Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles
MLB Pick: Cleveland +118 odds (June 27th 2015)
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Cleveland is showing some great value here as a dog against the Orioles. Baltimore will be starting Chris Tillman, who is fortunate that he’s just 5-7 on the season. Tillman has a 5.72 ERA and 1.590 WHIP over14 starts and somehow was lucky enough to go 3-0 in his last 3 starts with a 9.00 ERA and 1.538 WHIP. This is simply too good a price to fade one of the worst starters (to this point).
Adding to the value is the Indians will be sending out relatively unknown starter Cody Anderson, who just made his MLB debut last Sunday. Anderson was sensational, allowing just 6 hits and 1 walk over 7 2/3 scoreless innings. He likely won’t be that good again, but if he can limit Baltimore to just 2-3 runs, the Indians’ offense should be able to tack on enough run support against Tillman.
Something about leaving home on the weekend for Cleveland. Indians are 14-5 in their last 19 road games played on Saturday. They are also 20-8 in their last 28 when revenging a 1-run loss and 8-0 in their last 8 road games off a loss by less than 2 runs. Take Cleveland!
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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians
MLB Pick: Detroit +132 odds (June 22nd 2015)
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Good value here with the Detroit Tigers as nice-sized road underdogs to the Cleveland Indians Monday. After losing four straight, the Tigers beat the Yankees 12-4 yesterday and will build off of that win with another tonight.
The Indians are not swinging the bats well, scoring a combined seven runs in their last five games overall. They will struggle at the dish against Kyle Ryan, who has gone 1-1 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.140 WHIP in two starts and two relief appearances for Detroit this year.
Trevor Bauer has put up solid numbers overall for the Indians at 6-3 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.222 WHIP in 13 starts. However, he has struggled at home, going 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.425 WHIP in seven starts. Bauer sports a 4.34 ERA and 1.517 WHIP in five career starts against Detroit.
Detroit is 8-0 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after a win by 8 runs or more over the last two seasons. The Tigers are 36-15 in the last 51 meetings, including 20-6 in their last 26 trips to Cleveland. The Indians are 18-37 in their last 55 during Game 1 of a series. Bet the Tigers Monday.
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Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals
MLB Pick: Cleveland +113 odds (June 4th 2015)
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We won with the Royals last night but we will be playing against them tonight in this spot. While four runs does not constitute an offensive explosion, the Royals had scored two runs or less in six of their previous seven games so last night’s total was a step in the right direction but I don’t see it continuing tonight. The Indians had their three-game winning streak snapped last night behind their ace Corey Kluber but a new elite pitcher is emerging for Cleveland in Trevor Bauer. A fourth straight quality start has lowered his ERA to 2.97 and his WHIP to 1.18 and overall, eight of 10 starts this season have been quality efforts. This includes all four road starts where his ERA and WHIP are a matching 0.99. In two career starts in Kansas City, Bauer has allowed just three runs over 10 innings. The great start to the season ended for Chris Young in his last start as he allowed four runs in six innings against the Yankees. He has been dominant at home with a minute 0.43 ERA where he is 4-0 including three wins in three starts. We are going against that here as the last game could carry over here against an Indians team that has won seven of their last nine road games. Play (967) Cleveland Indians