Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Betting Pick: Cincy +17.5 (September 27th 2014)
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It didn’t take long for the public to jump back on the Ohio State bandwagon. After the Buckeyes failed to impress against Navy in their opener, they lost outright to Virginia Tech following week. But a 66-0 blowout win over Kent State has bettors backing the Buckeyes once again. They opened as a -13 point favorite at home versus Cincinnati, which would be a fair number in my opinion. Public money has since pushed the line up to -17.5, and I think that’s asking too much of a Buckeyes team that isn’t as strong as it was last year.
Cincinnati is undefeated, with wins over Toledo and Miami (OH). Sophomore QB Gunner Kiel has burst onto the scene throwing for 689 yards and 10 TDs in the first two starts of his college football career. He’s face an OSU defense that surrendered 52 points against Navy and VT in it’s first two games of the season.
Cincy’s senior RB Hosey Williams is averaging six yards per carry through the first two games of the season, and he ran for over 100 yards in the win over the Rockets. He may be able to find some holes in a Buckeyes defense that surrendered 495 yards on the ground in it’s first two games.
The Bearcats won nine games last year, and they only faced one ranked opponent. They lost in overtime by a score of 31-24 to the Louisville Cardinals. Cincinnati is 2-4 against Top 25 teams dating back to 2009, but the average margin of defeat in those four losses is less than five points.
I expect to see a competitive game here in Columbus tonight.