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Posts Tagged ‘Boise State Broncos’

Boise State vs. San Diego State Point Spread Pick from Mark Franco: October 14th 2017

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs
College Football Point Spread Pick: San Diego State -7 (October 14th 2017)
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Off to its best start since 1975 and armed with its highest ranking since 1978, unbeaten San Diego State has its sights set on a New Year’s Six bowl. The 18th-ranked Aztecs face perhaps their biggest obstacle in that regard when they host Boise State in Mountain West play on Saturday night.

The Aztecs, led by Heisman Trophy contender Rashaad Penny, have won back-to-back Mountain West championships, but head coach Rocky Long says most people east of the Rocky Mountains “know who Boise State is and they don’t know who the rest of us are. … Those people associate our league with Boise because of history.” Never mind, as Long is quick to point out, that the Broncos, also known for their home blue “Smurf Turf”, have reached the Mountain West title game just once in the past four years and have lost five league games over the last two years.

Broncos are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aztecs are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

BYU Cougars vs. Boise State Broncos Point Spread Pick from Jack Jones: October 20th 2016

BYU VS. BOISE STATE BETTINGBYU Cougars vs. Boise State Broncos
Point Spread Pick: Boise State -6.5 points (October 20th 2016)
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The BYU Cougars have played a gauntlet of a schedule to open the season. This will be their eighth consecutive week with a game, and they have to be about on fumes by now. They have faced the likes of Arizona, Utah, UCLA, WVU, Toledo, Michigan State and Mississippi State. No team has played a tougher slate to this point, and they desperately need a bye week.

Boise State is legitimately one of the best group of 5 teams in the country with its 6-0 start. And for the most part, the Broncos have made easy work of their opponents. The exception was a 31-28 win over Washington State in which they were actually outgained. But that win looks a lot better now with Washington State contending for a Pac 12 title.

I believe Boise State’s narrow 28-23 win over Colorado State last week is keeping this line lower than it should be. But that was a 28-3 game with five minutes to play. The Rams somehow scored three touchdowns in a matter of less than two minutes to make the final score closer than it really was.

The Broncos have outgained five of their six opponents and have put up impressive numbers this season. They are outscoring foes by 16.0 points per game and outgaining them by 96 yards per game. Their offense is averaging 68 yards per game and 1.2 yards per play more than their opponents give up on average, and their defense is giving up 9.3 points and 44 yards per game less than their opponents average.

BYU has actually been outgained in four of its seven games this season. The offense is only averaging 0.1 yards per play more than their opponents allow, and their defense is only giving up 0.3 yards per play less than their opponents average on offense.

Home-field advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is a perfect 5-0 SU in the past five meetings, four of which have come in the last four seasons. The Broncos won their last home meeting with the Cougars by a final of 55-30 in 2014 as identical 6.5-point favorites. They outgained BYU by 315 total yards in that victory.

Boise State is 35-14 ATS in its last 49 games off three straight wins against conference opponents. The Broncos are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games after forcing one or fewer turnovers in two consecutive games. The Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet Boise State Thursday.

Get more BYU Cougars and Boise State Broncos predictions from Jack Jones each week at Touthouse.com and Handicapperspicks.com

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Boise State vs. San Jose State Football Point Spread & Prediction: November 27th 2015

Dave Price - College Football PickBoise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartans
Betting Prediction: San Jose State +7.5 points (November 27th 2015)
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Boise State is only a 7.5-point road favorite over San Jose State due to its reputation alone. But these aren’t the same Broncos of years’ past. They have lost two straight outright at home as double-digits favorites, and they’re only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall, and at 5-6, they need one more win to become bowl eligible. Their last two losses have come by a combined four points. San Jose State actually ranks 13 spots higher than Boise State in offensive efficiency. The defense has held its own, too, giving up 357.5 yards per game and 5.5 per play. Boise State has nothing to play for here as it has been eliminated from MWC title contention. The Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games off two consecutive games where they committed one or fewer turnovers. Take San Jose State.

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