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Posts Tagged ‘Week 11 NFL Picks’

Jaguars vs. Browns Week 11 NFL Spread Pick from Brandon Shively: November 19th 2017

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 11 NFL Pick: Jacksonville -7 points (November 19th 2017)

It’s just time to continue to fade the Cleveland Browns.  After looking kind of like a legit football team for a little bit last Sunday they still managed to find a way to not only lose, but to not cover the spread as well.

Cleveland is in the middle of just an embarrassing season and they find new ways to make themselves look bad every game. Last week it came at the hands of DeShone Kizer and a failed QB sneak from the 3 yard line with no timeouts prior to the half.

Jacksonville is playing like a playoff team and has tons of confidence right now. The Jags defense is too good for this Browns offense.

This is just a complete mismatch on Sunday.

Take Jacksonville.

*Brandon Shively is all set with an NFL Entire Card 3 Pack that includes two 9* plays (13-7 run) and an NFL GAME of the WEEK for Sunday. Get on board!*

Week 11 NFL Pick: Alex Smart betting the Patriots -6.5 points on November 19th 2017

New England Patriots vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 11 NFL Pick: Patriots -6.5 (November 19th 2017)

The Raiders go head to head with the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots this Sunday in Estadio Azteca in Mexico City .  The Pats after a slow start to their campaign have looked over powering of late and last week against the leagues No.1 defense (Denver) put 41 points on the board in a lopsided win. This week vs the 28 th overall ranked Raiders total defense, that allows 361.1 ypg, another romp is expected by me. The champs D, was also a question mark earlier on this season, but wow , have they ever come around, as is evident by allowing 14,17,7, 13 and 16 points  in their L/5 overall allowing  a combined average of just 13.4 ppg. I know the Raiders behind their stud QB Derek Carr have a reputation for being an explosive offensive team, but to this point in the season have not shown much consistency this year with their attack, averaging just 21.8 ppg, and I’m betting will find it hard to keep up with their behemoth  opponents today.

Belichick is 28-9 ATS  L/37 after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games with the average score clicking in at  NE 28.8 opposition 18.8 and is  15-4 ATS L/19 after allowing 17 points or less in 4 straight games with the average score clicking in at NE 29.3 opposition 17.5. NEW ENGLAND is 13-0 ATS   after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games with the average margin of victory coming by 15.5 ppg ( 2 TD plus)

OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS  L/12 in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 .NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after gaining 375 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS  L/6 as a road favorite of 7 points or less.NEW ENGLAND is 10-1 ATS L/11 versus poor defensive teams – allowing 5.65 or more yards/play.

NFL Road teams (NEW ENGLAND) – mistake-free team (1.25 TO/G  or less committed) vs a team with 1.25 TO/G or less  forced after 8+ games, after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 43-17 ATS over the L/34 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Projected score: New England 37 Oakland 17
Play on the New England Pats to cover

Lions vs. Bears Week 11 NFL Point Spread Pick from AAA Sports: November 19th 2017

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears
Week 11 NFL Point Spread Pick: DET -3 (November 19th 2017)

The Lions went into their bye week sitting at 3-3 and came out of it with a disappointing effort in a 20-15 loss to a then red hot Pittsburgh Steelers team. But Detroit comes into this one back on top form, having won two straight, most recently a convincing 38-24 destruction of the Browns at home. The Bears have once again stalled though.

They lost a tough 20-17 game at home to New Orleans before their bye week and then fell flat against the Aaron Rodger-less Packers last weekend. Note that Chicago is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 17 points or less in its previous contest, while Detroit is 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 35 points or more in its previous outing. Consider the surging LIONS in this matchup.

Dolphins vs. Rams Week 11 Point Spread Pick from Matt Fargo: November 20th 2016

DOLPHINS VS. RAMS WEEK 11Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Rams
Week 11 Point Spread Pick: LA +1.5 points (November 20th 2016)

Miami has won and covered four straight games following a 1-4 start to the season but three of those wins came at home and the Dolphins were fortunate to win in San Diego last week. They benefitted from four Philip Rivers interceptions including the game winner that was returned for a touchdown with a minute remaining. Miami has been outgained in seven of nine games so the winning record is certainly skewed which makes the line today inflated. The Rams snapped a four-game losing streak with an ugly win against the Jets last week as the offense was inept once again. Surprisingly, during those four losses, Los Angeles won the yardage battle in all four games as the defense led the way once again. The stop unit is ranked No. 7 overall so the offense needs to pick it up and with Jared Goff set to make his NFL debut, this could be the spark it needs. Betting on a rookie quarterback in his first start may seem risky but it cannot get any worse at this point. The Dolphins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while the Rams are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Play (468) Los Angeles Rams

New Orleans vs. Carolina Week 11 NFL Point Spread Pick: November 17th 2016

SAINTS VS. PANTHERS BETTINGNew Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers
Week 11 Point Spread Prediction: Saints 3.5 points (November 17th 2016)

These Saints are only 4-5 SU, but they’re better than it looks as they opened the season with 3 straight losses. They’re an improving team that heads into Thursday Night Football on a 4-2 SU & 4-1-1 ATS winning streak since October 2nd, which includes a 41-38 home victory over these Panthers back on October 16th. Carolina finds themselves favored once again based on their reputation from winning last year’s NFC Championship despite the fact that they’re only 3-6 SU & 2-6-1 ATS this year.

Those 3 wins look even worse when you know they defeated the 49ers (1-8), Rams (4-5) & Cardinals (4-4-1), who combine for a 9-17-1 losing record. MUST take the points with a Saints crew that’s averaging 29.4 points per game and have already hung up 41 points on this Panther’s defense, especially knowing that Carolina has been held to 17 points or less in 4 of their last 7 games.

Steelers vs. Browns Week 11 Point Spread Pick from Alex Smart: November 20th 2016

STEELERS VS. BROWNS BETTINGPittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 11 NFL Pick: Browns +8 (November 20th 2016)

The Steelers are on a 3 game losing streak, and not looking very good of late, and are  fade material here on the road .  Note: PITTSBURGH is 3-13 ATS L/16 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points and HC Tomlin is 9-18 ATS L/27 against  lower tier teams – outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. Meanwhile, Cleveland despite of a ugly record are a team, that’s desperate for a victory. Just one  win , and than their free to tank, so that they can pick up North Carolina’s super star  under center Mitch Trubisky  a Cleveland native in the draft.  I know this one smells like a Norwegian fish market, but please just  plug your nose, close your eyes and pull the trigger.

NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Browns – after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 29-9 ATS L/38 opportunities.
Play on the Cleveland Browns to cover