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Posts Tagged ‘Week 10 NFL Picks’

Giants vs. 49ers Week 10 NFL Point Spread Pick from Larry Ness: November 12th 2017

New York Giants vs. San Francisco 49ers
Week 10 NFL Point Spread Pick: NYG -2.5 (November 12th 2017)

The 1-7 New York Giants are in San Francisco to take on the 0-9 49ers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

More than anything, I’m taking a long hard look at the QB position.

The Giants were most recently destroyed 51-17 at home to the Rams last weekend, while the 49ers come in off a 20-10 home loss to the Cardinals.

Both teams average a miserable 15.9 PPG. New York allows 25.9, while San Francisco concedes 26.6.

Eli Manning’s pass attack is ranked 20th in the league with 212.5 YPG. Manning has 1,820 yards, 12 TD’s and six INT’s. The receiving corp is gutted with injury, putting pressure on Sterling Shepard and TE Evan Engram (412 yards, four TD’s.)

The 49ers are led by rookie QB CJ Beathard, who has 941 yards, two TD’s and four INT’s through the air, along with another 100 yards and two major scores on the ground. Carlos Hyde leads the ground attack with 494 yards and four TD’s.

I’ll point out though that New York is 3-0 ATS this year on games played on a “grass” field and 6-3 ATS in its last nine after two or more consecutive SU losses, while San Francisco is just 1-3 ATS this season against teams with losing records and only 1-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

Manning clearly has the advantage in this QB matchup. He’s having a good year behind a horrible team. Beathard has been decent, but the 49ers are clearly a work in progress.

I think Manning has enough left in him here to guide his team to an elusive second victory. Consider laying the points with the Giants this weekend.

Saints vs. Bills Week 10 NFL Over-Under Pick from AAA Sports: November 12th 2017

New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills
Week 10 NFL Over-Under Pick: Under 47 points (November 12th 2017)

Will New Orleans have a letdown here after six straight victories? Maybe. But then again, maybe not. Drew Brees is having a decent season (by his incredibly high standards), but the Saints have been surprisingly good on the defensive side of the ball (after being a disaster for the last five years) and they are also getting big production from the run game from the duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. Buffalo came out of its bye week with two straight wins, but enters this one off a listless 34-21 loss at the Jets on Thursday night.

With a couple extra days off this week Buffalo needs to take advantage of familiar surroundings before a tough two game road trip which sees it at the Chargers and Chiefs respectively. Note that the Saints have seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of their last 14 against clubs with winning records, while Buffalo has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 21 as an underdog, including in three of four this year. Consider the UNDER in this matchup.

Cowboys vs. Steelers Week 10 NFL Over-Under Betting Pick: November 13th 2016

COWBOYS VS. STEELERS BETTINGDallas Cowboys vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 10 Over-Under Pick: Over 49 points (November 13th 2016)

Dak Prescott can dazzle people with his arm, as Prescott makes plays and extends plays with his legs, end of story, He is completing 67% of his passes which is very good and includes 4 rushing TDS – he can make secondary’s stutter.

You cant forget Ezekiel Elliott, who can seemingly do everything, his skill set is ridiculous. With 891 yards and 7 rushing TDs – Zeke has easily been the most dangerous RB to deal with in the NFL to date behind as very good offensive line. Elliott should have another big day against the Steelers.

Expect Dez Bryant to go long all game long, especially with Bryant matched up vs the Steelers 24th ranked pass defense. And slot WR Cole Beasley, has the ability to cut quick on his routes, and is too quick for the DBs of Pittsburgh to handle one on one which should open the middle up for Jason Witten. He has been a recent target in the red zone, targeted 21 times with 2 TDs over the last 3 games – he is still tough to handle, and he makes big plays when needed.

I’m not betting against the explosive offense of the Cowboys. They have been way too good – in particular over the last 4 games, lighting it up for 30.5 – BUT the Steelers are coming off a terrible game and have actually dropped 3 in a row. Prior to BIG BEN getting hurt the Steelers were averaging 28 ppg.

Antonio Brown is always a very dangerous option for the Pittsburgh offense, and when he has the ball, he can make plays, as his 85 yards per game and 6 TDs can confirm that, and the Steelers are always tough at home. I think the BEST PLAY in this game is the OVER 50 points as this game should turn into a shootout.
PREDICTION: OVER THE TOTAL 49 pts Cowboys/Steelers

Brandon Lee betting the Broncos +3 over the Saints on November 13th 2016

BRONCOS VS. SAINTS WEEK 10Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints
Week 10 NFL Point Spread Pick: Broncos +3 (November 13th 2016)

I think we are seeing a big overreaction here on the Broncos after their loss to the Raiders last week. This is still a very good Denver team and I don’t think they should be catching a field goal against the Saints. New Orleans was a dog in their last two home games against the Panthers and Seahawks. While they won both, that just shows you the value we are getting here with Denver.

The Broncos offense should be able to help the defense in this one, as the Saints are atrocious on the defensive side of the ball. This is a big bounce back game for Denver and I expect them to deliver with a big road win here. Broncos are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 after a SU loss and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 350 or more total yards in their previous game. Give me Denver +3!

Week 10 NFL Pick: John Ryan betting the Titans +3 over the Packers on November 13th 2016

PACKERS VS. TITANS BETTINGGreen Bay Packers vs. Tennessee Titans
Week 10 NFL Picks: Titans +3 (November 13th 2016)

Join John Ryan on his 25* NFL Total Titan that features a 6-0 and many more trends than this free pick!

10* graded play on Tennessee as they take on Green Bay in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-5 ATS since 1983 (6-1 last 3 seasons) good for 83.6% winners. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GREEN BAY) – off 2 or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG) after 8+ games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 24-5 ATS over the last 10 seasons good for 82.8% winners. Play against any team (GREEN BAY) – off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 6 or more consecutive overs. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tennessee is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992. Packers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

Fundamental Discussion Points The Titans were shredded for 196 yards rushing by Chargers running back Melvin Gordon but faces a Green Bay backfield that is in shambles. The Packers have dropped three of the past four while allowing at least 30 points in each of the losses. Marcus Mariota, accounted for four touchdowns and threw for a season-high 313 yards at San Diego, has connected on five scoring passes to Rishard Matthews in the last five games. Titans LB Brian Orapko is tied for sixth in the NFL with seven sacks.

Chiefs vs. Panthers Week 10 NFL Pick from AAA Sports: November 13th 2016

CHIEFS VS. PANTHERSKansas City Chiefs vs. Carolina Panthers
Week 10 NFL Pick: Carolina -3 (November 13th 2016)

As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, this one caught our eyes early.
REASONING: From a scheduling stand point, we think this is a very strong play. The Panthers entered their bye-week sitting at 1-5, but have come out on the other side with two straight wins, including a 13-10 effort over the Rams last Sunday. With a big game against rival New Orleans next week, we’re expecting the home side to be extremely focused on the task at hand. Despite the slow start, the NFC South is still up for grabs and the Panthers will be looking to keep the momentum rolling. Meanwhile the Chiefs come to town off four straight wins, including a satisfying victory at home over Jacksonville last week. All signs point to a classic letdown spot for the visitors in our opinion. Consider the hungry PANTHERS in this matchup.