Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Tigers +110 betting line (September 1st 2014)
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The Detroit Tigers (74-62) are just 1/2-game behind the Kansas City Royals for first place in the AL Central. They are also holding onto a slim 1/2-game lead over Seattle for the final wild card spot in the American League. They have responded well of late, winning six of their last nine games overall.
Rarely ever will you get the opportunity to back David Price as an underdog, and we’ll take advantage tonight. The left-hander has gone 12-10 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 28 starts this season, including 6-3 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.915 WHIP in 13 road starts.
Price is 5-1 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in seven career starts against Cleveland. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of those seven starts. Corey Kluber is having a fine season, but he’s just 2-4 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.372 WHIP in nine career starts against Detroit.
Price is 56-27 (+20.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents in his career. The Tigers are 19-8 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Detroit is 6-1 in its last seven games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet the Tigers Monday.
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Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins
Betting Pick: Under 7 runs -110 odds (August 21st 2014)
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This is a 1* Free Play on the “under” between the Cleveland Indians and the Minnesota Twins. With two hot hurlers going head to head in this one, I look for this total to sneak below the posted number. The visiting Indians will start the red hot Corey Kluber (13-6, 2.41 ERA) who has allowed a combined three runs over his last five outings. Kluber has two complete games over that stretch as well. The Twins meanwhile will turn the ball over to Phil Hughes (13-8, 3.76) who has been their most consistent starter all season, the right-hander has given up one run or less while going at least six innings in his last three outings. Note that Hughes is 3-1 with a solid 2.61 ERA lifetime against the Indians. And note that eight of the last nine Indians’ games have seen the lower number fall and that includes yesterday’s 5-0 win over the Twins. These starting pitchers have been downright dominant of late as demonstrated by their recent strikeout to walk ratios: Hughes has totaled 22 strikeouts with two walks over 20 1/3 innings while Kluber has 89 Ks to just 12 walks in his last 12 starts. Consider the UNDER.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Indians -120 betting line (August 17th 2014)
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The Cleveland Indians should be a much bigger favorite at home today against the Baltimore Orioles. The Indians are only 4.5 games out of the final wild card spot in the American League, so they have a lot to play for right now.
Danny Salazar is one of the most talented young starters in the game today. He has struggled this year at 4-5 with a 4.88 ERA, but he has 69 K’s in 62 2/3 innings and will be a key cog in Cleveland’s rotation going forward.
Kevin Gausman is having a solid season for Baltimore, going 6-4 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.418 WHIP in 12 starts. He is being overvalued here as a result, and he has struggled of late, going 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in his last three starts.
Cleveland is 83-45 (+22.7 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. The Indians are 5-1 in their last six games overall. The Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cleveland is 5-1 in Salazer’s last six starts as home favorite. Bet the Indians Sunday.
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