Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Cleveland -141 betting line (July 22nd 2014)
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This is a great spot to back the Indians coming off a disappointing loss in the series opener on Monday. Cleveland will be calling up Danny Salazar to start. While Salazar got off to a disappointing start to 2014 after a sensational 2013, he’s been sharp in the minors and two of his better starts while he was up in the majors just so happened to come against the Twins. In the two starts combined, he allowed just 5 runs over 12 innings of work. Minnesota will counter with Yohan Pino, who is 1-2 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.350 WHIP over 5 starts. Cleveland’s offense has pounded right-handed starters and I look for them to take advantage of the young Pino and win this one rather easily.
Key Trends – Cleveland is 39-14 over their last 53 games played in the 2nd half of the season vs a team with a losing record, while Minnesota is just 9-27 in their last 36 games vs a starting pitcher who strikes out 5+ batters/start.
System – All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CLEVELAND) – with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings are 208-97 (68%) over the last 5 seasons. BET THE INDIANS!
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New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians
Betting Pick: Yankees -138 odds (July 8th 2014)
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At 12-3 with a 2.27 ERA and a 0.970 whip, Masahiro Tanaka has been everything advertised and more. He was the best starter in baseball during April and May but wins have been a little bit tougher to come by of late as teams are starting to see him for the second and third time. He faces the Tribe for the first time today.
Cleveland’s Trevor Bauer is what he is …. a back of the rotation guy who will give you five innings and give up three runs or more before turning it over to the bullpen. Will that be good enough to win here? Probably not.
The Bombers have done their best work on the road and have won five of their last six away from the Bronx. They are also 12-2 in their L14 with Cleveland which includes 6-2 at The Jake. Throw in the Tanaka factor and it looks to be pinstripes here.
Cleveland Indians vs. Los Angeles Angels
Betting Pick: Over 8.5 runs -110 odds (June 18th 2014)
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I’m recommending a play on the Over between the Angels & Indians on Wednesday night. C.J. Wilson will battle Justin Masterson in this one and I expect both pitchers to struggle. Wilson has had his problems on the road this season and he’s at his best in day starts, rather than evening outings. Masterson has had a rough season thus far and he’s allowed 5 runs or more in four of his last seven starts. And while he’ll face an Angel lineup that plates 5.5 rpg in road night games against right-handers, his counterpart, Wilson must face a Cleveland offense that clocks lefties for 6 rpg in home night games. The Over is on a 28-5-3 run when Wilson starts on the road, while the Indians are on a 10-2 Over run at home against teams with a winning record. I’m recommending a play on the Over between the Angels & Indians on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Scott Spreitzer caps Wednesday with a rare SITUATIONAL SMACKDOWN on the bases! Scott cashed yesterday, a 5-run win with Seattle and looks to rock the books with a side backed by combined spots on a 20-0, 100% winning run, revealed inside. SLAM the books on Wednesday!