Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians
Betting Pick: Kansas City +104 odds (September 23rd 2014)
CLICK HERE FOR TONY GEORGE’S EXPERT MLB PICKS
The Royals are in need of a win, off a win last night, however they lost a makeup suspended game so they sit a game behind Detroit for the AL Central lead and 2 games up on Seattle for the AL Wild card. While the Tribe would love to spoil the Royals party and put a monkey in the wrench of the Royals post season plans, I like Ventura on the hill for KC tonight who has been in excellent form recently. 20 innings pitched, 14 hits and an ERA of 1.80 his last 3 starts, not bad considering I feel he will be the starter with run support tonight. Ventura has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in each of his last 10 starts!
Cleveland counters with Danny Salazar who in his last 3 starts his ERA is a 5.09, but he did have a good outing against Houston last Thursday striking out 9, but I still lean KC here with their bats against right handers being very respectable in their last 5 games. KC is a road warrior, winning 17 out of their last 24 on the road, and while they have struggled at Cleveland, I think that trend reverse’s and KC wins a tight one and keeps pace in the AL Central and the wild card race. It is do or die for Kansas City and having 2 games up on Seattle in the wild card race in the AL, I see them keeping that spread after tonight regardless of what Seattle does, and they are a heavy favorite at Toronto tonight and have no illusions, the Royals players and coaches know that. KC shows up tonight determined and this is a very short number, pickem to a slight underdog.
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins
Betting Pick: Minnesota -127 odds (September 19th 2014)
CLICK HERE FOR JIMMY BOYD’S EXPERT MLB PICKS
The Twins are showing great value here as a relatively small home favorite against division rival Cleveland. Minnesota comes in off a big series win over the Tigers, that saw them take the final two to improve to 3-1 over their last 4. I look for the Twins to keep the momentum going in the series opener against the Indians.
I think Minnesota has a big advantage on the mound in this one. The Twins will send out Phil Hughes who is a bit underrated cause of the team he plays for. Hughes is 15-10 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.140 WHIP over 30 starts and enters with a red-hot 2.45 ERA and 0.864 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He’s also a dominant 4-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.974 WHIP over 6 career starts against the Indians.
As for Cleveland’s Trevor Bauer, he’s 5-8 with a 4.16 ERA over 24 starts, 1-5 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.534 WHIP over 11 road starts and has an ugly 5.78 ERA over 3 career starts (all this season) against the Twins.
The Indians do come in having won 3 straight, but there’s a solid system in play suggesting a fade. Teams off 3 straight wins by 2 runs or less against an opponent after a win by 4 runs or more are just 23-45 since 1997. That’s a 66% system in favor of the Twins. Take Minnesota!
INCREDIBLE 31-13 (70%) Over L44 NCAAF Total Releases (7-2 start to 2014)! When it comes to betting over/under in college football, there’s no better handicapper to follow than Jimmy Boyd! The books have once again made a big mistake on the total and it’s time to make them pay! Build your bankroll Friday with Boyd’s UConn/South Florida NCAAF Total Annihilator! There’s no doubt Jimmy is on the right side and he’s got a 72% System Hitting Since 1992 to back it up! You are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will receive Saturday’s entire NCAAF card for FREE!
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians
MLB Pick: Cleveland +125 betting odds (September 4th 2014)
CLICK HERE FOR NICK PARSONS’ EXPERT MLB PICKS
I like the Indians to even the their homestand with the Tigers at two games apiece.
Detroit’s pitcher Maz Scherzer has been a little disappointing down the stretch. Scherzer (15-5, 3.26 ERA)is 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA in his last three outings. In his last outing he gave up six runs and nine hits, while striking out 11 without a walk in 6 2/3 innings of a 6-3 loss against the Chicago White Sox on Saturday. Scherzer gave up seven runs and 12 hits in seven innings of an 11-10, 13-inning loss at Cleveland on May 21, but then yielded three runs and 12 hits while walking six in 11 2/3 innings to go 1-0 in his last two starts against the Indians (71-66). Cleveland is batting .308 against Scherzer this season.
Cleveland will be pitching, Trevor Bauer (5-7, 3.99) against the Tigers. He has allowed eight hits and struck out 15 while walking eight over 11 2/3 scoreless innings to go 1-0 in his last two starts. He walked five and yielded four hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 3-2, 11-inning victory at Kansas City on Saturday. He is 2-0 in three starts against the Tigers even though he has a 4.42 ERA against them.
I am pplaying on the Indians to even the series with a better in form pitcher at the moment.