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Posts Tagged ‘Week 12 NFL Picks’

Bills vs. Chiefs Week 12 NFL Point Spread Pick from Brandon Lee: November 26th 2017

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Week 12 NFL Point Spread Pick: Chiefs -8.5 (November 26th 2017)

As bad as Kansas City has looked here of late, I’ll lay the big number with the Chiefs at home in this one. Kansas City hit rock-bottom with last week’s loss the Giants, but I wasn’t all that surprised to see them struggle. That was a statement game for New York, who got called out after the ugly loss the 49ers the week before.

It was almost as if the Chiefs didn’t take them seriously and I don’t see them making that same mistake twice in a row. This is still the same team that started out 5-0 and let’s not overlook that 3 of the 4 losses during this 1-4 stretch have come on the road and the lone loss at home was against the Steelers, who simply have their number. This is the ideal bounce back spot for Kansas City and the Bills look like the perfect team to get them back on track.

Buffalo is going to give back the starting job to Taylor, but I just wonder if the damage is already done. I just don’t know how the players on this team can be excited to come to work when it feels as though management and the coaching staff are doing everything in their power to make them lose. Keep in mind they weren’t competitive in their two previous games before the lopsided loss to the Chargers. The week before they fell 10-47 at home to the Saints and prior to that lost 21-34 to the Jets in a game that wasn’t as close as the final, as they trailed 7-34 in the 4th quarter.

One of the reasons the Chiefs have struggled offensively of late is they aren’t running the ball like they did to start the season. Part of that is they just haven’t trusted the ground game enough. I think that changes here against the Bills and I look for KC to pound the rock with rookie running back Kareem Hunt. Note that Buffalo’s run defense has really struggled of late, as the Bills have allowed a ridiculous 638 rushing yards over their last 3 games.

The Chiefs also have a history of responding well to adversity after a bad offensive showing. Kansas City is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after a game in which they failed to score at least 15 points. They are also 7-2 ATS in their last last 9 after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Buffalo on the other hand is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 off a loss by more than 14 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 30 or more points. Give me the Chiefs -8.5!

McMordie betting the KC Chiefs -8.5 points in Week 12: November 26th 2017

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Week 12 NFL Pick: KC -8.5 points (November 26th 2017)

At 1 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Chiefs have lost four of their last five games.  But three of those five were on the road, including their last two games at Dallas and the New York Giants.  The good news for Andy Reid’s club is that it’s back home at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday.  And the Chiefs are a solid 3-1 at home this season, with wins over Philadelphia, Washington and Denver.  I love Kansas City to blow out the Bills, as Buffalo has given up an average of 45 points over its last three games — all blowout losses.

And, for technical support, consider that winning teams, off back to back road defeats, are 61-33 ATS at home when priced as a favorite of 11 or less points.  Take Kansas City.  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.  And don’t miss any of my red-hot winners, including 3 EXTREMELY STRONG plays today in Hoops and Hockey.  I’m 41-18 my last 59 on the ice, and 17-9 my last 26 in Hoops, so get on board now.  Or, better yet, join for a week or month to get all of my award-winning plays!

Dolphins vs. Patriots Week 12 NFL Over-Under Pick from Dennis Macklin: November 26th 2017

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
Week 12 NFL Over-Under Pick: Over 47 points (November 26th 2017)

This is the Patriots only home game is six weeks as the Pats are off road wins at Denver and then last week in Mexico City over the Raiders. After disposing of the Dolphins here, it’s three straight road games for New England culminating in their showdown against the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Dolphins have lost eight straight in Foxboro and the Pats figure to do some damage early against a team that has been outscored 108-37 in the first halves of their last six games.  In their last five games, the Dolphins have given up 28-40-27-45-40 so you would have to think that Brady is licking his hops watching the Fish game films. The Pat defense is much improved but we put the Dolphins on at least a score during the game plus a score late during garbage time. If the Dolphins do their part, this one goes flying over the total.

Chargers vs. Cowboys Over-Under Thanksgiving Day Pick from Ray Monohan: November 23rd 2017

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Dallas Cowboys
Over-Under Thanksgiving Day Pick: Over 47.5 points (November 23rd 2017)

Thanksgiving pins the Cowboys in action once again and with the Chargers in town, we should see a lot of points here.

Dallas is certainly happy to see Philadelphia out of town. The Cowboys looked almost timid with their playcalling, but that won’t be the case here against the Chargers. Dallas has the playmakers to really make some big plays and put points up quickly. It’ll start with Dak Prescott as he has to make some plays down field.

He under threw a lot of receivers last week and he is one to certainly learn from his mistakes.

From the Chargers side of things, Los Angeles put up a 54 point performance last week. This offense is playing will sorts of confidence and given how this Dallas defense has played lately, moving the ball with some pace will be one thing to watch for here from LA.

Some trends to note. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Expect a back and forth kind of game.
Back Over.

Denver vs. Oakland Week 12 NFL Point Spread Pick from AAA Sports: November 26th 2017

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 12 NFL Pick: Oakland -4.5 points (November 26th 2017)

Oakland is 4-6, while Denver is 3-7. Clearly both teams can’t be happy with where they’re sitting at the moment, as each had pretty big expectations coming into the 2017/18 campaign. This is an important two game stretch for the Raiders though, who could be back to .500 if they manage a victory here and then again next week at home against the hapless Giants. That would then have them at .500 on their way for a road game against suddenly struggling Kansas City.

Another loss for Denver though will be the final nail in its coffin. The Broncos question marks in all three phases. The Raiders have issues as well, but they at least have solidity in the most important areas. We’re expecting a convincing victory. Consider the RAIDERS in this matchup.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Sunday Night Point Spread Pick from Tony Karpinski: November 27th 2016

CHIEFS VS. BRONCOS BETTINGKansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
Sunday Night Point Spread Pick: Chiefs +3.5 (November 27th 2016)

Free Action on Sunday night. Play the Chiefs +3.5 and use that money to purchase a weekly or monthly package from TonyK and 3G-Sports. He is having a HUGE year and a 22 year expert in this business.

KC has won 17 of their last 20 games. Their defense probably just as good as Denver’s defense just not getting the credit and exposure. They lead the league in takeaways and turnover differentials, They even have the most redzone takeaways. Since week 8.

Despite how bad the Chiefs have looked on offense lately, they offer tremendous value getting more than a field goal in what should be a low-scoring game. Siemian is completing less than 55% of his throws in those games. Take the points and the UNDERDOG here in this game on Sunday night.