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Week 13 NFL Picks: Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears: December 2nd 2012

Week 13 NFL Picks: December 2nd 2012
Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears
Pick: Chicago Bears -3.5
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The Bears are coming off a solid win over the Vikings and they have a 1-game lead over the Packers in the tough NFC North, but they are really banged up. Offensive linemen Lance Louis and Chris Spencer and WR Devin Hester are out with injuries and star RB Matt Forte is a question mark.

Still, they have a great defense and they will be facing a Seahawks’ team that is 6-5, but is coming off a loss and only has 1 road win this season. This season the Seahawks are 7-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-7 and the Bears are 6-5 ATS with an Over/Under record of 6-5.

If Forte cannot go Michael Bush will be the main RB and while he had 60 yards last week against the Vikings when Forte went out he averaged less than 3 yards per carry.

For Seattle Russell Wilson does not have the best WR corps and has a tall task since the Chicago pass D ranks 6th in the league. I just don’t see how Seattle will move the ball. All the Bears emphasis will be on stopping Lynch.

The Bears are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games but I really like them enough on Sunday to cover. The Seahawks have had their number the last couple years but rookie Wilson has never played at Soldier Field in December. Bears win with strong defense and Cutler/Marshall will have a solid outing even against Browner/Sherman (Seattle’s Pro Bowl DB’s)

Week 5 NFL Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: October 7th 2012

Week 5 NFL Picks: October 7th 2012
Chicago Bears vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Pick: Chicago Bears -5.5
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Jacksonville has the worst offense in the NFL. Blaine Gabbert has been sacked 12 times this season. The QB tends to hold on to the ball too long. This combined with the fact that Maurice Jones-Drew has been held under 100 YR in three of the four games this season. WR, Laurent Robinson is most likely out due to a concussion. The rest of the Jaguars receiving corps do not match up well against a Bears secondary and overall “D” that held a solid Cowboys offense to just 18 points LW. Chicago is steadily improving, combining for 77 points in their L2 outings. QB, Jay Cutler is becoming more confident with each game while the legs of Forte (check status) and Bush have combined for 343 YR and 4 TDs. The tandem will face a Jacksonville run defense that allows 150.3 YPG on the ground. The Bears are 4-1 ATS their L5 games played overall while the Jaguars are 5-16-1 ATS their L22 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Chicago. Thank you.

Week 3 NFL Picks: St. Louis Rams vs. Chicago Bears: September 23rd 2012

Week 3 NFL Picks: September 23rd 2012
St. Louis Rams vs. Chicago Bears
Pick: Chicago Bears -7
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Back home and motivated by a disappointing performance at Green Bay last week, I expect the Bears to take care of business this afternoon. Because they played Thursday night in Week 2, they have had extra preparation time for this contest. That time provides them with an added edge here.

The Rams can’t be trusted on the road where they are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11. Looking back, they are on a 34-55 ATS slide as road underdogs and have lost these by an average score of 27.8 to 15.2. They won last week but are only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a victory.

There is a good bit of history in our favor too as playing against road underdogs or pickems that scored 30 points or more last game, provided they are matched up against an opponent that scored 3 points or less in the first half of its last game, has produced a 39-14 ATS mark the last 10 seasons. This system is 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons.

The Bears have won their last 3 against St. Louis by 15, 24 and 8 points. Even with Matt Forte out, they have the superior talent on both sides of the football. And, they’ll be very focused after the stinker they played last week. Lay the points.

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Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants: Week 3 Preseason NFL Pick: August 24th 2012

Week 3 Preseason NFL Picks: August 24th 2012
Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants
Current Line: New York Giants (-3/41)

The Chicago Bears visit MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. to take on the New York Giants on Friday at 8pmET. The Bears are 1-1 this preseason after edging Washington 33-31. The Giants are 1-1 after beating the Jets 26-3 last week. Last season, the Giants crushed Chicago, 41-13, laying 4.5 in their second game of preseason.

Weather: 81 degrees and 13% chance of rain.

