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Posts Tagged ‘Week 9 NFL Picks’

Jets vs. Dolphins Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction from Jack Jones: November 6th 2016

JETS VS. DOLPHINSNew York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins
Week 9 Betting Prediction: Dolphins -4 (November 6th 2016)
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The Miami Dolphins have saved their season with their two most dominant performances of the season coming in.  Now they’ve had a bye week to rest and to build off of the momentum they have gained going into their bye.  I look for them to come out very sharp today against the hapless New York Jets.

It started with a 30-15 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers three weeks ago.  The Dolphins outgained the Steelers by 187 yards in that contest.  Then they came back and beat the Buffalo Bills the following week in a game that was a much bigger blowout than the 28-25 final would indicate.  They outgained the Bills by 187 yards.

A big reason for their resurgence is that they have had their starting five offensive linemen in the lineup over the past two games, which was the first two times all season.  As a result, they’ve come out and run the football with a ton of success.  They rushed for 222 yards against the Steelers and 256 against the Bills.  That has taken a lot of the pressure off of Ryan Tannehill.

The Jets have won two straight as well after starting the season 1-5.  But those two wins have come against the Ravens, who have lost four straight, and the Browns, who are 0-8 this season.  The Jets are a tired team right now because they haven’t had their bye yet.

That fatigue has really started to show up in the injury department as well.  They are already without Eric Decker, but several key players are questionable or expected to miss this game.  LB Darron Lee and C Nick Mangold are doubtful, while DE Muhammad Wilkerson, T Ryan Clady and T Breno Giacomini are questionable.

The Jets are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games vs. excellent rushing teams who average 5 or more yards per carry this season.  The Dolphins actually rank 3rd in the NFL in yards per play differential.  They gain 6.1 yards per play on offense and give up 5.4 yards per play on defense.  The Jets rank 28th in that same category, averaging 5.3 yards per play on offense and giving up 5.8 per play on defense.  Bet the Dolphins Sunday.

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Tony George betting the Titans +4 over the Chargers in Week 9: November 6th 2016

TITANS VS. CHARGERS WEEK 9 PICKTennessee Titans vs. San Diego Chargers
Week 9 NFL Pick: Titans +4 (November 6th 2016)
CLICK HERE FOR TONY GEORGE’S EXPERT NFL PICKS

Wow this looks like a layup taking the Chargers at home at less than a TD.  Not so fast my friends, Tennessee ranked better on overall offense and defense than the Chargers, check it out!  I like the running game of Tennessee here to control the pace of this game.  Of course I am not sold on any type of aerial attack of Marcus Mariota trading stats with Philip Rivers, but the Chargers are beat up at WR this week, and their running game with Gordon is barely recognizable,

The Charger defense is average at best and neither head coach is a good head coach, and in fact Mike McCoy is in a race with Gus Bradley of Jacksonville on who is getting fired first this year as an NFL head coach. Did I mention the Titans won SU on the road as dogs at Miami and Detroit and lost by 7 to Houston on the road in a game they could have won.  I have the better coach, better RB, Better defense getting points more than the crucial fall number of 3 here and the public hitting the Chargers as well, who are still licking their wounds off a very physical game against Denver last week in a loss, and a grueling OT game two weeks before that was another physical endurance game against Atlanta in an OT road win.

Philip Rivers is the best QB here no doubt, but this is not a strong home field advantage and tennessee is a team that gives you 4 full quarters of football and RB DeMarco Murray playing like the best RB in the NFL, and I see them giving him the rock today and keeping the score more than respectable.  Tennessee’s biggest loss was by 9 points against Minnesota earlier this year, in a game they were leading for 3 quarters, I do not see a huge gap between these two teams.
Free Play on the Tennessee Titans +4

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Week 9 NFL Pick: Bet the Denver Broncos +1 over the Oakland Raiders: November 6th 2016

BRONCOS VS. RAIDERSDenver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 9 NFL Pick: Broncos +1 (November 6th 2016)
CLICK HERE FOR JEFF HOCHMAN’S EXPERT NFL PICKS

Jeff (JH-Sportsline) is 18-6 ATS in the NFL so far this season after finishing No. 2 in 2014. Don’t miss Jeff’s NFL Sunday package which will be posted sometime on Friday. I love fading NFL teams after any type of record-setting performance. The Raiders had two with Derek Carr’s record-setting passing and all those miscues. The public has been pounding the Raiders based on the fact they will play a much cleaner game than last week’s 23 penalty performance. The Raiders have been a public team with bettors in Nevada as they anticipate a move to to Las Vegas. I’m not buying it! The sportsbooks hung this line at Denver -2.5 and was quickly bet down to a pick em. As you can see, Denver is now a 1-point underdog at a couple of books.

This will be the third straight game that Denver will start a different QB against Oakland. That’s a slight advantage for the Broncos. Peyton Manning started last October and than Brock Osweiler replaced Manning as the starter in the second meeting last December.  Sure, the Raiders have tape on Trevor Siemian, but playing against him is another story. He can run which should help against a Raiders’ defense that is ranked No. 25 in points against. The Broncos’ defense is allowing a league-best 63.6 QB rating against, while the Raiders’ defense has allowed QB’s to post a 94.7 QB rating so far this season. That’s a big number for a team that has won six of their eight games.

