Oakland Raiders vs. Arizona Cardinals
NFL Preseason Prediction: Over 37.5 points (August 12th 2016)
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Both teams are loaded with talented players. Arizona is one of the best teams in the NFL but get overshadowed because they share the Conference with Seattle, Carolina, and Green Bay. This is a squad toted to win 9 1/2 games. Lest not forget they have some seriously talented players vying for top-spots. They were one of the NFL’s top-scoring teams in the regular season last year and had all 4 pre-season contests go OVER the Total as well. Oakland is an underrated team this season, slated to win just 7 1/2 games. They do possess a leaky defense but list a depth chart as big as I can ever recall. They will come in here giving maximum effort to raise excitement and probability surrounding a move to Las Vegas. Take the OVER. Thank you.
Green Bay Packers vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 15 NFL Point Spread Pick: Green Bay -3 (December 20th 2015)
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With two straight wins coupled with two straight Minnesota losses, the Packers are back atop the NFC North and with a game at Arizona on deck and a meeting with the Vikings to close out the season, this is a huge game for Green Bay. Losses to Chicago and Detroit in November were certainly bad ones but Green Bay actually outgained both opponents. The Packers are coming off their most dominating performance since early October after outgaining Dallas by 165 total yards and catches Oakland at the perfect time. The Raiders upset Denver last week to remain in the playoff hunt but that comes to an end this week. Despite the victory over the Broncos, Oakland was outgained by 184 total yards so it was definitely a skewed result. While the Raiders have performed better at home than on the road as far as the stat sheet goes, they have a worse record as they are 2-4. While many may think the Raiders are solid as home underdogs, the fact of the matter is they are 9-22 ATS in their last 31 games as a home underdog of three points or less. Green Bay has been very solid under head coach Mike McCarthy in the month of December, going 26-14 ATS including four straight ATS wins. Play (323) Green Bay Packers
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 13 NFL Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (December 6th 2015)
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Kansas City has won and covered each of their last 5 games and are finally playing up to the potential that everyone expected to see when the season started. Oakland on the other hand is a team that is on the verge of falling apart. While the Raiders were able to snap a 3-game losing streak last week with a win over the Titans, they trailed 17-21 with less than 2 minutes to play before getting the game-winning touchdown with 1:21 left on the clock.
One of the key things here for me is the Raiders have really struggled to find a rhythm offensively over their last 3 games. They only had 14 points at home against the Vikings in Week 10 and 13 in Week 11 at Detroit. Hard to see them getting it turned around against a Chiefs defense that has been playing as well as any team in the league. Kansas City has allowed 22 or fewer points in every game they have played since Week 4.
I know the Chiefs lost at Oakland last year 20-24 as a 7.5-point favorite, but if you remember that was an awful spot for Kansas City. The Chiefs were coming off a huge 24-20 win at home against the defending Super Bowl champs in Seattle and had to travel to Oakland on a short week of rest for a Thursday Night game against a Raiders team that was 0-10. With the Chiefs giving the Raiders their full attention in the rematch later in the season, they crushed Oakland 31-13 at home and that was with the Raiders scoring a garbage touchdown in the final seconds. Overall the Chiefs have won 3 of the last 4 meetings and all 3 wins have come by at least 17 points. Give me the Chiefs -2.5!
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New York Jets vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 8 NFL Pick: Jets -3 points (November 1st 2015)
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New York bounces back here from a disappointing loss to the undefeated, New England squad LW, blowing a 4-point lead, 30-23. But that loss showed the Jets what they need to improve upon and will be a better team for it. “Gang Green” is the top, stop-unit against the run and ranks 4th in the NFL, vs. the pass. Their secondary doesn’t have to content with “Gronk” this week, and has the talent to contain the Raiders receivers, Cooper and Crabtree, while their LB’s get to Derek Carr. Oakland ranks dead-last on “D” vs. the pass and faces Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is 3-0 against the Silver and Black. NY has taken 6 of the L8 (SU) over Oakland, including the L2 meetings. The Jets are 7-0-1 ATS their L8 vs. the AFC, 4-0 ATS their L4 following an ATS loss, and 7-1-1 ATS their L9 overall. Take New York. Thank you.
Oakland Raiders vs. San Diego Chargers
Week 7 Point Spread: San Diego -3.5 Over/Under 48 (October 25th 2015)
Betting Pick: San Diego Chargers -3.5 (Courtesy of Matt Fargo)
This is the first time since 2004 that San Diego has been favored by less than a touchdown against the Raiders at home. Oakland is considered to be a much improved team despite its losing record of 2-3 and while I will convey that it is better based on the playmaking ability that has not been there in the past, the fact of the matter is the Raiders have been outgained in four of their five games this season. Turning to the Chargers, they are sitting at 2-4 and that is a big reason why the line is as low as it is. San Diego’s record could be a lot better however as it has dropped some close games and unlike the Raiders, the Chargers have dominated on the field as they have outgained five of their six opponents. Overall, they are outgaining opponents by close to 80 ypg while the Raiders are getting outgained by close to 50 ypg and that is a very wide differential when you are dealing with a spread this low. Here, we play on favorites that are allowing 7.5 or more passing ypa, after allowing seven or more passing ypa in two straight games. This situation is 40-18 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, the Raiders are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games against teams allowing 7.5 or more passing ypa while San Diego is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games coming off a cover where it lost as an underdog. Play (470) San Diego Chargers
Chargers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7. Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Chargers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games on grass. Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Raiders are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC West. Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
Under is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games overall. Under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 vs. AFC West. Under is 4-1-1 in Chargers last 6 games in Week 7. Over is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 games overall. Over is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 games on grass. Over is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Raiders last 7 vs. AFC West. Under is 39-18 in Raiders last 57 games in October.
Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings in San Diego. Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Underdog is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
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Oakland Raiders vs. Chicago Bears
Betting Pick Week 4: Oakland Raiders -3 points (October 4th 2015)
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The public is all over the Raiders for good reason. This may seem like an inflated line here with Oakland laying a field goal on the road, but I actually think they should be a bigger favorite. The only reason they aren’t, is they are the Raiders. Chicago has played a brutal schedule with their first 3 games coming against Green Bay Arizona and Seattle. While they were competitive against the Packers at home, that was with Jay Cutler at quarterback. They won’t have Cutler or top wide out Alshon Jeffery. That’s going to force them to rely a lot on the run and Oakland has been decent against the rush, only giving up 3.9 yards/carry. They held a Cleveland offense with no passing attack to just 39 yards rushing last week. You also have to factor in the mentality of the Bears right now, with the team trading away some of their better players. It might be just Week 4, but this team has thrown in the towel. Oakland is a hungry and talented young team that will not overlook the chance to start the year 3-1. Give me the Raiders -3!
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