Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
Baseball Pick: Cincinnati -115 odds (May 7th 2013)
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Doc’s Sports Tuesday MLB Free Play. 17-5 run in baseball and 31-10 run overall. A pair of 10* selections going on Tuesday (1 in MLB & 1 in NHL)
Complimentary baseball pick from Doc’s Sports Take #902 Cincinnati Reds (-115) over Atlanta Braves (7:10pm ET) Two of the National League’s best square off today in Cincinnati as the Reds host the Atlanta Braves. Since joining the Braves’ rotation, Kris Medlen has put up some very impressive numbers. At one point last season, the Braves had won 23 straight games in which he started and Medlen had an ERA under 2.00 during the run. But in 2013, Medlen hasn’t been the same pitcher. His strikeout rate is down 20% from last season and he’s walking almost twice as many batters. He’s giving up more flyballs and home runs, and he doesn’t look as confident on the mound as he’s been in the past. There hasn’t been any potential injury news surrounding Medlen, but part of it could be the league finally catching up with the youngster. The Reds aren’t an easy lineup to navigate, so I expect Medlen to give up a few today. The man in charge of shutting down the Braves today is right-hander Homer Bailey. The 26-year old broke through last season, finally realizing the potential that everyone saw in him since he entered the big leagues. He went 13-10 with a 3.68 ERA last season and ended the regular season on a high note with a no-hitter against the Pirates. That boosted his confidence a lot, and he looks even sharper in 2013. He’s increased his strikeout rate and lowered his ERA and WHIP as a result. At this point, Bailey is pitching better than Medlen and I think this price is short on the Reds at home here. We’ll take Cincinnati in this one.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds -155 odds (May 5th 2013)
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Preview: On Sunday the Free MLB System pick is on the Reds. Game 907 at 2:20 eastern. The Reds won for us as a free Play on Saturday and we are going right back to the well with them again today. The Reds are backed with another solid system. We want to play on certain road favorites the last 2 seasons that are off a road favored win by 2 or more runs, if they scored 5 or more runs and are taking on an opponent off a home dog loss by 2 or more runs that scored 4 or less runs on 4 or less hits, These road favorites are 15-3 the last 2 years and 9-1 if the total is more than 8. The Reds have M. Latos going today and he went 7 strong allowing just 2 runs in his only start here in Chicago. He has won 6 of his last 8 Road May starts and take on E. Jackson who has lost 5 of 8 home May starts and has lost his last 4 home starts overall allowing a hideous 17 run sin 15 innings. The Reds have dominated the series of late taking 13 of the last 15. On Sunday we have 3 Powerful System Plays up. In the NBA a Double System Side with Round 2 Systems, one is cashing 94% since 1991. NBA Sides 12-5. In Bases we have an Afternoon Totals system that has cashed 34 of 43 times and has a perfect Angle. There is also the Sunday night ESPN MLB play from a Perfect System dating to 1994. Jump on Now as we celebrate Chinco De Mayo and end the week big. For the free play take the Cincinnati Reds. RV
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Betting Pick: Reds -167 odds (April 18th 2013)
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Young right hander Jose Fernandez gets his first taste of a hitter’s park when the Marlins open a four-game series with the Cincinnati Reds. Tony Cingrani, the highly touted southpaw, will make his Major League starting debut for the Redlegs. Fernandez has been impressive in his first two starts, but he’s facing a far more capable lineup in the Reds and he’s still a kid who went from Single-A to the big leagues. His first two starts came against the Mets and the Phillies, two teams not exactly known for their offensive prowess. It’ll be interesting to see how he handles a packed house eager for the debut of his opponent, Tony Cingrani. We’re betting that he struggles in that environment and some of his numbers do need to level off. He’s gotten lucky on balls in play, allowing just five hits on 23 balls in play. That’s unlikely to continue. Furthermore, he’ll be pitching in a park where the ball actually carries pretty well.
Tony Cingrani makes his first Major League start after downright dominating Triple-A hitters. In 14.1 innings, Cingrani struck out 26 batters and allowed just three hits. Lefties tend to have a lot of success during their first trip around the league and a guy with Cingrani’s talent should be no different. He appeared in three games last season, so the nerves should be tempered a little by already having Major League experience.
The Marlins have scored just 32 runs in 15 games. They’re not scoring off of anybody and it seems unlikely that they would score off a guy with Cingrani’s talent. He may not need many runs to win, but the Reds certainly have an offense capable of scoring.
PLAY: CINCINNATI – Want all of Bryan Leonard’s MLB betting picks for April 18th 2013? Visit our expert sports picks page at Touthouse.com
MLB Picks: April 7th 2013
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: Reds -108 odds
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10* graded MLB pick on the Cincinnati Reds as they take on the Washington nationals set to start at 1:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Reds will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-14 mark for 69% winners and has made 22.6 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play against road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) and is a top-level team (>= 62%) playing a good team (54% to 62%), in April games. Here is a second system that has gone 62-31 for 67% winners and has made 31.3 units per one unit wagered since 2007. Play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CINCINNATI) and is an excellent fielding team averaging <=0.5 errors/game on the season and after a one run loss. The Reds hammered Washington in Game 1, 15-0, and marked my third straight 25* winner for the season. Yesterday, Washington eked out an extra inning one-run win after leading in the game and blowing a save opportunity. Washington is just 6-27 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a game they hit 4 or more home runs since 1997. Moreover, the Reds are 19-3 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games revenging a loss to current opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. It is still early, but I believe one thing is a near certainty. Washington will struggle to find an offense, especially against elite starters like Cueto. In five games, they are batting an anemic .222 with a .297 OBP. The Reds will have a strong offense and are averaging 6.4 RPG through 5 games. Moreover, the Nationals bullpen, who did not allow an ER to the Miami Marlins, has been hammered by the Reds. Strasburg did not allow a run, but only struck out three batters in his seven inning 1-0 win over the Marlins. Cueto allowed three hits and one ER, but struck out nine Angels in a 1-0 no decision team loss. I fully expect Cueto to strikeout at least 10 batters today and with Strasburg still mysteriously on an 80 pitch limit, the Nast will again struggle in the bullpen. Take the Reds.
