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Posts Tagged ‘Atlanta Braves’

Braves vs. Rockies MLB Odds & Pick from Jack Jones: August 14th 2017

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies
MLB Pick: Rockies -131 odds (August 14th 2017)

The Colorado Rockies return home Monday in need of a victory after getting swept by the Marlins in Miami over the weekend.  The Rockies are 35-21 at home this season, hitting .302 and scoring 6.2 runs per game.

The Braves are just 5-15 in their last 20 games overall with nothing but pride to play for down the stretch.  Julio Teheran gets the ball and is 7-10 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.420 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in his last three starts.

Chad Bettis will be making his first start of the season for the Rockies.  Bettis has gone 3-1 with a 3.99 ERA in five career starts against Atlanta, and the Rockies are 4-1 in those five games.  The Rockies will be inspired by Bettis, who underwent chemotherapy on March 20, enduring 21 infusions in a nine-week period.

The Braves are 1-7 in their last eight road games.  The Rockies are 20-8 in their last 28 home games, including 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Colorado is 13-1 in Bettis’ last 14 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Rockies Monday.

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Dodgers vs. Braves Over-Under Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: August 3rd 2017

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
MLB Over-Under Pick: Over 8.5 runs -110 odds (August 3rd 2017)

The set-up: Los Angeles Dodgers lost 5-3 at San Diego on July 2 but have gone 20-3 since. Amazingly, all three losses have come at the hands of the 49-57 Atlanta Braves. The Dodgers lost back-to-back home games to the Braves on July 20 and 21, then lost last night in Atlanta. Tyler Flowers’ eighth-inning pinch-hit HR powered Atlanta to a 5-3 victory Wednesday, snapping the Dodgers’ major-league record streak of 53 consecutive games won when leading at any point. The victory snapped Atlanta’s six-game losing streak and was just the Braves’ second win in 11 games since beating LA in those back-to-back games at Dodger Stadium July 20-21. The rubber match of this three-game series goes Thursday.

The pitching matchup: Alex Wood (12-1 & 2.38 ERA) continues his “career season” when he takes the mound for LA and rookie Sean Newcomb (1-5 & 4.50 ERA) gets the nod for Atlanta. The Braves handed Wood his first loss of the season on July 21 (allowed nine runs, seven earned) but he was able to get the win last Friday over the Giants, despite allowing four runs on eight hits in seven innings. Wood made his major-league debut with the Braves in 2013, going 21-20 in 86 games with Atlanta before being traded to the Dodgers in 2015. In two career starts against the Braves, Wood is 0-2 with an ugly 10.38 ERA. Newcomb has pitched well in his past two starts after struggling in the first part of July, getting no-decisions against the Dodgers and Philadelphia while allowing only four ERs over 11 innings (3.27 ERA). Newcomb will be making his 10th major-league start and has surrendered three ERs or lees in six of his previous nine.

The pick: Wood was tagged for a career-high nine runs (seven earned) in 4 2/3 innings against Atlanta in that 12-3 defeat back on July 21, which remains his only setback of the season. Excluding that outing, Wood has thrown 98 1/3 innings, with 110 strikeouts, 27 walks and a 0.99 WHIP. The opposition is batting .196 against Wood. However, he was hardly “extra sharp” in his follow up start from that loss to Atlanta, allowing four runs on eight hits in seven innings. Is hisseason starting to prove the adage, “regression to the mean?” As for Newcomb, his road ERA (3.43) is almost two full runs higher than his home ERA (5.33). Take the Over.

Cubs vs. Braves Over-Under Betting Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: July 17th 2017

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
MLB Over-Under Pick: Over 9 runs -110 odds (July 17th 2017)

The set-up: The defending champs returned from the All Star break and swept the Orioles in three games at Baltimore, scoring 27 runs in the three games while also holding Baltimore to just three runs on Saturday and Sunday after allowing eight runs in a one-run win on Friday. The sweep allowed the Cubs to climb over .500 (46-45) but the Brewers won two of three over the weekend and still own a 4 1/2 game lead on the defending champs in the NL Central. The Cubs head to Atlanta to open a three-game series with the Braves, who are also coming off a sweep by winning three games at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Atlanta sits at 45-45 but in the NL East, trail the Nats by 9 1/2 games.

The pitching matchup: Jon Lester (5-6, 4.25 ERA) gets the nod for the Cubs and Julio Teheran (7-6 & 4.79 ERA) for the Braves. Lester has certainly not looked like the same pitcher who won 19 games a season ago in the first half of the 2017 season and in fact, was pummeled for 10 runs (four earned) in just two-thirds of an inning in his final start of the first half on July 9. He has allowed nine ERs in 5 2/3 innings across two July starts, giving him .a 14.29 ERA. Lester is 4-2 in seven career starts (teams are 5-2) against Atlanta, including going 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two outings last season with two walks and 17 strikeouts over 14 innings. Teheran ended an up-and-down first half with two strong road starts to begin July, allowing two runs on seven hits in 13 1/3 innings in a no-decision against Oakland and a victory against Washington (1.35 ERA). However, Teheran posted a 6.35 ERA in June. He is 2-0 with a 3.11 ERA in six career starts against Chicago (Braves are 6-0).

The pick: It’s hard to completely overlook Teheran’s strong career numbers against the Cubs but those Chicago bats “got going” over the weekend. There’s more. Teheran has not found SunTrust Park to his liking, as in nine home starts in 2017, he owns a 7.58 ERA and 1.64 WHIP with seven of the nine going over. That’s the play.