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Posts Tagged ‘Colorado Buffaloes Predictions’

Colorado vs. Washington State Football Prediction from Ben Burns: October 21st 2017

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Washington State Cougars
College Football Prediction: Colorado +10.5 (October 21st 2017)
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Some of you will recall that I successfully played against the Cougars, at Cal, last week, the start of a 14-4 Fri/Sat/Sun streak. Washington State was “riding high,” entering that game. The 6-0 Cougs had a top-ten ranking and were coming off victories over USC and Oregon. They’d close as -16.5 point favorites.

Then, Friday The 13th got them. Something did, anyway. The Cougs didn’t show up and the Bears came away with a convincing 37-3 victory. Thats right. They beat the closing line by 50 points.

Off that rude awakening, I’m not sure that the Cougs are ready to be laying double-digits here.

Colorado, which beat WSU by 14 points last season, is 9-4 ATS its last 13 true road games. Both this season’s road games have been close, each decided by four or fewer points. Take a look at the visitors here.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes Bowl Game Pick: December 29th 2016

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Bowl Game Pick: Colorado -3 (December 29th 2016)
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Certainly both teams are coming off deflating losses with conference championships at stake. So you have to try and figure out which team will be more motivated to be playing in this ‘lesser’ bowl game. And I think it’s pretty clear to see that Colorado will be the more motivated team.

The Buffaloes will be going to their first bowl game since 2007. It’s been nearly a decade since their last bowl game, so they will be excited to be here either way. In fact, if you would have given them a No. 10 ranking and 10 wins coming into the season, they would have taken it. So I don’t think they are disappointed at all that they’re not going to the Rose Bowl, which is where they would have been if they beat Washington.

Conversely, Oklahoma State is used to going to bowl games. It will be thoroughly disappointed that it fell just short of winning the Big 12 with a loss to Oklahoma in the season finale. The Cowboys would much rather be playing in the Sugar Bowl like Oklahoma is. They will be less motivated than Colorado as a result.

And just strictly from a matchup standpoint, I like Colorado as well. They have the better defense and it’s not really even close. The Buffaloes only allow 20.5 points, 327 yards per game and 4.7 yards per play this season. The Cowboys give up 28.1 points, 457 yards per game and 6.0 yards per play on the year.

One thing that is getting overlooked here is Colorado senior quarterback Sefo Liufau. The Buffaloes went 10-3 this season, but in all three of their losses, Liufau was injured and didn’t play the whole game. Those losses came to Michigan, USC and Washington, which are three of the top teams in the country. And the Buffaloes gave both USC and Michigan runs for their money. The loss to Washington was a bit fluky because the Buffaloes just gave that game away with turnovers.

Oklahoma State relies heavily on its passing attack, which averages 322 yards per game. Well, Colorado has one of the best pass defenses in the country. The Buffaloes only allow 47.9% completions, 181 passing yards per game and 5.4 yards per attempt to opposing quarterbacks. They also rank 7th nationally with 26 takeaways. There is NFL talent all over this secondary, and they have the goods to stop Mason Rudolph.

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While these teams have similar records, the one thing that can’t be argued is that Colorado played the much tougher schedule.  The Buffaloes faced the 8th-toughest schedule in the country, while the Cowboys faced the 61st.  I think the Cowboys get exposed here just as they did last year in their 20-48 loss to Ole Miss in the Sugar Bowl.

The Buffaloes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Colorado is 7-2 ATS in its last nine vs. a team with a winning record. I think the Buffaloes come into the bowl season still undervalued because they didn’t look good in that loss to Washington, which was the only game they didn’t look good all season. They will get back on track with a big effort against the Cowboys here.  Bet Colorado Thursday.

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Colorado State vs. Colorado Point Spread & Over-Under Betting Pick: September 2nd 2016

COLORADO STATE VS. COLORADO POINT SPREADColorado State Rams vs. Colorado Buffaloes – 8:00pm ET September 2nd 2016

Point Spread: The Colorado Buffaloes are a 7.5 point favorite over the Colorado State Rams. The over/under for this game is 58.5 points (Note: Odds opened at Colorado -9 over/under 54)

Public Perception: As of 5pm ET, 61% of the wagering public is betting that Colorado State will cover the point spread over Colorado. 55% believe this game will go over the posted betting total.

Recent Meetings: These two teams have split wins in their last 4 meetings dating back to the ’12 season. In their most recent game, Colorado was a 3 point favorite last year with an over/under of 56.5 points. The game ended up pushing and went under the posted total. Final Score: Colorado 27 Colorado State 24.

