Cincinnati vs. Kentucky
NCAA Tournament Pick: Cincinnati +17 (March 21st 2015)
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Cincy rallied to beat Purdue by a single point on Thursday, advancing to the second round to face Kentucky. The Wildcats are the favorite to win the tournament, and not surprisingly they are asked to cover an enormous spread here in this game. They were not tested in their first round matchup versus Hampton, and that may not serve them well against a scrappy team that has plenty of experience playing close games.
The Bearcats are one of the top defensive teams in the country, allowing an average of just 55.6 points per game. They actually match up closer to Kentucky (statistically) than many might think. Of course the Wildcats score more points, but perhaps not enough to justify such a big number. The Bearcats allowed Purdue to shoot just 36.1% in their first round victory, and the Boilermakers were just 4-of-26 (15.4%) from beyond the arc.
Kentucky might be undefeated at 35-0, but it’s not like they haven’t been challenged. They’ve been to overtime twice, and seven of their victories during conference play came by single digits. In fact in their last seven games versus opponent’s with a winning percentage of .600 or better, they have covered the spread in only two of those contests.
Cincinnati vs. East Carolina
Basketball Pick: East Carolina +10 (February 1st 2015)
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East Carolina is off to a 1-7 start in the AAC and while things may not look like they will improve today, the Pirates are in a great spot while catching a great number. Last Saturday, they nearly handed Tulsa its first conference loss, then they went on the road and put a scare into Memphis on Wednesday. East Carolina is 7-3 at home with its only bad loss being against Tulane as the other two defeats were by four and two points. The road has been a different story as the Pirates are 0-7 with one of those losses coming at Cincinnati in January by 21 points so they will be out for some payback today. The Bearcats were favored by 14.5 points in that game so the line difference for the venue shift does not correlate. Cincinnati is in a dreadful spot here as it is coming off a big home win over Connecticut on Thursday, its fourth straight victory and it then has to travel to 9-1 SMU in its next game. Since conference play began, East Carolina has been the best three-point shooting team in the AAC connecting on 38.9 percent and making a league-best 9.3 three-pointers per game. The Bearcats are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games while the Pirates are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record. Play (812) East Carolina Pirates
Cincinnati vs. Memphis
Basketball Pick: Cincinnati Pk (January 15th 2015)
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The Cincinnati Bearcats relies on their defense to win them games, and so far it’s worked. They allow under 55 points a game and that has helped them build an 11-4 record. Many experts looked at this year as a rebuilding year due to heavy losses to graduation. They are coming off a loss to Connecticut, the loss snapped the Bearcat’s four game winning streak. The Bearcats couldn’t get anything going offensively, as Troy Caupain was the only player to crack double figures in scoring with 14 points and rebounds. He shot only 6 for 15 on the day.
The Memphis Tigers are 9-6 on the season, and 2-2 in conference play.. As a team they have averaged 67 points a game while they allow 61 points a game. Memphis showed their defensive ability in a 62-44 win over Houston. The held Houston to 33 percent shooting from the floor, while shooting 43 percent themselves. Austin Nichols led the Tigers in the game with 16 points and seven rebounds. Markel Crawford added 12 points with Kedren Johnson and Shaq Goodwin tossing in ten points and eight points respectively.
Cincinnati and Memphis have both played above expectations this season. Cincinnati has played a little bit better and have the better team. This is basically a pick-em game so I am taking the better defensive team in Cincinnati.
Play on Cincinnati. This is a 1* free play.