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Posts Tagged ‘Week 5 NFL Picks’

Mike Lundin betting the Vikings -6.5 over the Texans in Week 5: October 9th 2016

TEXANS VS. VIKINGS BETTINGHouston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings
Week 5 NFL Point Spread Prediction: Vikings -6.5 (October 9th 2016)
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The Minnesota Vikings are still undefeated, despite losing QB Teddy Bridgewater and RB Adrian Peterson to injuries. They’re on an absolutely insane ATS run over the last couple of years and 4-0 ATS on the season. The bookmakers and the betting public will surely catch up sooner or later, but I like the Vikings to cover a touchdown here against the Houston Texans. Both teams rely on a solid D to bring home the wins, but the Texans are in trouble now with defensive end J.J. Watt (back) out for the season. They’re off a 27-10 home victory against Tennessee but lost its lone road game for the season in Week 3, a 27-0 shutout at New England.

Sam Bradford is doing a decent job under center for Minnesota with four TD passes and no picks while Houston’s Brock Osweiler has passed for five TDs but also been picked off six times. That won’t cut it here against a Vikings D that has allowed just 12.5 points per game on the season and the team has a league-best plus-10 in turnover margin.

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Jets vs. Steelers Week 5: Art Aronson betting Pittsburgh -7 on October 9th 2016

JETS VS. STEELERS WEEK 5New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 5 NFL Pick: Steelers -7 points (October 9th 2016)
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Setting the scene: These teams are moving in opposite directions and we think those trends continues in Week 5 of the 2016/17 NFL regular season.

The Jets: They’re 1-3 SU/ATS. Last week they fell 27-17 at home to the Seahawks. It was a third straight loss for Gang Green as QB Ryan Fitzpatrick would finish just 23 of 41 for 261 yards, one TD and three INT’s. So far Fitzpatrick has ten INT’s to go with just four TD’s. The ground game stalled last week as well, finishing with just 58 yards. WR Eric Decker didn’t play because of injury and if he does manage to go on Sunday, clearly he won’t be at 100% capacity. New York averages 19.8 PPG, ranked 24th in the league. The defense concedes 26.2 PPG, ranked 22nd in the NFL.

The Steelers: After a humiliating defeat to the Eagles, Pittsburgh bounced back in a big way last week, destroying the Chiefs 43-14. QB Ben Roethlisberger was 22 of 27 for 300 yards, five TD’s and no INT’s. So far Big Ben has 11 TD’s and four INT’s on the year. RB Le’Veon Bell made his triumphant return after a three-game suspension and finished with 144 yards. So far Pittsburgh is averaging 27 PPG this year, while the defense concedes an average of 20 PPG, ranked 12th overall.

The bottom line: Note that New York is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 on the road and only 4-7 ATS after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Pittsburgh is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 at home and 13-9 ATS in its last 22 when playing the role of favorite. We think the home side rolls again this week, the Jets have more issues than just Fitzpatrick and all signs point to a blowout of epic proportions.

Week 5 NFL Pick: Matt Mohr betting the Cardinals over the 49ers on October 6th 2016

CARDINALS VS. 49ERSArizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers
Week 5 NFL Pick: Cardinals -3 (October 6th 2016)
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Injuries on both teams will play into this one with the Cards captain of the offense Carson Palmer going down last week with a concussion while the 49ners lost their hear and soul of their defense with NaVorro Bowman to an Achilles injury. The advantage on the injury front goes to AZ with Drew Stanton being in the system the past few years and getting valuable reps in the game last week but more importantly getting quality reps in practice this week. The 49ers defense will struggle to find a serviceable replacement for Bowman which will add the an already struggling defense. SF is giving up 390 on the defensive side of the ball and have struggled to stop the run giving up just under 200 to the Cowboys last week. I expect the Cards to follow the blueprint the Cowboys laid out and pound the ball which will help Stanton go over the top with some deep balls. The Cards are better than their 1-3 record and will build upon the already solid offensive stat of outgaining their opponent by 68 yards per game. Even without Palmer the Cards offense finds its groove against the porous niners D. Take the Cardinals to cover and cash in a winner.

MNF Point Spread: Chargers a 3 point favorite over the Steelers on October 12th 2015

STEELERS VS. CHARGERS MNF WEEK 5 POINT SPREADPittsburgh Steelers vs. San Diego Chargers
Week 5 MNF Point Spread: San Diego -3 Over/Under 45 (October 12th 2015)
NFL Football Prediction: CLICK HERE FOR WEEK 5 NFL EXPERT PICKS

ATS Trends:
Chargers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Chargers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall. Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chargers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games on grass. Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC. Steelers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games in October. Steelers are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 5.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Chargers last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Under is 20-7 in Chargers last 27 vs. AFC. Under is 15-6 in Chargers last 21 games following a S.U. win. Under is 7-3 in Chargers last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 8-2 in Steelers last 10 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 games following a ATS loss. Over is 7-2 in Steelers last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Steelers last 8 road games. Under is 3-1-1 in Steelers last 5 games on grass.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

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Patriots vs. Cowboys Point Spread: Majority of experts agree to bet New England on October 11th 2015

PATRIOTS VS. COWBOYS POINT SPREAD WEEK 5New England Patriots vs. Dallas Cowboys
Week 5 Point Spread: New England -8 Over/Under 50 (October 11th 2015)
NFL Football Prediction: CLICK HERE FOR WEEK 5 NFL EXPERT PICKS

ATS Trends:
Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 5. Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf. Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win. Patriots are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 5. Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games in Week 5. Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games following a ATS loss. Over is 7-2 in Cowboys last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 7-3-1 in Cowboys last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games in October. Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games overall. Over is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 games in Week 5. Over is 37-15 in Patriots last 52 games following a ATS win.


Touthouse.com Picks on this game: Joseph D’AmicoTeddy Covers

Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Visit Touthouse.com for more nfl football predictions and football betting information from our handicappers.

Patriots vs. Cowboys Week 5 Betting Odds & Pick from Scott Rickenbach: October 11th 2015

PATRIOTS VS. COWBOYS WEEK 5 BETTING ODDS

New England Patriots vs. Dallas Cowboys
Week 5 Betting Pick: New England -8.5 (October 11th 2015)
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Rickenbach NFL *1* Free Pick on New England (-) @ Dallas @ 4:25 ET – Off a bye week and with their offense simply dominating foes this season, the Patriots should annihilate a Cowboys defense that has been shredded by opponents so far this season. Other than the Eagles game (and Philly’s offense is a mess) the Cowboys haven’t been able to stop anyone and now Tom Brady and Company come to town ready to shred Dallas’ porous defense. Note that the Pats defense also should “have a field day’ with the Cowboys Brandon Weeden. The Patriots are known for causing inexperienced quarterbacks all sorts of troubles in the first game they face them. The Pats will put a lot of pressure on a Dallas offense that continues to be hurt by the absence of Dez Bryant and Tony Romo. The Pats have the #1 offense in the NFL and the Cowboys yardage on offense has declined each week so far this season. It could be a long afternoon in Big D today. New England is on a 7-2 ATS run in non-conference games while the Cowboys are again struggling at home this season – already 0-2 ATS. Consider a play on New England minus the big points as your *1* Free Pick from Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach on Sunday.