St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros
MLB Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals -174 odds (September 27th 2011)
The St. Louis Cardinals trail the Atlanta Braves by one game for the wild card spot in the National League. Obviously, this is a must-win situation for them and I like their chances with Jake Westbrook on the mound against the major league-worst Houston Astros (56-104). St. Louis was 10 1/2 games behind Atlanta for the wild card Aug. 24, but has won 21 of 30 since. Lance Berkman, who starred for the Astros from 1999-2010, is hitting .406 with five homers and 14 RBIs against Houston this season. All five home runs have been hit at Minute Maid Park. Westbrook is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts this year versus the Astros, and 8-4 with a 3.61 ERA on the road. He didn’t get a decision despite a solid outing at home in his most recent outing Thursday, giving up one run in six innings before the bullpen allowed six runs in the ninth during an 8-6 loss to New York.
Henry Sosa is 3-5 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in nine starts this season. Sosa is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.867 WHIP over his last three starts as well. He has yielded seven home runs while issuing 21 walks in 50 innings this season. The Astros are 6-28 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The Cardinals are 8-3 in Westbrook’s last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Astros are 33-70 in their last 103 overall. Bet the Cardinals Tuesday.
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