Chicago is coming off a 8-8 SU, 7-8-1 ATS and 9-7 Over. Last year, they went 3-1 ATS in the preseason while Lovie Smith is 16-16 SU, 13-17-3 ATS and 17-16 Over in preseason. The Giants are coming off a disappointing 9-7 SU regular season, but made the playoffs and won the Super Bowl. They were also 8-7-1 ATS and 8-7-1 Over. Last year, they went 2-2 ATS in the preseason. Tom Coughlin is 39-33 SU (NYG, Jax) lifetime in preseason, 36-31-5 ATS and 39-28-2 Over. (all stats are before preseason started).

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Outlook:
The Giants will be holding their first true home game since capturing last season’s Lombardi Trophy with a hard-fought 21-17 victory over New England in Super Bowl XLVI, though Big Blue was in its familiar venue for last weekend’s annual preseason encounter with the fellow Met Life Stadium-tenant Jets. The Giants looked very much like an elite outfit in that one, taking the latest battle of New York with a convincing 26-3 triumph over their crosstown rivals.

Excellent defense set the tone for last Saturday’s rout, with the Giants sacking quarterbacks Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow a combined seven times while limiting the Jets to a meager 148 total yards on the night. The unit also came through with a touchdown when rookie cornerback Jayron Hosley intercepted a hurried Sanchez and returned the pick 77 yards late in the first half.

The Giants’ offense wasn’t quite as crisp, with Super Bowl XLVI Most Valuable Player Eli Manning going just 7-of-14 for 62 yards and tossing an interception before exiting at halftime.

New York will probably be without top receiver Hakeem Nicks once again, though the big-play wideout did resume practicing this week as he recovers from a broken foot sustained earlier in the summer. Will Beatty, the Giants’ projected starter at left tackle, remains sidelined indefinitely with a lingering back issue, however, with veteran Sean Locklear filling in during the interim.

The Giants continue to be banged up on the defensive end as well. Tackles Chris Canty (knee), Shaun Rogers (blood clot in leg) and Marvin Austin (back) will all sit out another week, as will linebacker Michael Boley (hamstring) and cornerback Terrell Thomas (knee). Hosley joined the list of walking wounded when he left Saturday’s win with a turf toe injury.

Chicago bounced back from a lopsided home loss to Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos in the opening week of the preseason to down Washington last Saturday at Soldier Field. The Bears wound up holding on for a 33-31 decision over the Redskins, but had built a comfortable 30-10 lead after three quarters before Washington rallied against the bottom members of the Chicago depth chart.

Starting quarterback Jay Cutler and understudy Jason Campbell both fared well in the win, with the pair combining for 263 yards on 16-of-28 passing. The Bears’ offense also got good games out of a pair of rookies, with second-round wideout Alshon Jeffery coming up with three catches for 62 yards and fourth- round tight end Evan Rodriguez gaining 49 yards on his three grabs.

Offseason acquisition Brandon Marshall added 61 yards on two receptions for the Bears, who finished with 307 net passing yards as a team.

Chicago was hit with a few concerning injuries against the Redskins. Starting free safety Chris Conte will miss the rest of the preseason after dislocating his shoulder, while rookie backup Brandon Hardin was carted off the field with a neck problem in the third quarter and punter Adam Podlesh strained his left hip.

The Bears are already without defensive leader Brian Urlacher, with the decorated middle linebacker to be held out of the entire exhibition slate to build strength in his surgically repaired left knee.

Key Injuries:
Chicago: LB Brian Urlacher (knee) is out indef. S Chris Conte (shldr) is out. S Brandon Hardin (neck) is out. P Adam Podlesh (hip) is dbtful. New York Giants: WR Hakeem Nicks (knee) and DE Jason Pierre-Paul (back) are dbtful. RB Ahmad Bradshaw (hand) is ? OT Will Beatty (back) is out indef. DT Shaun Rogers (calf) is out indef. CB Terrell Thomas (knee) is out indef. DT Chris Canty (knee) is on PUP list

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