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Posts Tagged ‘Week 9 NFL Picks’

Oakland vs. Miami Week 9 NFL Spread Pick from Matt Fargo: November 5th 2017

Oakland Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins
Week 9 NFL Point Spread Pick: Oakland -3 (November 5th 2017)
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The Dolphins are coming off an embarrassing 40-0 loss last Thursday against Baltimore and look to regroup in another nationally televised game. Matt Moore was awful, and Jay Cutler will be back for the Dolphins at quarterback and even with him, the offense has been inconsistent at best in Miami as it is averaging 13.1 ppg which is dead last in the NFL. Compounding matters is that the Dolphins lost 86 percent of their rushing production after trading Jay Ajayi to the Eagles which hurts the offense that much more and will need extra time to adjust. The Dolphins have been outgained in six of seven games, so their 4-3 record is skewed. This is a big game for the Raiders which are now 3-5 after losing in Buffalo last week. They are three games behind the Chiefs in the AFC West, but they do have a game in hand from the win two weeks ago and it is just a game and a half out of the final Wild Card spot which is wide open. It has been a disappointing season for Oakland after its 12-4 season from last year and the issue is in the turnovers category. The Raiders are the first team in NFL history to fail to intercept a pass in the first eight games of the season and they have just five takeaways compared with 11 giveaways, a big turnaround from a year ago when they had a plus-7 turnover margin at the midway point. The return of Marshawn Lynch is a positive as Oakland rushed for just 54 yards on 14 carries without him last week and on the season, he has 266 yards on 72 carries. Going back, the Dolphins are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Play (471) Oakland Raiders.

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Week 9 NFL Pick: Rams vs. Giants Over-Under Prediction from AAA Sports: November 5th 2017

Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Giants
Week 9 NFL Over-Under Pick: Under 43.5 (November 5th 2017)
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Both teams come out of their bye. The Rams most recently throttled the Cardinals 33-0, while the Giants were last destroyed 24-7 at the hands of the Seahawks. Note that when these teams played last year, it was New York that scored the low-scoring 17-10 victory. Rams’ QB Jared Goff was 22 of 37 for 235 yards, one TD and one INT in that one, while RB Todd Gurley posted 106 rushing yards on 22 carries. The Rams looked phenomenal on defense, holding Arizona to 196 total yards, including making two INT’s. And that doesn’t bode well for Eli Manning and the one-dimensional Giants’ offense which is without many key pieces, including star WR’s Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall.

New York’s defense looked terrible last week, but for the most part the unit has been a strength of the team this year. Note that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 15 as a favorite, while New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 16 against clubs with winning records. The only way Manning will have any room to operate this afternoon is if the Giants’ run game is established. With each side putting added emphasis on the rush attack while on offense, we’re going to recommend a second look at the UNDER in this one.

Jets vs. Dolphins Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction from Jack Jones: November 6th 2016

JETS VS. DOLPHINSNew York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins
Week 9 Betting Prediction: Dolphins -4 (November 6th 2016)
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The Miami Dolphins have saved their season with their two most dominant performances of the season coming in.  Now they’ve had a bye week to rest and to build off of the momentum they have gained going into their bye.  I look for them to come out very sharp today against the hapless New York Jets.

It started with a 30-15 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers three weeks ago.  The Dolphins outgained the Steelers by 187 yards in that contest.  Then they came back and beat the Buffalo Bills the following week in a game that was a much bigger blowout than the 28-25 final would indicate.  They outgained the Bills by 187 yards.

A big reason for their resurgence is that they have had their starting five offensive linemen in the lineup over the past two games, which was the first two times all season.  As a result, they’ve come out and run the football with a ton of success.  They rushed for 222 yards against the Steelers and 256 against the Bills.  That has taken a lot of the pressure off of Ryan Tannehill.

The Jets have won two straight as well after starting the season 1-5.  But those two wins have come against the Ravens, who have lost four straight, and the Browns, who are 0-8 this season.  The Jets are a tired team right now because they haven’t had their bye yet.

That fatigue has really started to show up in the injury department as well.  They are already without Eric Decker, but several key players are questionable or expected to miss this game.  LB Darron Lee and C Nick Mangold are doubtful, while DE Muhammad Wilkerson, T Ryan Clady and T Breno Giacomini are questionable.

The Jets are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games vs. excellent rushing teams who average 5 or more yards per carry this season.  The Dolphins actually rank 3rd in the NFL in yards per play differential.  They gain 6.1 yards per play on offense and give up 5.4 yards per play on defense.  The Jets rank 28th in that same category, averaging 5.3 yards per play on offense and giving up 5.8 per play on defense.  Bet the Dolphins Sunday.

