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Posts Tagged ‘Week 17 NFL Picks’

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Week 17 NFL Prediction from Jimmy Boyd: January 1st 2016

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
Week 17 NFL Prediction: Jets +3.5 points (January 1st 2016)

As bad as New York looked last week, I think the value is with them as a home dog. It’s clearly not been the season the Jets were hoping for, but I expect them to play with a lot of pride in their home finale. They certainly don’t want to go into the offseason with another loss like they had last week against the Pats.

The bigger factor here is I just don’t trust this Bills team to show up. Not only did they fire their head coach and defensive coordinator with one week left. A move some thought came a bit too soon, given it was only Ryan’s second year on the job. They also stated that starting QB Tyrod Taylor won’t play. Not because he’s not healthy, but because they don’t want to risk paying his $30 million guarantee for next year if he were to suffer a serious injury.

I completely understand the move from a business perspective. However, I don’t think it’s one that is going to sit well with the rest of the players in the locker room. Don’t be surprised if the Bills have a long list of guys who sit this one out with a nagging injury. At the same time, I can’t see those that do play being all that motivated to put forth a max effort.

It’s one of those games where you have to look at the motivation more than the statistics. The numbers here are going to be in favor of Buffalo. With that said, not having Taylor at QB is a big loss for the Bills. E.J. Manuel doesn’t pose near the threat on the ground and is no where close in terms of his passing ability. The Jets should be able to load the box and force Manuel to beat them with his arm. My guess is he won’t be up to the task. Take New York!

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Cowboys vs. Eagles Week 17 NFL Spread Pick from Teddy Covers: January 1st 2016

Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Week 17 NFL Point Spread Pick: Eagles -4 (January 1st 2016)

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Make no mistake about it – this is a preseason game for the Dallas Cowboys.  Dallas is going to have their starters on the field early.  But by halftime, expect most of those starters to be on the bench, avoiding injury.  Tony Romo is expected to get his first playing time of the year behind center.  But we can also expect a Mark Sanchez sighting.

And every Cowboy with a hangnail is going to be sitting out as well. Don’t expect to see the likes of Ronald Leary or Tyson Smith on the offensive line.  CB Morris Claiborne isn’t expected to suit up, and the Cowboys defensive line could sit multiple guys, most notably both starting tackles.  Jason Garrett is talking the talk about how he expects his team to compete – blah, blah, blah. It’s all coach-speak.  This is a no-show game for a team that has already clinched.

That’s not the case for Philadelphia.  The Eagles enacted their revenge for an early season loss against the Giants last week.  They’ve got a first year coach and a first year quarterback – guys who we can expect to push the pedal to the metal right through the final gun.  Philly played their guts out in a one point loss to Baltimore the previous week.  They played their guts out in a last minute loss to Washington the week before.  This team isn’t worried about resting starters and prepping for the playoffs.  They’re worried about beating Dallas!

Philly’s loss to the Cowboys in October was as frustrating as it gets.  The Eagles led by double digits in the fourth quarter but a 90 yard Dallas drive with the clock winding down sent the game to OT, and the Eagles offense never touched the ball in overtime – their D was completely gassed.

Eagles safety Malcolm Jenkins, talking earlier in the week:  “It was a game where we had a 10-point lead and let it slip. We went into overtime and didn’t come out with the win. It was one of those games where we had to learn how to finish. It’s just small plays here and there. Some of the plays they earned, as we go back and watch the tape. But there are a couple of plays here and there where we could have helped ourselves. That’s one of those lessons that you learn.”  Expect some payback here!  Take the Eagles.

Bears vs. Vikings Week 17 NFL Football Pick from Stephen Nover: January 1st 2017

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings
Week 17 NFL Football Pick: Vikings -5 (January 1st 2016)
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Even though they are out of the playoffs the Vikings still have a very good defense and strong home field advantage.  I can’t see Matt Barkley doing much here. Barkley has been exposed as the third-stringer he is during the past couple of weeks throwing eight interceptions during this span. The Bears have committed nine turnovers in their last two games with no takeaways. Barkley is going to struggle against a Minnesota defense that gives up the second-fewest yards in the NFL and has star safety Harrison Smith back from injury. Barkley has never faced a defense this good on the road.  The Vikings have revenge from a 20-10 Week 8 loss on Monday night to the Bears. Fiery Mike Zimmer wants to end the year on a positive note. So Minnesota will be properly motivated.

