Syracuse vs. North Carolina Basketball Spread Pick from Jimmy Boyd: February 29th 2016
Syracuse vs. North Carolina
College Basketball Point Spread Pick: Syracuse +13.5 (February 29th 2016)
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North Carolina comes into this game off a 74-79 loss at Virginia on Saturday. Most are going to expect the Tar Heels to rebound in a big way, as this will be their final home game of the season. I believe the oddsmakers have over-adjusted this line because of that and thus created big time value on the Orange.
Syracuse was able to put an end to a two-game skid with a 75-66 home win over NC State on Saturday and are a very respectable 9-3 over their last 12 games. I don’t think there’s any question the Orange are going to come out extremely motivated against an elite team like the Tar Heels. Syracuse will also be out for revenge from a 11-point home loss back on 1/9.
The key here is that this is a tough spot for the Tar Heels. They invested a lot into that game against Virginia and regardless of this being their final home game, they are going to have a difficult time not looking ahead to Saturday’s showdown at Duke, who they just recently lost to at home 73-74.
North Carolina is just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 conference home games, and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games overall against a team with a winning record. Tar Heels are also just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 following a SU loss and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 after 15+ games against a strong defensive team that is holding opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Take the points!
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