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Tony George betting the Titans +4 over the Chargers in Week 9: November 6th 2016

TITANS VS. CHARGERS WEEK 9 PICKTennessee Titans vs. San Diego Chargers
Week 9 NFL Pick: Titans +4 (November 6th 2016)
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Wow this looks like a layup taking the Chargers at home at less than a TD.  Not so fast my friends, Tennessee ranked better on overall offense and defense than the Chargers, check it out!  I like the running game of Tennessee here to control the pace of this game.  Of course I am not sold on any type of aerial attack of Marcus Mariota trading stats with Philip Rivers, but the Chargers are beat up at WR this week, and their running game with Gordon is barely recognizable,

The Charger defense is average at best and neither head coach is a good head coach, and in fact Mike McCoy is in a race with Gus Bradley of Jacksonville on who is getting fired first this year as an NFL head coach. Did I mention the Titans won SU on the road as dogs at Miami and Detroit and lost by 7 to Houston on the road in a game they could have won.  I have the better coach, better RB, Better defense getting points more than the crucial fall number of 3 here and the public hitting the Chargers as well, who are still licking their wounds off a very physical game against Denver last week in a loss, and a grueling OT game two weeks before that was another physical endurance game against Atlanta in an OT road win.

Philip Rivers is the best QB here no doubt, but this is not a strong home field advantage and tennessee is a team that gives you 4 full quarters of football and RB DeMarco Murray playing like the best RB in the NFL, and I see them giving him the rock today and keeping the score more than respectable.  Tennessee’s biggest loss was by 9 points against Minnesota earlier this year, in a game they were leading for 3 quarters, I do not see a huge gap between these two teams.
Free Play on the Tennessee Titans +4

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Week 9 NFL Pick: Bet the Denver Broncos +1 over the Oakland Raiders: November 6th 2016

BRONCOS VS. RAIDERSDenver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
Week 9 NFL Pick: Broncos +1 (November 6th 2016)
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Jeff (JH-Sportsline) is 18-6 ATS in the NFL so far this season after finishing No. 2 in 2014. Don’t miss Jeff’s NFL Sunday package which will be posted sometime on Friday. I love fading NFL teams after any type of record-setting performance. The Raiders had two with Derek Carr’s record-setting passing and all those miscues. The public has been pounding the Raiders based on the fact they will play a much cleaner game than last week’s 23 penalty performance. The Raiders have been a public team with bettors in Nevada as they anticipate a move to to Las Vegas. I’m not buying it! The sportsbooks hung this line at Denver -2.5 and was quickly bet down to a pick em. As you can see, Denver is now a 1-point underdog at a couple of books.

This will be the third straight game that Denver will start a different QB against Oakland. That’s a slight advantage for the Broncos. Peyton Manning started last October and than Brock Osweiler replaced Manning as the starter in the second meeting last December.  Sure, the Raiders have tape on Trevor Siemian, but playing against him is another story. He can run which should help against a Raiders’ defense that is ranked No. 25 in points against. The Broncos’ defense is allowing a league-best 63.6 QB rating against, while the Raiders’ defense has allowed QB’s to post a 94.7 QB rating so far this season. That’s a big number for a team that has won six of their eight games.

This will be a classic NFL game where you have a top-ranked offense (Oakland) going up against a Top-ranked defense (Denver). Oakland’s offense is ranked No. 4, while the Broncos check in at No. 21 according to Football Outsiders. The Broncos’ defense is ranked No. 2, while the Raiders’ stop unit is ranked No. 28 by Football Outsiders. DeMarcus Ware returns to the lineup and when he starts a game along with Von Miller, Denver has gone 14-5 SU in the past 19 games. The Visitor is 14-0 ATS in Oakland games of late. The Raiders are just 7-7 SU in predicted close games (when the line is +3 to -3), while the Broncos are an impressive 10-3 SU. Take the road dog as the Raiders’ magic will come to an end!

Bears vs. Chargers Monday Night Football Point Spread & Over-Under Pick: November 9th 2015

BEARS VS. CHARGERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PICKChicago Bears vs. San Diego Chargers – November 9th 2015
Courtesy of Touthouse.com

Point Spread: The San Diego Chargers are a 4.5 point favorite over the Chicago Bears for today’s Monday Night Football matchup. The over/under betting total is currently set at 49 points.

Time/Location/Weather: This game is set to kick off at 8:30pm ET on Monday, November 9th 2015 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. The forecast is for mostly cloudy conditions with a Northwest wind of 9-14mph and a game time temperature of 65 degrees.

Records: The Bears are 2-5 straight-up this season and 3-4 against-the-spread. They have a 3-4 over/under record this year. The Chargers are 2-6 straight-up and 3-4 against-the-spread with an over/under betting record in 2015 of 4-4.

Heath Mac is going with the OVER in this game. Click here for his Bears vs. Chargers prediction.

Public Perception: As of 9:30am ET, 70% of the betting public is betting on the San Diego Chargers to cover the point spread as a favorite over the Chicago Bears.

Recent Meetings: These two teams have only met three times in the last 12 years. The last meeting was in 2011 with a Chicago Bears win by a score of 31-20 at a 3.5 point favorite and an over/under of 45 points. Prior to that meeting, they played in ’07. San Diego was victorious in that game by a score of 14-3 as a 7 point favorite. The over/under in that game was 43 points.

Notable Betting Trends: San Diego is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 game played on their home turf and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when they play a team with a losing road record (Bears). The Chicago Bears are 5-2 against-the-spread vs. a squad with a losing record. The Under is 4-1 in Chicago’s last 5 games overall. The under is 10-2 in San Diego’s last 12 games after allowing the opposing team to put up more than 250 yards in their previous game.

Side ATS Pick: Chicago Bears +4.5
Over-Under Pick: Under 49 points