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Posts Tagged ‘Week 3 NFL Picks’

MNF Betting Pick: Wager on the Cardinals +3 and the ‘Over’ 46.5 points on September 25th 2017

Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals – 8:30pm ET, September 25th 2017 – Week 3

Point Spread: The Dallas Cowboys are a 3 point favorite over the Arizona Cardinals in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup. The over/under betting total for this game is set at 46.5 points.

Public Perception: 59% of the betting public are wagering on the Cowboys to cover the spread against the Cardinals. 51% of people betting on the game think it will stay under the total of 46.5 points.

Team Stats: The Cowboys are averaging 18ppg on offense and giving up 22.5ppg on defense this season. The Cardinals are scoring on average 19.5ppg and allowing 24ppg. Both teams have 1-1 record thus far this season.

Side Betting Trends: Arizona is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. Arizona is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Arizona is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Arizona is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Dallas is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Dallas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Dallas is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Dallas is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Over/Under Betting Trends: Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 games overall. Over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games following a ATS loss. Over is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 10-3 in Cowboys last 13 games on grass. Under is 13-5 in Cowboys last 18 games following a ATS loss. Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 vs. NFC. Over is 7-3 in Cowboys last 10 games in September.

Head-to-Head Betting Trends: Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Arizona. Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Betting Pick: Arizona Cardinals +3
Over-Under Pick: Over 46.5 points

Steelers vs. Bears Week 3 Spread Pick from Scott Rickenbach: September 24th 2017

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears
Week 3 NFL Pick: Bears +7.5 (September 24th 2017)
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Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach Free Pick for NFL Sunday Chicago Bears (+) vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 1 ET – Nice home dog spot for the Bears here. They catch the Steelers off of a win and cover against Vikings team without QB Sam Bradford. Also, Pittsburgh has their biggest rival, Baltimore, on deck. That makes this a “sandwich spot” for the Steelers as they were up for their home opener against Minnesota last week and they have a tough road trip to face the Ravens up next.

The Bears were a turnover machine last week and that gave them no chance for success at Tampa Bay. However, at home in Week 1, Chicago truly played a solid game and gave the defending NFC Champion Falcons a run for their money. With that cover, the Bears are a solid 5-1-1 ATS the last 7 times they’ve been a home dog. I like them again here to get the job done in that role. Free Pick on Chicago plus the big points in early afternoon action Sunday. Best of luck, Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach

Week 3 NFL Pick: Teddy Covers betting the Jags +4 over the Ravens on September 24th 2017

Baltimore Ravens vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL Week 3 Pick: Jacksonville +4 points (September 24th 2017)
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Joe Flacco missed all of preseason; one of many injured veterans for the Ravens in August.  Baltimore lost nearly a dozen guys to IR in training camp, losing key bodies on both sides of the football.  Flacco has looked rusty, with only 338 passing yards through two games.  And he hasn’t been tested – the ravens have not yet trailed this season.  The Ravens, as a team, have only one explosive play on offense through two games. They’ve rushed for under four yards per carry.  And now the key to their offensive line, six time pro bowler Marshall Yanda, has been placed on injured reserve after breaking his ankle last week.

Yanda’s injury cannot be overstated.  With him gone, this team is now without three of their five OL starters from last year, as well as their top two backups from a season ago.  This would be a problem for any offense.  It matters even more with a QB and skill position talent that don’t have much familiarity with one another after the barrage of August injuries.

And for all the success the Ravens have had with their 2-0 SU and ATS start, let’s not forget two things.  First, Baltimore has generated 10 turnovers.  No other team has more than five.  Every team looks good and covers spreads when they are +7 in turnovers over a two game span.

Secondly, John Harbaugh is not a ‘let’s lay points with him’ kind of coach, especially on the highway.  The Ravens have been feisty underdogs for years under Harbaugh.  However, they’ve got a grand total of one pointspread cover in their last eight tries as favorites away from home dating back to 2014; failing repeatedly in this role.  I’ve got Harbaugh as 3-10 ATS in his last 13 tries laying more than a field goal on any field, and all three of those covers have come against the same team – Cleveland.

