Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Cleveland -103 betting line (July 30th 2014)
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Seattle took the opener of this series last night scoring four runs in the fourth inning and never looking back. The Mariners remain two games out in the Wild Card race but they have had a rough go with it of late, going 6-11 over their last 17 games while going 1-5 in their last six games as a favorite. Additionally, Seattle is 1-7 over its last eight games following a win. Cleveland has been playing just as poorly but that has been due to coming off a poor roadtrip and even after the loss last night, they are still nine games over .500 at home. Cleveland is 6-1 in its last seven games as a home underdog and going back further, it is 29-9 in its last 38 home games in the second half of the season against American League teams with an on base percentage .320 or worse. Felix Hernandez is one of the best pitchers in baseball and laying a short price on the road has attracted a lot of action his way but this is a great spot to fade him. He is 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA on the road this season with Seattle going 8-3 in his 11 starts on the highway so he has been very effective. He has now gone 13 consecutive starts of pitching at least seven innings and allowing no more than two runs which is an incredible streak but when it comes to an end, this could be the place for it to happen. Over his last two starts in Cleveland, he has posted an 11.42 ERA with the Mariners losing those games by a combined 15-3. The Mariners are 2-7 in Hernandez’ last nine starts when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Corey Kluber is the forgotten man in this matchup as his numbers are very comparable. He has a 2.77 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over 22 starts and he too has been pitching very well of late. He has quality outings in six of his last seven starts and this is the first time the Mariners have seen him which is a big edge for Kluber. The Indians are 9-2 in Kluber’s last 11 starts following a quality outing in his last game. Play (970) Cleveland Indians
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Under 7.5 runs -110 betting line (July 29th 2014)
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The Seattle Mariners hit the road and begin the trip with a stop in Cleveland to play the Indians tonight. This matches Iwakuma for the Mariners against Bauer for the Indians. Seattle is a small favorite in this game at -105 and the total is at 7.5.
The Mariners have lost five of the last six after losing in extra innings to the Orioles Sunday. The Mariner offense has only scored 25 runs in its last 10 games and four games during that stretch went into extras. Iwakuma has not issued a walk in his last 35.2 innings over five starts. He has a 3.09 ERA and 0.99 WHIP even after being beat about for four earned runs in seven innings his last start. The M’s are 0-6 in their last six games in Cleveland.
Trevor Bauer gets the ball for the Indians He has gone at least six innings in 11 of 14 starts this year. He has allowed more than three runs only three times along the way and has not allowed more than four earned runs all season. Bauer is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 22 K’s in his last three starts.
Hard to predict a winner in this one with the M’s offense really struggling. The Indians may still be without Lonnie Chisenhall, add Michael Bourn out still, all Iwakuma needs to do is contain Carlos Santana who had five HR’s in the 4 game KC series over the weekend. We will look to the under 7.5 in this one. It will cost us a premium of -115 but this should be a pitching and defensive duel this evening.
Free Play on the UNDER 7.5 -115
Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals
MLB Pick: Kansas City -104 odds (July 27th 2014)
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Kansas City grabbed victory from the Jaws of defeat on Saturday night, down 5-0 to rally to 7 unanswered runs, and even Billy Butler go in the act with a 2 run homer as KC downed the tribe with solid late pitching last night t9o seal the deal.
Today southpaw Bruce Chen takes the hill for the Royals, and with Chen you never know what you are going to get, however the KEY in this game is the Tribes inability to hit southpaws well, just .118 as a team their last 5 games. Kansas City is dangerous when they have their bats going, and with high heat and humidity in KC today, I expect to see some long balls out of both teams and some scoring in this one. Salazar for Cleveland is 0-2 against KC his last 2 starts with almost a 7 ERA, and while his last start was a win, just his first start since May 15th, I think he will struggle today against a confident lineup.
Kansas City on a 5 game game winning streak and look for sweep the series here with a win, and put themselves just 4 games out of first place in the division, I like their chances at home today, they simply have the tribes number this season and the number is cheap.