New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins
Week 9 Betting Prediction: Dolphins -4 (November 6th 2016)
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The Miami Dolphins have saved their season with their two most dominant performances of the season coming in. Now they’ve had a bye week to rest and to build off of the momentum they have gained going into their bye. I look for them to come out very sharp today against the hapless New York Jets.
It started with a 30-15 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers three weeks ago. The Dolphins outgained the Steelers by 187 yards in that contest. Then they came back and beat the Buffalo Bills the following week in a game that was a much bigger blowout than the 28-25 final would indicate. They outgained the Bills by 187 yards.
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A big reason for their resurgence is that they have had their starting five offensive linemen in the lineup over the past two games, which was the first two times all season. As a result, they’ve come out and run the football with a ton of success. They rushed for 222 yards against the Steelers and 256 against the Bills. That has taken a lot of the pressure off of Ryan Tannehill.
The Jets have won two straight as well after starting the season 1-5. But those two wins have come against the Ravens, who have lost four straight, and the Browns, who are 0-8 this season. The Jets are a tired team right now because they haven’t had their bye yet.
That fatigue has really started to show up in the injury department as well. They are already without Eric Decker, but several key players are questionable or expected to miss this game. LB Darron Lee and C Nick Mangold are doubtful, while DE Muhammad Wilkerson, T Ryan Clady and T Breno Giacomini are questionable.
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The Jets are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games vs. excellent rushing teams who average 5 or more yards per carry this season. The Dolphins actually rank 3rd in the NFL in yards per play differential. They gain 6.1 yards per play on offense and give up 5.4 yards per play on defense. The Jets rank 28th in that same category, averaging 5.3 yards per play on offense and giving up 5.8 per play on defense. Bet the Dolphins Sunday.
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