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Posts Tagged ‘Week 13 NFL Picks’

Broncos vs. Jaguars Week 13 Pick from Mike Lundin: December 4th 2016

BRONCOS JAGUARS WEEK 13Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 13 NFL Point Spread Pick: Broncos -3 (December 4th 2016)

The Denver Broncos are coming off a disappointing 30-27 Sunday night loss to Kansas City. I think the lowly 2-9 Jacksonville Jaguars will pay the price this week. Denver is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games following a straight up loss and it needs to rack up wins in order to catch the surging Oakland Raiders at the top of the AFC West. Jacksonville has lost six in a row overall and the Jags have an NFL-worst minus-15 in turnover differential this season. Denver’s QB Trevor Siemian threw for a personal-best 368 yards and three touchdowns last week but sustained a foot injury and has been limited at practice this week. It’s not the Broncos’ offense that will win them this game though, but their D. Look for Denver to win and cover the spread at EverBank Field this Sunday.

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Teddy Covers betting the ‘Under’ 44 points in the Panthers vs. Seahawks Week 13 game on December 4th 2016

PANTHERS VS. SEAHAWKS BETTINGCarolina Panthers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Week 13 NFL Pick: Under 44 points (December 4th 2016)

Great quarterbacks can only play like great quarterbacks when they have some semblance of an offensive line to protect them.  When these two teams met twice last year, both offensive lines were in good shape.

Russell Wilson and Cam Newton had a running game that balanced their downfield passing attack.  Seattle scored 23 and 24 points in those two games, but they lost them both in SU fashion, cashing a pair of Over tickets in the process.

That was then.  This is now.  The Seahawks offensive line is in complete disarray right now.  Three rookies started on that OL last week.  They’ll be starting their fifth different combo of offensive linemen this week.  Offensive coordinator Darrel Bevell, talking about the struggles of his OL:“We are just trying to find the best five guys. If it changes every week, then it changes every week.”

Russell Wilson got sacked six times last week, but it was far worse than that – Wilson was running for his life, quite literally, on just about every snap.  That game marked the THIRD time this year in which the Seahawks offense didn’t reach the end zone even once.  Expecting an offensive explosion from the Seahawks this week is an exercise in optimism!

But the Panthers offensive line is in even worse shape than the Seahawks OL!  Four of their five starters have been officially ruled ‘Out’ for Sunday Night’s affair.  Michael Oher didn’t make the trip out West.  Ryan Kalil and Gino Gradkowski got hurt last week against the Raiders.  The Panthers were forced to make a signing from the Cleveland Browns practice squad just to have enough healthy bodies here.  I don’t care how you spin it —  you don’t want to be bringing guys in from the Browns practice squad in Week 13 at Seattle!

Ron Rivera knows what’s coming; talking about his offensive line woes: “It’s about as catastrophe as you can get. I mean, when you look at the losses we’ve had this year. But our coaches will coach up the guys that are available to us.”  Against the Seahawks elite stop unit, playing in front of that 12th man crowd, expect Carolina, like Seattle, to struggle to score touchdowns.  Take the Under.

Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots Week 13 NFL Pick: December 4th 2016

RAMS VS. PATRIOTS WEEK 13Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots
Week 13 NFL Pick: Patriots -13 points (December 4th 2016)

Nobody in the league has been worse in explosive plays over the last month than the Rams, a whopping -9 the past four games. This team just can’t put points on the board averaging 12 points per game the last five contests. The Rams have aloso failed to win the turnover battle in 6 of 7 games. When losing the TO battle this season Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS.

New England holds a +35 explosive play advantage over the Rams on the season. With the Pats struggling the past three weeks this team needs to get things right before facing its nemesis Baltimore next Monday night. New England lost the yards per play battle last week against the Jets. In games following a contest where the Pats trailed in that stat this season the team is perfect ATS covering by 10 points per game on average.


Cowboys vs. Redskins MNF Point Spread & Over-Under Pick: December 7th 2015

COWBOYS VS. REDSKINS BETTING MNFDallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins – 8:30pm ET December 7th 2015
Courtesy of

Point Spread: The Washington Redskins are a 3 point favorite over the Dallas Cowboys on Monday night and the over/under betting total is posted at 42 points.

Records: Dallas is 3-8 SU and 3-8 ATS this season with an over/under record of 5-6. Washington is 5-6 SU and 5-6 ATS this season with an over/under record of 5-6.

Public Perception: As of 1pm ET, 61% of the wagering public is betting that the Redskins will cover the point spread over the Cowboys.

Recent Meetings:
12/28/14: Dallas 44 Washington 17 (DAL -6 O/U 47.5)
10/27/14: Washington 20 Dallas 17 (DAL -9 O/U 49)
12/22/13: Dallas 24 Washington 23 (DAL -3 O/U 51)
10/13/13: Washington 16 Dallas 31 (DAL -5.5 O/U 52)

Notable Betting Trends: Dallas is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against Washington and 1-4 ATS when playing in Washington. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Under is 4-0 in Dallas’ last 4 games after rushing for less than 90 yards in their previous game.

Side ATS Pick: Washington Redskins -3
Over-Under Pick: Under 42 points

Cardinals vs. Rams Week 13 NFL Point Spread Pick from Marc David: December 6th 2015


Arizona Cardinals vs. St. Louis Rams
Week 13 Point Spread Pick: Rams +6 (December 6th 2015)

The Cards are sitting on top of their division while the Rams are in a 4 game slide with nowhere to go but up. The running game for the Cards has been decimated with the loss of both Chris Johnson and Andre Ellington. The rest of their offense is pretty banged up as well with WR’s Fitzgerald and Brown less than 100% and questionable for today. They were held to 16 points by a weak San Francisco team last week and had to win a close game in the 4th quarter. The Rams are on a 4 game slide but 3 of those losses were on the road and 2 were by 3 points. RB Gurley has rushed for 100 yards in 4 straight games and should help open their offense. Their defense could be dangerous as they rank 13th in total defense and 8th against the pass to go along with a good pass rush that has 30 sacks. They are vulnerable against the run but with the Cards hurting badly there, it might not hurt them.

Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers Betting Pick from Rob Vinciletti: December 6th 2015


Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers
Betting Pick: Chargers +4.5 (December 6th 2015)

The Free NFL Sunday system club play is on the SD. Chargers +4 points. Game 372 at 4:05 eastern. SD blew up the database this week as they fit several variations of the home dog off a road dog win, vs an opponent off a home win systems. Denver is in play against mode and could bounce off the big win over the Patriots. Teams who beat he defending champs as a dog have failed to cover over 85% of the time log term vs a team off a win of 3 or more points, like the Chargers. The Broncos are 0-3 ats vs losing teams. The Chargers are 9-1 at home off a road win vs a team off a dog win. P. Rivers has a solid record in December games. San Diego has triple revenge too. Take the points here. On Sunday don’t miss the NFC West Game of the Year from 2 Undefeated long term super systems. There are also 3 more early 5* Power system plays, one is a totals play, and 2 late afternoon games, Sunday night Football and a solid NBA and NCAAB Pack. Jump on now our football was ranked #1 last year and is killing it again this year. For the free play take the 4 points with San Diego. RV