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Posts Tagged ‘Boise State Broncos’

BYU Cougars vs. Boise State Broncos Point Spread Pick from Jack Jones: October 20th 2016

BYU VS. BOISE STATE BETTINGBYU Cougars vs. Boise State Broncos
Point Spread Pick: Boise State -6.5 points (October 20th 2016)

The BYU Cougars have played a gauntlet of a schedule to open the season. This will be their eighth consecutive week with a game, and they have to be about on fumes by now. They have faced the likes of Arizona, Utah, UCLA, WVU, Toledo, Michigan State and Mississippi State. No team has played a tougher slate to this point, and they desperately need a bye week.

Boise State is legitimately one of the best group of 5 teams in the country with its 6-0 start. And for the most part, the Broncos have made easy work of their opponents. The exception was a 31-28 win over Washington State in which they were actually outgained. But that win looks a lot better now with Washington State contending for a Pac 12 title.

I believe Boise State’s narrow 28-23 win over Colorado State last week is keeping this line lower than it should be. But that was a 28-3 game with five minutes to play. The Rams somehow scored three touchdowns in a matter of less than two minutes to make the final score closer than it really was.

The Broncos have outgained five of their six opponents and have put up impressive numbers this season. They are outscoring foes by 16.0 points per game and outgaining them by 96 yards per game. Their offense is averaging 68 yards per game and 1.2 yards per play more than their opponents give up on average, and their defense is giving up 9.3 points and 44 yards per game less than their opponents average.

BYU has actually been outgained in four of its seven games this season. The offense is only averaging 0.1 yards per play more than their opponents allow, and their defense is only giving up 0.3 yards per play less than their opponents average on offense.

Home-field advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is a perfect 5-0 SU in the past five meetings, four of which have come in the last four seasons. The Broncos won their last home meeting with the Cougars by a final of 55-30 in 2014 as identical 6.5-point favorites. They outgained BYU by 315 total yards in that victory.

Boise State is 35-14 ATS in its last 49 games off three straight wins against conference opponents. The Broncos are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games after forcing one or fewer turnovers in two consecutive games. The Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet Boise State Thursday.

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Boise State vs. San Jose State Football Point Spread & Prediction: November 27th 2015

Dave Price - College Football PickBoise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartans
Betting Prediction: San Jose State +7.5 points (November 27th 2015)

Boise State is only a 7.5-point road favorite over San Jose State due to its reputation alone. But these aren’t the same Broncos of years’ past. They have lost two straight outright at home as double-digits favorites, and they’re only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall, and at 5-6, they need one more win to become bowl eligible. Their last two losses have come by a combined four points. San Jose State actually ranks 13 spots higher than Boise State in offensive efficiency. The defense has held its own, too, giving up 357.5 yards per game and 5.5 per play. Boise State has nothing to play for here as it has been eliminated from MWC title contention. The Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games off two consecutive games where they committed one or fewer turnovers. Take San Jose State.

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Hawaii vs. Boise State Football Betting Pick from Dave Price: October 3rd 2015

Dave Price - College Football PickHawaii vs. Boise State
Football Betting Pick: Hawaii +25 (October 3rd 2015)

This line has been massively inflated tonight between Boise State and Hawaii. Boise State is coming off two straight blowout wins over Idaho State (52-0) and Virginia (56-14) while covering the spread in both games. Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in two straight games, and this perfect storm has led to the inflation of this line. But I’ve been impressed with both of Hawaii’s efforts on the road this season against Ohio State and Wisconsin. Yes, Hawaii was shut out 38-0 and 28-0, respectively, but its defense actually held its own in both games. IN fact, the Warriors limited the high-powered Buckeyes to only 363 yards of total offense. So the Warriors are battle-tested having played two of the better teams in the country, and this will actually be their easiest road test of the season to this point against Boise State. The Broncos have played a softer schedule, and they did not look good against the two best teams they played in Washington and BYU. They only beat Washington 16-13 at home as 13-point favorites, and lost at BYU 24-35 as 2-point favorites. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Take Hawaii.

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