MLB Pick: Colorado Rockies +105 odds (May 13th 2013)
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It’s time to knock out a few wrong perceptions with this matchup. The Cubs are a good home team, right? The Rockies are a bad road team, right? The Rockies can’t beat southpaws, right?
Wrong on all three counts.
Chicago is 7-11 at Wrigley Field this season. The Rockets are 11-7 on the road. They just beat a hot lefty in Jamie Garcia this past Sunday. Now they get to face a second straight southpaw in Travis Wood.
I like taking a price with the better team and that’s the case in this matchup. Colorado is fifth in runs scored. The Cubs rank 24th. The Cubs don’t have anybody close to the stature of Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez.
Tulowitzki is tied for first in the National League in RBIs with 31, he’s sixth in batting at .324 and tied for seventh in homers with eight. A healthy Tulowitzki makes the Rockies respectable and Tulowitzki is healthy this season.
The Cubs are in a rebuilding stage. They are returning home following a nice win Sunday against the Nationals in Washington D.C. The youthful Cubs may not be able to handle that victory too well especially returning to the Windy City. They are 9-23 following a victory. Chicago has dropped six of its last nine home games.
The pitching matchup is Juan Nicasio against Travis Wood, who seems much improved but is not in Garcia’s class. Wood has faced two easy offenses during his last three starts drawing the Marlins and Padres.
Nicasio isn’t going to lack for motivation as he could be pitching for his spot in the rotation. Nicasio, though, has excellent potential. He’s 7-1 with a 2.23 ERA when pitching six innings or more. His problem this season is building up his endurance after pitching only 58 innings last year. He was solid in his last start giving up two runs on two hits in five innings against the Mets.
Even if Nicasio can’t reach the sixth or seven inning, I like Colorado’s bullpen much better than the Cubs. Kevin Gregg has been the best closer the Cubs have had this season, but Chicago’s middle relief and setup guys have been horrible headed by the egregious Carlos Marmol.
Marmol alone is reason enough to fade the Cubs when they are favored.
(Editor’s note: Stephen Nover is 11-5 on his last 16 NBA plays and has his Second Round Playoff Game of the Year going today. Stephen also has cashed six of his last eight baseball plays and has his Top of the Ticket play going today. Both are available for purchase individually or as a package.)