This will be a classic NFL game where you have a top-ranked offense (Oakland) going up against a Top-ranked defense (Denver). Oakland’s offense is ranked No. 4, while the Broncos check in at No. 21 according to Football Outsiders. The Broncos’ defense is ranked No. 2, while the Raiders’ stop unit is ranked No. 28 by Football Outsiders. DeMarcus Ware returns to the lineup and when he starts a game along with Von Miller, Denver has gone 14-5 SU in the past 19 games. The Visitor is 14-0 ATS in Oakland games of late. The Raiders are just 7-7 SU in predicted close games (when the line is +3 to -3), while the Broncos are an impressive 10-3 SU. Take the road dog as the Raiders’ magic will come to an end!

Bears vs. Chargers Monday Night Football Point Spread & Over-Under Pick: November 9th 2015

BEARS VS. CHARGERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PICKChicago Bears vs. San Diego Chargers – November 9th 2015
Courtesy of Touthouse.com

Point Spread: The San Diego Chargers are a 4.5 point favorite over the Chicago Bears for today’s Monday Night Football matchup. The over/under betting total is currently set at 49 points.

Time/Location/Weather: This game is set to kick off at 8:30pm ET on Monday, November 9th 2015 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. The forecast is for mostly cloudy conditions with a Northwest wind of 9-14mph and a game time temperature of 65 degrees.

Records: The Bears are 2-5 straight-up this season and 3-4 against-the-spread. They have a 3-4 over/under record this year. The Chargers are 2-6 straight-up and 3-4 against-the-spread with an over/under betting record in 2015 of 4-4.

Heath Mac is going with the OVER in this game. Click here for his Bears vs. Chargers prediction.

Public Perception: As of 9:30am ET, 70% of the betting public is betting on the San Diego Chargers to cover the point spread as a favorite over the Chicago Bears.

Recent Meetings: These two teams have only met three times in the last 12 years. The last meeting was in 2011 with a Chicago Bears win by a score of 31-20 at a 3.5 point favorite and an over/under of 45 points. Prior to that meeting, they played in ’07. San Diego was victorious in that game by a score of 14-3 as a 7 point favorite. The over/under in that game was 43 points.

Notable Betting Trends: San Diego is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 game played on their home turf and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when they play a team with a losing road record (Bears). The Chicago Bears are 5-2 against-the-spread vs. a squad with a losing record. The Under is 4-1 in Chicago’s last 5 games overall. The under is 10-2 in San Diego’s last 12 games after allowing the opposing team to put up more than 250 yards in their previous game.

Side ATS Pick: Chicago Bears +4.5
Over-Under Pick: Under 49 points

Cowboys vs. Eagles Sunday Night NFL Point Spread & Betting Pick: November 8th 2015

COWBOYS VS. EAGLES SUNDAY NIGHT POINT SPREADDallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles – November 8th 2015
Courtesy of Touthouse.com

Point Spread: The Philadelphia Eagles are a 3 point favorite against the Dallas Cowboys with the over/under betting total set at 43.5 points.

Time/Location/Weather: This game is set to begin at 8:30pm ET on Sunday, November 8th 2015 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The forecast is for clear conditions with a East wind of 2-7mph and a game time temperature of 57 degrees.

Records: The Eagles are 3-4 SU and 3-4 ATS this season with an over/under record of 1-6. The Cowboys are 2-5 SU and 2-5 ATS this seaoson with an over/under record of 3-4.

Check out why Tony George is betting the Philadelphia Eagles tonight.

Public Perception: As of 5pm ET, 61% of the public is betting that the Cowboys will cover the point spread agains the Eagles.

Recent Meetings: These two teams played earlier this year. Dallas was victorious by a score of 20-10. Philadelphia was a 7 point favorite in that game and the total was set at 53.5 points. Prior to that meeting, Dallas and Philly matched up in the 2015 season. Philadelphia was a 3.5 point favorite and the over/under in that game was 54.5. The final score was Dallas 38 Philadelphia 27.

Notable Betting Trends: Dallas is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Under is 4-0 in the Eagles last 4 road games and 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. The Road team in this matchup is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings.

Side Pick: Philadephia -3
Over-Under Pick: Under 43.5

Browns vs. Bengals Over-Under Point Spread Pick for November 5th 2015

BROWNS VS. BENGALS OVER UNDER PICKCleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals – November 5th 2015
Courtesy of Touthouse.com

Point Spread: The Cincinnati Bengals are a 12 point favorite over the Cleveland Browns and the games over/under betting total is 45 points.

Time/Location/Weather: This game is set to start at 8:25pm ET at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Forecast is for cloudy conditions with a slight chance of showers, a South wind of 8-13mph and a game time temperature of 67 degrees.

Records: The Bengals are 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS this season with a 5-2 over/under record. The Browns are 2-6 SU and 4-4 ATS this year with a 7-1 over/under record

Click here for Sam Martin’s side pick for the Browns vs. Bengals game tonight.

Public Perception: As of 6:18pm ET, 82% of the betting public is wagering that the Bengals will cover the point spread over the Browns.

Recent Meetings: These two teams played twice last year. Cleveland won the first matchup 24-3 as a 6.5 point underdog. The total in that game was 45.5. The Bengals shut out the Browns in the second game last season by a a score of 30-0. They were a 2.5 point dog and the over/under was 44 in that game.

Notable Betting Trends: The over is 7-1 in the Bengals last 8 home games when they play a team with a losing record. The over is 7-1 in the Browns last 8 games overall. The Bengals are 6-0-1 in their last 7 games overall.

Side ATS Pick: No Opinion
Over-Under Pick: Over 45.5 points