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Posts Tagged ‘Cleveland Browns’

NFL Preseason Pick: Teddy Covers betting the Saints +3 points on August 10th 2017

New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns
NFL Preseason Pick: New Orleans +3 points (August 10th 2017)

Hue Jackson went 0-4 SU and ATS in his lone preseason as the head coach of the Oakland Raiders.  Jackson followed that 0-fer up with an 0-4 SU and ATS mark in his first season with the Browns last year.  Much of that was circumstantial – the Browns Week 1 roster last year had more rookies on it than any non-expansion team in NFL history.

But when we’re talking about a ‘major steam’ line move – this game opened at pick em and is now painted Cleveland -3 with extra vig to support the favorite – that type of track record certainly doesn’t inspire confidence in this bettor!  Whatever value their might have been with the Browns at pick em or -1 is long gone now…..


Most pointspread decisions — whether in the NFL Preseason or Regular season or Playoffs – are decided after halftime.  The mainstream media and the betting markets often play far too much attention to the ‘how much playing time are the starters going to get?’ announcements, as opposed to the ‘who is going to be on the field after halftime?’ question.

And much like last year in August, the Browns second half rotations look spotty at best – limited skill position talent, questionable offensive line chemistry and a QB rotation that doesn’t inspire much confidence.  Rookie DeShone Kizer and fourth stringer ‘never will be’ Kevin Hogan are slated for the second half of this game, not exactly a ‘bet-on’ duo.

Drew Brees won’t see the field tonight, but Chase Daniel, who has been excellent in preseasons past is likely to get extended playing time.  And the Saints have a legitimate battle for the 3rd string job – a ‘bet-on’ situation in August – between a pair of guys who have plenty of experience against 3rd string defenses in August, Garrett Grayson and Ryan Nassib.  That duo is most assuredly not a ‘bet-on’ tandem in September, but in August, at +3, they’re a ‘bet-no’ duo all the way!  Take the Saints.

Teddy is ready to kick off the preseason with a bang, locked and loaded with a rock solid Trifecta of winners, including his very first 10* Big Ticket Report of the young season.  Get onboard right now to lock in with this proven preseason performer!

Chargers vs. Browns Week 16 NFL Point Spread Pick: December 24th 2016

San Diego Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 16 NFL Point Spread Pick: Chargers -4 (December 24th 2016)

There’s a lot of talk about how this is going to be the game that Cleveland wins to avoid going 0-16, but I’m simply not buying it. The perception here is that San Diego has nothing to play for with the playoffs not in sites, but I’m not buying it. No one wants to be the team that gives the Browns their first win. This Cleveland team is historically bad and it’s only gotten worse as the season has gone on. The offense hasn’t been able to do anything of late, scoring 13 or fewer points in 6 straight games. Philip Rivers isn’t a quarterback to shut it down and as long as he’s playing he’s going to give it his best. Rivers should have a field day here against Cleveland and the Chargers will get some balance on offense with the Browns inability to stop the run. Take Cleveland if you want, but I see enough value here on San Diego. Give me the Chargers -4!

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New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns Week 5 Point Spread Pick: October 9th 2016

PATRIOTS VS. BROWNS BETTINGNew England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 5 Point Spread Pick: Browns +10.5 points (October 9th 2016)

10* graded play on Cleveland as they take on New England in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will lose this game by less than 7 points.

Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 125-67 since 1983 good for 65.1% winners and made 51.3 units/unit wagered. Play on home underdogs or pick (CLEVELAND) – after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record. Another proven system supports this play posting a 69-33 since 1983 good for 67.6% winners and made 32.7 units/unit wagered. Play against favorites of 10.5 or more points (NEW ENGLAND) – after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New England is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland at home is 4-2 against the spread versus New England since 1992. Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Patriots are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games on grass. Browns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Home team is 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings head-to-head.

Fundamental Discussion Points Cleveland has hardly been a pushover for the Patriots, winning in a rout at home in 2010 and losing on a last-minute touchdown at Foxborough in 2013. Kessler rallied the Browns from a double-digit deficit for the second straight week, only to see Cleveland failed to protect a three-point fourth-quarter edge in a 31-20 loss to Washington. Browns WR Terrelle Pryor, a converted quarterback, has 13 receptions and a touchdown over the past two games. The Browns have shown they play UP to their competition for most of the game. Take the many points with the Cleveland Browns.