the finale also showed that the Bears have not quit.

Star wide receiver KD Cannon, who has 73 receptions for 989 yards and 11 touchdowns this year, has actually guaranteed a victory in this game. I like that mindset, and it shows that they care. Freshman QB Zach Smith was put into a tough spot but has held up well with 1,151 yards and 10 touchdowns against six interceptions down the stretch against that tough schedule.

“I’m very excited for our players to have an opportunity to play in the Cactus Bowl against a great football team in Boise State,” Grobe told reporters. “I think our guys are looking forward to coaching these kids and getting them ready for a bowl game. So I feel good about playing in a bowl game. This is going to be it for me, so I’d like to win it for sure.”

Boise State’s 10-2 record is certainly inflated due to playing such a soft schedule. They lost to both Wyoming and Air Force. Their best win was a 31-28 victory over Washington State as 13-point favorites. They had so many shaky efforts in victory, including a 5-point win over Colorado State as 28-point favorites and a 1-point win over BYU as 7-point favorites. The Broncos went just 3-9 ATS in their 12 games this year, time and time again being overvalued.

The Broncos have been susceptible to the run this season, giving up 180 yards per game and 4.4 per carry. Boise State is 3-12 ATS versus good rushing teams who average 4.75 or more yards per carry over the last three seasons. Baylor averages 250 rushing yards per game and 5.1 per carry.  The Bears rank 5th nationally in total offense at 523.3 yards per game as well. They have a three-headed attack at running back, led by Terence Williams (945 yards, 11 TD, 5.9/carry).

The general public thought Baylor didn’t want to be in the bowl last year against North Carolina. But that was far from the case as the Bears racked up 756 total yards in a 49-38 win as 3-point dogs against the Tar Heels. They rushed for 645 yards in that game alone, and they should have plenty of success on the ground against Boise State in this one as well.  Bet Baylor in the Cactus Bowl Tuesday.

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UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos Point Spread Pick from Frank Sawyer: November 18th 2016

Point Spread Pick: UNLV +29.5 points (November 18th 2016)

Take the UNLV Rebels plus the points versus the Boise State Broncos. UNLV (4-6) earned a big win last week with their upset 69-66 win over Wyoming last week as a 7.5-point underdog. The Rebels will have plenty of confidence in this contest after that triumph. UNLV is also 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Boise State (9-1) has won two straight after their 52-16 thumping at Hawai’i last week. But the Broncos have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least 20 points. Boise State has also failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 29 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Take UNLV and all those points. Best of luck — Frank.

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Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos Football Point Spread Pick: October 7th 2016

BOISE STATE VS. NEW MEXICO POINT SPREAD PICKBoise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos
Point Spread Pick: New Mexico +17.5 points (October 7th 2016)

Tricky spot for Boise State here. The Broncos haven’t had an easy time against the Lobos over the years, most recently getting stunned on the blue turf as 31-point favorites last year. While I’m not ready to call for the outright upset from the Lobos here, I am confident they can hang in for four quarters.

While Boise State checks in a perfect 4-0 SU this season, it has only managed to post a 1-3 ATS mark. That’s an identical ATS record to that of the Lobos, who do come in with some positive momentum following a wild 48-41 win over San Jose State last week.

New Mexico isn’t known for its offense – this is a run-heavy attack that rarely blows the door off anyone. But this year has proven to be a little different so far, with the Lobos scoring at least 28 points in all four games so far. They’ve put up a whopping 48 points in both home games to date.

I don’t believe there’s any real intimidation factor at play here. The Lobos know they can hang with, and even beat the Broncos, and Boise State will certainly have their full attention thanks to that flawless record. Look for the Lobos to effectively shorten this game and ultimately stay inside the inflated number. Take New Mexico (8*).

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