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Posts Tagged ‘Week 1 NFL Picks’

Thursday Night Football: Texans vs. Bengals Over-Under Odds & Pick: September 14th 2017

Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Thursday Night Football Over-Under Pick: Under 38.5 points (September 14th 2017)

Play – Cincinnati-Houston UNDER (Game 102).

Edges – Bengals: 3-8 UNDER on Thursdays… Texans: 4-7 UNDER in this series, including 0-4 UNDER the last four… With the Bengals having gone 0-4 UNDER in Game Two the last four years, we recommend a 1* play in the UNDER total in this game. Thank you and good luck as always.

>  Marc was right on the money with his call on Kansas City over New England last Thursday, and he’s right back with another spot-on winning call this Thursday’s Bengals-Texans clash on the NFL Network in a 100% perfect situation in a NEVER LOST winning role.  Put it right at the top of your ticket now – don’t miss out!

Chargers vs. Broncos Week 1 Point Spread Pick from Cappers Club: September 11th 2017

San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos
Monday Night Point Spread Pick: Broncos -3 (September 11th 2017)

This play just missed out on premium card. The Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers finish off the week one slate at Monday night, and with the line close the Broncos value is high.

The last two times these teams faced off in the Mile High City the Broncos won 27-19 and I suspect something like that will be the case again in this one.

The Chargers still have Phillip Rivers and they have Melvin Gordon but after that there is a lot of question marks.

The offensive line was a struggle last year, and if they can’t keep Rivers upright this year, that is going to cause a lot of issues.

He will also be facing a Broncos defense that he has struggled against the last couple of years. I think the Broncos will make the most of that and use that to cover the spread.

Some trends to note. Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

5* Cappers Club FREE Play on Broncos -3.
Good Luck, Cappers Club.

Week 1 NFL Pick: Schule betting the Rams -4 points on September 10th 2017

Indianapolis Colts vs. Los Angeles Rams
Week 1 NFL Pick: LA Rams -4 (September 10th 2017)

The Indianapolis Colts come into the season without starting quarterback Andrew Luck, their top corner Vontae Davis, and center Ryan Kelly. They were originally a favorite to beat the Rams in LA, but after it was announced that Luck would not play, the money is coming in steady on LA. The Rams have added a big play wide receiver acquiring Sammy Watkins from Buffalo, and we can expect better play from second year quarterback Jared Goff.

Todd Gurley had an off year in his second season, but perhaps his struggles were a product of the Rams non existent passing game. An added deep threat should open things up for Gurley to get back to where he was in his rookie season. I like Gurley to have a big game here in Week 1.

Week 1 NFL Pick: Matt Josephs betting the Redskins +1 point on September 10th 2017

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins
Week 1 NFL Pick: Redskins +1 (September 10th 2017)

The Eagles have become a bit of an offseason darling as many pundits are predicting good things for them. Yes, the offense got an upgrade and so did the front seven, but they can’t run it consistently and will struggle against the pass. Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith come over via free agency to help Carson Wentz, but really he needs to throw it less. Washington has a very good duo at CB in Josh Norman and Bashaud Breeland. They are vulnerable at safety with this week’s news about Su’a Cravens though. The Skins starting offense struggled to get going and people are wondering if Kirk Cousins and Terrelle Pryor can find their chemistry in time for this one. Washington’s offensive line will be under siege by the likes of Fletcher Cox and Timmy Jernigan, but if Cousins gets time, he’ll be able to pick apart the Philly secondary. Ronald Darby can only cover one receiver and Pryor has the size advantage over everyone. Washington has dominated this series as of late. At home, I think they get the win despite the line move.

Teddy Covers’ Week 1 NFL Pick: New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills: September 10th 2017

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
Week 1 NFL Pick: Jets +8 (September 10th 2017)

The very first question I ask myself when I’m looking at an NFL pointspread is this: ‘Does the favorite deserve to be favored in this price range’?  And my answer to that question when it comes to the Buffalo Bills in Week 1 is a resounding ‘No friggin way’.

For this pointspread to be categorized as reasonable, two things must be true.  First, the Jets legitimately must be one of the very worst teams in NFL history.  And secondly, the Bills have to be capable of beating an opponent by more than a touchdown.  I’m not convinced that either is the case.

Make no mistake about it – the Jets are currently being priced like the worst team in NFL history.  Last year’s 1-15 Browns were power rated by the markets higher than this year’s Jets squad.  The 0-16 Lions from 2008 – the only winless team in the modern era – were -3.5 point road favorites at Atlanta on opening day.  I’ve lived in Vegas for 20 football seasons and I’ve NEVER – not once – seen a team that has been devalued as much as the 2017 New York Jets, now lined at an all-time historical low of three wins for the full season.

Yes, the Jets have entered rebuilding mode and they have all kinds of question marks on the offensive side of the football, starting with their quarterback.  But Todd Bowles is a defensive minded head coach – that’s how he got the job – and New York’s defense looks rock solid on paper, not a ‘sieve-like’ stop unit!

Buffalo has no upside.  Their starting QB, Tyrod Taylor, and his backup, TJ Yates, are both in concussion protocol following preseason Week 3 injuries.  That leaves rookie Nathan Peterman, a fifth rounder from Pitt, as the potential starter here.  If Taylor does start, he’ll have missed the last three weeks of timing with his teammates.  If Peterman starts, we’re talking about a rookie who completed only 54% of his preseason passes despite playing mostly against second and third stringers.  I’m not expecting the Bills offense to march up and down the field here any more than they did in August (which wasn’t very much – Buffalo scored 16 or less in their three ‘meaningful’ preseason tilts).  Let’s not forget that new offensive coordinator Rick Dennison didn’t exactly wow the NFL as the Broncos Offensive Coordinator under Gary Kubiak.

It’s not like the Bills defense is loaded, capable of winning games all by themselves!  They traded a pair of potential defensive starters in August, stockpiling draft picks for the future.  The Bills were #28 in the NFL at stopping the run last year, allowing 4.6 yards per carry.  They’re transitioning from a 3-4 defense back to a 4-3.  And their GM and entire scouting staff were fired the day AFTER the draft, which speaks volumes about what management thought about what they had accomplished.

Bottom line?  Buffalo can’t be laying more than a TD on any field to any opponent.  There’s clear value here on the New York Jets side of the equation, betting on the team that the markets are struggling to attract money towards.  Take the Jets.

Teddy is a PROVEN performer in football action for himself and his clients.  Over the past two years, he is 93-69 (57%) in the NFL and 87-64 (58%) in college football, counting every play, every day – no cherrypicking records here!  Don’t miss a single winner all weekend long!

Falcons vs. Bears NFL Week 1 Pick from AAA Sports: September 10th 2017

Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears
NFL Preseason Pick: Atlanta -7 (September 10th 2017)

ATL was 0-4 SU/ATS in the preseason. Chicago was 2-2 SU/ATS. We had a play on the Falcons in the Super Bowl last year and while we covered with our teaser (FALCONS and UNDER), we lost with the normal spread and also with our play on the “under.” It was an epic second half collapse for the ages for ATL and clearly it’s going to be playing with a chip on its shoulder this season. The year before it was the Carolina Panthers that fell apart in the Super Bowl, only to then suffer a 6-10 campaign the following year. The same fate may be in store for the Falcons as well, but we think they’ll come to play in Week 1. The Bears lost WR Cameron Meredith to a torn ACL in the preseason Week 3 game against Tennessee. And that’s significant as he led Chicago with 66 catches for 888 yards and four TD’s in 2016. Consider laying the points on the FALCONS.