Get Jim Feist’s over/under pick for the Colorado vs. Colorado State game here.

Betting Trends: The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Colorado. The underdog in this series is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS the last 4 times these two teams have taken the field. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 games. Colorado State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on the Buffaloes home turf.

Betting Pick: Colorado Buffaloes -7.5
Over-Under Pick: Under 54 points

USC vs. Colorado Football Betting Pick, Over-Under & Point Spread: November 13th 2015

USC VS. COLORADO OVER UNDER PICKUSC Trojans vs. Colorado Buffaloes – November 13th 2015
Courtesy of Touthouse.com

Point Spread: The USC Trojans are a 17 point favorite over the Colorado Buffaloes with the games over/under posted at 59.5 points.

Time/Location/Weather: This game is set to begin at 9pm ET on Friday at Folsom Field in Boulder, Colorado. The forecast is calling for clear skies, a South wind of 4-9 mph and a game time temperature of 40 degrees.

Records: USC is 6-3 SU this season and 5-4 ATS with an over/under record of 4-5. Colorado is 4-6 SU and 3-6 ATS this season with a 4-6 over/under record.

Public Perception: As of 4pm ET, 82% of the wagering public is betting on the USC Trojans to cover the 17 points over the Colorado Buffaloes.

Recent Meetings: Last year, these two teams met and USC came away with the victory by a score of 56-28 as a 19.5 point favorite. The game went over the posted total of 59.5 points. USC also won in 2013 but didn’t cover the spread by a score of 47-29. The game went over the total of 53.5 and USC was a 21 point favorite in that game.

Notable Betting Trends: USC is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Colorado. The Over is 5-0 in Colorado’s last 5 games after allowing more than 40 point in their previous game. The Under is 6-1 in the Trojans last 7 road games. Colorado is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Side ATS Pick: USC Trojans -17
Over-Under Pick: Under 59.5 points

Colorado vs. Oregon State Over-Under Betting Pick from Scott Rickenbach: October 24th 2015

COLORADO VS. OREGON STATE BETTINGColorado Buffaloes vs. Oregon State Beavers
Football Over-Under Pick: Under 59.5 points (October 24th 2015)
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This total is up in the range of a 60 and that seems quite high when you look at what Oregon State’s offense is doing this season. The Beavers are averaging just 21.7 points per game this season. The average yards per game for Oregon State’s offense this season is 332.7 yards. The Beavers have particularly struggled to move the ball through the air and I look for the Buffaloes defense to take advantage of this and put 8 men in the box and challenge the Beavers to try and beat them through the air. No matter how you look at it the Oregon State offense is indeed a question mark and they are quite likely to struggle to move the ball here. If you think the Beavers may simply be able to take advantage just because they are facing a weak foe, you may want to rethink that. The Beavers are 24-14 to the under in their last 38 games against teams with a losing record. As for Colorado, they are a perfect 3-0 to the under in their last 3 games against teams with a losing record. The Buffaloes also are 5-1 to the under in their last 6 games as a road dog of 3 points or less. The Beavers are a small home favorite here for a reason. This is likely going to be a tight, low-scoring game and that trend for under players is likely to improve to 6-1 to the under. *1* Free Pick on UNDER total in Oregon State Saturday night.

Oregon Ducks vs. Colorado Buffaloes Football Betting Prediction from Matt Fargo: October 3rd 2015

OREGON VS. COLORADO BETTINGOregon Ducks vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Football Betting Prediction: Oregon -7.5 (October 3rd 2015)
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Oregon got embarrassed at home against Utah last week and that is not good news for the Buffaloes. That was the Ducks second loss of the season but both came against top notch defensive fronts. Oregon came in as the No. 7 team in the AP Preseason Poll and now they are out of the top 25 AP Poll altogether for the first time since Week Two of the 2009 season. The defense has been dreadful and it is up to the offense to carry load which it has not been able to do against tough defenses Michigan St. and Utah. Efficiency is the single most important thing for an offense to possess, and the Ducks are still more efficient than most. Colorado has won three straight games but two wins came against inferior opposition while the third took overtime against Colorado St. While the Ducks have struggled against top tier defenses, Colorado does not have that even though the numbers show otherwise. An easy schedule has skewed the statistics. Since joining the Pac 12, Colorado is 0-4 against Oregon, losing by a combined 216-42 and losing all four against the number despite getting at least 30 points each time out. So the number we are laying here is well within reason. Oregon is 21-6 ATS in its last 27 games following a home loss while the Buffaloes are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a win of more than 20 points. Play (175) Oregon Ducks