The Bears have been at their worst on the road going 0-7 while allowing an average of 26.7 points and 372.4 yards a game. Minnesota has covered eight of the last 10 times when facing a sub .500 foe and has also covered 75 percent of its past 28 home games.  Sam Bradford has the highest completion percentage in the league. The Vikings rank last in rushing, but should be able to run better than they have against a Bears defense that has permitted triple digits on the ground the past six games and probably will be without promising rookie linebacker Leonard Floyd, who suffered a concussion last week. The Bears already are down several key defenders, including nose tackle Eddie Goldman and linebacker Danny Trevathan.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Week 17 Point Spread Pick: January 3rd 2016

SEAHAWKS VS. CARDINALS WEEK 17 NFL PICK

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
Week 17 Point Spread Pick: Cardinals -6.5 (January 3rd 2016)
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The perception here is that Seattle will be out for revenge and given their strong play down the stretch will be able to keep this game competitive and cover the touchdown spread. I don’t think that’s going to be the case at all. Last week my favorite play on the board Sunday was the Rams +13 and many of the same reasons I liked St Louis apply to this game. Seattle doesn’t have anything to gain right now. The Seahawks are locked into a Wild Card spot with Arizona having already clinched the division. They don’t care if they have to go on the road to face the Redskins or the winner of the NFC North, their only focus is to get healthy for the playoffs. Arizona on the other hand, has no choice but to play their starters and try and secure a win in hopes of Tampa Bay pulling off the upset and getting the No. 1 seed. I also think it’s important to play hard in Week 17 when you have a bye. I’ll take my chances here with the Cardinals -6.5 on Sunday.

Jets vs. Bills Week 17 Betting Pick from Jack Jones: January 3rd 2016

JETS VS. BILLS WEEK 17 PICKNew York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
Week 17 Betting Pick: Jets -3 (January 3rd 2016)
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The New York Jets have been in must-win mode for the last six weeks of the regular season. They’ve handled the pressure of these must-win games very well. Indeed, they’ve gone 5-0 in their last five games overall to get to 10-5 after their 5-5 start. Now they are just one win away from clinching a playoff berth, and I expect them to handle themselves admirably again this week.

The Jets are not only winning, they are dominating. They have outgained five straight opponents by at least 63 yards. They are outscoring opponents by 10.4 points per game and outgaining them by 108.0 yards per game during their 5-game winning streak.

New York now ranks 4th in the NFL in yardage differential, outgaining teams by 54.8 yards per game on the season. This is a very important stat because they trail teams like the Cardinals, Seahawks and Broncos, and they are just ahead of teams like the Patriots and Panthers. I would consider all five of those teams to be elite, and the Jets have to be considered elite as well.

The Bills have been eliminated from postseason contention for a few weeks and have nothing to play for but pride. They have lost four of their last six games overall with their only wins coming against the Texans and Cowboys. While I do expect them to show up for this game, I don’t foresee them being able to do anything to slow down this Jets team that’s clearly on a mission.

Plus, the Bills have a massive list of injuries right now to several key players. Among the players listed as questionable, doubtful or out are RB LeSean McCoy, TE Charles Clay, LB Nigel Bradham, DT Marcell Dareus, T Seantrel Henderson, WR Robert Woods, CB Stephone Gilmore, WR Percy Harvin, and DT Kyle Williams. It’s no wonder the Bills have not finished well this season.

The Jets are 49-29 ATS in their last 78 road games against division opponents. New York is 8-1 ATS in the final four weeks of the regular season over the last three seasons. The Jets are 36-20 ATS in their last 56 road games when revenging a loss against an opponent. The Bills are 15-33-3 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win. Bet the Jets Sunday.

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Redskins vs. Cowboys Week 17 Point Spread Prediction from Tony George: January 3rd 2016

REDSKINS VS. COWBOYS WEEK 17 PREDICTIONWashington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys
Week 17 NFL Prediction: Redskins +4 (January 3rd 2016)
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What is Dallas doing laying points to anyone, and the line is going up. On their 4th QB of the season who looked iffy at best ;last week at Buffalo in a loss, and it is more of the same for Dallas who is 0-4-1 ATS at home against a team with a winning record. Washington is a division champ and QB Cousins has evolved into a better than average QB this season, and the Skins are road warriors, and they are 7-1 ATS the last 8 when playing in Dallas.

Not sold on Washington hanging it up early this week, as Jay Gruden knows momentum is everything headed into the playoffs, and I doubt they fold their tent and let a 4 win team whip their ass, and not sure Dallas could do it if they wanted to. Cousins will get the start and see plenty of snaps but no doubt won’t finish the game but all starters for the Skins will see the first half and that should be enough. You just cannot win at this level without a decent QB in the NFL, that is the bottom line and Dallas’s demise all year. Trust me, Jay Gruden wants to win this game but he will substitute throughout the game. Even in that scenario I do not trust laying points with Dallas.

Washington playing with double revenge after a 19-16 home loss back on December 7th at home, and last year in the last game in this series Dallas embarrassed them 44-17 at home, so motivation is here to stamp a division title with an exclamation point and head into the post season with some steam despite sitting some players here and there. Thew Skins have scored 74 points the last 2 weeks and Dallas cannot trade punches here on the scoreboard, even at home.

FREE PICK on Washington +3.5 to 4

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