Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
2011 World Series Game 7 Pick: Under 8 Runs -110 odds (October 28th 2011)
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I’m chalking up the offense displayed in Game 6 as an aberration. These two teams have still played to the under in four of six games this series, and Busch Stadium has been a rather pitcher-friendly park recently. In fact, we’ve seen 7 total runs scored or fewer in 8 of the Cardinals’ last 11 home games. The under is 7-2 in the Rangers’ last 9 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 7-2 in their last 9 World Series games. The under is also 5-2 in Harrison’s last 7 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The under is 18-8-1 in the Cardinals’ last 27 playoff home games, 6-2 in their last 8 World Series home games and 10-4 in their last 14 World Series games. The under is also 3-0-1 in Carpenter’s last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. It is also worth noting that the under is 4-1 in umpire Jerry Layne’s last 5 games behind home plate, 9-2-2 in his 13 games behind home plate in matchups featuring St. Louis and 10-4-2 in his last 16 games behind home plate in matchups featuring Texas. We’ll bet the Under. 4 STRAIGHT DAYS IN THE BLACK this week behind a Red Hot 5-1 (83%) Run! Jimmy keeps you cashing Friday with 2 more golden investment opportunities. Win Friday-Sunday with a 3-Day Pass!

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Texas Rangers
World Series Game 5 Pick: Over 8 Runs -110 odds (October 24th 2011)
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I am siding with the OVER in Game 5 of the World Series between the St. Louis Cardinals and Texas Rangers. I believe odds makers are putting too much stock into their Game 1 performance, which was a pitcher’s duel between scheduled Game 5 starters C.J. Wilson and Chris Carpenter.

The Cardinals won the opener 3-2. The thing you have to remember is that St. Louis is already a pitcher’s park, and that’s before you even factor in the weather. It was a very cold night in Game 1 and the ball simply wasn’t flying off the bats. There were at least three balls hit in that game that would have been home runs in Texas, but instead came up just short on the warning track.

I believe both Carpenter and Wilson will struggle to get outs tonight in a hitter’s park in Arlington. Texas is batting .294 and scoring 6.2 runs/game at home this season. Their opponents are averaging 5.0 runs/game, so their average combined score at home is 11.2 runs/game.

St. Louis has been much better at the plate on the road than they have been at home. The Cardinals are hitting at a .278 clip while scoring 5.3 runs/game away from St. Louis. While I don’t expect there to be 23 combined runs like in Game 3, I do expect this one to easily go OVER the number by the time both Wilson and Carpenter depart.

Carpenter sports a sub-par 3.77 ERA on the road this season. Wilson has posted a 3.94 ERA at home home, which is much higher than his sub-3.00 ERA on the road. The OVER is 17-6-3 in Wilson’s last 26 home starts. The OVER is 17-8-2 in Wilson’s last 27 starts with a total set of 7.0-8.5. The OVER is 10-4 in Carpenter’s last 14 road starts with a total set of 7.0-8.5.

The OVER is 51-25-1 in Cardinals last 77 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, and the OVER is 9-2 in Cardinals last 11 road games overall. The OVER is 33-16-2 in Rangers last 51 home games overall, and the OVER is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 home games with a total set of 7.0-8.5. All signs point to a slugfest tonight folks. Bet the OVER in Game 5. (Touthouse.com)

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Playoffs Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 -140 odds (October 7th 2011)
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I’m siding with the St. Louis Cardinals on the Run Line Friday in what should be a low-scoring pitcher’s duel in Game 5. It is very likely that this game will be decided by a single run, just as two of the last three have been. Chris Carpenter did not pitch well in his first start in this series, but the Cardinals found a way to win Game 2 by a final of 5-4. Carpenter will be hungry to make amends and to pick up right where he left off at the end of the regular season. He went 2-0 with a 0.38 ERA in his last three outings, giving up just one earned run in 24 innings. It’s not like Roy Halladay was dominant in his first start, either. He gave up three runs in the first inning before settling down. I expect both starters to be on top of their games tonight. The Cardinals are 6-0 in Carpenter’s last 6 starts against the Phillies. They are also a perfect 5-0 in Carpenter’s last 5 road starts in Philadelphia. Philly is just 1-7 in their last 8 home games, and 0-6 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Cards are 9-2 in their last 11 games as a road underdog, and 4-0 in Carpenter’s last 4 road starts. Bet St. Louis on the Run Line Friday. Get more expert MLB playoffs predictions from Jack Jones at Touthouse.com.