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Posts Tagged ‘Boston Red Sox’

Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds & Pick from Larry Ness: May 17th 2017

Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
MLB Betting Pick: Boston -110 odds (May 17th 2017)

Mookie Betts was the AL Player of the Week last week and opened the new week by homering and driving in two runs in Boston’s 6-3 victory on Tuesday at St. Louis. Betts batted .375 with three HRs and 11 RBI in six games last week and looks to lead the Red Sox to a two-sweep of their IL series with the Cardinals on Wednesday. Boston is just 20-18 on the season overall (four games back in the AL East), while the Cards fell to 2-2 on their eight-game homestand, leaving them at 21-16 but a half-game ahead of the Brewers for the top spot in the NL Central.

Tonight’s pitching matchup features Rick Porcello (2-5, 4.01 ERA) for Boston and Mike Leake (4-2, 1.94 ERA) for St Louis. Porcello has lost five of his last six starts, including an outing against Tampa Bay on Friday in which he yielded five runs (three earned) on nine hits over six innings. The reigning American League Cy Young Award winner is surely not having the kind of seson Boston had expected but I’ll note that he has given up three earned runs or less in four of his five losses this season. Porcello has made only two career starts against St Louis, going 1-1 with a solid 2.13 ERA.

Leake suffered his first loss in five decisions on Friday, despite allowing only two runs in six innings, although he matched a season high with three walks. Leake has only faced  Boston twice in his career and is 0-1 with a 5.25 ERA (teams are 0-2).

Bottom line is, Leake is no more than a journeyman pitcher who has so far in 2017, pitched over his head. Porcello is less than one-year removed from winning the Cy Young award and has pitched better in 2017 than his record shows. Ill back the Red Sox.

Cubs vs. Red Sox MLB Betting Odds & Prediction from Will Rogers: April 28th 2017

Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox
MLB Betting Prediction: Boston +112 odds (April 28th 2017)

The set-up: It’s quite an Interleague series this weekend when the Chicago Cubs take on the Boston Red Sox for a three-game series at Fenway Park. It marks a homecoming for Cubs president of baseball operations Theo Epstein, who guided the Red Sox to an elusive World Series crown after a long drought in 2004, which began a run of three titles in 10 years. Epstein then did the same for Chicago last season, ending 108 years of agony for Cubs fans by winning the World Series in 2016. The 12-9 Cubs aren’t dominating but they are back atop the NL Central, while the Red Sox, last year’s AL East champ, are a modest 11-10 and third in the competitive American League East. The Cubs have won six of their last eight and bring an 8-4 road record into Fenway. Meanwhile, after losing back-to-back games to the-hated Yankees (3-1 & 3-0), Boston has dropped four of five.

The pitching matchup: Jake Arrieta (3-0 & 3.65 ERA) takes the mound for the Cubs and looks to remain unbeaten in 2017, opposed by Boston’s Drew Pomeranz (1-1, 4.60 ERA). Arrieta has won three of his first four starts this season but he has needed strong run support to offset somewhat shaky performances in his last two outings. He allowed five runs (four earned) over six innings in a 12-8 win at Cincinnati on Saturday, surrendering two HRs for the second straight start. Arrieta is 1-3 with a 4.66 ERA in seven games (six starts) against the Red Sox but he hasn’t faced them since 2014. Pomeranz has recorded just one quality start in his first three outings of the season and that came in his season debut. However, Pomeranz is 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA in three starts against the Cubs, including six shutout innings last season.

The pick: Boston has scored just 13 runs over the past seven games, including getting shut out three times in that span. However, the Boston bats can’t remain silent forever and as noted, Arrieta has been far from sharp his last two outings. Also, Pomeranz just doesn’t own a 1.13 ERA in three career starts against the Cubs, he’s held them to a .148 opponents’ batting average. Boston wins in Fenway.

Orioles vs. Red Sox MLB Betting Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: April 12th 2017

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
MLB Betting Pick: Boston -134 odds (April 12th 2017)

The set-up: Boston opened the season with two wins over the Pirates in Fenway. A return to Fenway helped last night, as the Red Sox beat the Orioles 8-1 in the first of a short two-game series with Baltimore. The loss was Baltimore’s second in a row, after a 4-0 start to the season. A worry has to be Baltimore’s bullpen. It surrendered five runs over the last two innings to blow a 3-2 lead in Sunday’s home setback against the New York Yankees, then gave up three runs in both the seventh and eighth innings on Tuesday.

The pitching matchup: Ubaldo Jimenez (0-0 & 10.38 ERA) gets the nod for Baltimore and knuckkleballer Steven Wright (0-0 & 5.40 ERA) for Boston. Jimenez struggled through a chilly night last Friday but escaped with a no-decision versus the New York Yankees after giving up five runs and seven hits (including two HRs) over 4 1/3 innings. He has struggled more against Boston than any other American League team over his career, going 2-7 with a 6.63 ERA in 15 starts (teams are 6-9), including 0-3 with a 5.94 ERA in five starts last year. Wright did factor in the decision Friday at Detroit, permitting four runs on seven hits and three walks in 6 2/3 innings. A worry is that posted a 4.05 ERA at Fenway Park last year, compared to a 2.09 road ERA. He was hammered over his final three starts at home, going 0-1 with a 10.44 ERA. However, he was he exceptional against the Orioles last season, winning both of his starts while posting a 2.76 ERA and holding them to a .175 average.

The pick: Jimenez has ‘ugly career number against teh Red Sox and the Baltimore bullpen, after working 17 1/3 scoreless innings to begin the season, has surrendered 12 runs (11 earned) over its last five innings (that’s a 19.80 ERA). Boston is 3-0 at home so far in 2017, outscoring opponents 5.33-to-1.33 RPG. Play the Red Sox