The defense Baltimore is facing this week is no joke.  Say what you want about Blake Bortles (yes, I know Bortles sucks, but I think the Jags can cover in spite of him), Jacksonville’s stop unit is the best one the Ravens have seen this year.  Offseason acquisition Calais Campbell has been a pass rushing force, who’s veteran leadership has been “off the charts” according to head coach Doug Marrone.  Free agent signee AJ Bouye gives them a stud cornerback duo with last year’s #1 pick Jalen Ramsey, on the other side.  This defense finished #4 in the NFL in yards per play allowed last year.  They dominated the game at Houston in Week 1.  And they kept the Titans out of the end zone until the second half last week before finally wearing down late.

The Jags play in London every year.  They won their London game in 2015.  They won their London game last year, developing a following in the UK and at least some semblance of a home field edge at Wembley.  This is the first ever game that the Ravens have played outside the continental US.  Put it all together and the Jags catching more than a field goal are a clear choice for this bettor.  Take the Jaguars.

Teddy nailed his 10* Big Ticket winner last Saturday.  On Sunday, he cashed a SU underdog winner on with his 10* Big Ticket! On Monday, Teddy delivered another ‘right side’ winner on the Lions; doing what he’s done so consistently — making $$ for himself and his clients in the NFL!  Don’t miss a single top rated winner all weekend long!

Chargers vs. Colts Week 3 NFL Pick from Mike Lundin: September 25th 2016

CHARGERS VS. COLTS BETTINGSan Diego Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts
NFL Pick: Chargers +2.5 points (September 25th 2016)
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The 1-1 San Diego Chargers will visit the winless Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon, and this looks like a great spot to take the points on the visitors.

The Colts are struggling big time on the defensive side of the ball as they’ve surrendered 34 and 39 points in defeats to Detroit and Denver to start the season They’re 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Chargers.

San Diego’s QB Philip Rivers threw for four TDs in last week’s 38-14 blowout win against Jacksonville and he has a 70.0% completion rate with his passes on the season, a number which can be compared to Andrew Luck’s 58.8 percent. Luck completed only 21 of 40 attempts for 197 yards with one TD and one INT against Denver last week, and running back Frank Gore is averaging just 3.8 yards per carry.

The Colts need their offense to bail out their subpar D, and that’s not happening at the moment. Take the points on the Chargers, but we might not even need them as San Diego has a great chance to win this game outright.

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Oakland Raiders vs. Tennessee Titans Week 3 Point Spread Pick: September 25th 2016

RAIDERS VS. TITANS WEEK 3Oakland Raiders vs. Tennessee Titans
Week 3 NFL Point Spread Pick: Titans +1.5 (September 25th 2016)
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I’m backing the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. We like what we have seen from Marcus Mariota now that the former Oregon signal-call has a HC who understands you actually have to pass block. Mariota has completed 68% of his passes thus far with 4 TDs and 2 INTs. We are getting what we expected a season ago from TE Delanie Walker (questionable), while Tajae Sharpe & DeMarco Murray have 11 and 12 receptions, respectively. Murray has also averaged over 5 yards per carry. Yes, the Titans started just 2-9 SU in 2015, but they were just 15 points away from a 7-4 SU record through 11 games. They’re healthier this season and have made quality moves to shore-up some of what plagued them last season. Oakland has been a public darling since Over/Under win totals and odds to win the Super Bowl were posted months ago. The defense, however, has not held-up thus far. The Raider defense is dead-last, 32nd in the NFL in yards passing allowed and total yards allowed per game, and they’re 31st in ppg allowed. Oakland won here last year, 24-21. Despite a plus-two turnover margin and Titan injuries, the Raiders still needed a game-winning TD in the closing 90-seconds of the game. I expect Tennessee to gain a measure of revenge and I’m backing the Titans on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Week 3 NFL Pick: Alex Smart betting the New York Giants -4.5 on September 25th 2016

REDSKINS VS. GIANTS BETTINGWashington Redskins vs. New York Giants
Week 3 Football Prediction: Giants -4.5 points (September 25th 2016)
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In my humble opinion there is an obvious lack of cohesion in the Washington Redskins locker room and on the sidelines and most noticeably on the field. Losing your first two home games of the season, does not do alot for a teams confidence. Yes, I know QB Cousins has thrown for a big chunk yards through two games (693) but he has only 1 touchdown and three interceptions to show for it in his one man flying circus. Meanwhile the Gmen are performing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum with a 2-0 record. With QB Manning doing just enough , in between some top tier play from the Giants D, the home side looked poised to start their season 3-0. It must noted that NYG allowed the Saints just 3 /3rd down conversions in 13 tries in their last game a 16-13 win.

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  • Redskins are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 3.Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Redskins are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in New York. Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.